We’re on the verge of a new season! The post-season!
Balance? Ever heard of it? Well, it takes me longer to find it compared to others but in doing so, you’ll learn a lot about yourself along the way. I learned two things. I’m afraid of failing and I’m afraid of success. It’s an odd scenario right? It’s either one or the other I told myself. Few months back I had to take an honest look at myself.
What’s the opposite of fear? Took me months to figure it out. So while soul searching I asked myself a few questions…
What is my purpose? What is my calling? What am I passionate about?
After taking an honest hard look at myself I came to one conclusion. I just need to have hope. Faith is the opposite of fear! With some some faith in my life, those questions become meaningless. The only piece of the puzzle I need is hope and the rest will come!
That’s what every DFS fan has to start each new slate! Hope and faith that this roster is the one to hit big! Now multiple that by a million to start a completely different sport! With that comes a new attitude and a new commitment for knowledge.
The playoffs are odd. The playoffs are exciting. In some cases, they go exactly as planned. Yet they are completely off the wall. It’s time! Let’s dig into the Super Duper Wild Card weekend!
Mitchell Trubisky CHI @ NO (8th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,300)
Mitch has had a good run for the Bears this season. He was the starter then Nick Foles then back to starting QB. The Bears have snuck into the playoffs as a Wild Card. On Sunday they travel to New Orleans and no one is really expecting much from them.
Philip Rivers IND @ BUF (13th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,400)
Phil has done just enough to get the Colts into the playoffs. Let us be honest, rookie RB Jonathan Taylor has played a huge role in the Colts successful season. The Buffalo Bills are steamrolling people which is a positive for Phil here. Likely playing from behind and forced to throw is a great move for Phil. He has always been a slinger. That is where he is most comfortable!
The Cleveland Browns are in the playoffs! What? This game should be a hard-hitting slobber knocker. Sorry my old WWF roots come out in the most inopportune times. Cleveland and Baker are in for one heck of a fight on Sunday. This contest is going to be competitive down to the last snap.
Alex Smith WSH vs TB (16th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,100)
Is the Washington Football Team a feel-good story this season? I know Alex Smith playing is! This game is going to be closer than people expect! The dink and dunk style of Smith should play well at home against Tampa.
Cam Akers LAR @ SEA (15th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,100)
Cam active in week 17 but did not do much. 21 carries for 34 yards. If we do the math that is a 1.6 ypc (yards per carry) clip. Not good! Yet on Saturday this kid should have a lot more room to run. He is elusive. He is electric and coach McVay has no issue giving him a large workload.
Kareem Hunt CLE @ PIT (3rd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,800)
I am not an NFL coach. Do not think it takes an NFL coach to see what Cleveland must do to win on Sunday. Hammer home running the ball. Nick Chubb has been outstanding running the ball all season. While Hunt is just around to assist. If Cleveland can work in Hunt a successful day can be had.
Gus Edwards BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,400)
Gus has become the RB2 behind rookie RB Dobbins. Gus has totaled 36 carries in his last three games. Meaning, a 10+ carry day is on tap Sunday in Tennessee. The Titans are a formidable foe, but they give up 26.93 points a game along with an average of 104.5 rushing yards a contest.
Nyheim Hines IND @ BUF (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,700)
Right now, for the Colts it is the JT show. Yet Hines lead the team in receptions, receiving yards and targets in week 17. If the Colts want any chance at upsetting the red-hot Bills they must be firing on all cylinders. Could Hines be the key to unlocking that?
Zack Moss BUF vs IND (11th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,600)
Moss is no stranger to Bottom of the Barrel. It is no secret Moss and Singletary have basically been used in tandem all season. Let us not overreact to Zack’s minimal usage in week 17. Looks like it was just a rest and relaxation type of thing. I am going out a limb here to say that Moss will see a heavy uptick in usage on Saturday. At the price it is something we cannot gloss over.
J.D. McKissic WSH vs TB (4th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,800)
I do not have any kids, but I have always heard about parents saying they have no favorites. Well, McKissic is a favorite of mine! JD finished the season with 80 total receptions and should be on your radar Saturday night. Tampa Bay is 4th overall against opposing RB but with McKissic catching passes that would mean he is more of a WR. Tampa is 19th overall vs WR’s.
Latavius Murray NO vs CHI (10th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,500)
Murray did not play in week 17. Alvin was out too. Both with in close contact to COVID. Both New Orleans Saints RB are eligible to return after ten days. Sunday the 10th is exactly ten days. They will need to pass several tests including a cardiac screening prior to kick-off. It is an issue worth monitoring.
Mark Ingram II BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,000)
Rookie running back JK Dobbins has matured and become the Ravens RB1 faster than expected. We all saw this coming! Yet something tells me Baltimore will give Mark some carries in this one! The ole crafty veteran RB in the playoffs is indispensable right?
Benny Snell Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,200)
We do not normally put players down and throw people under the bus here at Bottom of the Barrel, but James Connor is not it. James had another slow and quite week. While Steeler head coach Mike Tomlin did say how he wanted to get Snell more involved. Well, that has not happened yet. Pittsburgh is primed and ready to roll in the playoffs but what is their identity? I have a sneaking suspicion Benny rips off one heck of a game Sunday.
Alex Collins SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
Football is a funny sport. DFS is even more wacky! A 26-year-old running back like Collins get a crack at carrying the ball this season after some injuries and illnesses and here we are! Limited carries (2,11 and 5) yet back-to-back games with a touchdown. There is little to no upside here. More like an educated punt play.
Rashaad Penny SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
This is the NFL Playoffs it is not wise to punt or stray too far from the studs. That is exactly what losing DFS players will tell you. A few quick searches and you will see Penny has taken on a larger role each week since his return. Penny makes for a nice compliment this weekend at home vs the Rams.
Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)
What are the chances rookie RB McFarland Jr. getting any amount of substantial work Sunday night? Not high! Not likely! On the off-chance Tomlin switches gears mid-game then there is no reason to roster Anthony.
Chase Claypool PIT vs CLE (24th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,200)
We have all heard social media telling us it is tough to choose what PIT WR will go off week-to-week. Yet the targets for Claypool have been steady! His last four games the targets are as follows; 6, 8, 6 and 11. Chase will get a rematch vs the Cleveland Browns on Sunday night and I could not be more excited!
Darnell Mooney CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)
Mooney has had a fantastic rookie year. Capping off his 2020 season catching 11 of 13 targets for 93 yards. More importantly, Sunday in New Orleans, the Chicago Bears will need to keep pace with Brees and the loaded Saints offense.
Zach Pascal IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,700)
No one has mentioned Zach and his last three games. Ten receptions and three touchdowns. Sometimes DFS is about the match-up more than the actual player. I know, it sounds silly but that is what we have here for Pascal. Buffalo should hang 30+ points in this one forcing Phil and Pascal to be heavily involved.
Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,500)
Pittman Jr. has ridden the rookie WR wave in terms of production, but the talent is there! The same could be said for Pittman as stated for Pascal. It is no secret, but I am going to be stacking Colts this weekend.
Gabriel Davis BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,000)
Now we are talking! Davis has seen four or more targets in Buffalo’s last six games. You will want any and all pieces of this offense you can get your hands-on Saturday.
Miles Boykin BAL @ TEN (31st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,400)
Boykin is not going to pile up PPR points, but he seems to be good for at least one or two deep routes a game.
Cordarrelle Patterson CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,000)
Patterson has been a fantastic real-life player for Chicago all season. He sees a mix of receptions, running routes, carrying the football and even special team’s work. His snap count has diminished a touch but again Chicago finds themselves in a touch spot on Sunday in New Orleans.
Isaiah McKenzie BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,300)
Speaking of underappreciated dart throws, Isaiah McKenzie! In the absence of Cole Beasley McKenzie saw work from the slot. Last I checked Beasley is still day-to-day. Will he play? Won’t he play? I am not one to wait around, so I am locking in Isaiah this weekend.
Cam Sims WSH vs TB (19th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,900)
Cam has really come on strong as of late. To the tune of 19 receptions his last five games. Sims is by no means a world beater or stud WR, yet, but he is earned a larger role moving forward. No time like the present! Wild Card weekend!
Marquez Callaway NO vs CHI (8th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,100)
The Saints have dealt with offensive injuries all season. Opening some sort of work for Callaway. He is seen back-to-back four target games and his pricing on both sites is perfect!
Cole Kmet CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,000)
Cole has been learning and growing in this offense all season. Kmet has tallied 22 total targets the last four weeks. The Saints are not all that good against opposing TE’s. It is a perfect storm on Sunday afternoon.
Jonnu Smith TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,200)
Jonnu has flamed out. Started out strong and just flopped. Large in part to an injury. Yet at this time of the season in DFS we need to build the best possible lines. By now hopefully you are aware of my propensity to punt tight ends. The upside for Jonnu is too high to pass.
Jimmy Graham CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,300)
Revenge game? Look, sometimes we must cling to anything and everything positive. Jimmy has not played for New Orleans since 2014. Jimmy has scored eight touchdowns this season. Not to mention two multi-TD games. It is Wild Card weekend! Let us get wild! Would we dare stack Chicago tight ends?
Dawson Knox BUF vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,200)
Social media has talked down about Knox. Let us not make him a thing to be specific. While I understand, I do not agree. This Buffalo Bills offense is high powered and certain players get lost in the shuffle. There should be no issue taking a flier on Knox Saturday.
Jacob Hollister SEA vs LAR (16th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$2,700)
At this stage of the article what more can we say? The positive here, Hollister has scored a touchdown in back-to-back weeks! This game is going to be tight. Separated by three or four points.
Jack Doyle IND @ BUF (30th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,900)
The Colts have several passable players at tight end. Trey Burton and Mo Al-Cox to be specific. Yet I passionately believe Doyle is the guy the lean on at the position in Buffalo on Saturday.
Again, nothing fancy just a punt-able play with upside this week at tight end. Playoff Gronk and playoff Brady are a thing to behold! Who is to say Brate cannot see a little action?
Vance McDonald PIT vs CLE (25th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$4,500)
Only mentioning Vance in the case Eric Ebron is still out on the COVID-IR for Sunday nights game. If that is the case, then let us give McDonald a shot.
