NFL Playoff Predictor
Samuel Gebhart https://twitter.com/HTownAndDown96
NFL PLAYOFF Predictions (As of week 14)
Note from the editor,
Samuel, our graphics guy, here at DFS Cheat Sheet loves the NFL playoffs. In turn he’s going to be writing a series of playoff predictor articles each week leading up to the actual NFL playoffs! Thank you Samuel. Enjoy! – Chris Robin
One week closer! Surprisingly, nothing has changed for my outlook on the AFC. The Chiefs are still making strides across the league at every turn and should not be underestimated despite the (once perfect) record from ANY team. The NFC however is an ever-changing gauntlet of teams ready to put someone on notice on any given Sunday. With that being said… here are my thoughts on a few of the biggest matchups of Week 14, and some fantasy player value changes moving into the 2nd round of Fantasy playoffs… Tell me what you think! Who would you like to see? Could you see this Super bowl happen?
↗ Fantasy Value up
− Fantasy Value the same
↘ Fantasy Value down
Houston Texans: 7 v Chicago Bears: 36
Any remaining glimmer of hope that the Texans would make it out of this season with their dignity left was finally crushed. How easy did Bill O’Brien really get off by just getting fired? It’s embarrassing. This team’s defense is embarrassing. Aside from Zach Cunningham, I’d be scared to stream anyone from it. The Offense does not look too promising anymore either. In addition to the non-existent run game, the receiving corps is on its last legs too with the recent loss of Kenny Stills and Will Fuller. Watson made it clear post game that he intends to start the last 3 games of the season, and his top 10 performances should remain consistent. Fantasy owners should expect him to put more of the game on his shoulders as he has many times before. But be weary of inexperienced receivers still establishing chemistry this late in the season. Now is no time to get cute with the lineups… You have better options.
The Chicago bears however have rejoiced with their first win in months after falling from 5-1 to 5-7 prior to this game. Now sitting at 6-7 the always-confused-QB-room is still in the fight for a wild card playoff berth. Do they get it? No, if you ask me. But that won’t stop Trubisky from being as dialed in as we’ve ever seen as he fights for a contract, and his first shot at the post season. His fantasy value, as well as David Montgomery’s especially will continue to rise as they have some favorable matchups on tap, especially for the run game.
Deshaun Watson ↗ ↗ Mitchell Trubisky
Keke Coutee − ↗ Allen Robinson
David Johnson ↘ ↗ David Montgomery
Duke Johnson − ↗ Darnell Mooney
Jordan Akins − ↗ Jimmy Graham
Pittsburg Steelers: 15 vs Buffalo Bills: 26
Was this the last time Juju dances on an opposing field logo? I sure hope so. Mike Tomlin and co finally have their game script cracked for the 2nd time, maybe this time it’ll be enough to change things up. Obviously, you can’t keep making Big Ben throw 50 times a game. But given their matchups on tap, and the production from James Connor, they probably will. Speaking of which…is James Connor even in the NFL still? The last game he got more than 50 yards was week 11 against a bottom 5 Defense, and before that it was week 7. No TD’s since week 8. Hasn’t been targeted as much for passes recently. And I get it… He has been some nursing some stuff, but he is back finally, and next week’s favorable matchup for Connor does not make me feel any more confident in starting him. Meanwhile, the committee of wideouts is sure to continue seeing their fair spread of targets as Ben fights for his chance at another title before he hangs it up.
Buffalo’s story is not much different. They are one of the best teams in the league that everyone is sleeping on. Their record came to them in a different order than the steelers, but realistically they’re almost the same team. They are also not really running the ball that much right now. When they do, it is a committee operation. Neither can be trusted. Josh Allen looks fantastic, mobile, strong. He’s a top 5 QB right now. Stefon Diggs looks fantastic. He’s a top 5 WR right now. Cole Beasley even… in the top 25. I mean….Sean McDermott and his defensive knowledge and weapons on offense really should be raising eyebrows at this point. This is a Superbowl Contending team. All their starters are doing great. They have some tougher matchups up next that will be the real test of their will. Go with your gut. Start your studs. Bills are getting it done.
Josh Allen ↗ Ben Roethlisberger −
Stefon Diggs ↗ Juju Smith-Schuster −
Cole Beasley − Chase Claypool ↗
Devin Singleterry ↘ Dionte Johnson ↗
Zach Moss ↘ James Connor −
Dawson Knox − Eric Ebron −
Baltimore Ravens: 47 v Clevland Browns: 42
Call it a down day for the Browns. Call it a rebound game for the Ravens. Whatever. Ravens got a lot of work to do if they want to make the post season still. And the browns once again reminded us that they’re not the browns they used to be. Ravens star RB Lamar Jackson once again lit up the back field reinforcing once again that he is not a good passer. 11 out of only 17 pass attempts were caught, but he had 2 Rushing TD’s and 124 rush yards. More than JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards combined. So… in terms of fantasy, if run game matchup looks good and Ravens O-line continues to collapse, Lamar should be good. On the flip side however, this game script renders almost every other skills player on the team irrelevant and extraordinarily boom or bust depending on TD’s. Even the likes of Mark Andrews have seen the lowest of the lows. Be careful streaming anyone but Lamar.
As for the browns, Baker Mayfield commanded another awe-inspiring performance late in the game. Throwing for 343 yards, 3 Total touchdowns, 28/47 attempts. One of only 3 games on the season with 35 or more attempts though. Granted the Baltimore pass defense isn’t all that great. They also let up 213 total yards to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined, both of whom scored too. The loss of OBJ has not slowed down Baker, or the offensive powerhouse mind of Stefanski at all. And so long as Baker keeps passing TD’s, everyone should fare relatively well moving forward. He now has 3 straight games with at least 2 passing TD’s and 250 or more pass yards in each. In 12-man leagues especially, baker should be worth considering for streaming. The only 2 folks I’d be weary about are Hunt and Hooper. Hunt is back to inconsistency, just like last year behind Chubb. We expected that, and he’s only ever been a confident start against poor defenses. As for Hooper…Baker just isn’t a TE targeting man. Any Cleveland TE should be an absolute last resort.
Lamar Jackson ↗ ↗ Baker Mayfield
JK Dobbins − ↗ Nick Chubb
Gus Edwards ↘ − Kareem Hunt
Mark Andrews − − Jarvis Landry
Marquise Brown ↘ − Rashard Higgins
Devin Duvernay ↘ ↘ Austin Hooper
Did Samuel miss anything?
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