Bottom of the Barrel Divisional Round

Bottom of the Barrel Divisional Round
1/10/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Are you superstitious? What extremes have you gone to ensure your team wins? After Wild Card weekend it is safe to assume Cleveland Brown fans have done the most! Praying, wearing jerseys, rubbing stones, or even bowing down to tchotchkes. Whatever the Cleveland faithful have done it is clearly working!

Up next is the Divisional Round, the final four! Meaning, there is little to no room for error. We must be damn near perfect. Which is possible if we stay the course and dig in to Bottom of the Barrel. This article is not the end all be for DFS value plays, but it has been unbelievably effective all season. You have trusted me, and the continued support only makes me work harder. No time to let up now. Let us finish strong!

This article started as a never-ending quest for daily fantasy football advice but in an odd way Bottom of the Barrel incorporates three ideals I practice often. Setting goals, taking risk, and reassessing my life on a weekly basis. To be successful in DFS we need to be right within as well.

It is time! It is time to start looking at our DFS lines for the Divisional round!

QUARTERBACK

Tom Brady TB @ NO (7th)(FD-$7,700)(DK-$6,300)

Realistically, TB12 has shown no signs of slowing down. While Drew Brees may call is a career after this season

Tom is washed man. It is all over for him. That was cute! Now what? Playoff Tom has been activated! 381 passing yards and two touchdown passes in Tampa’s Wild Card win Saturday.

Baker Mayfield CLE @ KC (25th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$5,300)

Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield

Cleveland does not stand a chance in Kansas City on Sunday, right? Not so fast! The Browns completely laid waste to the Steelers, at Heinz Field nonetheless, on Sunday. Momentum in professional sports is a real thing! The Browns have some major momentum and a ton of confidence right now! It cannot be denied. CLE @ KC also has the highest over/under of the weekend at 56. You are going to want a piece of this game!

Let’s not forget when Baker and Mahomes played against each other college!

Drew Brees NO vs TB (19th)(FD-$7,300)(DK-$5,600)

New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees

Another seemingly done noodle arm QB, Drew Brees, got it done last weekend. Now the Saints turn their attention to TB12 and the Tampa Bay Bucs. As a divisional foe, Drew hung 382 total passing yards along with six total touchdowns in two games against Tampa this season. Drew Brees is cheaper source of fantasy points this weekend. Add where needed!

Jared Goff LAR @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,200)

Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff

Throughout the course of the season one thing has become apparent. You either love Goff or you hate him. Which side of the fence are you on? Jared was thrust into action Saturday in Seattle after an awful injury to John Wolford. Goff did enough to help his team advance and here we are.

RUNNING BACK

Cam Akers LAR @ GB (27th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$5,700)

Los Angeles Rams rookie RB Cam Akers

If I have said it once I have said it a million times, Cam is an elite level talent. What is shocking to me has been all the Hendy vs Akers chatter on social media. I rarely give my personal opinions on social media because it is just not worth the headache. In a way I let the players do their thing and we move on. Cam is seeing a ton of carries and his YPC is extremely healthy! Do not overthink, roster the rookie!

J.K. Dobbins BAL @ BUF (23rd)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$6,000)

Baltimore Ravens rookie RB J.K. Dobbins

Speaking of impressive rookie RB’s, JK is now Baltimore’s RB1. Dobbins is not necessarily racking up the yardage but’s he has been extremely efficient! Scoring a touchdown in seven straight games! Saturday in Buffalo has all the makings of a heavyweight match-up. 50-point o/u with plenty of fantasy points to go around. Please get in on the action!

Ronald Jones II TB @ NO (1st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$5,200)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones II

RoJo missed Tampa’s Wild Card contest due to a quadricep issue. As it stands now, Jones is still uncertain for Sundays game in New Orleans. Even if he can play is worth it? With only four teams playing our room for error is very slim! A 0.0 at any position this weekend would be devastating.