Anthony Firkser TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,700)
If you have an issue with Jonnu then let us turn our attention to Firkser! Did Jonnu screw you over in your seasonal leagues? Have a negative interaction with him? Then Firkser is your tight end! BAL @ TEN has the highest o/u of the weekend. Sitting at 54 total points. I am easy to please, so this sways it for me!
Lee Smith BAL vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,200)(DK-$2,500)
I am not trying to fool anyone here. Lee is 100% in Bottom of the Barrel because of his week 16 performance. At least we now know the Bills have some sort of room for him on the field!
Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for Super Wild Card Weekend! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/9/21! Also Sunday morning 1/10/21!
Look for some updated lines for the Saturday only and Sunday only slates too!
The fantasy football community is special. It’s supportive, positive and even helpful. Along the way certain people stick out. There are thousands of interactions a week. Sometimes hundreds in a day. The willingness to help others is what I find beautiful. In recent months Samuel Gebhart reached out and asked how he could be of assistance. A selfless act by a man who wanted to get involved. In turn, Samuel is now our graphics guy! After some time he got the itch. The itch to write! So editing and publishing his first article was the least we could do! Thank you Samuel. We appreciate your hard work.
Fantasy Football season playoffs are rapidly approaching, and with the trade deadline come and gone in most formats you’re probably trying to evaluate if you got what it takes to make a run for the title. Or maybe you’re headed for the toilet bowl title! Who knows, but if you’re like me, you have at least one or two leagues in contention. Below you’ll find your league-winner guys with the best playoff outlooks. Players who are going to get you through the gauntlet. This article pertains to weeks 14,15 and week 16 match-ups, and will not include bonafide stud’s like Patrick Mahomes, or Dalvin Cook. If for whatever reason you have them and are not sure if you should start them or not, you’re probably not in playoff contention anyways.
Josh Allen (PIT / DEN / NE)
I know I said, “No Stud’s”. But for the first time in a long time, the AFC East looks competitive again! Despite Buffalo’s tough week 14 matchup against the league best Pittsburg Steelers, The Bills seem primed for their first division title in 25 years. Fortunately for Josh Allen fantasy owners, the 2 final rounds of playoffs (Denver and New England) really offer a chance for the 3rd year star to shine as he continues to fight for Buffalo’s 2nd straight playoff appearance. As it stands now, Allen is currently the No.2 QB overall and is on track to throw for 4500 yards with a game average of roughly 280 passing yards. Now sitting at 7-3, Josh Allen and co. do not seem to be deterred one bit by the 5th hardest schedule in the league. Fantasy owners should continue to set-and-forget Allen come playoff time, especially in the final 2 weeks when he faces The Broncos and fellow division rival The Patriots, who both allow more than 220 pass yards a game on average.
Tom Brady ( MIN / ATL / DET)
If the last 20 years have taught us anything, it’s that nothing is scarier than Tom Brady coming back for blood. Newly dubbed “Tampa Brady” continues to raise the bar at the age of 43 week-in and week-out. Currently sitting happily as the #6 QB overall, Brady is in the running for what would be his 4th league MVP award. And it only gets easier from here. Tampa Bay Buccaneers have put together arguably one of the scariest receiver corps the league has seen in the Superbowl era. Whether or not you believe it is besides the point. With the Greatest quarterback of all time under center, Brady fantasy owners (especially those with a QB + WR stack) should feel safe knowing that Week 14,15, and 16 are all against bottom 10 ranked pass defenses.
Jared Goff ( NE / NYJ / SEA )
Sean McVay and the Rams have really been through the gauntlet the first half of the season. In large part, they have their defense to thank for still being in the fight for a division title. Nevertheless, things start to simmer down on the offensive side of the ball on the back end of the season. Most of their match-ups feature opposing teams with powerhouse offenses that make up for defensive inefficiencies. To make up ground, and to compensate for their committee running back corps, expect Goff to throw the ball more frequently and for more pass yards almost effortlessly against the win-less Jets, and the 32nd ranked Seattle Seahawks pass Defense who have allowed a Top 10 QB rating 6 of the first 9 games.
Three other quarterbacks to consider!
Aaron Rodgers ( DET / CAR / TEN)
Ben Roethlisberger ( BUF / CIN / IND )
Ryan Tannehill ( JAX / DET / GB)
David Montgomery ( HOU / MIN / JAX)
Unfortunately for 2nd year starter, 2020 has (So far) been a year to forget so-to-speak. Through the first 10 weeks, David Montgomery has yet to break 500 yards on the season and currently has only 1 TD under his belt, routinely aggravating fantasy owner’s nationwide. It is tough rationalizing throwing him into the RB1 spot in any league format. However… Futures are bright for the young back as he continues to lead the backfield of arguably the most dysfunctional QB room in the league. Bears offense should continue to check-down to Monte as well as pass it off, especially during the 3 Fantasy playoff match-ups where game scripts will lean on the run heavily. Between Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, 29 rushing TD’s have been allowed through the first 10 weeks, and all 3 rank in the bottom 10 for rush defense routinely allowing top 10 running back performances to opposing teams.
Joe Mixon ( DAL / PIT / HOU )
Not unlike David Montgomery, Mixon has left fantasy owners frustrated. Especially after coming off his 2nd 1100+ yard season. Expectations were high for him considering he has entered his contract year, but the usually cautious Bengals offense continues to struggle moving the ball down the field. However, also not unlike Monte, Joe Mixon has some favorable fantasy playoff match-ups and owners should be able to relax knowing he will surely continue to pick up speed much like previous seasons wherein he started off slow. Prior to his foot injury, Mixon averaged 20 attempts a game, 8 more than interim starter Giovani Bernard’s average. Providing he is good to go, Mixon should retain high-end RB2 value headed into weeks 14-16 against the 8th easiest opponents for fantasy RB’s.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire ( MIA / NO / ATL )
Andy Reid and Veach probably didn’t plan on starting Clyde that much this year at all when they drafted him, but after unexpected circumstances forced their hand, it was a welcome surprise to see him fall into place so effortlessly. As if any running back in Andy Reid’s system hasn’t before. The Rookie out of LSU currently sits in the top 15 running back rankings and should be heavily leaned on as the chiefs effortlessly roll through these last few weeks to what they hope will be their 3rd first round bye week in a row. Providing he isn’t still nursing any lingering injuries; Clyde should be a solid RB2 based on his touches alone through the playoffs against a stout Miami and New Orleans Defense. Fantasy owners who make it to the championship game should expect a potential game-winning bounce back game against an Atlanta Defense that currently ranks 31st in average points-against per game.
Ronald Jones (Min / ATL / DET )
Kenyan Drake ( NYG /PHI / SF )
D’Andre Swift ( GB / TEN / TB )
Tyler Lockett ( NYJ / WAS / LAR )
If inconsistency and Tyler Lockett do not go together best than I’m not sure what does. At least from a fantasy perspective, he always seems to be in the top 5 argument one week and is irrelevant the next. Maybe Russel just spreads the ball by weeks. Who Knows? What we DO know, is despite the Megatron-like DK Metcalf’s dominance, sometimes Defenses figure him out. Take week 10 against division rival the LA Rams as an example. DK was held to 2 receptions and less than 30 total yards. Guess who subsequently had a pretty fair game? Yeah.. And it only gets better from here. First facing the Jets in Week 14, and 2 stout defenses in week 15, and 16, expect Lockett to be leaned on more as defensive backfields continue to attempt to contain DK in these fiery match-ups as Seattle hunts for another division title in arguably the most competitive division in the league.
Allen Robinson II ( HOU / MIN / JAX )
Within the mess of things that is the Chicago Offense lies Allen Robinson who continues to prove himself. Few receivers can experience drastic shifts in QB play and maintain the level of play Robinson has. Now with Mitch Trubisky back in the mix, it appears as if the pro bowl wide out should continue to maximize his potential. Especially after falling from 5-1 to 5-6, expect Trubisky to work hard to not only secure a chance at a wild card birth but also keep his job.
Brandin Cooks: ( CHI /IND / CIN )
In less than 1 week from what might be the greatest performance of his Career, Texans WR1 Will Fuller received a suspension for the remainder of the season on abuse of the NFL’s policy on PED’s. Furthermore, the day before this news broke, it was announced that veteran wide receiver Kenny Stills had been released. Now, defacto WR1 Brandin Cooks looks to receive a substantial number of vacated targets from Deshaun Watson who has been stunning teams across the league this last half of the season. Too bad for Houston fans it took this long. Now sitting 3rd in the AFC South at 4-7, its hard to imagine any chance the Texans making the playoffs still remains. But that does not deter Deshaun and the rejuvenated offense as he continues to offer crowd pleasing performances and remain one of the most consistent QB’s in the league who’s averaged 291 yards and 2.5 passing TD’s A GAME. Despite the match-ups, Brandin Cooks’ floor is now high enough that he should be safe to stream for the rest of season as a WR2 with a lot of upside.
A.J. Brown ( JAX / DET / GB )
Jarvis Landry ( BAL / NYG / NYJ )
Terry McLaurin (SF / SEA / CAR )
Darren Waller: ( IND / LAC / MIA )
Most TE’s are fairly interchangeable. Everyone has their week on any given Sunday but generally speaking no one really becomes a regular rest of season set-and-forget type guy outside of the top 5 or 6 TE’s. Waller, however, is one of those guys who has broken that threshold. Unfortunately, The Raiders have experienced a variety of difficulties recently, including an abundance of offensive turnovers. His fantasy playoff match-ups are not particularly great either. But at the end of the day, all things considered, when Carr is in a pinch and the run game is struggling, Waller is one of his go-to check down targets. So, in terms of Tight End’s, Waller can be trusted to put up modest but useful numbers in these few games as he has throughout the season despite what the match-up might look like. Providing the turnover problem is resolved, Darren Waller’s high snap count and target rate is reassuring that he usually isn’t a Touchdown dependent fantasy asset. Although it does help.
Hunter Henry: ( ATL / LV / DEN )
Much Like Darren Waller, Hunter Henry sees a large snap count and target percentage. Even when Phillip Rivers was at the helm, Henry has always maintained a pivotal role in the offense being one of the most versatile players on the team. His ability to run routes, block, and catch makes him a true Swiss army knife. Unfortunately, he has only eclipsed more than 50 yards twice on the season, but lucky for his fantasy owners he is currently on a streak of 3 straight weeks with double digit scores as he continues to be one of Justin Herbert favorite check down targets. Henry will keep up the momentum as he wraps up a huge contract year on a franchise tag thanks to the new rookie sensation QB1 Justin Herbert.
