IDP vs. Offensive Trade Values

IDP vs. Offensive Trade Values
7/7/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Some of our best ideas aren’t always our own. If you surround yourself with positive like minded people the only options are to learn and grow. You are the company you keep. When you’re in a situation or have a platform such as this to provide content and opinions, you find success working with others.

Take advice, be kind, share ideas and be open to change. Acting like the smartest person in the room won’t get you very far. Don’t make the mistake of succumbing to your own ego. I’m just a spoke on the wheel of fantasy sports content. Sure I have fun and cool ideas but what about long term success? I’ve found that this entire format can dry up quick and what am I left with? Recycling ideas with little to no support.

I’ve long been into the mindset of supporting others and being a soundboard for ideas that are not my own. Ever evolving and building long lasting relationships. As an only child I’ve been told that it’s in my nature to be selfish and not good at sharing. That couldn’t be farther from the truth. Especially in this case. I’m only as good as the people around me. I cannot do this alone. I need the advice, respect and support from all of you.

Together we are stronger, together we are unbroken, together we can do anything. The idea for this article came from a friend of mine, Adam. He supports my ideas, I support his! Create an atmosphere around you where people feel comfortable sharing ideas and telling you their thoughts. It’s a two way street that demands respect. Thank you Adam! I support you and I respect you.

Let’s get into IDP (individual defensive player) trade values in comparison to the offensive skill positions. I have seen a slew of questions across all social media platforms. “In a dynasty start up with IDP what’s a good round to start drafting IDP?” Or trade questions like this, “I was sent an offer to trade away Bobby Wagner (SEA LB) for my RB2 or 3, what do I do?” Let me help you!

Most recent list of the top-20 IDP in dynasty formats.

As you can see in the graphic above, this is my top-20 IDP for dynasty formats headed into the 2020 season. With all the mock drafts going on and rookie drafts which are already completed, when and where do I start grabbing defensive players?“ It’s a legitimate question which I plan on answering in full below!

My most recent super flex top-20 list.

In comparison to the IDP top-20 above is my personal super-flex top-20. You don’t have to be an IDP fan to notice the stark difference in lists. Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffery and Lamar Jackson are all NFL super-stars. So the point of this article is to describe where we should make our first IDP selection and what to expect with trading. It always seems to be confusing. So much so it’s turning people away from IDP! We can’t have that!

I’ve long said in the right scoring format our defensive players can score just like our offensive players. I don’t like talking and/or writing about topics I don’t personally know about. Would make no sense for me to tell your story and vice-versa. As recent as last season I was involved in a full blown IDP dynasty start up. I was told the scoring format would be equal across the board. Meaning, you could build a championship defense just as well as an electric offense.

Custom scoring format for my full IDP league.

 

 

As you can see above this is the scoring format for my IDP league. Let’s discuss the differences and similarities! The first thing that should jump out to you is how fantasy friendly the IDP’s are to your team. Mind you this is custom setting and a custom format for my league. Nonetheless still close to a default scoring system. A sack is 6 points. Same a rushing TD for a RB or a receiving TD for a WR. A passing TD for your QB is 6 points pretty standard but on the IDP side an interception is 5.5 points. Almost a wash. One of the more important statistics for our starting RB’s is total yards right? Here you can see that 1 rushing yard equals 0.25 points. On the defensive side a solo tackle is 3.25 points. Hopefully I haven’t lost you! Lets talk about what I just mentioned step by step!

In the right scoring format, such as this, you can see that a stud RB can accumulate points at the same clip as a stud LB. TD’s, sacks, interceptions, receptions and assisted tackles are all basically the same in terms of points. That’s an important factor when drafting your team. So at what point do we start drafting defensive players? As we all know not all players are created equal. Why is that? Why are the top-ranked linebackers not being drafted among the top-ranked running backs? It’s quite simple. Guaranteed workload and opportunity!