Leonard Fournette TB @ NO (1st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$4,900)

Tampa Bay RB Leonard Fournette

In Ronald Jones absence Leo carried the ball nineteen times for ninety-three yards and a touchdown. Like it or not Fournette is best play Sunday for the Buccaneers. With a little bit of Ke’Shawn Vaughn. (FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,000)

Kareem Hunt CLE @ KC (24th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,800)

Cleveland Browns RB Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt was outstanding last weekend in the Browns win at Pittsburgh. His talents were on full display. I would imagine Hunt will once again be heavily involved in Kansas City. The combo of Nick Chubb and Hunt have yielded amazing results. Stats and analysis are fun and particularly important but what about the eye test? Kareem sure has passed that one!

Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC vs CLE (5th) (FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,500)

Kansas City Chiefs rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Cleveland is a top-10 defense vs opposing RB’s, so I am not too excited to roster him. Although the rookie RB should be well rested and ready to go. On a positive note, I would expect CEH to see some high-upside type snaps/targets.

Le’Veon Bell KC vs CLE (5th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,100)

Kansas City RB Le’Veon Bell

The only issue I have here with Bell is the presumptive workload. Will he? Won’t he? The Chiefs had a first-round bye obviously and now CEH should be back and ready to go! Best to use the wait and see approach with Bell this week.

Gus Edwards BAL @ BUF (23rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,200)

Baltimore Ravens RB Gus Edwards

Baltimore had their way with the Titans on the ground last weekend. Two hundred- and thirty-six-yards rushing yards to be exact. The rushing yards and carries start with Lamar then Dobbins then Gus. One good thing here is the definite pecking order. It is a perfect situation for DFS players like us. There is a safe floor with massive TD upside for Gus this week. Edwards price is too sweet to pass up on in large tournaments this weekend!

Latavius Murray NO vs TB (3rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,300)

New Orleans Saints RB Latavius Murray

Murray has been a nice RB complimentary roster filler all season. Why would that change now? Much like Gus Edwards, you know what you are getting from Latavius each week.

Jamaal Williams GB vs LAR (2nd)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,400)

Green Bay Packers RB Jamaal Williams

It is getting harder and harder to roster Jamaal. It is even tough to discuss why we should roster Williams in DFS formats. That coupled with an extremely difficult matchup this week vs the Rams make for an easy decision, just do not. Do not add Jamaal to your DFS teams this weekend. Then in the same breath that makes me want him more. Low ownership and all. I know, it is a sick hobby we have chosen.

WIDE RECIEVER

Jarvis Landry CLE @ KC (2nd)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,600)

Cleveland Browns WR Jarvis Landry

Dang! Landry has looked fantastic as of late! Finding the endzone in four times his last six games. Again, stats and analysis will only get you far. Can we all agree the Browns are on one, right? They have some major momentum and are hitting on all cylinders. It is just too heavy to pass up on. Landry needs to be on out DFS teams this weekend.

Antonio Brown TB @ NO (19th)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$5,400)

Tampa Bay Bucs WR Antonio Brown

Obviously, I would prefer Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but their price is not exactly B&B material. AB has clearly built a rapport with TB12 and will continue to see his targets and touches. Although his role has been limited as of late it is best to think ahead and predict a game script. This game has the potential to be a 28-24 final. Or even 35-31. You will want several pieces of this one!

Cooper Kupp LAR @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,300)

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp

Kupp is ok! Kupp is going to play Saturday in Green Bay. Cooper has bursitis in his knee and will be limited in practice this week. Do not let that deter you from rostering him this weekend. Who knows how the coverage of the Rams WR’s is going to shake out? The idea of the Alexander treatment mixed with his swollen knee just might scare enough people away from Kupp giving those of us who roster him a leverage advantage!

Gabriel Davis BUF vs BAL (5th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,000)

Buffalo Bills rookie WR Gabriel Davis

Word is out! Yet, Gabe’s price on both formats have not really caught up. That is a perfect storm in my eyes! Davis has seen at least four targets their last seven games. While Gabe’s snap count decreased with the return of John Brown how long will that last? May I ask you all a serious question? Who are the Bills WR2 now? Go ahead, answer open and honestly!

