NBA Stars & Scrubs – 2/20/20

NBA Stars & Scrubs
Written by: DFS_Shepsheet
2/20/20

 

 

Draftkings Salaries are listed first Fanduel Salaries are listed second

NBA is finally back. We had a nice week off with an exciting All Star Weekend. Aaron Gordon was robbed again, and the All Star Game’s new format brought some great competition in the 4th quarter. Was great to see the players out there actually trying. We finished strong before the break, now lets keep this streak going. We haven’t received much news as to players being out, so as of right now, all the players are priced accordingly. We will need to stay focused on news to come if we get any at all.

Guards

Coby White (4,700) (4,600) – Kriss Dunn has missed the last few games for CHI, allowing for other guys to step in and step up. Coby White has definitely taken advantage of this. Coming off a 39 fpt performance, and 2 over 30 fpts in his last 3 games. He did have a dud in there of only 17 fpts when they faced PHI who are a very good defensive team. Tonight he has an easy matchup in CHA where he should be able to reach that 30 fpt mark again. CHA is ranked 26th in DEF rating, and they are allowing the 10th most fpts to the SG position. White plays at the SG position 70% of the time. At his price, 7x is not out of reach for this matchup.

Josh Richardson (4,200) (5,000) – The price difference is a little steep with JRich. Even though he only takes up 8% of salary on either site, 6x value may be a little tougher to reach on FD. I still think he is very much in play here tonight. After missing some time, his first few games back he seen limited minutes. In the last game before break, he seen his normal 30+ and went for 33 fpts facing a tough Clippers team. Tonight he is facing BKN. BKN is actually ranked 8th in the league in DEF rating. JRich is primarily a SG playing 91% from this position. The matchup here is pretty tough for him, BKN is allowing the 12th least amount of fpts to SGs. I think on Draftkings 6x will be much easier to reach than on FD, but can definitely get you there.

Duncan Robinson (4,900) (4,200) – If your playing on FD and you don’t want to go the JRich route… Duncan Robinson should be your pivot. The price difference here is the opposite. Draftkings has him priced much higher, he eats up 12% of Draftkings salary, but only 7% of Fanduel salary. Facing an ATL team allowing the most fpts in both the SG and SF positon. Robinson splits both these positions pretty evenly, playing both a little more than 40% of the time. My projection model currently has him projected at 31 fpts. Which is still 6x value on Draftkings, but a much better value for you on FD. He also is taking about 8 3 pointers a game. ATL is allowing the 6th most 3 pt attempts in the league. If his 3’s are falling tonight, could be in for a monster game. Other

Guards I like ( Eric Gordon, De’Aaron Fox, Damion Lee)

Forwards

Robert Covington (5,500) (6,000) – Since joining HOU, Covington has had some great games. 3 out of 6 he has reached over 33 fpts. Tonight he is facing the Warriors. Ranked the 6th worst DEF rating team in the league. DVP wise he has a middle of the pack matchup. The Warriors are allowing the 13th least amount of fpts to the PF position where Covington has played 100% of the time since joining the Rockets. My projection model currently has him projected at 35 fpts. Right around 6x value. With 2 algorithms I run, at the PF position he is currently ranked number 1 in one of the algorithms, and 2 in the other. So according to my algos I have him in the best spot out of all forwards tonight.

Shaq Harrison (3,000) (3,700) – Popping up everywhere as the highest pt/$ on the slate as of right now. With Chandler Hutchinson out, Shaw should see an expanded role tonight. At pretty much bare minimum price on FD and the bare minimum on DK, he is at a great value. Currently projected to see 25 mins, My projection model has him at an outstanding 10x value for DK tonight. Projected at 30 fpts. Facing CHA who is allowing the 14th most fpts to the SF position. He should be able to reach value at his price.

Other Forwards I like ( Jimmy Butler, Bogdan Bogdanovich, Bam Adebayo)

Centers

Joel Embiid (9,000) (9,600) – Centers vs BKN, need I say more? BKN is allowing the 4th most fpts to Cs on the year. With Embiids talent, he should be able to exploit this matchup and have a great night. He will most likely be the highest owned player on the slate due to this matchup.

Daniel Gafford (3,000) (3,700) – After missing some time before the break, Gafford is expected to be a full go for tonight. We seen Gafford price be up to close to 5k before his injury. Facing a CHA team allowing the 6th most fpts to Cs he in a great spot tonight. I don’t see how he doesn’t get you at least 6x value.

Other Centers I like (Marquese Chriss, Brook Lopez)