KBO Deep Dive
By DfsDudes
5/7/20

KBO DEEP DIVE

 

Well, baseball is back… in a way. Things are different right now, the DFS landscape has changed, speaking of change, we traded in our everyday real life sports for LOL and Sim Sports… UNTIL NOW! Thank you South Korea!

The prize pools are large, the contest are nice, and you only have to set an alarm to get up at 2:30am if you’re on the west coast, or, 5:30am if you’re on the East Coast. Having said all of that, We do have real baseball, and we do have real DFS baseball.

Given the 16 hour time difference between the clock on my desk in California and the Country of South Korea, this article will UPDATE through out the day! Check back again after 8pm PST and again as lock approaches. As of now, it looks like lineups confirm between 30 min and hour prior to lock. All games in South Korea start at the exact same time.

Slate

Hanwha Eagles (2-1)
Kiwoom Heroes (2-1) -175

Kia Tigers (1-2) -155
Samsung Lions (0-3)

KT Wiz (0-3)
Doosan Bears (2-1) -195

LG Twins (1-2) -125
NC Dinos (3-0)

SK Wyverns (1-2) -135
Lotte Giants (3-0)

Probable Pitchers

Hanwha Eagles – Min-Jae Jang
Kiwoom Heroes – Seung-Ho Lee

Kia Tigers – Drew Gangnon
Samsung Lions – Chae-Heung Choi

KT Wiz – Hyeong-Jun Choi
Doosan Bears – Hee-Kwan Yoo

LG Twins – Tyler Wilson
NC Dinos – Jae-Hak Lee

SK Wyverns – Seung-Won Moon
Lotte Giants – Kyung-Eun Noh

Pitching Breakdown

The Pitching on this slate is really interesting there are really a lot of ways to go here.  This is the 4th game of the season and we are getting deeper into the first time through the rotation.  Having said that there have been some real surprises.  The Lotte Giants are 3-0 and that wasn’t expected.  It was their first sweep in years, tonight they face the SK Wyverns who have opened up 1-2.  Samsung was swept in their opening series by the NC Dinos and will face Drew Gagnon and the Kia Tigers who lost two of three to the Kiwoom Heroes. While it looks like it should be a really nice spot for Gagnon he was a terrible MLB pitcher.  Lets get into it.

Hee Kwan Yoo – Doosan Bears P ($8500DK – $26FD)
The Doosan Bears are the biggest favorite on the slate and should be the top overall stack tonight at -195. Doosan has been one the top team in the KBO for years. The Wiz are 0-3 and they will send Hyeong-jun So to the mound.  Yoo should get plenty of run support and have an opportunity to go deep into this game.  One thing of interest thus far in the KBO is that Pitchers have gone past the up to and past the 90 pitch mark.  As of now, Hee-Kwan Yoo is my top target on this slate.

Jae-Hak Lee – NC Dinos ($9800DK – $24FD)
Lee posted a 3.75 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and a 6.3 Kper9 last season in the KBO.  The matchup isn’t one I particularly like against the LG Twins. However, I do think, as you’ll read below, this is an exposure deal and an opportunity to get ownership on the other side of a situation.  I expect the LG Twins to be one of the better teams in the KBO and I think some will look at the 3-0 record for the Dinos against the 1-2 record of the Twins and stop the research process there.  I don’t mind minimal exposure in large field GPP’s but there are options I like better.

Tyler Wilson – LG Twins P ($7800DK – $22FD)
Wilson has been a pretty good pitcher in the KBO over the last two seasons.  Wilson features a 2.99 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over that same time frame.  Wilson will face the Dinos tonight who are 3-0 and have a really decent lineup featuring Sung-Bum Na and Eui Ji Yang.  You will read below that I am recommending stacking the Samsung Lions against Drew Gagnon, this play is the exact opposite in that I like using Wilson against The Dinos a bit. LG lost two of three to the Doosan Bears, the creme of the crop in the KBO.  As this season shakes out the LG Twins should be another of the top teams in the KBO and if they want to they’ve got to win games against NC.

Drew Gagnon – Kia Starting P ($7,000DK – $21FD)
In American DFS The “Stream-line” play can be an obvious spot and an easy way to identify “CHALK”.  However, while im fighting the urge to stack against him with Samsung (Losers of three straight to NC Dinos) simply because of the streamline play, I do expect some obvious ownership here with Gagnon.  When it comes to Gagnon and his MLB experience, 35.2 IP toting a 7.32 ERA and a 1.71 whip, he is an ex-mlb pitcher and he’s pitching in a league that is closer to high AA low AAA.  He is also facing the Lions like I said and they’re 0-3.  In Deep Tournaments STACK THE LIONS AGAINST Gagnon this is just too good of a spot to not take the flip side of it with some entries in a multi field GPP.   It also helps that NC pitching dominated Samsung, but, Samsung plays in the most hitter friendly park and demonstrated power during the series.

 

Stacks

1. Doosan Bears
2. Kiwoom Heroes
3. Kia Tigers
4. SK Wyverns
5. LG Twins

*Update 3:35PM PST – The Doosan Bears have been the creme of the crop in the KBO.  Doosan has started the season 2-1 taking two of three from the LG Twins.  Doosan should be the Top stack on the slate tonight.  They Wyverns are 1-2 having lost two of three to the Hanwha Eagles, Hanwha is expected to continue to be the worst team in the KBO.  I am looking for SK to get on track here tonight and start stringing some wins together.

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