2020 NFL Mock Draft – Advantage with Rankings

2020 NFL Mock Drafts – Advantage with Rankings
3/31/20
Ethan Cowlbeck

The NFL off-season has been all we could possibly ask for. It is for this reason that we are extremely lucky; the concept of football being the most relevant sport at the end of March is completely unprecedented, so being able to witness the fireworks show of names like Brady, Gurley, Hopkins, and others being moved around is the best case scenario.

Buccaneers acquire Tom Brady in free agency from Patriots

I think this is a great time to take a step back and analyze any mistakes we made in the previous fantasy season, and take note of how to prevent ourselves from making the same mistakes next year. Often during the season, I think of general rules of thumb to remember for drafts in upcoming years; “Consider the quality of the team when assessing the correctness of an ADP”, “Don’t avoid player’s just because of injuries. Consider it case to case”, etc. These are a few of my biggest regrets, but feel free to use yours in their place.

Cooper Kupp returns from ACL tear to finish WR#4 in 2019

However, simple rules of thumb like these are mere tokens of experience. A much cloudier subject in the month or two leading up to kickoff is often how to value positional rankings. On a surface level, they’re super fun to make. Taking positions and having unique opinions on where to rank players is an enjoyable and exciting part of the game. Drafting is a completely different challenge though. The magic of fantasy football drafts is that you have to account and cover for all positions on your team at the same time as your league mates, and rankings are often hard to stick to in this regard.

Lamar Jackson will likely be the first QB off of the board, but how do you determine where to draft him?

There are two extremes of drafting strategies that will always fall short:

Strategy 1. The Robot: “I have a fixed order for how I draft my positions. RB, RB, WR, RB, WR, TE.”

Strategy 2. Gut Feeling: “(Insert player here) is still available, and I’ve got a gut feeling he’ll do well, so I’ll take him.” This process repeats every round

Strategy 1 is not the answer because there were likely one or more very good players that were passed up on in order to comply with the drafter’s set order, and strategy 2 misses the mark because it involves assuming a player might have a good year instead of taking a player who is trustworthy and almost certainly will have a good year. My goal is to determine a way to draft that is guided by a process but still involves human decision.

The reason that ranking players and drafting solely off of those rankings doesn’t work is because ADP is not factored in. Drafting is a chess match between you and your league mates to see who can get the best players they want as late in the draft as possible. This is why you would benefit from ranking players two different ways. The first way is the standard method of ranking. Head to head, starting at the best, and working down with what’s left. These will obviously change as news about teams and players come out leading up to the draft, but that is to be expected.

Joe Mixon severely under performed relative to his mid-second round ADP

The second way is where ADP comes into play. Look at players and their average draft positions and color code their value. Green if you would draft them way ahead of their position, blue if their value matches their ADP, and red if you think they’re overvalued. In 2019 fantasy drafts, Todd Gurley was drafted frequently at the beginning of the second round. Many (myself included) thought this was much too high considering the arthritis in his knees. However, even if a player is overvalued at their ADP, there still comes a point where you would draft them. In one of my drafts, Gurley fell to the back of the third round in a 10 man PPR. While it was unsettling, I took him.

So how does this process look all put together? The first round is pretty simple. Most people have a hierarchy of players they will take, and base their following rounds on what they already have and what’s left. For those following rounds, Look for the players you have ranked highest on your head to head rankings, and of the high-ranking players, see which ones are color coded with the most green while addressing positional needs on your team. Draft prep like this prevents you from boxing yourself into set rules and giving you the freedom to draft how you choose, while eliminating the stress and panic of picking and drafting on the fly.

Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?

Did I miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie?

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Check out Ethans other work here https://www.dfscheatsheet.com/2020-mid-round-mock-madness-rounds-5-8/nfl/03/

2020 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (Round 1)

2020 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (Round 1)
3/29/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Football is upon us! In terms of drafting the content is a little early. The big names have already built projections and published books and magazines. Being early is not a bad thing. If you’re like me too much content isn’t a thing. Given the current situation across the county mock drafting and fantasy football discussions are needed!