Carolina Panther RB Christian McCaffrery

Anyone can sit down pre-draft and/or Sunday morning and know what to expect from a first round talent and consensus #1 overall pick like Christian McCaffrery. In 2019 CMC averaged 17.9 rushing attempts a game, 7.3 receptions a game for an overall average of 60.8 rushing yards a game and 52.6 receiving yards a game. 60.8 x .25 = 15.2. 52.6 x .25 = 13.15. 15.2 + 13.15 = 28.35. So before even stepping on the field you could pencil CMC in for 28.35 points per game. As I’m sure you’ve noticed I didn’t factor TD’s into the equation. If you didn’t know, projecting TD’s is the hardest and most violate statistic there is.

Indianapolis Colts LB Darius Leonard

Lets do the same breakdown but with a stand-out stud and consensus first overall IDP, Indianapolis Colts LB Darius Leonard! Leonard had 121 total tackles in 2019, 71 solo and 50 assisted, 5 sacks and 5 INT‘s. Meaning Leonard made on average 10.08 tackles a game. So we’re looking at about 24.48 fantasy points per game. 71 solo tackles x 3.25 = 230.75. 50 assisted tackles x 1.75 = 87.5. 230.75 + 87.5 = 318.25/13 (total games played) = 24.48. Much like TD statistics for offensive players turnovers and sacks are hard to judge.

For the sake of this comparison you have CAR RB Christian McCaffrery at around 28 fantasy points a game while IND LB Darius Leonard comes in around 24 fantasy points per game. What does that tell us? Numbers aside, it tells me that you can personally build a championship defense on your roster just as easily as stacking offensive talent! Personally I would draft an IDP like Leonard, Nick Bosa or Roquon Smith as early as the 3rd or 4th round. Maybe I’m partial to IDP but drafting Leonard in the 3rd makes sense given the scoring format. Below is a photo of my personal IDP roster. Earlier I mentioned being open and honest and only speaking on topics that I know. I can’t tell your story! I don’t know it that well! So looking at my roster you can clearly see I have a few heavyweight defensive players.

My personal starting IDP roster.

When it comes to playing with a full compliment of defensive players, I only have a few rules:

1. Collect linebackers!

Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith

In most IDP scoring formats tackles are the name of the game. Linebackers accumulate tackles, sacks and turnovers. They make your IDP roster go-round! I’ve said it several times but LB’s are the RB’s of your defensive roster. When drafting fantasy players build entire stables of running backs. Handcuffs, rookies and safe veterans. You should do the same with your linebacking core. Build a stable of LB’s that can be interchangeable, impressive and pack a punch!

2. Don’t fade defensive backs!

Arizona Cardinals safety Budda Baker

In some IDP leagues cornerbacks and safeties are not separate positions. Just a general DB roster spot. If that’s your case then I wouldn’t even consider CB’s! Roster and start as many top-notch safeties as you can. For example, Jamal Adams, Landon Collins and Budda Baker. As stated above tackles are the point getters for you team! What better way to accumulate points then having a collection of ball hawking active safeties? If your league is like mine CB’s and S are two separate positions. If you look at any IDP ranking list you have to scroll and scroll until you get to the highest ranking cornerback. If a CB is really good at what he does the opposing QB avoids him. Meaning a stud CB is a better real life player then a fantasy player.

3. Don’t overlook the importance of a good defensive lineman!

Nick and Joey Bosa

D-line and the position as a whole has been very scarce the last few years. Until recently, 2019, it’s been a very tough position to dial into. In the more advanced IDP settings defensive end and defensive tackle are separate slots on your rosters. If your DL spot encompasses BOTH DE and DT then have no fear! Plenty of options there! Like the Bosa brothers or Watt brothers. If your league is set up to split the defensive line then your playing with the big dogs! Meaning looking week to week for a start-able defensive tackle can be a long and arduous process!