Allen Lazard GB vs LAR (1st)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)

Green Bay Packers WR Alan Lazard

Lazard has not done much recently. Allen has topped three receptions or twenty yards his last two games. He has not even recorded anything over sixty yards since Green Bay played New Orleans at the end of September. So why should we consider Allen Lazard this week? Green Bay at home in a late afternoon playoff game is too sweet. Aaron Rodgers has been playing at an MVP rate and will do simply fine spreading the ball around. Davante Adams will be busy lined up against Jalen Ramsey forcing Rodgers to be surgical and methodical Saturday. I like that idea!

Rashard Higgins CLE @ KC (2nd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,100)

Cleveland Browns WR Rashard Higgins

If you remember correctly Cris Collingsworth said during the CLE @ PIT broadcast Sunday night how enamored Baker is to Higgins. So, I investigated it. Rashard has seen twenty-five targets his last four games. In order of games, it has gone 7, 3, 5 and 10 targets wise. It is something we need to pay attention to Sunday in Kansas City.

Deonte Harris NO vs TB (24th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,500)

New Orleans Saints WR Deonte Harris

Fresh off the IR Harries lead the Saints in receptions and receiving yards. While tying in targets. Do I expect this to happen again vs Tampa Bay on Sunday? Absolutely not but I would rather be safe then sorry. Again, small slate equal extraordinarily little wiggle room for error. Harris is safer rostered this weekend than not!

Mercole Hardman KC vs CLE (28th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,900)

Kansas City Chiefs WR Mercole Hardman

Adding Hardman in our lines this weekend is a tough sell. Yet realistically it is not a horrible decision. Once again, has everything to do with the game script, the defense, and the projected point totals.

Equanimeous St. Brown GB vs LAR (1st)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,000)

Green Bay WR Equanimeous St. Brown

Nothing special to say here. Just the fact I believe Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers have their way with the Rams on Saturday. This one could wind up where Rodgers distributes the ball so well every single WR gets in on the fun. Just a thought.

TIGHT END

Robert Tonyan GB vs LAR (17th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,200)

Green Bay Packers TE Robert Tonyan

Tonyan catches touchdowns. That is what he does. That is, it. End of blurb.

Rob Gronkowski TB @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$3,600)

Tampa Bay Bucs TE Rob Gronkowski

Playoff Gronk has yet to make an appearance. Rob gave us a steaming pile of 0.0 last weekend. Was it game flow? Was it match-up based? Whatever it was I do not expect it to continue this weekend in New Orleans. Yet, I passionately believe Gronks 0.0 performance is still fresh enough to push DFS players away this weekend. Just in time for a two-touchdown celebration on our rosters!

Jared Cook NO vs TB (21st)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,000)

New Orleans Saints TE Jared Cook

There he is! Again! Cook tied for the team lead in targets (7) last weekend and yet I have not heard a peep about him. Am I comfortable playing Jared this week vs the Bucs? I am fully fading on Fanduel, but he is a full send on Draftkings this weekend. All pricing related.

Austin Hooper CLE @ KC (30th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$3,800)

Cleveland Browns TE Austin Hooper

Hooper has picked up the pace in terms of production. He caught 7-of-11 targets Sunday night in Pittsburgh. Let us not get overzealous though, all Browns players got in on the fun. Austin has seen a whopping 31 targets in the last three games and has gone over at least 10.5 fantasy points during that time.

Tyler Higbee LAR @ GB (5th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,000)

Los Angeles Rams TE Tyler Higbee

Please do not play Tyler Higbee this weekend. Only reason I added him in this space is to finally close my personal folder on him. He has been the odd man out what looks like all season. The fact he is over $5,000 on Fanduel is laughable.

Dawson Knox BUF vs BAL (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,100)

Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox

Despite popular belief, Dawson Knox is now a thing. No way around it folks. The Buffalo Bills are humming on offense and we should stake claim to as many pieces of this offense as possible! Knox is no exception!