When’s the last time a sequel was better then the original? When you enter into trilogy territory that’s when you know you’ve got a hit!
Star Wars, Lord of the Rings, The Godfather, Back to the Future and The Mighty Ducks are all on the list of greatest movie combos ever. If you’re into 1980’s horror slasher flicks like me, then a trilogy has a greater meaning! Halloween, Friday the 13th and Nightmare on Elm Street.
I’ve always antiquated football with the fall. The fall with horror movies. I Hate Fantasy Football Players deserved a third part thus, making it a trilogy. When discussing horror movie trilogies there are a few rules to discuss.
1. Sex = Death 2. Don’t drink and do drugs 3. Never say “I’ll be right back!” 4. Sequels are always bigger and bloodier 5. Sequel killers are basically superhuman 6. Anyone can die in a sequel
On social media you see everything! On social media anything goes. I look at fantasy football on Twitter and Facebook as being in an actual horror movie! The owners listed below are the same as a masked man carrying a large knife! They will chase you down, cause anxiety and murder your fantasy football joy!
1. Glad it’s a free league guy
I’m no big shot. I truly understand the excitement of drafting and building a team. Certain website allow you to draft at an instant. In turn you get people racking up 20-25+ free leagues and deserting most of them by week 3. Not to be rude but that’s none of my business. What is our business are all the preposterous trade offer screen shots littering social media. I don’t know about you but it tests my patience. Would you send and accept half the offers you receive if your current home league was free?
2. “Thoughts” guy
Literally the worst! From what I’ve seen a lot of fantasy football groups on social media have banned this exact statement! Made this trade, thoughts? Most of these questions don’t include league size, scoring format or current roster. At this point in the article hopefully you’re upset. Just as pissed as I am! Please dear Lord don’t be thoughts guy! It’s lazy and upsets people! Most of the time there is a huge fight in the comment section. People get upset and they answer with a smartass reply. That leads to more smartass comments and before you know it there’s a full blown Royal Rumble going on.
3. Will I win guy?
If you have to ask probably not. Before we jump to conclusions I do get the idea. Some of us are wound tight. We get nervous. We want others to back us up. In all my years of playing fantasy football I’ve never seen anything good come from this question. In today’s day and age of social media you’ll always wind getting made fun of and/or put down. Trolls right? They are everywhere!
4. Get back in 5 guy
We all know what this is. The blow off move. When another team owner is scared or doesn’t want to hurt your feelings, “I’ll be right baaaaaaack!” No you won’t!
5. Over thinking guy
Hopefully by now you understand I’m not putting anybody down. Heck, I’ve done each and every one of these! Over thinking anything is just a by product of being thorough. Wanting to be absolutely right in every way. Which as you know is impossible! If it seems too good to be true it usually is. If it feels off and not right it usually is. With fantasy sports so prevalent on social media now a days a quick poll should do the trick. Or a quick message to your most trusted friend. Nothing good comes from over thinking. It creates unwanted stress and anxiety. The whole point of this is fun! Connecting with others. Building relationships with others. Make a decision and stick with it! Easier said then done I know but just try it this week! Lets see what happens.
6. Toilet tinkered guy
Some of my best work is done on the toilet! Not bring crass or rude, it’s just the truth! We can tinker with our seasonal lineups and our DFS lines and both are deadly! Everybody has a smart phone. Meaning we have everything at our finger tips at a moments notice! Games, banking apps, news apps, sports apps and our fantasy sports apps. Oh! What better time to check the waiver wire while we have a few moments alone on the toilet right? I set my seasonal lineup Sunday night or Monday morning for the following week. I check back Tuesday to get in my waiver claims. Wednesday morning I shuffle my roster around and leave it be! Sunday morning I check the news and injuries and give it one last look over before lock at 1p EST. My point, if we make our decisions early in the week they come from a place of confidence! A gut reaction that is normally right and spot on! When it comes to DFS enter enter all week then edit right before lock. Tinkering will be the death of your team. Unless that’s the fun?
7. Victory lap guy
This is a huge topic of discussion on social media. For those of you who don’t know let me briefly explain. A victory lap is just a told you so. A parade thrown for yourself after getting a certain projection or ranking correct. For example, “Ahhhh I told you Ke’Shawn Vaughn wasn’t a top-10 dynasty rookie RB!”. Vaughn has been in street clothes so far this season meaning the victory lappers have decided enough time has passed to solidify their stance on him. I’m being objective here! No opinion one way or another. Just shining light on the topic. Most recently victory lappers will now ask ahead of time. For example, “May I take my victory lap on Brandin Cooks now?” which is very thoughtful and we all appreciate you! In some cases the victory lapper will lay out their plans, “If Julian Edleman doesn’t catch 10 passes today I’m going to take my victory lap.” Another nice and thoughtful idea. I’ve also noticed their have been a few rules placed on victory lapping. To me, the most important one, the injury victory lap. Don’t victory lap when a player gets hurt. That’s in poor taste right? Overall I find the victory lap very perplexing.
8. Inappropriate group chat guy
We all know this guy. Most of the time we tell each other, “Oh don’t mind Steve he’s a miserable human being to begin with!” Steve is always sending awful meme’s or sexually explicit photos/videos in you leagues group chat. In certain cases that’s all he’s known for. We even stick up for him in advance of said meme’s and gif’s. “I want to warn you Chris, Steve is a little off and he says weird things sometimes.” It helps soften the blow. If you’re reading this and laughing hysterically saying, “dang that’s funny but we don’t have a guy like Steve in our group chat!” Then you’re Steve! You’re the inappropriate group chat guy! Never change Steve!
9. Neglects an entire position guy
This one is exactly what you think it is! Zero RB guy! Or zero WR guy. Let’s fool around during the draft and try to outsmart everybody else! In the end it never works out well. Let’s say over the years a team was orphaned in your league. New owner comes in and trades most of the talent away. In turn, they have Julio Jones, Davante Adams and Michael Thomas at WR. Pretty sweet right? Until you notice their starting RB’s are Frank Gore and LeSean McCoy. A top heavy team that never really competes due to neglect at one position. Again, it’s none of my business how you run your team. That’s the beauty of this! We’re our own teams general manager! Just bringing awareness.
10. Commish with no plan guy
Full disclosure, I was struggling with the last, “Guy” on this list. Ten is just a nice round number. When have you read a list that ended with nine. After the breaking news Cam Newton tested positive for COVID-19 and the New England at Kansas City was delayed a lot of fantasy managers were scrambling for replacements. Even more so after the postponement of Pittsburgh at Tennessee. Throughout the weekend I’ve seen a ton of advice and overall disappointment in leagues commissioners. Rightfully so if you’re now left holding you hat with an incomplete roster. We all knew this 2020 NFL season was going to be unlike any season we’ve experienced before. Certain votes were cast before the draft and some after. Any way you slice it we need contingency plans. Anything! To sit back and do nothing isn’t fair. It’s not right to us and all fantasy managers alike.
Hope you had fun! Is the idea now dead? Like Michael Myers at the end of Halloween? Who knows! You’ll just have to wait and see!
Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?
Did I miss someone? Who would you add? Let’s talk about it!
Welcome back to DFS CheatSheet’s Hammer Time with the Gambling Guru! Each week, I’ll share my favorite bets to help give you an edge over the oddsmakers. Because let’s be honest, the only thing better than watching football is winning some money on it. LET’S GOOO!
*Note: The odds listed are accurate as of the time of writing, but the market is subject to change—shop around for the best lines. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Week 2 Betting Recap: Wow. What a huge week for the Gambling Guru (and you, if you’ve been following my best bets and player props). First, the Nick Chubb to score the 1st TD prop (+400 at DraftKings and +650 on FanDuel) hit on Thursday night. That was a nice payout, especially if you did the max $20 for the DraftKings promo or took advantage of the higher odds on FanDuel. The Chubb over 71.5 rushing yards also smashed. The Joe Burrow over 23.5 rushing yards narrowly missed—at one point in the game he actually had it before taking a loss on a subsequent play—and the Same Game Parlay missed one leg because the total points went over. That provided a profitable 2-3 start to the weekend.
On Sunday, my best bets were split down the middle, but injuries to Saquon Barkley, Parris Campbell were partly to blame. Green Bay and San Francisco easily covered, while Kansas City avoided an upset and Tennessee pushed in the teaser. But we also learned just how bad Minnesota and Philadelphia are this year; the Vikings and Eagles are officially on the list of teams I can’t trust. Miami got a backdoor cover against Buffalo that I’m going to chalk up to a combination of Ryan Fitz“magic” and the game delay caused by the wild weather. However you slice it, it’s a lackluster 11-12 performance in the main slate.
The Monday night game was the big winner, however, as almost all of my player props hit. Alvin Kamara scored the first touchdown (+550 at DraftKings) then scored a second time (+600 at FanDuel). If you bet both props and Kamara to score at any time (a mispriced -105 at FanDuel), you had a big day. Kamara also crushed his over 4.5 receptions, 37.5 receiving yards, and 90.5 total yards props. Likewise, Josh Jacobs hit the over on 2.5 receptions, 68.5 rushing yards, and 85.5 total yards. He failed to find the end zone and narrowly missed his over 17.5 receiving yards line with 17 yards, which killed 3 props. Still, that’s a dominant 9-3 finish to the Week 2.
Week 2 Record: 22-18 (55%)
Let’s see if we can keep it going for Week 3, starting with some TNF props…
TNF Player Props and Bets: MIA @ JAX
· Myles Gaskin over 16.5 receiving yards (-122 at FanDuel) · Myles Gaskin over 2.5 receptions (-148 at DraftKings) · Mike Gesicki over 51.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel) · Over 48.5 total points (-110 at DraftKings) · MIA +3 (-110 at DraftKings) Minshew Mania may be in full effect, but Jacksonville’s defense is still a bottom feeder. So far this season, running backs have gashed the Jaguars when catching balls out of the backfield. Myles Gaskin has been impressive thus far as the surprise starter in Miami, so I expect that to continue tonight. Sure, there’s always a slim chance that receiving back specialist Matt Brieda steals the show, I’m confident coach Brian Flores will ride the hot hand. I think Gaskin goes over 2 receptions and smashes the receiving yards line (I’d even bet it up to 20 yards if the line continues to move). I also love Mike Gesicki to hit on his 49.5 receiving yards prop. Through two games, the Dolphins young tight end has been targeted 16 times, logging 160 yards on 11 receptions. DeVante Parker was removed from the injury report Wednesday, but playing on a short week after fighting through a hamstring injury only boosts the odds for Gesicki to be the focal point of this passing attack led by Fitz“magic”. I anticipate a high-scoring, messy affair. I’ll take the points with the Dolphins simply because I believe in the coaching staff. Fear the beard, fade the ’stache, and hammer these bets.
