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MLB GPP CORE Plays 9/24/18

MLB GPP Core Plays – 8/17/18

GPP Core Plays – 8/16/18

GPP Core Plays – 8/13/18

GPP Core Plays – 8/10/18

GPP Core Plays – 8/8/18

GPP Core Plays 8/7/18

GPP Core Plays – 8/6/18

GPP Core Plays – FanDuel – 6/29/18

With Weather uncertainty in Chicago, moving from Morrison to Wil Myers.

GPP CORE PLAYS – June 26, 2018

GPP CORE PLAYS – June 22, 2018

GPP CORE PLAYS – June 20th, 2018

GPP CORE PLAYS – June 19th, 2018
  • Update – Evan Gattis is not starting, so Im going to move to Wilmer Flores $3400. Check out our video.

GPP CORE PLAYS – FanDuel – June 18th, 2018

We’ve got a small four game slate tonight. The weather is good in New York and Atlanta, 80 degrees in both spots, While Seattle and Arizona will likely be closed roof situations. The wind is blowing out to right at Yankee Stadium. The pitching however, it’s not as good as the weather.

We are going to have to find some ways to not be stocked with chalk tonight on a four-game slate. Domingo German, in my opinion will be one of the higher owned pitching options. The Rays are one way to get some contrarian ownership. Arizona and the New York Mets have a combined implied run total of 9.0. This game features two sub-par pitchers, the Mets side, in my opinion could be another way of getting some lower owned plays tonight as well.

Paul Goldschmidt – Diamondbacks – 1B – $4500
Look, there is absolutely nothing good about Jason Vargas. Goldie, In June, has two 50 point games, a 30-point game, a 20-point game, and numerous double-digit point games. Arizona, in my opinion, is the top stack on the board tonight and I will target all of their bats.

Ketel Marte – Diamondbacks – SS – $3200
See above, Jason Vargas is not good. Marte, along with Golide are two of the hotter players in baseball over the last week. Marte is 9-21 with a bomb and a handful of extra base hits. over that span. Stack up Arizona tonight and start those stacks with Goldie and Marte.

Mallex Smith – Rays – OF – $2500
I’m really not sure how is price is $2500. I get it, Domingo German has big time upside. German, in 11 games is 0-4, 2 quality starts and an ERA of 5.32. I think the Rays could be very contrarian tonight. Smith, well, lets look at the last week, nobody is hotter, 13-23, a handful of extra base hits. Smith has stolen base upside as well. I think the Rays are fine tonight, Smith is a great value play!

Eric Hosmer – Padres – UTIL – $3800
Hosmer has some smashed Sanchez in his career. Hosmer is 15-43, 5 doubles and a home run against Sanchez in his career. Hosmer is hitting .333 over the last week with a pair of long balls. I like this spot, warm weather, and against a pitcher that I thing might have some decent ownership tonight considering the options on the board.

Ender Inciarte – Braves – OF – $2900
Inciarte is 6-16 in his career against Ross. Stolen base upside, he has been swinging a solid bat over the last week and he allows us a nice under 3k play to fit in another big bat and still reach all the way up at the pitching spot, keeping all pitching options on the table.

Nelson Cruz – Mariners – OF – $4100
It is no secret that Nelson Cruz has a reputation for smashing left handed pitching. I think Jean Segura is a fine play tonight, I also think on a four-game slate that Segura should be the top target for the M’s, given how hot he’s been. Cruz, owns a hard contact rate of 50% and an xwOBA of .485 to go along with a .415 ISO.

GPP CORE PLAYS – FanDuel – June 14th, 2018

Brandon Crawford – Giants – SS – $3100

I’m not sure how Craw-Dog is $3100, left on left matchup? First, let’s look at his last seven games, starting with Sunday, 4-4 two doubles, a home run, two RBI. Ok, let’s also point out that was against a Nats team that started Max Scherzer. Let’s go deeper, the last week, Crawford is 11-18 with six doubles and two home runs. Ok, anyone can get hot, right? Let’s look at the last thirty days…. DING, DING, DING… 42-92 hitting an astonishing .457 with 13 doubles and 5 home runs. HOW IS HE $3100??? Plug and play at this price. One last stat, Vs. left handed pitching this year, he’s hitting .329, four home runs.

Matt Carpenter – Cardinals – 3B – $3700

Carp is HOT! Over the last week, Matt Carpenter is 10-26, two doubles and a bomb. This is a good spot. Carpenter is not quite the buy Bandon Crawford is, Crawford is the hottest player in baseball over the last month, but, if we look at those same splits, Carpenter is trending up, over the last two weeks, hitting, .323, last seven days, .345. his strikeouts have dropped, he’s continued to hit the ball in the power alleys and out of the ballpark. Carpenter gets one of the weaker pitchers on the slate tonight as well.

Starlin Castro – Marlins – 2B – $3200

Look, I will be the first one to say that BVP and game logs are sometimes overrated stats for the drive by researcher. One of the reasons, sometimes too much weight is put on someone who’s 3-4 with a home run against a pitcher, that’s one game. Castro is hitting .467 against MadBum. The sample size? 14-30, three doubles. Castro hit leadoff yesterday, he’s not exactly “on fire” but he is hitting .304 over the last week, he’s 17-56 vs. LHP. When we look at the total picture, the salary, the bvp history and the recent form, Castro is a nice piece for our core tonight at the 2B position.

Tommy Pham – Cardinals – OF – $3500

May 25th, the last time Tommy Pham went yard. Pham has had his price tag that has come down from $4100 (May 29th) to $3500 which we get him at tonight. The Cardinals have an implied run total of 4.9, the second highest on the board. I fully expect Carpenter, Pham and Martinez to be in the middle of this. I really feel like we are getting a bit of a discount on Pham. Over the last seven days he’s only hit .269 and I feel like he’s the best shot at a lower owned play either as a one off or part of a stack.

Andrew McCutchen – Giants – OF – $3000

Cutch is 9-25 and hitting .360 over the last week. Tonight, he gets a Right on Left matchup to start. Chen, in eight starts, 5.86 ERA with a 1-3 record. Chen has given up 8 home runs in 35 1/3 innings while striking out only 26. The Miami Marlins have a putrid bullpen, 28th in ERA (5.34), given up the 5th most home runs (32), and 29th in opposing batting average (.266) only the Royals are worse. Personally, the Giants are one of my favorite teams on the board tonight. Prices are more than fair, they’ve won two straight series, against Arizona and Washington, oh by the way, beating Scherzer and Strasberg.

Lorenzo Cain – Brewers – OF – $3700

*** PREFACE***

This is a hard spot for me, Im going with cain and letting you have the opportunity to get Indians exposure in the UTIL and 1B spot. A combo of Lindor, Brantley, Rameriz, and Alonso would be ideal. Alonso is the best buy at $3400.

Look, Cain is HOT!!! Sub 4K for a player whos game log over the last week has three double digit days, and is in a great spot feels good. Digging deeper, nice sample size in BVP (20-68 .294) He’s also got a .736 OPS against Quintana. Quintana has had a put together a couple of really nice starts, however they aren’t spotless. This game is in Milwaukee, great hitting environment, I really do look for the BrewCrew to win this series and if that is going to happen, Cain will have to be right in the middle of that.

GPP CORE PLAYS – FanDuel – June 11th, 2018