I never want to lie and mislead any of you. So I’d be remiss if I didn’t discuss trade values and the art of trading in an IDP league. What to expect and what to do! This just in! I have no ground breaking advice. Nothing that’s going to knock off your socks! Only years of personal experience. Which, some would say is the best option. I’ve been sent several messages and emails all in relation to trades in IDP leagues. Much like anything we do in life it helps to be informed! More importantly, know the scoring format in your league. Do your research! Don’t be afraid to tell the other team you need time! Crunch numbers and take notes! There is no rush. Use a trade calculator if need be. My most important advice when it comes to trading is be mindful and smart. Don’t sell yourself short. It’s ok to decline or send a counter offer. It’s business 101 to reject the first offer. Just a personal opinion of mine.

Look, I’m not the end all be all for fantasy sports. Just a passionate guy who likes discussing all things fantasy. Just so happens I’m very interested in IDP content. Only reason I prefaced things this way is due to all the negative and negligent advice now-a-days on social media. Never a concern of mine seeing how if you’re reading this then you look upon fantasy sports as a fun hobby and don’t take it too serious!

Any questions or comments?

Did I miss something? Let’s talk about it!

If you missed it, here’s my 2020 Fantasy Stuffed Games list! https://www.dfscheatsheet.com/fantasy-stuffed-games-in-2020/nfl/07/

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Fantasy Football Morals and Motto

Fantasy Football Morals & Motto
5/8/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

It’s an odd time in professional sports. It’s also an odd time for fantasy sports. Constant rankings and mock drafts. I want to do nothing but read and write but how much is too much? In a way this time has been spent looking for unique content to publish.

It’s also been spent talking with readers and followers. Along with building relationships! Time is going to pass no matter how we choose to spend it. I choose to be positive and productive.

I’ve also spent my time taking notes and paying attention to everything on social media! There has been a ton of, “what if” or, “what would you do?” questions and polls. It sparked an idea in my mind! What if I created an article about fantasy football morals & mottos? I’m not the end all be all of fantasy sports! Just a guy looking to have fun and drum up some good conversations!

So in turn, I got together with the guys and we sat down to discuss the idea and come up with a list of our personal fantasy sports morals and mottos! In no particular order here is that list!

1. Waiver wire awareness! Don’t turn a blind eye to the importance of free agents.

2. Always get your guy!

3. Fantasy football is fun! If not, walk away!

4. Don’t listen to your league mate opinions, be good with your own decisions.

5. Never make fun or exploit bad trade offers. Learn from them and counter accordingly.

6. Always keep the lines of communication open.

7. “You win this trade” guy is always full of crap! If its so good then why don’t you keep him?

8. Never send a super low-ball offer thinking its a good starting point. Its fine to not send your best of final offer first but, if you send something so low its insulting. I rather just not deal with you on a trade.

9. If you agree to a league, show up to the draft! Its easy with technology and the resources with phones to make drafts anywhere. (Obviously some expectations to this rule).

10. For dynasty players, rookie fever is a real thing but don’t let it consume you. There’s a time to value rookies. Don’t over value them when offered legitimate pieces that are establish to help you win right away. The point of playing is to win right?!

11. If you have to explain to someone why the player you’re giving up is worth it in a trade, you’re not offering enough.

12. Never go into a draft with a predetermined order. Fixing yourself to go RB, WR, RB, RB, WR or anything along those lines is boxing you in.

13. Be cautious about moving parts. Favor players who haven’t changed teams or had other players mixed in.

14. Depth is important. It’s OK to fill bench spots before all of your starters are set. Better safe than sorry.

15. Mix safety with upside. Going with safe picks will give you a safe team. Diversify and take a few chances on players that could break out.

16. Never draft a player to trade. Draft the player that helps your team. Owners will tend to favor the players they drafted and not pay a proper price.

17. Always stick to your guns. Don’t be bullied when it comes to trading!

18. Always go young unless it’s a absolute necessity. (Like at the QB position).

19. Don’t put a lot of stock into tight ends, unless one of the top three falls in your lap.

20. Stock up on as many running backs as you can!

Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?

Did I miss someone? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Don’t forget to follow the crew!

David Reed https://twitter.com/Nfldraft_dwr

Ben Anderson https://twitter.com/bennieboy26

Ethan Cowlbeck https://twitter.com/DJ_Beck_