That’s all for now. Check back next week for more favorite picks and player props.
The Gambling Guru’s cumulative record for the 2020 NFL season heading into week 3 is 32-25, hitting on 56% of his bets.
The Detroit Lions. Where do I start? How can I tone this down and keep it classy? Being classy isn’t the problem, toning it down is!
I’ve racked my brain for ideas. In turn keeping this fresh and new. While the Lions are never fresh or new. It’s the same recycled nonsense every season. As a life long Detroiter and Lions fan safe to say I’ve seen it all.
So let’s fast forward to the 2020 season. Once again the spring and summer is littered with the same buzz words and optimistic tones. “Matthew Stafford looks good!” Or how about this one, “The Lions rookie running back is strong and making an impression on his coaches!” I can set my watch by these comments and lazy observations.
“The defensive coordinator is excited about the young athletic core!” Yeah I know, we get it. To me, its just a copy and paste job. The city of Detroit has remained apologetically behind this organization through thick and thin. Almost to the point where it becomes harmful. Ownership seemingly doesn’t care, they plug and play the same mediocre talent year in and year out. After a certain point during the season the coaching staff settles for, “that was fine.” or, “that is good enough!” While the city and it’s fanfare are clamoring for change.
The definition of insanity, as I’ve understood it, is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. The Lions should have that hanging in their locker room. On a plaque they can slap above the locker room door as they take the field.
You might ask yourself, “Geeze this Chris guy such is a jerk!” or even think, “Is this guy even a fan of the Detroit Lions?” Let me answer these self imposed questions for you. I love my city so much! To a point where it hurts. I’d give anything to see the city of Detroit succeed. I will never apologize for being from Detroit. I will never apologize for loving the Detroit Lions.
The city of Detroit has made me Chris. It’s taught me lessons, it’s showed me respect and it’s shaped me. So when asked to briefly give my opinion on the Lions 2020 outlook one thing was clear. It’s not about the 2020 season. It’s about a lifetime commitment to the city of Detroit and a decision to support the Lions at all times. Being passionate about sports and the Lions wasn’t a decision I made. It’s a birth right here in the city.
So to answer the question and give my opinions on the 2020 Detroit Lions, regardless of their record at seasons end I will be here. I will be here wearing my Lions hat and Lions hoodie supporting them every step of the way!
With all the crazy going on in the world the best escape is sports. While the college season is up in the air, we are praying it happens. Do you love the scouting and draft process as much as I do? Here are my early looks at prospects for the upcoming season. It will be fun to compare this now to the end of the year rankings and see who could be this years Joe Burrow and rise up the rankings!
Let’s start with the QB’s. The top-3 seem set in stone, but there are some interesting names to watch this season that should be good prospects that you are not thinking about outside of the big 3. After the top 3, a case for the top 2 or 3 can be debated at this time. Here are some names and brief description for you to watch them this season
Quarter Back top-3
1. Trevor Lawrence – Clemson 2. Justin Fields – Ohio State 3. Trey Lance – North Dakota State
The Other Guys:
Tanner Morgan – Minnesota: shows good work in the RPO game, slotting the ball where it needs to be. Throws with great confidence but lacks the strongest arm.
Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati: duel treat with a live arm. Keeps eyes down field and throws well on the run. Shoulder injury limited him last year. Needs to work on ball placement and taking what the defense gives him.
Brock Purdy – Iowa State: quick release and ability to escape pressure and move the pocket. Lacks arm strength on the outside sideline throws and lacks ideal height (6’1)
Kyle Trask – Florida: ideal size and throwing motion. Works from under center and shotgun well and throws slants, quick pass and back shoulder vertical he excels at. Never started in high-school or college till 2019. Very raw with some bad techniques that need fixing.
Jamie Newman – Georgia: tough player who stands tall in the pocket. He is a good athlete and runner with a good arm. Excellent with intermediate passing game. Strong leader. Not the most accurate passer but can be due to inconsistent mechanics.
Kellen Mond – Texas A & M: shows great poise and focus under pressure and excels at the short and intermediate passing game. Can lack the ability to escape the pocket and can make bad decisions. Struggled against stronger competition.
K.J. Costello – Mississippi State: elite arm that can make all the throws. Shows good balance and mechanics as well. Not an elite athlete but can move in the pocket. Can make some bad choices when he is under pressure. He had an unorthodox throwing technique that works for him where he throws side arm to get more touch on his throws. It works for him but something to keep an eye on.
Any questions or comments?
Did David miss a quarter back? Let’s talk about it!
With Raheem Mostert wanting out of San Francisco, let’s dive in and discuss some trade scenarios that best fit his needs.
#1 Will he start?
Currently, almost every team in the NFL has a starting running back or is pretty much running back by committee. However, that doesn’t mean there’s not a good landing spot for him.
#2 Who is Raheem Mostert?
Coming out of Purdue, Mostert wasn’t highly thought of. Also, his first couple of years show him playing on five different teams just in that time span. He finally settled in with the 49ers in 2017 as a special teams player, and had a career year in 2019 for a combined 952 yards on the ground and in the air all at age 27.
#3 Teams looking to take a risk:
A)The Bears – fantasy owners just sighed heavily. What about David Montgomery and Tarik Cohen? Nothing the Bears have done over the last couple of years has made sense, but Cohen has been strictly a passing-down running back for the last two years and David Montgomery is still looking to hit his stride as an every-down back.
B)Atlanta – We all know Atlanta went out and signed Todd Gurley this off-season, but what we don’t know is how good the running backs are behind him. Yes, there’s Ito Smith as well as Brian Hill, but neither men are proven threats. Teaming Mostert with Gurley in the Atlanta system could make both Gurley and Mostert huge money going in the next season as FAs!
C)San Francisco – Listen, this guy was the reason you were in the Super Bowl last year, he carried the team throughout the playoffs! Give the man a raise! You just traded Matt Breida this off-season to Miami. So, you went from a three-headed monster down to a two-headed monster. Tevin Coleman can’t carry the load by himself, we figured that out his last year in Atlanta. They need him.
Surprise Candidates- New England, Buffalo, & Los Angeles Chargers
Some of our best ideas aren’t always our own. If you surround yourself with positive like minded people the only options are to learn and grow. You are the company you keep. When you’re in a situation or have a platform such as this to provide content and opinions, you find success working with others.
Take advice, be kind, share ideas and be open to change. Acting like the smartest person in the room won’t get you very far. Don’t make the mistake of succumbing to your own ego. I’m just a spoke on the wheel of fantasy sports content. Sure I have fun and cool ideas but what about long term success? I’ve found that this entire format can dry up quick and what am I left with? Recycling ideas with little to no support.
I’ve long been into the mindset of supporting others and being a soundboard for ideas that are not my own. Ever evolving and building long lasting relationships. As an only child I’ve been told that it’s in my nature to be selfish and not good at sharing. That couldn’t be farther from the truth. Especially in this case. I’m only as good as the people around me. I cannot do this alone. I need the advice, respect and support from all of you.
Together we are stronger, together we are unbroken, together we can do anything. The idea for this article came from a friend of mine, Adam. He supports my ideas, I support his! Create an atmosphere around you where people feel comfortable sharing ideas and telling you their thoughts. It’s a two way street that demands respect. Thank you Adam! I support you and I respect you.
Let’s get into IDP (individual defensive player) trade values in comparison to the offensive skill positions. I have seen a slew of questions across all social media platforms. “In a dynasty start up with IDP what’s a good round to start drafting IDP?” Or trade questions like this, “I was sent an offer to trade away Bobby Wagner (SEA LB) for my RB2 or 3, what do I do?” Let me help you!
As you can see in the graphic above, this is my top-20 IDP for dynasty formats headed into the 2020 season. With all the mock drafts going on and rookie drafts which are already completed, when and where do I start grabbing defensive players?“ It’s a legitimate question which I plan on answering in full below!
In comparison to the IDP top-20 above is my personal super-flex top-20. You don’t have to be an IDP fan to notice the stark difference in lists. Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffery and Lamar Jackson are all NFL super-stars. So the point of this article is to describe where we should make our first IDP selection and what to expect with trading. It always seems to be confusing. So much so it’s turning people away from IDP! We can’t have that!
I’ve long said in the right scoring format our defensive players can score just like our offensive players. I don’t like talking and/or writing about topics I don’t personally know about. Would make no sense for me to tell your story and vice-versa. As recent as last season I was involved in a full blown IDP dynasty start up. I was told the scoring format would be equal across the board. Meaning, you could build a championship defense just as well as an electric offense.
As you can see above this is the scoring format for my IDP league. Let’s discuss the differences and similarities! The first thing that should jump out to you is how fantasy friendly the IDP’s are to your team. Mind you this is custom setting and a custom format for my league. Nonetheless still close to a default scoring system. A sack is 6 points. Same a rushing TD for a RB or a receiving TD for a WR. A passing TD for your QB is 6 points pretty standard but on the IDP side an interception is 5.5 points. Almost a wash. One of the more important statistics for our starting RB’s is total yards right? Here you can see that 1 rushing yard equals 0.25 points. On the defensive side a solo tackle is 3.25 points. Hopefully I haven’t lost you! Lets talk about what I just mentioned step by step!
In the right scoring format, such as this, you can see that a stud RB can accumulate points at the same clip as a stud LB. TD’s, sacks, interceptions, receptions and assisted tackles are all basically the same in terms of points. That’s an important factor when drafting your team. So at what point do we start drafting defensive players? As we all know not all players are created equal. Why is that? Why are the top-ranked linebackers not being drafted among the top-ranked running backs? It’s quite simple. Guaranteed workload and opportunity!