Cameron Brate TB @ NO (26th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$2,900)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Cameron Brate

Brate caught four of six targets for eighty yards in Wild Card weekend. Is there a chance it is going to be Gronk or Brate each week? Back and forth? Who knows, that sounds exhausting. Just keep an eye out when you are building lines for the divisional round. The potential and the price are ripe for the picking!

Harrison Bryant CLE @ KC (30th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,500)

Cleveland Browns rookie TE Harrison Bryant

Shot in the dark here. Harrison was not target Sunday night vs Pittsburgh after being activated from the COVID-IR. He only played 22 snaps as well. It is obvious why; the entire team was dealing with COVID scares and quarantines. It is no secret I normally punt the TE spot and Bryant is on my radar as a flyer!

Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!

Fanduel 1/16 4:35p SAT-SUN

Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/16/21! Also Sunday morning 1/17/21!

Draftkings 1/16 4:35p SAT-SUN

That is, it! Did I miss someone?

Be on the lookout for FREE Saturday only lines along with FREE Sunday only lines! In addition to FREE single game lineups all weekend! 

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or at DFSCheatSheet here! https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Bottom of the Barrel Wild Card Weekend

Bottom of the Barrel Wild Card Weekend
1/4/2021
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

We’re on the verge of a new season! The post-season!

Balance? Ever heard of it? Well, it takes me longer to find it compared to others but in doing so, you’ll learn a lot about yourself along the way. I learned two things. I’m afraid of failing and I’m afraid of success. It’s an odd scenario right? It’s either one or the other I told myself. Few months back I had to take an honest look at myself.

What’s the opposite of fear? Took me months to figure it out. So while soul searching I asked myself a few questions…

What is my purpose? What is my calling? What am I passionate about?

After taking an honest hard look at myself I came to one conclusion. I just need to have hope. Faith is the opposite of fear! With some some faith in my life, those questions become meaningless. The only piece of the puzzle I need is hope and the rest will come!

That’s what every DFS fan has to start each new slate! Hope and faith that this roster is the one to hit big! Now multiple that by a million to start a completely different sport! With that comes a new attitude and a new commitment for knowledge.

The playoffs are odd. The playoffs are exciting. In some cases, they go exactly as planned. Yet they are completely off the wall. It’s time! Let’s dig into the Super Duper Wild Card weekend!

QUARTERBACK

Mitchell Trubisky CHI @ NO (8th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,300)

Chicago Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky

Mitch has had a good run for the Bears this season. He was the starter then Nick Foles then back to starting QB. The Bears have snuck into the playoffs as a Wild Card. On Sunday they travel to New Orleans and no one is really expecting much from them.

Philip Rivers IND @ BUF (13th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,400)

Indianapolis Colts WR Phil Rivers

Phil has done just enough to get the Colts into the playoffs. Let us be honest, rookie RB Jonathan Taylor has played a huge role in the Colts successful season. The Buffalo Bills are steamrolling people which is a positive for Phil here. Likely playing from behind and forced to throw is a great move for Phil. He has always been a slinger. That is where he is most comfortable!

Baker Mayfield CLE @ PIT (2nd)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,400)

Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield

The Cleveland Browns are in the playoffs! What? This game should be a hard-hitting slobber knocker. Sorry my old WWF roots come out in the most inopportune times. Cleveland and Baker are in for one heck of a fight on Sunday. This contest is going to be competitive down to the last snap.

Alex Smith WSH vs TB (16th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,100)

Washington Football Team QB Alex Smith

Is the Washington Football Team a feel-good story this season? I know Alex Smith playing is! This game is going to be closer than people expect! The dink and dunk style of Smith should play well at home against Tampa.

RUNNING BACK

Cam Akers LAR @ SEA (15th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,100)

Los Angeles Rams rookie RB Cam Akers

Cam active in week 17 but did not do much. 21 carries for 34 yards. If we do the math that is a 1.6 ypc (yards per carry) clip. Not good! Yet on Saturday this kid should have a lot more room to run. He is elusive. He is electric and coach McVay has no issue giving him a large workload.

