MLB Strategy Guide – Building a Process
Jeremy Sarina – DfsDudes
I have had a lot of success playing DFS Baseball. I created this site for one reason, to help make the beginning and average player better. I firmly believe that success starts with an objective, you set a goal and then you design a process around achieving that goal. What is your goal with DFS Baseball? Is your goal to be profitable? Is your goal to take down a GPP? The difference between the two is huge. In order to set a goal, you have to know who, you are first and be honest with yourself. My goal with this guide is to help you create a process that you can use daily to help you reach your goal.
It’s important that I tell you that I am not a result orientated individual. Do I want to win? YES! What is the difference you ask? Well, I don’t chase winning, I commit to a process and fall in love with that process. I don’t just throw $666 into a $4.44 tournament on 150 entries and blindly run somebody’s optimizer and hope that I take down a tournament. Can you do that? Sure! Go ahead. Will you be successful? You may in fact take down a tournament. How many days in a row and how far into your bankroll will you go? My point is simple, if your goal is to just win a GPP and you don’t care how you do it, and money of course is no object, stop reading now and go and try that.
Let’s get into process a little bit. I love taking down tournaments. However, I love winning. It’s important that we set up a couple of markers and define a few things. Winning is making more money than your entry fees on a given night. If I put in $600 to a tournament and I come out that night with $601 I won, and I am moving on to the next night. Set the expectation by knowing your daily goal, weekly goal, monthly goal and season long goal. This is a marathon it is not a sprint.
- Goal – Being profitable
- Expecation – Winning at a 60% clip – profitable 5/7 days a week.
- Winning – Turning a profit.
We have defined what we are trying to accomplish – Boring, yes, I know. This is not a get rich quick scheme, this is a daily grind. Let’s get into the nitty gritty of DFS Baseball.
FanDuel has a nine-man roster that consists of 1 Pitcher, C/1B, 2B, 3B, SS, 3 Outfielders and 1 Utility player. Over on Draftkings the roster consists of a 10 man roster, 2 Pitchers, C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, and 3 Outfielders.
Scoring – Pitchers
|FanDuel||FanDuel Points||DK Category||DK Points|
|Inning Pitched||3||Inning Pitched||2.25|
|Earned Run||-3||Hit Against||-0.6|
|Base on Balls||-0.6|
Right off the bat (no pun intended) it’s easy to recognize difference between the two sites. The biggest difference is FanDuel only hits pitchers with negative points for earned runs given up. There are six categories in which pitchers can earn points on DK and four categories pitchers can be tagged for negative points.
Scoring – Hitters
|FanDuel Category||FanDuel Points||DK Category||DK Points|
|Hit By Pitch||3||Hit By Pitch||2|
|Home Run||12||Home Run||10|
|Run Scored||3.2||Run Scored||2|
|Stolen Base||6||Stolen Base||5|
The hitting categories on the two sites are exactly the same and each category is positive points. Neither site tags hitters for negative points any longer.
Now that we have established what our lineups need to be made up of and how each player in our lineup is going to attributed points; let’s get into building a process.
Each night our Optimizer tool updates and pulls in the upcoming games on the slate. Our game preview shows you each game and where it is being played. We give you all of the Vegas data including implied totals and spreads. This is the foundation of our process and gives us a starting point for looking into pitchers and hitters we want to load up in out lineups.
On the Mound
You can’t start to select pitchers to target if you don’t know who’s on the mound. On the Mound gives you an in-depth look at the days staring pitchers. We cover all of their season long data to date. You can pop open a pitcher’s player card and look at any news that pertains to them, look at their output in a season long view as well as what they’ve don’t solely against the opponent their facing on the days slate.
Just like out “On the Mound” tool our “Starting Lineups” tool gives you an in-depth look at each team and each player projected to start. We do not stop with just lineups, we give you a complete player card, season long game log, all player news, BVP data and what that player has done against the team he’s facing on the slate.
News in any daily fantasy sport is crucial. We want to constantly monitor the news for players who have been announced out or, who are game time decisions. We do not ever want to plug a player marked out into our player pool or our lineups. We need to understand the reasons why we may plug in a player who is a game time decision. We will get more into that later.
Bullpen rankings are crucial in my opinion and a staple in my process. Let me give you this example. Generically speaking, if my process has me on the Giants and they’re facing a gas can for the Padres, I’m banking on the Giants lighting him up. I must take into consideration the fact that if they do light him up, he won’t be around long, thus putting my Giants stacks for probably two at bats against the Padres Bullpen. If the Padres bullpen is the top bullpen in baseball I need to look into this further before I decide to go overweight on the Giants.
“The Pen” is a crucial part of my process it has led me to be contrarian and has also helped me take down GPP’s. I use the correlation between the starting pitcher and the bullpen as a key part of my stack-identifying process.
We have really good writers on our staff here at DFS CheatSheet. Our content can help you confirm what your research process has led you to or identify players you may have missed. Our articles are designed to fit the next part of my process. Let’s get into them briefly.
Our “Deep Dive” is a complete game by game breakdown of the days slate. We will dive into all of the details from starting pitchers to hit streaks and even get into the narratives. Our goal with the deep dive is to make it long enough for you to get the information but short enough to read during your morning snack.
Value is important for any sport in the lineup building process. Identifying value, in my opinion, isn’t just looking at the cheapest starters and plugging them into your lineup as a punt or salary saver option. Value is more than that. Is a player underpriced based on his current performance? That is also value. Is a player killing left handed pitching on the season and getting a spot start leading off? These are all pieces of value and our “Value Street” article gives you a core of value plays for the upcoming slate.
Who is in the best spot to absolutely crush the slate? We give you a core of players we think are in great spots to absolutely crush their value. You’re going to start recognizing a common theme, a core. We try to give you a core of players in each one of our content pieces.
If you’re playing cash games, you do not want to miss this. My boy Rotobeast brings you his “Core Plays” six days a week. We will get into the difference between “Cash Game” and “GPP” core plays later. Core plays is a cash game specific core of players to help you start your cash game lineup build with.
Stacking is a big part of MLB DFS. Who are you stacking? We will identify our top stacks for the day to help you get started on who you want to stack up.
Building a process is an organized outline and segmented approach to eliminating the noise on a daily basis. I have given you an outline and description of our process and content categories. In part two I will get more in depth and tell you how to use each of these steps along the way!
See you back here tomorrow! Until then, Keep it Cashin!!