Anyone can sit down pre-draft and/or Sunday morning and know what to expect from a first round talent and consensus #1 overall pick like Christian McCaffrery. In 2019 CMC averaged 17.9 rushing attempts a game, 7.3 receptions a game for an overall average of 60.8 rushing yards a game and 52.6 receiving yards a game. 60.8 x .25 = 15.2. 52.6 x .25 = 13.15. 15.2 + 13.15 = 28.35. So before even stepping on the field you could pencil CMC in for 28.35 points per game. As I’m sure you’ve noticed I didn’t factor TD’s into the equation. If you didn’t know, projecting TD’s is the hardest and most violate statistic there is.
Lets do the same breakdown but with a stand-out stud and consensus first overall IDP, Indianapolis Colts LB Darius Leonard! Leonard had 121 total tackles in 2019, 71 solo and 50 assisted, 5 sacks and 5 INT‘s. Meaning Leonard made on average 10.08 tackles a game. So we’re looking at about 24.48 fantasy points per game. 71 solo tackles x 3.25 = 230.75. 50 assisted tackles x 1.75 = 87.5. 230.75 + 87.5 = 318.25/13 (total games played) = 24.48. Much like TD statistics for offensive players turnovers and sacks are hard to judge.
For the sake of this comparison you have CAR RB Christian McCaffrery at around 28 fantasy points a game while IND LB Darius Leonard comes in around 24 fantasy points per game. What does that tell us? Numbers aside, it tells me that you can personally build a championship defense on your roster just as easily as stacking offensive talent! Personally I would draft an IDP like Leonard, Nick Bosa or Roquon Smith as early as the 3rd or 4th round. Maybe I’m partial to IDP but drafting Leonard in the 3rd makes sense given the scoring format. Below is a photo of my personal IDP roster. Earlier I mentioned being open and honest and only speaking on topics that I know. I can’t tell your story! I don’t know it that well! So looking at my roster you can clearly see I have a few heavyweight defensive players.
When it comes to playing with a full compliment of defensive players, I only have a few rules:
1. Collect linebackers!
In most IDP scoring formats tackles are the name of the game. Linebackers accumulate tackles, sacks and turnovers. They make your IDP roster go-round! I’ve said it several times but LB’s are the RB’s of your defensive roster. When drafting fantasy players build entire stables of running backs. Handcuffs, rookies and safe veterans. You should do the same with your linebacking core. Build a stable of LB’s that can be interchangeable, impressive and pack a punch!
2. Don’t fade defensive backs!
In some IDP leagues cornerbacks and safeties are not separate positions. Just a general DB roster spot. If that’s your case then I wouldn’t even consider CB’s! Roster and start as many top-notch safeties as you can. For example, Jamal Adams, Landon Collins and Budda Baker. As stated above tackles are the point getters for you team! What better way to accumulate points then having a collection of ball hawking active safeties? If your league is like mine CB’s and S are two separate positions. If you look at any IDP ranking list you have to scroll and scroll until you get to the highest ranking cornerback. If a CB is really good at what he does the opposing QB avoids him. Meaning a stud CB is a better real life player then a fantasy player.
3. Don’t overlook the importance of a good defensive lineman!
D-line and the position as a whole has been very scarce the last few years. Until recently, 2019, it’s been a very tough position to dial into. In the more advanced IDP settings defensive end and defensive tackle are separate slots on your rosters. If your DL spot encompasses BOTH DE and DT then have no fear! Plenty of options there! Like the Bosa brothers or Watt brothers. If your league is set up to split the defensive line then your playing with the big dogs! Meaning looking week to week for a start-able defensive tackle can be a long and arduous process!
I never want to lie and mislead any of you. So I’d be remiss if I didn’t discuss trade values and the art of trading in an IDP league. What to expect and what to do! This just in! I have no ground breaking advice. Nothing that’s going to knock off your socks! Only years of personal experience. Which, some would say is the best option. I’ve been sent several messages and emails all in relation to trades in IDP leagues. Much like anything we do in life it helps to be informed! More importantly, know the scoring format in your league. Do your research! Don’t be afraid to tell the other team you need time! Crunch numbers and take notes! There is no rush. Use a trade calculator if need be. My most important advice when it comes to trading is be mindful and smart. Don’t sell yourself short. It’s ok to decline or send a counter offer. It’s business 101 to reject the first offer. Just a personal opinion of mine.
Look, I’m not the end all be all for fantasy sports. Just a passionate guy who likes discussing all things fantasy. Just so happens I’m very interested in IDP content. Only reason I prefaced things this way is due to all the negative and negligent advice now-a-days on social media. Never a concern of mine seeing how if you’re reading this then you look upon fantasy sports as a fun hobby and don’t take it too serious!
We’re not quite into the dog days of summer yet, but close enough! I’d like to keep it strictly business and just about fantasy football but we all know that’s tough. Not how I operate!
We got word early this week about baseball resuming with, “summer camps” at each teams respective ball park. In turn, multiple athletes are opting out. The dominoes will soon fall in my opinion. Before you rake me over the coals and ask, “why is Chris being such a pessimistic jerk?” just know I want ALL sports to resume in a safe and orderly fashion.
Turning our attention back to football, fantasy football, more importantly! The thought of a full NFL schedule this fall really tickles my fancy! The older I get the more thankful I am for the past. Let me explain. As I sit here it’s 90 degrees and sunny, not a cloud in the sky here in Michigan. Yet I can picture, very vividly, being outside early October. The air is crisp, I’m raking leaves and trying to get it all done in advance of the Lions game at 1p.
This excitement is a top-10 feeling to me. Looking ahead to the NFL schedule is more than just the compliment of games. It’s a mindset that evokes pleasure and causes an incontestable feeling of joy. Some of you, on the West Coast, don’t experience fall and winter like we do in Michigan and the East Coast. It’s a season and feeling better suited for another time.
As we prepare to draft, make waiver claims or do some off-season trading I think we should look ahead to the 2020 NFL schedule! More importantly, fantasy stuffed games! I look at fantasy sports the same way the weather man looks at his forecasts. You have some legit numbers and facts but the meat of it all is guessing mixed with opinions. Here are some personal favorite NFL games heading into the 2020 season week by week!
WEEK 1 (9-13-20)
HOU @ KC
Lets be honest with each other. It would’ve been very easy to put Kansas City in this article each week. We all know what Pat and the boys will be up to this season! I’m more excited to see what Watson, Cooks and DJ have in store.
TB @ NO
Week 1 at 4:25p in New Orleans all eyes will be on this game. We get the heavyweight match-up between Tom Brady and Drew Brees! So many offensive weapons on both sides! I’m preparing you now, get used to seeing a lot of NFC South divisional games ahead in this article!
WEEK 2 (9-20-20)
BAL @ HOU
Another favorite option by all football fans and fantasy players alike, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. Just so happens they are in HOU week 2. We know Watson can keep pace. What we don’t know is how bad the Texans defense will be early in the season. My guess is bad.
ATL @ DAL
I’ve heard a lot about Matt Ryan on even numbered years. I’ve actually discussed it a time or two. If Ryan holds true to form he should put up a frenzy of statistically positive points in 2020. What I find most intriguing about this early season contest is how in sync will the Cowboys be? Dak and his contract discussion all off season should be in the rear-view by now but at what cost?
WEEK 3 (9-27-20)
KC @ BAL
I sat and watched my blinking cursor for about ten minutes thinking of adjectives and how I wanted to mention this game. Lamar vs. Mahomes, what can I say that would get you even more excited then you are now? I’m guessing nothing! Is it possible the best game of the entire season is in week 3? What a time to be alive!
WEEK 4 (10-4-20)
CLE @ DAL
The Cleveland Browns? Really? Yes! Let’s say CLE really puts it all together in 2020 week 4 sounds like big enough buffer to get it all going! In Dallas shocking all of us and becoming the powerhouse team they are built to be! Eh, what do I know?
ARZ @ CAR
For some odd reason this game stood out to me on the week-4 schedule. The Cardinals are going to Carolina and they will put an absolute beat down on Teddy and the Panther faithful.
LV v BUF
Mark my words, this week-4 match-up will be the best game on the schedule early October. A Buffalo Bills team on the rise in Vegas vs. an offensive grouping of very young studs! Look for this one to go back and forth, touchdown after touchdown. I don’t know who wins and I don’t really care. All I care about are the glorious fantasy points that will accumulate!
ATL @ GB
As a fan of the NFC and more importantly the NFC North I always love when these two teams get together. Ryan vs. Rodgers has been a top-notch head-to-head for years yet no one really talks about it. Second week into October in Green Bay at 8:15p, Sunday Night Football! Gather round and watch two fantastic QB’s duel it out!
WEEK 5 (10-11-20)
BUF @ TEN
If Tennessee can re-capture any of magic they had late last season then this team should be fun to watch! I mentioned Buffalo earlier so this might just be my favorite game on the week 5 schedule!
WEEK 6 (10-18-20)
ARZ @ DAL
I have an odd feeling Dallas takes it on the chin at home a few times this season. This is one of those times! By this time in the season we should know if Kyler is legit or not. We should also know how Hopkins and Kenyan Drake are getting along. I think just fine, the final score will tell us that!
NYJ @ LAC
Maybe it’s just me but I’m looking forward to this game! Darnold, Bell and Mims v Herbert, Ekler and Keenan Allen. The only reason why I’m point this game out is because I firmly believe Herbert finally gets his first official start of the season here and doesn’t look back!
WEEK 7 (10-25-20)
CLE @ CIN
The battle for Ohio! As a Michigander you’re brought up to dislike Ohio early and often. I’m going to set that aside for this match-up. I’ve always been partial to bad teams. What are the chances both of these teams have winning records ahead of this week 7 battle in Cincinnati?
WEEK 8 (11-1-20)
IND @ DET
I’m not a fortune teller and I surely don’t have a crystal ball but what if this game is one of those sneaky out of no-where really good fantasy games? Who knows? Would you agree at least we will get Stafford and Kenny G? The rookies Jonathon Taylor and Michael Pittman Jr.?
LV @ CLE
The more I’ve been reading and discovering the NFL schedule the more I’m starting to like Vegas and Cleveland for fantasy purposes. So week 8 is a perfect storm! Mind you, this entire article is all my own opinion! All these games and personal thoughts could go up in flames or I could look like genius!
WEEK 9 (11-8-20)
NO @ TB
I’m a sucker for a good sequel! Especially horror movies! While I don’t see this being a bloody slasher flick I do see it comparable to Terminator 2: Judgment Day. Better then the original! Tompa Bay vs. Brees part 2!