Normally the fun leading up to the fantasy football draft season is talk of the top 10. Or who is the consensus number one. This season it’s quiet clear. Right?

What sets fantasy football aside for me is all the strategy that goes in. Some owners like crafty veterans while others want all rookies. There is no right way! It’s your team! You’re able to build it how you want!

I’m asking you all now to please get involved in a dynasty start up. I’m not trying to push my ideals on anyone but I promise you’ll thank me later! Fantasy football is a 365 24/7 kind of commitment!

We all find our own way in terms of fantasy sports. There is no wrong way! Build how you want and build to maximize your enjoyment.

I’m going to get into a mock draft series and publish the results! 12 team, full PPR scoring. Also six points per passing touchdown. I’m in a unique position to set the rules as I see fit. Lets get right into it!

ROUND 1

Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffery

1. Christian McCaffrey RB-Carolina Panthers

CMC is the clear cut #1 choice this season. He is durable and the best dual threat RB we’ve seen in a long time. He rarely missed time and Carolina gives this kid as much as he can handle! Is it crazy to think he has a better 2020 then 2019? CMC finished 150 points ahead of all other RB’s. That why I feel stupid asking, can he produce more? McCaffrey is lights out!

New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas

2. Michael Thomas WR-New Orleans Saints

Given the scoring rules, MT is a monster in PPR formats. Any format really! Drew Brees is back for another season in NO so why would the production drop? Thomas set an NFL record with 149 receptions for 1,725 yards and 9 touchdowns. Sometimes these quick bios write themselves!

New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley

3. Saquon Barkley RB-New York Giants

One of the only guys who can give CMC a run for his money. The Giants are improving and I’d expect Saquon to improve as well. I firmly believe we haven’t seen what Barkley can truly do.

Arizona Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins

4. DeAndre Hopkins WR-Arizona Cardinals

In a shocking wave of events Hopkins was traded to Arizona. Did any of you think that was going to hurt his value? No way. Not a chance. Hopkins is safe pick and will ALWAYS produce. Personally moving from Watson to Murray may look like a little downgrade. As Murray gains more experience and the Cardinals find their groove this combo can and will explode.

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry

5. Derrick Henry RB-Tennessee Titans

King Henry! The 2019 rushing champion. Derrick had a phenomenal playoff run last season. This kid is a monster and will continue racking up yards and touchdowns. Doesn’t catch many passes but what does that matter when you’re running for 100+ yards each week?

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliot

6. Ezekiel Elliot RB-Dallas Cowboys

You either love Dallas or you hate them. For fantasy purposes you have to put that nonsense aside! Zeke had a great 2019 and why would that change in 2020? 1,200+ yards with 10+ touchdowns is his 2020 outlook. That’s top 10 talent to me!

Green Bay Packers WR Davante Adams

7. Davante Adams WR-Green Bay Packers

Adams is a top 3 wide receiver. Injuries have held him back and hampered his climb to a top 5 draft day selection. I firmly believe he’s in the mix as a top 5 selection. I’ve also heard rumblings from fantasy players doubting his skill set and production. Don’t let Adams slide too far in your draft. He’s a stud!

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson

8. Lamar Jackson QB-Baltimore Ravens

I hate that a QB has found their way into the top 10 of my mock. I’m a, “NO QB in the first round” kind of guy! In this case I think we can all make an exception! Lamar gives you QB and RB in one deal! I will tell you now and we can move on, I didn’t think he was going to be this special coming out of college.

New Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara

9. Alvin Kamara RB-New Orleans Saints

This time last season how many of you were debating Alvin, CMC or Saquon as the number one pick? How many of you chose Kamara? Was a costly mistake. He didn’t look good much of the 2019 season. Come to find out he was dealing with a leg injury. Now 2020 draft Alvin in the top 10 and watch him rebound!

Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill

10. Tyreek Hill WR-Kansas City Chiefs

Tyreek is a bad man and a dangerous wide receiver. His QB is this kid named Patrick Mahomes. This combo can and will yield amazing results. I don’t have to sell you on Hill just wanted to add my two cents.