Kareem Hunt CLE @ PIT (3rd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,800)

Cleveland Browns RB Kareem Hunt

I am not an NFL coach. Do not think it takes an NFL coach to see what Cleveland must do to win on Sunday. Hammer home running the ball. Nick Chubb has been outstanding running the ball all season. While Hunt is just around to assist. If Cleveland can work in Hunt a successful day can be had.

Gus Edwards BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,400)

Baltimore Ravens RB Gus Edwards

Gus has become the RB2 behind rookie RB Dobbins. Gus has totaled 36 carries in his last three games. Meaning, a 10+ carry day is on tap Sunday in Tennessee. The Titans are a formidable foe, but they give up 26.93 points a game along with an average of 104.5 rushing yards a contest.

Nyheim Hines IND @ BUF (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,700)

Indianapolis Colts RB Nyheim Hines

Right now, for the Colts it is the JT show. Yet Hines lead the team in receptions, receiving yards and targets in week 17. If the Colts want any chance at upsetting the red-hot Bills they must be firing on all cylinders. Could Hines be the key to unlocking that?

Zack Moss BUF vs IND (11th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,600)

Buffalo Bills rookie RB Zack Moss

Moss is no stranger to Bottom of the Barrel. It is no secret Moss and Singletary have basically been used in tandem all season. Let us not overreact to Zack’s minimal usage in week 17. Looks like it was just a rest and relaxation type of thing. I am going out a limb here to say that Moss will see a heavy uptick in usage on Saturday. At the price it is something we cannot gloss over.

J.D. McKissic WSH vs TB (4th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,800)

Washington Football Team RB J.D. McKissic

I do not have any kids, but I have always heard about parents saying they have no favorites. Well, McKissic is a favorite of mine! JD finished the season with 80 total receptions and should be on your radar Saturday night. Tampa Bay is 4th overall against opposing RB but with McKissic catching passes that would mean he is more of a WR. Tampa is 19th overall vs WR’s.

Latavius Murray NO vs CHI (10th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,500)

New Orleans Saints RB Latavius Murray

Murray did not play in week 17. Alvin was out too. Both with in close contact to COVID. Both New Orleans Saints RB are eligible to return after ten days. Sunday the 10th is exactly ten days. They will need to pass several tests including a cardiac screening prior to kick-off. It is an issue worth monitoring.

Mark Ingram II BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,000)

Baltimore Ravens RB Mark Ingram

Rookie running back JK Dobbins has matured and become the Ravens RB1 faster than expected. We all saw this coming! Yet something tells me Baltimore will give Mark some carries in this one! The ole crafty veteran RB in the playoffs is indispensable right?

Benny Snell Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,200)

Pittsburgh Steelers RB Benny Snell Jr.

We do not normally put players down and throw people under the bus here at Bottom of the Barrel, but James Connor is not it. James had another slow and quite week. While Steeler head coach Mike Tomlin did say how he wanted to get Snell more involved. Well, that has not happened yet. Pittsburgh is primed and ready to roll in the playoffs but what is their identity? I have a sneaking suspicion Benny rips off one heck of a game Sunday.

Alex Collins SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)

Seattle Seahawks RB Alex Collins

Football is a funny sport. DFS is even more wacky! A 26-year-old running back like Collins get a crack at carrying the ball this season after some injuries and illnesses and here we are! Limited carries (2,11 and 5) yet back-to-back games with a touchdown. There is little to no upside here. More like an educated punt play.

Rashaad Penny SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)

Seattle Seahawks RB Rashaad Penny

This is the NFL Playoffs it is not wise to punt or stray too far from the studs. That is exactly what losing DFS players will tell you. A few quick searches and you will see Penny has taken on a larger role each week since his return. Penny makes for a nice compliment this weekend at home vs the Rams.

Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)

Pittsburgh Steelers RB Anthony McFarland Jr.

What are the chances rookie RB McFarland Jr. getting any amount of substantial work Sunday night? Not high! Not likely! On the off-chance Tomlin switches gears mid-game then there is no reason to roster Anthony.

