We’ve got a small four game slate tonight. The weather is good in New York and Atlanta, 80 degrees in both spots, While Seattle and Arizona will likely be closed roof situations. The wind is blowing out to right at Yankee Stadium. The pitching however, it’s not as good as the weather.
We are going to have to find some ways to not be stocked with chalk tonight on a four-game slate. Domingo German, in my opinion will be one of the higher owned pitching options. The Rays are one way to get some contrarian ownership. Arizona and the New York Mets have a combined implied run total of 9.0. This game features two sub-par pitchers, the Mets side, in my opinion could be another way of getting some lower owned plays tonight as well.
Paul Goldschmidt – Diamondbacks – 1B – $4500
Look, there is absolutely nothing good about Jason Vargas. Goldie, In June, has two 50 point games, a 30-point game, a 20-point game, and numerous double-digit point games. Arizona, in my opinion, is the top stack on the board tonight and I will target all of their bats.
Ketel Marte – Diamondbacks – SS – $3200
See above, Jason Vargas is not good. Marte, along with Golide are two of the hotter players in baseball over the last week. Marte is 9-21 with a bomb and a handful of extra base hits. over that span. Stack up Arizona tonight and start those stacks with Goldie and Marte.
Mallex Smith – Rays – OF – $2500
I’m really not sure how is price is $2500. I get it, Domingo German has big time upside. German, in 11 games is 0-4, 2 quality starts and an ERA of 5.32. I think the Rays could be very contrarian tonight. Smith, well, lets look at the last week, nobody is hotter, 13-23, a handful of extra base hits. Smith has stolen base upside as well. I think the Rays are fine tonight, Smith is a great value play!
Eric Hosmer – Padres – UTIL – $3800
Hosmer has some smashed Sanchez in his career. Hosmer is 15-43, 5 doubles and a home run against Sanchez in his career. Hosmer is hitting .333 over the last week with a pair of long balls. I like this spot, warm weather, and against a pitcher that I thing might have some decent ownership tonight considering the options on the board.
Ender Inciarte – Braves – OF – $2900
Inciarte is 6-16 in his career against Ross. Stolen base upside, he has been swinging a solid bat over the last week and he allows us a nice under 3k play to fit in another big bat and still reach all the way up at the pitching spot, keeping all pitching options on the table.
Nelson Cruz – Mariners – OF – $4100
It is no secret that Nelson Cruz has a reputation for smashing left handed pitching. I think Jean Segura is a fine play tonight, I also think on a four-game slate that Segura should be the top target for the M’s, given how hot he’s been. Cruz, owns a hard contact rate of 50% and an xwOBA of .485 to go along with a .415 ISO.