Minnesota Vikings RB Dalvin Cook

11. Dalvin Cook RB-Minnesota Vikings

Look, I’m a big fan of Cook and what can do. To me, you have to hit a home run with your first round selection. My only concern is injuries. In a perfect world if we could be assured of an injury free season, Cook would be a top 7 guy.

Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones

12. Julio Jones WR-Atlanta Falcons

I had this weird thought of a decline in production for Julio in 2020. What’s been the biggest knock on Jones? He doesn’t score enough touchdowns! Jones can still help your team in other ways. Catches and yards! Julio plays have his games indoors on turf in ATL, don’t be fooled, Julio Jones is still a top notch draft selection!

That’s it for round 1!

Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?

Did I miss someone? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Hang here for Round 2 this evening! What would your round 1 look like?

How about round 2? Let me know in the comments!

2020 Fantasy Football Rankings (QB)

2020 Fantasy Football Rankings (QB)
3/28/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

It’s always fun to talk fantasy football! Ranking players is even better! Every new season is clean slate filled with hope. Do you get that warm and fuzzy feeling this time of year?

Me and the boys sat down and wanted to personally rank the top 10 players at each position! We all get along pretty well so it was a piece of cake! All these thoughts and rankings are coming from a group of regular men who just enjoy fantasy football!

Photo courtesy of sbnation.com

Our positional rankings are based on a 1 point per reception (PPR) scoring format. Sit back, relax and dig into our rankings!

PlayerTeamPositionKJ Baker
Lamar JacksonBaltimoreQB1
Patrick MahomesKansas CityQB2
Russell WilsonSeattleQB3
Deshaun WatsonHoustonQB4
Kyler MurrayArizonaQB5
Dak PrescottDallasQB6
Josh AllenBuffaloQB7
Matt RyanAtlantaQB8
Aaron RodgersGreen BayQB9
Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburghQB10
PlayerTeamPositionSam Huff
Lamar JacksonBaltimoreQB1
Patrick MahonesKansas CityQB2
Russell WilsonSeattleQB3
Kyler MurrayArizonaQB4
Dak PrescottDallasQB5
Deshaun WatsonHoustonQB6
Josh AllenBuffaloQB7
Matt RyanAtlantaQB8
Aaron RodgersGreen BayQB9
Drew BreesNew OrleansQB10

#1 and #2 are there for obvious reasons. Kyler Murray has a loaded WR room giving him a huge upside for 2020. With the resigning of Amari Cooper, that gives Dak Prescott his WR1 back from 2019 where they tallied for close to 1,200 yards and 8 touchdowns as a duo. The Falcons add Todd Gurley who, when healthy, can be seen catching out of the backfield for close to 500 yards alongside the likes of Julio Jones, Ridley, and Hayden Hurst. With a new deal in place and the addition of Emmanuel Sanders, Drew Brees has a pretty steady three headed monster of targets in Thomas, Kamara & Sanders. – Sam Huff

PlayerTeamPositionDavid Reed
Lamar JacksonBaltimoreQB1
Patrick MahomesKansas CityQB2
Russel WilsonSeattleQB3
Dak PrescotDallasQB4
Kyler MurrayArizonaQB5
Josh AllenBuffaloQB6
Deshaun WatsonHoustonQB7
Aaron RodgersGreen BayQB8
Matt RyanAtlantaQB9
Tom BradyTampa BayQB10
PlayerTeamPositionChris Robin
Patrick MahomesKansas CityQB1
Lamar JacksonBaltimoreQB2
Kyler MurrayArizonaQB3
Russel WilsonSeattleQB4
Dak PrescottDallasQB5
Deshaun WatsonHoustonQB6
Matt RyanAtlantaQB7
Josh AllenBuffaloQB8
Aaron RodgersGreen BayQB9
Ryan TannehillTennesseeQB10

Any questions or comments? Leave one here or find us at DFScheatsheet.com

If you’d like to chat with any of us personally find us on Twitter!

KJ Baker https://twitter.com/bIessed_mma

Sam Huff https://twitter.com/_samhuff

David Reed https://twitter.com/Nfldraft_dwr

Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Hang here for our next group of rankings! Our top 10 running backs are next!