Brandon Crawford – Giants – SS – $3100
I’m not sure how Craw-Dog is $3100, left on left matchup? First, let’s look at his last seven games, starting with Sunday, 4-4 two doubles, a home run, two RBI. Ok, let’s also point out that was against a Nats team that started Max Scherzer. Let’s go deeper, the last week, Crawford is 11-18 with six doubles and two home runs. Ok, anyone can get hot, right? Let’s look at the last thirty days…. DING, DING, DING… 42-92 hitting an astonishing .457 with 13 doubles and 5 home runs. HOW IS HE $3100??? Plug and play at this price. One last stat, Vs. left handed pitching this year, he’s hitting .329, four home runs.
Matt Carpenter – Cardinals – 3B – $3700
Carp is HOT! Over the last week, Matt Carpenter is 10-26, two doubles and a bomb. This is a good spot. Carpenter is not quite the buy Bandon Crawford is, Crawford is the hottest player in baseball over the last month, but, if we look at those same splits, Carpenter is trending up, over the last two weeks, hitting, .323, last seven days, .345. his strikeouts have dropped, he’s continued to hit the ball in the power alleys and out of the ballpark. Carpenter gets one of the weaker pitchers on the slate tonight as well.
Starlin Castro – Marlins – 2B – $3200
Look, I will be the first one to say that BVP and game logs are sometimes overrated stats for the drive by researcher. One of the reasons, sometimes too much weight is put on someone who’s 3-4 with a home run against a pitcher, that’s one game. Castro is hitting .467 against MadBum. The sample size? 14-30, three doubles. Castro hit leadoff yesterday, he’s not exactly “on fire” but he is hitting .304 over the last week, he’s 17-56 vs. LHP. When we look at the total picture, the salary, the bvp history and the recent form, Castro is a nice piece for our core tonight at the 2B position.
Tommy Pham – Cardinals – OF – $3500
May 25th, the last time Tommy Pham went yard. Pham has had his price tag that has come down from $4100 (May 29th) to $3500 which we get him at tonight. The Cardinals have an implied run total of 4.9, the second highest on the board. I fully expect Carpenter, Pham and Martinez to be in the middle of this. I really feel like we are getting a bit of a discount on Pham. Over the last seven days he’s only hit .269 and I feel like he’s the best shot at a lower owned play either as a one off or part of a stack.
Andrew McCutchen – Giants – OF – $3000
Cutch is 9-25 and hitting .360 over the last week. Tonight, he gets a Right on Left matchup to start. Chen, in eight starts, 5.86 ERA with a 1-3 record. Chen has given up 8 home runs in 35 1/3 innings while striking out only 26. The Miami Marlins have a putrid bullpen, 28th in ERA (5.34), given up the 5th most home runs (32), and 29th in opposing batting average (.266) only the Royals are worse. Personally, the Giants are one of my favorite teams on the board tonight. Prices are more than fair, they’ve won two straight series, against Arizona and Washington, oh by the way, beating Scherzer and Strasberg.
Lorenzo Cain – Brewers – OF – $3700
This is a hard spot for me, Im going with cain and letting you have the opportunity to get Indians exposure in the UTIL and 1B spot. A combo of Lindor, Brantley, Rameriz, and Alonso would be ideal. Alonso is the best buy at $3400.
Look, Cain is HOT!!! Sub 4K for a player whos game log over the last week has three double digit days, and is in a great spot feels good. Digging deeper, nice sample size in BVP (20-68 .294) He’s also got a .736 OPS against Quintana. Quintana has had a put together a couple of really nice starts, however they aren’t spotless. This game is in Milwaukee, great hitting environment, I really do look for the BrewCrew to win this series and if that is going to happen, Cain will have to be right in the middle of that.