WIDE RECIEVER

Chase Claypool PIT vs CLE (24th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,200)

Pittsburgh Steelers rookie WR Chase Claypool

We have all heard social media telling us it is tough to choose what PIT WR will go off week-to-week. Yet the targets for Claypool have been steady! His last four games the targets are as follows; 6, 8, 6 and 11. Chase will get a rematch vs the Cleveland Browns on Sunday night and I could not be more excited!

Darnell Mooney CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)

Chicago Bears rookie WR Darnell Mooney

Mooney has had a fantastic rookie year. Capping off his 2020 season catching 11 of 13 targets for 93 yards. More importantly, Sunday in New Orleans, the Chicago Bears will need to keep pace with Brees and the loaded Saints offense.

Zach Pascal IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,700)

Indianapolis Colts WR Zach Pascal

No one has mentioned Zach and his last three games. Ten receptions and three touchdowns. Sometimes DFS is about the match-up more than the actual player. I know, it sounds silly but that is what we have here for Pascal. Buffalo should hang 30+ points in this one forcing Phil and Pascal to be heavily involved.

Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,500)

Indianapolis Colts rookie WR Michael Pittman Jr.

Pittman Jr. has ridden the rookie WR wave in terms of production, but the talent is there! The same could be said for Pittman as stated for Pascal. It is no secret, but I am going to be stacking Colts this weekend.

Gabriel Davis BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,000)

Buffalo Bills rookie WR Gabriel Davis

Now we are talking! Davis has seen four or more targets in Buffalo’s last six games. You will want any and all pieces of this offense you can get your hands-on Saturday.

Miles Boykin BAL @ TEN (31st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,400)

Baltimore Ravens WR Miles Boykin

Boykin is not going to pile up PPR points, but he seems to be good for at least one or two deep routes a game.

Cordarrelle Patterson CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,000)

Chicago Bears WR Cordarrelle Patterson

Patterson has been a fantastic real-life player for Chicago all season. He sees a mix of receptions, running routes, carrying the football and even special team’s work. His snap count has diminished a touch but again Chicago finds themselves in a touch spot on Sunday in New Orleans.

Isaiah McKenzie BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,300)

Buffalo Bills WR Isaiah McKenzie

Speaking of underappreciated dart throws, Isaiah McKenzie! In the absence of Cole Beasley McKenzie saw work from the slot. Last I checked Beasley is still day-to-day. Will he play? Won’t he play? I am not one to wait around, so I am locking in Isaiah this weekend.

Cam Sims WSH vs TB (19th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,900)

Washington Football Team WR Cam Sims

Cam has really come on strong as of late. To the tune of 19 receptions his last five games. Sims is by no means a world beater or stud WR, yet, but he is earned a larger role moving forward. No time like the present! Wild Card weekend!

Marquez Callaway NO vs CHI (8th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,100)

New Orleans WR Marquez Callaway

The Saints have dealt with offensive injuries all season. Opening some sort of work for Callaway. He is seen back-to-back four target games and his pricing on both sites is perfect!

TIGHT END

Cole Kmet CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,000)

Chicago Bears rookie TE Cole Kmet

Cole has been learning and growing in this offense all season. Kmet has tallied 22 total targets the last four weeks. The Saints are not all that good against opposing TE’s. It is a perfect storm on Sunday afternoon.

Jonnu Smith TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,200)

Tennessee Titans TE Jonnu Smith

Jonnu has flamed out. Started out strong and just flopped. Large in part to an injury. Yet at this time of the season in DFS we need to build the best possible lines. By now hopefully you are aware of my propensity to punt tight ends. The upside for Jonnu is too high to pass.

Jimmy Graham CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,300)

Chicago Bears veteran TE Jimmy Graham

Revenge game? Look, sometimes we must cling to anything and everything positive. Jimmy has not played for New Orleans since 2014. Jimmy has scored eight touchdowns this season. Not to mention two multi-TD games. It is Wild Card weekend! Let us get wild! Would we dare stack Chicago tight ends?

Dawson Knox BUF vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,200)

Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox

Social media has talked down about Knox. Let us not make him a thing to be specific. While I understand, I do not agree. This Buffalo Bills offense is high powered and certain players get lost in the shuffle. There should be no issue taking a flier on Knox Saturday.

