Samuel Gebhart https://twitter.com/HTownAndDown96
Another Week come and gone and my second to last installment of my NFL Playoff predictions are here with lots of changes to both conferences as well as some new fantasy player value changes. Let me know what you think, and if this is the playoff bracket you could see going down!
Fantasy Value Up: ↗
Fantasy Value Down: ↘
Fantasy Value No Change: −
1. Detroit Lions: 25 v Tennessee Titans: 46
Derrick Henry once again reminded us why he is the king, and Ryan Tannehill lit up the skies simultaneously throwing for 273 yards and 3 pass touchdowns finally dethroning anyone who claims Tannehill is riding on the coat tail of Henry. (including myself) The Ball was spread around a lot, and though he didn’t throw the ball a lot, he was deadly accurate making multiple deep passes count. Despite their run heavy game, Tannehill has been relatively steady in his production and remains a top 10 option moving forward. There’s not too many negatives about this Tennessee offense, all of their starters ought to be reliable floor streamers week in and out with the exception of Jonnu Smith and 3rd team receivers who tend to have dry spells since Vrabel’s game script is generally pretty run heavy when the Titans lead by halftime.
As for the Lions, DFS stacks involving Stafford and one of his receivers continue to please. The battered yet determined Stafford is a once of kind leader, and one we don’t see too often, routinely playing through various injuries, his performance is remarkable, however he remains a fringe fantasy play especially for those in the championship game. Much like the Titans, this Lions team is starting to move to the ground game as its primary means of attack. D’andre swift has effortlessly cemented his role as lead back and continues to fill in with the help of legendary future hall of famer Adrian Peterson. However, Detroit fantasy owners should be weary of starting anyone on the ground against Tampa Bay in week 15 and their brick wall run defense. Look to Stafford to air it out again, especially to Hockenson and Marvin Jones who dominated his target share against Tennessee
Matt Stafford − Ryan Tannehill ↗
D’andre Swift ↗ Derrick Henry ↗
Adrian Peterson − AJ Brown ↗
Marvin Jones ↗ Corey Davis −
TJ Hockenson − Jonnu Smith ↘
2. LA Rams: 20 v NY Jets: 23
For the first time in the 2020 season the Jets have a win, and they earned it against one of the best defenses in the league, nonetheless. Unfortunately for Jets fans this does not come with too much excitement given they’ve since been pushed back in first round draft placement. Honestly…I wouldn’t think too much of it. Teams have down weeks sometimes, this one probably the result of “easy opponent” mindset. You can best believe that Sean McVay and co will tighten up all ends of their game plan as they coast into playoff contention. However, this fault in the chemistry and overall lack of explosiveness on offense is enough for me to rethink their playoff potential. If it is enough for a team like the Jets to expose, its enough to keep you out of the race for a ring. Oh boy was it was embarrassing.
Despite the win, Sam Darnold and company really did not get much going on offense. Sam threw only his 6th passing TD and garnered another fumble too. Frank gore got a TD on the ground, but that was a fluke score. Both teams played very modest and un-interesting games. Fans on both sides went home upset. Quite frankly, in terms of fantasy I’d say its best to pretend like this game didn’t even happen. Most of these guys are desperation plays anyways and if you’re on your way to the championship you probably have some better options.
Sam Darnold ↘ Jared Goff −
Frank Gore − Cam Akers −
Jamison Crowder − Robert Woods ↗
Denzel Mims − Cooper Kupp ↗
Chris Hogan ↘ Tyler Higbee −
Christopher Herndon ↘ Gerald Everett −
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 31 v Atlanta Falcons: 27
Down by 17 late in the game, this victory by Brady seemed all too familiar. Granted this was just a regular season divisional game and not the Super Bowl. Nevertheless, the Falcons easily exposed Tampa’s holes and rose to 24-7 before Tom Brady once again proved to us why he has earned the title “The Goat”. Now 43, Tom Brady has put the Buccaneers In the fight for what would be his 10th title run. Despite the Falcons pitfalls, both Matt Ryan and Brady shared similar passing stats and should maintain their pace of airing it out as both teams routinely play from behind.
Leonard Fournette filled in well for the COVID/Reserve designated Ronald Jones. But fantasy owners should expect Lenny to take a back seat when Ronald Jones returns. The expectation crushing Todd Gurley was also irrelevant, and interim Falcons HC Raheem Morris alluded to Ito Smith being the premier back from here on out too. Lots of mix ups late in the season, certainly not the last for this team going into the off season. For now, the array of passing threats from both teams remain top streaming options. Both quarterbacks throw the ball frequently, accurately, ensuring a modest game from nearly every 1st and 2nd team passing option even at their floor.
Tom Brady ↗ Matt Ryan −
Ronald Jones ↗ Todd Gurley ↘
Leonard Fournette ↘ Ito Smith ↗
Mike Evans ↗ Julio Jones −
Chris Godwin ↗ Russell Gage −
Antonio Brown − Calvin Ridley ↗
Scott Miller − Hayden Hurst −
Rob Gronkowski −
Have a great holiday! Enjoy yourselves and be safe! Look for my next Playoff Predictor article same time next week!
Any questions of comments?
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