DEN @ ATL
Denver will be in Atlanta week 9 and although I don’t expect DEN to have a stellar record at this time I envision Atlanta’s defense to be exhausted and beat up at this point. Very leaky while Drew Lock to Jerry Jeudy have career games.
WEEK 10 (11-15-20)
SF @ NO
I didn’t notice until right this moment how many times I’ve mentioned New Orleans! Wasn’t done on purpose! This time it’s in favor of the 49ers, slightly! Again, I don’t care who wins. Only points and fireworks! Week 10 in the bayou should have plenty.
HOU @ CLE
Stop me if you’ve heard this one before. CLE is playing well, they’ve won a few games and are in the hunt still (within reason). Home game in week 10, stadium is completely packed and they get absolutely blown-out. Sound familiar? Watson throws for 3 TD’s while rushing for one. Baker lays an egg and throws a few INT’s. Classic Cleveland!
WEEK 11 (11-22-20)
TEN @ BAL
I might be in the minority here but I really am a fan of the Titans and the fantasy studs on their roster. Plus they are in Baltimore which means Lamar Jackson. How could you go wrong with this one?
LAC @ DEN
Lets say I was wrong with my assessment of Justin Herbert taking over and not looking back in week 6. This is the week they give him the starting gig and he doesn’t look back!
WEEK 12 (11-29-20)
KC @ TB
Ah Kansas City again! This time in Tampa Bay! With it being week 12 safe to say most teams know where they stand. Playoffs, in the hunt or already too far behind? Who knows but this game is going to fantastic! Does Tom still have what it takes? Anybody feeling a 2 minute drill for the win in this one?
SEA @ PHI
End of September in Philly! Seattle comes to town and absolutely wails on the Eagles here. Is Wentz still the starting QB? What’s going on with rookie WR Jalen Reagor? Only two things I know for certain in this one, Miles Sanders is a RB1 and DK Metcalf is a WR1.
WEEK 13 (12-6-20)
DAL @ BAL
Remember earlier how I mentioned Dallas taking it on the chin a few times this season? This is one of those times. Although five months away would you agree that Baltimore winds up being 11-2 or 10-3 at this point? A win here at home clinches the division for the Ravens? I tend to agree and it’s a beat down. Don’t be that upset! Dallas players get some garbage time points and we all leave happy!
WEEK 14 (12-13-20)
KC @ MIA
Week 14 in MIA? Kansas City players can single handily win you your week here. Don’t get cute! Start your studs people!
BAL @ CLE
Week 14 in CLE? Baltimore players can single handily win you your week here! Don’t get cute! Start your studs! See what I did here! Man oh man do I love copy and paste!
WEEK 15 (12-20-20)
KC @ NO
Most people might find this game among their favorites of the entire season and I wouldn’t blame them! Another heavyweight match-up! What projects as one of the best teams in the NFC vs. the cream of the crop in the AFC. For the sake of the article and our fantasy teams lets say both teams still have a thing or two to play for here!
WEEK 16 (12-27-20)
Let’s hope at this point your fantasy season is over and you’ve done what we all expected of you, champ!
TB @ DET
For selfish reasons I’m hoping to attend this game to see some live action Tampa Bay action. Who knows what to expect? Seriously? Are the Bucs sitting their studs after already clinching a playoff spot? Are my Detroit Lions still in the hunt? These late season games are so hard to judge! Not only are they six months away but its Tampa and Detroit!
WEEK 17 (1-3-21)
NYJ @ NE
Let’s expect both teams are already eliminated from playoff contention. That being said, it’s still an AFC East divisional game against two teams who hate each other. I’m not expecting a ton of fantasy points, well not from the regular guy, just an all out slobber knocker of a game that’s fun to watch!
Thank you for reading and humoring me! Trust me I know it’s a ridiculous idea but what else are we to do in July? Again, thanks for all the support and all the great interactions on social media!
Well friends, we’ve reached the summer! More importantly, the end of June and start of July! Where do we go from here? To be honest go outside! Enjoy the summer! Feel the sun on your skin, grass on your feet and jump in a lake!
Look, I didn’t assemble you all here to tell how to spend your summer time. I wanted to open on a lighter note, it kind of my thing. Realistically I wanted to chat with all of you.
When it comes to opinion pieces and fun article ideas a lot of what you read are my thoughts. Plain and simple! Nothing more nothing less. I can write for hours on end spouting off statistics and percentages but that’s not always fun. That’s not always interesting. Since day one I’ve hung my hat on witty conversations and my outlandish opinions.
When the idea for this article arose those were my thoughts exactly! Give my personal opinion in a fun and interesting way. True to form, my process! As we spend the day outdoors, in the sun, swimming, grilling and lighting off Roman candles lets remember why we celebrate this day. Independent Day. Our country is very divided at this time and your thoughts and reasoning are your own. Although we celebrate being free today lets carry the love for ourselves and others over to tomorrow as well. Just an additional day is all I ask.
As we get into the article Tim and I will go back and forth on each combo! Tim has the first word! Shout out to Sideline Squib for letting Tim and I get together for some fun!
Sam Darnold and Denzel Mims
Sam Darnold is a 23 year old who had a horrid offensive line for his first two seasons in the NFL, but the Jets have significantly upgraded the line in the draft, by taking Mekhi Becton in the first round and Cameron Clarke, a great value in the fourth round. Becton should have an immediate impact and start from day 1 allowing Darnold to have more time to scan the field and find an open teammate. Darnold lost his deep threat in Robby Anderson to free agency this off-season and added Denzel Mims with some high draft capital in the second round. Mims broke out in his sophomore season at Baylor University with a stat line of 61/1087/8 at the age of 19.9 according to playerprofile.com Expect Mims to have a great rookie season with him being the target leader on the team, only competing with Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman and Le’veon Bell, all three of which might not be on the team after this season, due to contract years and potential trade rumors. He should be able to step into the number one role fairly easily and early on in his career. – Tim
Sam Darnold and Denzel Mims New York Jets
As the summer heat intensifies so does my love for this duo in New York. These two kids (23 and 22 years old) are now the corner stones for Jets, along with Bell on offense. I’ve been on the Darnold train for a few months now. Which puts me in the minority. Sam had his second professional season derailed by mono last season but was on pace for career numbers. Is it wrong of me to think Sam breaks out in a big way this coming season? Which makes Denzel Mims a very attractive option at WR. – Chris
Drew Lock and Cortland Sutton
Drew Lock now entering his sophomore season with the Denver Broncos, Lock gets some added offensive weapons in the NFL draft with his new wide receiver two and three, Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler and the addition of his former Missouri teammate Albert Okwuegbunam, tight end. The Broncos also added Melvin Gordon in free agency to pair with Phillip Lindsay in the backfield. Gordon and Lindsay are both good pass catching backs and should be utilized by the young, talented quarterback. Lock only appeared in five games in his rookie campaign and averaged just 204 passing yards per game with a 7/3 touchdown to interception ratio completing 64.1% of his passes which would be middle of the road. Lock has no excuses for this season with the amount of weapons the Broncos now have. Along with the new rookies, Cortland Sutton is the Broncos young wide receiver number one at age 24 entering his third season with the team and took a really big step forward last year, establishing himself as an up and coming star at the position. Sutton has large frame and should be a red zone machine this year with the newly acquired weapons helping to move the ball down the field a little easier. Expect the chemistry between Drew Lock and Courtland Sutton to only get stronger and see them both grow this season and beyond. – Tim
Drew Lock and Courtland Sutton Denver Broncos
Let me be honest here, a lot of the chatter around Lock hasn’t been so much about him but the young stud weapons around him. No matter how you explain it Drew Lock is the guy quarterbacking this team. Jerry Jeudy, K.J. Hamler, Melvin Gordon, Philip Lindsay, Noah Fant and Coutland Sutton are all at Lock’s disposal. The issue here is his lack of real game action. Only starting five games at the end of the 2019 season, Lock make the most of his time on the field. Throwing for 1,020 yards on 100 completions with 7 TD’s. With Lock at the helm and the potential of these positional players the combo of Lock/Sutton is sky high! – Chris
Dwayne Haskins and Terry McLaurin
Dwayne Haskins is entering his sophomore season as well just turning 23 years old this off-season. Haskins improved over his last three games of his nine games played with the Redskins last season, finding his footing with fellow college teammate Terry McLaurin who was a breakout player in his rookie season with the Redskins. McLaurin’s first five NFL games were a great start to a very talented young wide receiver with a stat line of 23/408/5. With Haskins and McLaurin already having that chemistry from Ohio State and now one year in the NFL, Mclaurin will be Haskins’ safety blanket this season and feed McLaurin the ball. Expect these two to take a step forward in becoming a great tandem for years to come! – Tim
Dwayne Haskins and Terry McLaurin Washington Redskins
I’m not a fan of Dwayne Haskins. Has nothing to do with his character or where he played college ball. As a fantasy sports writer it would be negligent of me to write bad or criticize a guy based solely on my opinion. So in turn I’ve done my due diligence and I must admit, Haskins long term prospects aren’t as grim as I once thought. The college football connection Dwayne and Terry have can’t be dismissed. I’m going to start slow with this combo, let it develop over time and be patient. Plus 1,000+ WR’s with 5-6 TD’s a season don’t grow on trees right? – Chris
Daniel Jones and Darius Slayton
Daniel Jones showed a promising rookie campaign with the Giants and was able to put together a good season in 13 games played. Jones showed his arm strength and big play ability while also showing off his legs a little bit which is a plus for fantasy purposes. It’s always a plus when a rookie quarterback and rookie wide receiver, both flash in their first season together, it shows they trust one another and have that chemistry of being in that same draft class. Darius Slayton is that rookie for the Giants. Slayton showed his ability to have stud games with two 30+ point fantasy point performances. Expect Slayton to be a little more reliable with his second year in the system with Daniel Jones behind center, making this tandem breakout potentials this season. – Tim
Daniel Jones and Darius Slayton New York Giants
Would I look foolish if I told you how excited I am for this young QB/WR combo? Didn’t think so but I just wanted to see where we stand. Danny dimes and a big arm and this coming season, 2020, Daniel Jones is going to break out in a big big way! Get as many shares as you can, telling you now! 550+ passing attempts in addition to 25+ total TD’s for Jones this season is a real possibility! Any team with a stud RB like Saquon will always have a chance to put up massive yards through the air. The biggest beneficiary here is Slayton. I’m hopeful Darius can learn from a PPR monster like Golden Tate and be the WR1 for the Giants in 2020 and beyond! – Chris