Jacob Hollister SEA vs LAR (16th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$2,700)

Seattle Seahawks TE Jacob Hollister

At this stage of the article what more can we say? The positive here, Hollister has scored a touchdown in back-to-back weeks! This game is going to be tight. Separated by three or four points.

Jack Doyle IND @ BUF (30th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,900)

Indianapolis Colts TE Jack Doyle

The Colts have several passable players at tight end. Trey Burton and Mo Al-Cox to be specific. Yet I passionately believe Doyle is the guy the lean on at the position in Buffalo on Saturday.

Cameron Brate TB @ WSH (7th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,700)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Cameron Brate

Again, nothing fancy just a punt-able play with upside this week at tight end. Playoff Gronk and playoff Brady are a thing to behold! Who is to say Brate cannot see a little action?

Vance McDonald PIT vs CLE (25th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$4,500)

Pittsburgh Steelers TE Vance McDonald

Only mentioning Vance in the case Eric Ebron is still out on the COVID-IR for Sunday nights game. If that is the case, then let us give McDonald a shot.

Anthony Firkser TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,700)

Tennessee Titans TE Anthony Firkser

If you have an issue with Jonnu then let us turn our attention to Firkser! Did Jonnu screw you over in your seasonal leagues? Have a negative interaction with him? Then Firkser is your tight end! BAL @ TEN has the highest o/u of the weekend. Sitting at 54 total points. I am easy to please, so this sways it for me!

Lee Smith BAL vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,200)(DK-$2,500)

Buffalo Bills TE Lee Smith

I am not trying to fool anyone here. Lee is 100% in Bottom of the Barrel because of his week 16 performance. At least we now know the Bills have some sort of room for him on the field!

Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for Super Wild Card Weekend! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!

Fanduel 1/9 Sat-Sun

Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/9/21! Also Sunday morning 1/10/21!

Draftkings 1/9 Sat-Sun

Look for some updated lines for the Saturday only and Sunday only slates too!

That is, it! Did I miss someone?

Any questions or comments?

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

NBA Value Street – 2/27/20

NBA Value Street
2/27/20
By Dylan Thompson

 

NBA Value Street

 

What’s going on guys and gals?! Today’s four game slate should be a fun one, and I see some great value already, let’s get it.
My value smashers from yesterday:

Napier 5X
Brooks 6.5X
Horford 6.6X

 

The Value

 

PG – Rajon Rondo

LBJ is out, so you know what that means, Rondo actually gets to play point guard! His price tag is only at $4000, and I am projecting is going to have a monster game. He will get a huge usage but with LeBron off the court tonight, and in my eyes is the greatest value play on the slate. He will be facing a golden state Warriors team that is just flat out horrible, and they are still without Steph Curry. Lock this guy in to your lineup hands-down no questions asked!

SG – Danny Green

I had this guy in my article A few days ago when he went bonkers for a 10X return, and I am riding the train again tonight. Facing the same Golden State Warriors team that I just mentioned, there is absolutely no reason at all to not have this guy in your lineup. As stated previously LeBron will be off the court which means everyone gets a bump in usage and minutes. Lock and load. He is still only $3900 and is facing the worst defense against the position.

SF – TJ Warren

His price tag is $5600, but on such a small slate, you have to be able to find value somewhere and differentiate yourself. He will be going against the Portland team that is middle of the league when it comes to defending the position, but tonight I’m projecting him at right around 5.5 X. He has only not hit value twice in his last five games, and should definitely be able to take it vantage of this matchup tonight.

PF – Kyle Kuzma

If this game turns into a blowout which it very well easily could, Kuzma will definitely see an extended run in minutes. If the situation turns out like I think it will, I want to be the one to take advantage of this spot. His price tag is at $4100, and the kid in my eyes is a Baller! I believe he will go low owned tonight with so many people chasing after Anthony Davis, and this is why I will be locking him in my lineup as well.

C – MylesTurner

I wish I would have had previous exposure to him when he played the last time, but I didn’t. Tonight he will be facing a Portland team that has been getting smashed at the center position all season long, but so has Indiana. This is a very intriguing matchup for me and I’m shooting for turner to get the best of Whiteside tonight. I do understand that his price tag is $6000, but if he can return us at least 6X tonight, I am more than willing to pay that price.

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PGA Tee To Green – The Honda Classic

PGA Tee To Green
The Honda Classic
By DfsDudes

The Honda Classic
February 27th – March 1st

Course

The Honda Classic is played at PGA National Golf Club in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. PGA National is a Par 71 track and plays at 7,310 yards. The course is made up of 11 par 4’s, 4 Par 3’s and 3 Par 5’s. The famed “Bear Trap” known as probably one of the more nerve wrecking three hole stretches in golf, is made up of holes 15, 16 and 17. The 15th begins the Bear Trap, a 160 yard Par 3 over water. The 16th is a 443 yard Par 4 dogleg right, the toughest par 4 on the course. The 17th, once again, a 156 yard Par 3, over water with the wind in your face, and a green sandwiched between water and a deep bunker behind it. Oh, yea, by the way, once you make it through the bear trap you arrive at the 18th tee, where you can reach this double dogleg in two.

Weather

Wednesday is supposed to bring warm weather and thunderstorms, this could soften the course up a bit and make for a very long and soft golf course on Thursday Morning. Tuesday the high is 84 degrees and so is Wednesday. After the thunderstorm’s Wednesday, the weather will still be nice for the weekend, but, much cooler. Mid 60’s to Low 70’s cap of the rest of the week. WIND… we are going to see some pretty windy conditions over the weekend, Thursday’s forecast calls for winds steady at 11mph climbing to 15mph on Friday and peaking at 18mph Saturday before calming back down to 15mph on Sunday for the final round.

Field and Cut

Missing this week is a majority of the Top 15 players in the world. The Cut this weekend is “The Top 65 and ties after the first two rounds”.

2. Brooks Koepka
11. Tommy Fleetwood
17. Louis Oosthuizen
18. Shane Lowry
19. Gary Woodland
26. Rickie Fowler
30. Lee Westwood
32. Sungjae Im
40. Billy Horschel
41. Matt Wallace
42. Sergio Garcia
50. Byeong Hun An

Recent Winners

2019 Keith Mitchell
2018 Justin Thomas *Not in the field this week.
2017 Ricky Fowler
2016 Adam Scott *Not in the field this week
2015 Padraig Harrington

What The Oddsmakers Say

Tommmy Fleetwood +1200
Brooks Koepka +1200
Ricky Fowler +1400
Gary Woodland +2200
Justin Rose +2500
Louis Oosthuizen +2500
Billy Horschel +2500
Viktor Holland +2800
Sungjae Im + 3300
Daniel Berger +3300

*Patrick Reed was +3300, last weeks winner at the WGC Mexico Championship.

Key Stats To Consider

Ball Striking
Bogey Avoidance
Strokes Gained Putting – Patrick Reed picked up almost 12 strokes on the field putting last week.
Strokes gained Approach – There are some difficult shots into greens that are awkward and sandwiched between trouble.
Greens In Regulation

The Bottom Line

My gut feeling here it that weather is going to play a key role in deciding this week’s winner. Yes, its Florida, the weather will be nice, but, the winds will be a-blowing. There is potential for thunderstorms on Wednesday that will soften this course up and make it longer and slower also. Im looking For Ball Strikers who can control ball flight, hit fairways and greens and make up strokes on the field on the green. Gary Woodland is 2nd in Ball striking. Harris English leads the field in Bogey Avoidance. Louis Oosthuizen leads the field in Strokes gained putting. Jim Fuyrk is 8th on tour in Shots gained on approach, but that is good enough to be the best in the field in this category this week. Fuyrk is number one on tour in greens in regulation at 78.76% and leads the field this week in GIR, and Shots gained on approach.

Be Sure to check out our PGA Core Plays and Derek Hill’s Weekly Podcast “Playing The Tips”

This week for our VIP Members, Be on the look out for our PGA Cash Game Lineup.