Baker Mayfield and Donovan Peoples-Jones
Baker Mayfield set the record for most touchdown passes by a rookie with 27 in 2018. Mayfield was not able to improve on his rookie season, even with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr. and Kareem Hunt, in fact Mayfield took a big step backward throwing five less touchdowns, seven more interceptions and completion percentage dropped from 63.7% to 59.9%. Mayfield gets even more weapons added to his team this off-season in Austin Hooper, Donavon People-Jones and OT Jack Conklin. If Mayfield can’t perform like he did his rookie season with the weapons now surrounding him, then the Browns should probably look for a new face of their franchise. Donavon Peoples-Jones needs to prove himself in pre-season to earn his role as the number three receiver but will have to compete with fellow teammate Rashard Higgins. Even if Peoples-Jones beats out Higgins for that spot, he will still be behind Beckham Jr., Landry, Hooper, Hunt and possibly Chubb for target share. Everyone previously mentioned, except for Hunt, is set to be on the team for the 2021 season as well leaving Peoples-Jones in the shadows for yet another season following his rookie campaign. – Tim
Baker Mayfield and Donovan Peoples-Jones Cleveland Browns
Where do I begin? There are a lot of opinions in relation to the Browns already. Opinions lead to questions. The biggest concern I’ve seen so far are all the mouths to feed. Which is fine, not a deal breaker but do you think Baker can support all these talented positional players? Glad you asked, I do not believe he can. As we just saw young TE David Njoku has requested a trade? Has Njoku given a reason? Is he nervous about Hooper taking targets and touches away? Or is he scared about the competition? I know this isn’t a glowing endorsement for Peoples-Jones but here me out. I doubt DPJ makes much noise this season but I’m investing in dynasty formats. Something doesn’t feel right to me in Cleveland. It’s only a matter of time before OBJ freaks out and requests a trade right? Or let’s say Hooper doesn’t live up to the huge contract? Again, something feels off to me in Cleveland and I firmly believe DPJ gets a shot sooner rather than later! – Chris
Tua Tagovailoa and Preston Williams
Tua Tagovailoa played his college ball at Alabama where he came on to the scene in the 2017-2018 season when he came into the National Championship game to replace Jalen Hurts and led the Crimson Tide on a comeback to win the national championship. Tagovailoa might have the most upside of the incoming rookie class at quarterback, but is definitely a question mark with all of his previous injury history. Tagovailoa has had five injuries in his three year career at Alabama. Those injuries being a broken index finger, Sprained right knee, high ankle sprain in each ankle, and the most recent, a dislocated right hip that came with a wall fracture, the ankle sprains and hip dislocation all required surgery. After the hip dislocation, there were doubts that Tagovailoa would ever be able to play football again. Before the devastating injury, Tagovailoa was being considered as the number one overall pick in the 2020 draft until his hip injury occurred , which caused him to drop to the number five overall pick behind fellow quarterback Joe Burrow who went number one to the Bengal’s. Tagovailoa might be eased into the starting role, where he sits behind the veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick, to learn the ropes of the offense and have a little more time to rest his hip. Whether Tagovailoa sits an entire year or starts week one, he has crazy upside and is destined to shine in the NFL if he can stay healthy. Fellow teammate Preston Williams is coming off of his own season ending injury of an ACL tear in week 9 of 2019. Williams was off to a great start for a rookie, especially an un-drafted free agent. Williams would have been on pace for a stat line of 64/856/6, which would’ve been among the other top rookie wide receivers in 2019. Williams is on track to be back in action fully healthy week 1 and should be a great target for Tagovailoa once he is the starting quarterback. Expect these two to have a strong connection as the dolphins did not address any skill positions in the draft, showing complete faith in Williams. – Tim
Tua Tagovailoa and Preston Williams Miami Dolphins
Another interesting topic in terms of playing time. Wouldn’t you agree? With it only being the start of July we really have no idea how the starting QB snaps are going to shake out. All we know is that Miami is trending in the right direction and they didn’t draft Tua 5th overall to sit on the sideline. Preston is also an interesting topic for discussion. Williams is also a popular breakout candidate given his age and skill set. Who am I to argue? This combo has all the makings of a long term connection on a young up-and-coming franchise! – Chris
Patrick Mahomes and Mecole Hardman
Patrick Mahomes is, well Patrick Mahomes. That’s all that needs said about him. Mecole Hardman is entering his sophomore season with the Chiefs and is a playmaker. The Chiefs originally drafted Hardman to replace Tyreek Hill due to his off the field issues last off season, but instead, now the Chiefs have two of the fastest offensive players in the NFL. Hardman showed off his speed having multiple breakaway touchdown scores. Hardman will be battling Sammy Watkins for the number two wide receiver role on the team, but still behind Hill, Travis Kelce, and possibly newly drafted Clyde Edwards-Helaire for targets. The speedsters usually last a long time in the NFL for example Ted Ginn Jr. and DeSean Jackson, So don’t expect him going anywhere anytime soon, which means Hardman and Mahomes have quite a while to get their connection down to be on a more consistent pace. Hardman might not be a great week in, week out play for fantasy, but his big play ability always helps if you need a guy in a pinch. It also doesn’t hurt when you have Mahomes throwing the ball around for three to five touchdowns a game. – Tim
Patrick Mahomes and Mercole Hardman Kansas City Chiefs
Hardman is a 22 year old kid with some wheels who racked up 538 receiving yards and 7 total TD’s in 2019 on only 26 receptions. That’s 20.7 yards/reception. I find that mind blowing! So sky’s the limit. Mercole’s potential is to the moon and back right? Given the other offensive positional players in KC I can see almost the exact same stat line for Hardman in 2020. Hill, Kelce, Clyde Edwards and Damien Williams are all other members of this offense and will more then likely touch the ball more often and at a better pace with Hardman. Let’s say Hill gets hit with the injury bug early on in 2020. Who is the biggest benefactor? To be clear, I’m not wishing harm on any football player along with anyone else on this earth but we must think about these types of things when building a fantasy football team. Personally, Hardman could and should be the WR1 in KC if an unfortunate situation were to arise. Also, I know it’s silly to talk and/or assume this way but again, it’s a legitimate thought. Oh, I failed to mention Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes here! Go Google him and report back. – Chris
Gardner Minshew and DJ Chark Jr.
Gardner Minshew is more of a game manager than anything, with only having 21 touchdowns and 6 interceptions across 14 games played last season. Minshew needs to work on his accuracy of 60.6% completed passes. Being a game manager isn’t bad, it just doesn’t produce a lot of fantasy points and doesn’t help the weapons around Minshew that much. Being a game manager only helps the team when the team is in a close game, winning, or relying on a great defense. None of those examples helping towards Fantasy production. Minshew and DJ Chark Jr. had a very good connection last year where Chark Jr. broke out hauling in 73 catches for 1008 yards and 8 touchdowns. Chark Jr. has not dropped a catch able pass since 2018, so he is a reliable target to throw the ball to, but will it be in his range to haul it in with Minshew at quarterback is the question. – Tim
Gardner Minshew and D.J. Chark Jr. Jacksonville Jaguars
I find this QB/WR combo very interesting for a few reasons. Let me explain. As it stands now both guys couldn’t be farther apart in ADP (average draft position). Minshew’s ADP sits at 167.7 while Chark’s ADP is holding firm at 55.2. Chark also checks in as WR22 while Gardner is all the way down as QB25. Meaning at their respective draft day price tag Minshew is basically free while Chark is rather cheap for his upside. I see both kids putting up almost mirror images of their 2019 season. So much so that it’s basically a no-brainer to draft each player in 2020. – Chris
Joe Burrow and Tee Higgins
Joe Burrow, the transfer from Ohio State to LSU had an unforgettable season last year, leading the Tigers to a title. Burrow was the number one overall pick in the draft in April and is going to be the Bengal’s starting quarterback from day one. The Bengal’s are a weird team to evaluate because they have a lot of talent in AJ Green, Tyler Boyd, John Ross, Joe Mixon, Auden Tate, and now throw Tee Higgins into the mix. The Bengal’s needed to add depth on the offensive line this off season which they added two guards in the draft, and they’re getting their first round draft pick from 2019 offensive tackle Jonah Williams back from an injury. Burrow should thrive in this offense. Higgins and Burrow have been working out together this off season, another reason to love the tandem. Higgins is the future of the Bengal’s wide receiving core. Expect AJ Green to either be injured at some point in the season, be dealt by the trade deadline or leave in free agency after this season. Tyler Boyd is not the kind of receiver to take over as a number one, he needs the attention drawn away from him, leaving Higgins primed for the number one role when Green is gone. This is a crucial piece to the Bengal’s franchise, the last time the Bengal’s drafted a quarterback to be their starter and wide receiver in the same year it was in 2011 when the Bengal’s took AJ Green number four overall and Andy Dalton number 35 overall, and we know how those two have been in the NFL together with that chemistry. – Tim
Joe Burrow and Tee Higgins Cincinnati Bengals
Not much I can say in comparison to what Tim has said above. The most important thought that has popped up time and time again to me is the idea of growing together. Imagine drafting a national championship QB and pairing him with a 22 year old 6’4 WR who had massive success in college (SEC)? It’s a match made in heaven! Correct me if I’m wrong but Cincinnati has seemingly put together a very young and strong offense. One that will be the envy of the league for years to come! – Chris
Justin Herbert and Mike Williams
Justin Herbert had a lot of question marks while at Oregon with his accuracy issues and decision-making ability, so it will be interesting to see how he translates and improves those to the NFL. Herbert has the weapons to succeed with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and Austin Ekeler but his decision making will be his deciding factor when it comes to his NFL success. Mike Williams is entering his fourth year of his career and has only had one year of 1,000+ yards which was this past season when he had 1,001 yard,. Williams showed as a red zone threat in 2018 hauling in 10 touchdowns but disappeared last season with only two touchdowns. If Williams can combine those two statistics he can be a top 12 wide receiver in the NFL. – Tim
Justin Herbert and Mike Williams Los Angeles Chargers
What rookie QB are you most excited about long term? I’m going to take this opportunity to answer my own question, Justin Herbert! I’m head over heels with this kids long term outlook! I mean what’s not to love? 6’6 22 year old kid with an absolute cannon for an arm. Let me give you fake scenario, tell me what you think? Say Herbert was drafted by Miami, Cincinnati or a team like the Vegas Raiders or even Indianapolis? A team where he was drafted to be the QB1 right off the bat. How much higher would his ADP be right now? Or his seasonal projections? You’re probably wondering why I’ve mentioned all this since the draft didn’t go down this way. Well, I said all that nonsense to express how special Herbert is going to be in the NFL for years on end. Tyrod Taylor is currently on top of the QB depth chart in LA. Tyrod is a serviceable NFL QB, personally I’m a fan of his but there’s just no chance the Chargers keep Justin down for any length of time in 2020. Even Tyrod will succumb to Herbert’s talents sooner rather then later. The cheery on top? Keenan Allen, Austin Ekler and Mike Williams! – Chris
Kyler Murray and Christian Kirk
Kyler Murray is entering his sophomore season with the Cardinals and is electric with the ball in his hands. He can make something out of nothing with his legs and his arm strength. Murray won NFL offensive rookie of the year last year with a very impressive stat line throwing for 3,722 yards and 20 touchdowns while throwing 12 interceptions. Murray also added another 544 yards on the ground to go with four rushing touchdowns. Murray gained Demander Hopkins this off-season and now has Kenyan Drake for a full season, to go with his weapons of Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk. Kirk and Kyler have had a full season together now and Kirk is due for a positive touchdown regression only coming away with three last year, all three coming from the same game. That game showed the chemistry that Kirk and Murray were building and will only grow stronger, Fitzgerald is getting older and Kirk is a great option to be a wide receiver two. These two should take a big step forward in their second year together. – Tim
Kyler Murray and Christian Kirk Arizona Cardinals
How crazy are mock drafters going over Kyler Murray? Top-3 QB crazy! I’m not denying the kids talent and the player making studs around him but I could argue both sides. Both sides being he is a top-3 QB and no Kyler isn’t a top-3 QB. That’s not the reason and idea behind this article. I will leave that up to you. In terms of a young QB/WR combo, Kyler Murray and Kirk are exactly what this idea is all about! DeAndre Hopkins is now a Cardinal. That should free up Kirk quiet a bit in Arizona! – Chris
Josh Allen and Gabriel Davis
Josh Allen is entering his third season in the NFL and has still yet to find his accuracy to go along with his strong arm. Allen improved his completion percentage from his rookie season (53%) to his sophomore season (58%), but it is still not good. Allen gets the addition of Stefon Diggs(trade) and Gabriel Davis(draft) this off-season which will help him in gaining more yards and probably touchdowns, but that doesn’t help his accuracy issues. Gabriel Davis doesn’t have much draft capital invested in him, and is second string wide receiver at best, possibly even third string. I don’t see Davis having a significant NFL career, and being washed out of the league within his first three seasons. – Tim
Josh Allen and Gabriel Davis Buffalo Bills
When it comes to fantasy football QB’s their rushing yards are extremely important! Josh had one heck of a 2019 season and I’m expecting the same out of him in 2020! More passing yards and more rushing yards with a few less total TD’s. Another long term patient investment is Gabriel Davis. Davis was drafted by Buffalo in the 4th round out of UCF. I’m not expecting much from Davis in 2020 but I do expect a few highlight reel plays downfield this season laying the foundation for success in 2021 and beyond! – Chris
Lamar Jackson and Marquise Brown
Lamar Jackson now entering his third season with the Ravens and has had insane value for fantasy with the rushing upside he brings to the table. Jackson is not known as one of the most accurate passers in the league, however he had a 66% competition percentage last year, taking a big step forward. Jackson’s touchdown rate per pass attempt was crazy high last year at 8.97% which the average rate is typically around 4.5%-5.5%. Expect that number to go down this year just due to it being unsustainable. Brown is now entering his sophomore season with the Ravens and should be fully healthy now. Brown was battling a foot injury for the majority of his rookie campaign and wasn’t able to get steady reps with Jackson. Brown has the talent to be a teams wide receiver one and should be able to live up to the hype. These two should find more chemistry this season and Jackson should be able to find Brown a little more and rely on him more. – Tim
Lamar Jackson and Marquise Brown Baltimore Ravens
I’m quiet sure if you’re reading this then you know how special Lamar Jackson is. He was the 2019 MVP for heavens sake! When it comes to “Hollywood” Brown he is the definition of boom-or-bust. That being said if Lamar is going to have long term success in the NFL he’s going to have sit back in the pocket more instead of instantly running. It wont hurt his numbers too much in 2020 as they should settle in to an above average elite level. It will however benefit Brown very much. More targets, receptions, yardage and TD’s. This young QB/RB combo is as easy as it gets for an article like this. – Chris
Jalen Hurts and Jalen Reagor
Jalen Hurts won’t have much if any impact when it comes to throwing the ball until probably the 2022 season unless an injury comes about to Carson Wentz. Jalen Reagor has a lot of upside for big play ability and creating yards after the catch, but the Eagles head coach, Doug Pederson, has already came out and said that Reagor will learn from behind DeSean Jackson as a deep threat. If this is the case then Reagor won’t hold much fantasy value unless Jackson goes down, or Reagor learns a different position. – Tim
Jalen Hurts and Jalen Reagor Philadelphia Eagles
I would have liked to slot in the combo of Carson Wentz and Reagor but that wouldn’t be true to my 25 and younger QB/WR combos. I mentioned it earlier in the article and it’s not a good move to assume and/or hold out of injuries but if walks like a duck and quacks like a duck then more then likely it’s a duck! Hopefully you’re understanding what I’m getting at. No ill will towards Wentz but he has missed major time. To be fair, he’s also put up some impressive numbers! I want to see Carson succeed! I want us all to succeed! Any good fantasy football player is looking 2-3 steps ahead. Adding Hurts and stashing Hurts is winning move. It’s a preemptive move that could pay dividends in the long run. Ask yourself this, if Carson Wentz does miss any time in 2020 what player would be the biggest and hottest commodity? I’m going to say Jalen Hurts! Agree or disagree? – Chris
Jacob Eason and Michael Pittman Jr.
The earliest, the rookie Jacob Eason will see the field is his sophomore season if Phillip Rivers retires, even if he retires, Eason is not guaranteed the starting spot. Eason was drafted in the fourth round of the NFL draft this off season. Eason comes from Washington University where he was a great high school prospect who committed to Georgia, but then transferred to Washington where he had to sit out the 2018 season and declared for the draft after an impressive junior season. Eason has the skills of being a competent quarterback in the NFL. It really just depends on if he gets the opportunity or if the Colts will continue to work with current backup to Rivers, Jacoby Brissett. The colts loaded up on offensive weapons in the draft this year with their first pick in the second round being Michael Pittman Jr., son of former NFL running back for the Arizona Cardinals, Michael Pittman Sr. Pittman has the athletic genes to succeed in today’s NFL and his size of 6’4” and 223 lbs. Pittman is an outside threat which is exactly what the Colts offense needs to pair with Parris Campbell and TY Hilton. Eason and Pittman should be able to grow together in the Colts system, with Pittman gaining early playing time in his rookie season, as the teams wide receiver number two. – Tim
Jacob Eason and Michael Pittman Jr. Indianapolis Colts
Along the lines of a preemptive move and being patient this is just that! Phil Rivers is the QB1 in Indy this season. I love the idea of Eason learning and growing from Rivers and Brissett with the goal of being the Colts QB1 in 2021 and beyond. When it comes to Pittman Jr. look for him to be a force right out of the gate in 2020. The 6’4 223lb USC product is going to be a big time WR in the NFL for years to come. Pittman takes his first step towards that dream in 2020! – Chris
Jared Goff and Van Jefferson
Jared Goff is set for a big season this year especially at a cheap price. Goff needs his offensive line to step up this year for him to boom. Last season in the last 5 weeks, the Rams increased their 12 personnel sets by a significant amount which allowed for two tight ends to be on the field, one would stay in and block, Tyler Higher, Robert Woods and Cooper Krupp all thrived during this timeframe. Goff gets the addition of a rookie sleeper that could have a big impact to the offense right away, in the name of Van Jefferson. Jefferson the talented wide receiver out of Florida is in competition with Josh Reynolds for the third wide receiver in the Rams offense, which should be competing for a top offense this season. Goff and Jefferson might have a rough start to the season when it comes to chemistry, but should be able to find their path mid way through the season or early next year. -Tim
Jared Goff and Van Jefferson Los Angeles Rams
I think Van Jefferson is able to pass Josh Reynolds on the depth chart. It won’t be easy but the work he puts in and the knowledge gained during that battle will carry into a successful rookie season for Van. Moving along to Goff where do we go? What happened? All that aside I’m on board with Tim here and I also believe Goff bounces back in a big way in 2020. If that’s the case his WR’s and rookie RB Cam Akers are the biggest winners. I have this weird feeling Woods is traded away in 2020. I have this scenario in my head where Kupp, Van and Akers all play lights out and the Rams get rid of Woods to sure up some sort of their defense or add draft picks. I know it’s far fetched and it’s only the start of July but I’m an abstract thinker! What can I say? – Chris
Deshaun Watson and Keke Coutee
Deshaun Watson has proved himself over and over again every season he’s been in the league, but that was with DeAndre Hopkins catching passes from Watson. This year the Texans parted ways with Hopkins and acquired Brandin Cooks and David Johnson. Watson will definitely see his stats drop some this year without Hopkins catching the impossible passes, but keep an eye on Keke Coutee as a sleeper for this Texans team. Coutee is a sneaky grab in dynasty with him being only 23 years old and Cooks is potentially one concussion away from the end of his career and Will Fuller constantly dealing with injuries. Fuller is a high injury risk and it would not be surprising to see him sidelined again this season at some point. Expect Coutee to step into either of their places with ease, already having some chemistry with Watson. – Tim
Deshaun Watson and Keke Coutee Houston Texans
I’ll admit, this one is stretch. A stretch Arm-Strong type stretch. Deshaun Watson is just that young and good. The credibility of the article and my work would’ve suffered if I didn’t mention Watson here! Expect 4,000+ passing yards, 27+ total TD’s and 500+ rushing yards in 2020. Deshaun is a star and can carry this entire team on his back. That’s it! That’s the paragraph! – Chris