PGA Tee To Green – Arnold Palmer Invitational

PGA Tee To Green
Arnold Palmer Invitational
By DfsDudes – @dfscheatsheet1

The Arnold Palmer Invitational
March 5 – 8

 

 

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Course

This week the PGA Tour stops in Orlando at the Bay Hill Golf Course for the 42nd edition of The Arnold Palmer Invitational. Bay Hill lays out as four Par 3’s, ten Par 4’s and 4 Par 5’s. 16, 17, 18 is one of the best finishing stretches in golf. The 16th is a reachable Par 5 a solid drive sets up a shot over water to get home in two. The 16th green is blanketed by a beach of bunkers that belly up to water short right. Finally, the 18th is one of the most iconic holes in all of golf. Getting it in the fairway isn’t enough, you’ve got to set up your approach shot off the tee. This is one of my favorite tournaments on the PGA Tour and I’ll look forward to someone stepping to the 18th tee on Sunday with the tournament on the line.

Weather

This week It looks as if the course will dodge any rain prior to the opening round. Look for tempters to hover in the mid 60’s to low 70’s over the weekend, but Thursday’s opening round forecasts call for 90 degree partly cloudy weather before diving back into the low 70’s on Friday. Wednesday the forecast calls for a high of 89 degrees, as mentioned before, 90 degrees on Thursday, the course could get very fast with high heat and wind in play.

Field and Cut

The cut this week is the Top 65 and ties after the completion of the second round. There are some stars in this field, however Tiger Woods did WD with lower back stiffness last week.

Top 10 in the Field

1. Rory Mcllroy
3. Brooks Koepka
6. Adam Scott
8. Patrick Reed

There are 13 players in the World Golf Rankings Top 25 in the field this week.

Recent Winners

2019 Francesco Molinari
2018 Rory MCllroy
2017 Marc Leishman
2016 Jason Day

What Oddsmakers Say

Rory Mcllroy +500
Tommy Fleetwood +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +1600
Bryson DeChambeau +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Adam Scott +2200
Patrick Reed +2500
Sungjae Im +2500
Brooks Koepka +2800

Key Stats To Consider

Strokes Gained Off The Tee
Strokes Gained On Approach
Greens In Regulation
Par 5 Scoring Average
Par 3 Performance
Strokes Gained (Scrambling)

The Bottom Line

This is not an easy golf course. Yes, they’ve widened some fairways over the last couple of years and the course is minus some trees. However, with the heat prior to the tournament and in the opening round, don’t discount that water comes into play on 8 holes. On those 8 holes, the rough bordering the water is gone, balls close to water will not stop they’ll roll on in the drink. I personally don’t think you have to be a guy who bombs it to win. I do think that Rory is the best player in the field with a game fit specially for a golf course like Bay Hill. Rory is T8 in Par 3 Performance, 1st in Par 5 Scoring Average, T13th in Greens In Regulation, 1st in strokes gained scrambling, 3rd in strokes gained on approach and 7th in Strokes gained off the tee.

PGA Tee To Green – The Honda Classic

PGA Tee To Green
The Honda Classic
By DfsDudes

The Honda Classic
February 27th – March 1st

Course

The Honda Classic is played at PGA National Golf Club in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. PGA National is a Par 71 track and plays at 7,310 yards. The course is made up of 11 par 4’s, 4 Par 3’s and 3 Par 5’s. The famed “Bear Trap” known as probably one of the more nerve wrecking three hole stretches in golf, is made up of holes 15, 16 and 17. The 15th begins the Bear Trap, a 160 yard Par 3 over water. The 16th is a 443 yard Par 4 dogleg right, the toughest par 4 on the course. The 17th, once again, a 156 yard Par 3, over water with the wind in your face, and a green sandwiched between water and a deep bunker behind it. Oh, yea, by the way, once you make it through the bear trap you arrive at the 18th tee, where you can reach this double dogleg in two.

Weather

Wednesday is supposed to bring warm weather and thunderstorms, this could soften the course up a bit and make for a very long and soft golf course on Thursday Morning. Tuesday the high is 84 degrees and so is Wednesday. After the thunderstorm’s Wednesday, the weather will still be nice for the weekend, but, much cooler. Mid 60’s to Low 70’s cap of the rest of the week. WIND… we are going to see some pretty windy conditions over the weekend, Thursday’s forecast calls for winds steady at 11mph climbing to 15mph on Friday and peaking at 18mph Saturday before calming back down to 15mph on Sunday for the final round.

Field and Cut

Missing this week is a majority of the Top 15 players in the world. The Cut this weekend is “The Top 65 and ties after the first two rounds”.

2. Brooks Koepka
11. Tommy Fleetwood
17. Louis Oosthuizen
18. Shane Lowry
19. Gary Woodland
26. Rickie Fowler
30. Lee Westwood
32. Sungjae Im
40. Billy Horschel
41. Matt Wallace
42. Sergio Garcia
50. Byeong Hun An

Recent Winners

2019 Keith Mitchell
2018 Justin Thomas *Not in the field this week.
2017 Ricky Fowler
2016 Adam Scott *Not in the field this week
2015 Padraig Harrington

What The Oddsmakers Say

Tommmy Fleetwood +1200
Brooks Koepka +1200
Ricky Fowler +1400
Gary Woodland +2200
Justin Rose +2500
Louis Oosthuizen +2500
Billy Horschel +2500
Viktor Holland +2800
Sungjae Im + 3300
Daniel Berger +3300

*Patrick Reed was +3300, last weeks winner at the WGC Mexico Championship.

Key Stats To Consider

Ball Striking
Bogey Avoidance
Strokes Gained Putting – Patrick Reed picked up almost 12 strokes on the field putting last week.
Strokes gained Approach – There are some difficult shots into greens that are awkward and sandwiched between trouble.
Greens In Regulation

The Bottom Line

My gut feeling here it that weather is going to play a key role in deciding this week’s winner. Yes, its Florida, the weather will be nice, but, the winds will be a-blowing. There is potential for thunderstorms on Wednesday that will soften this course up and make it longer and slower also. Im looking For Ball Strikers who can control ball flight, hit fairways and greens and make up strokes on the field on the green. Gary Woodland is 2nd in Ball striking. Harris English leads the field in Bogey Avoidance. Louis Oosthuizen leads the field in Strokes gained putting. Jim Fuyrk is 8th on tour in Shots gained on approach, but that is good enough to be the best in the field in this category this week. Fuyrk is number one on tour in greens in regulation at 78.76% and leads the field this week in GIR, and Shots gained on approach.

Be Sure to check out our PGA Core Plays and Derek Hill’s Weekly Podcast “Playing The Tips”

This week for our VIP Members, Be on the look out for our PGA Cash Game Lineup. 

 

PGA Tee To Green – WGC Mexico Championship

PGA Tee To Green
WGC Mexico Championship
By DfsDudes

WGC Mexico Championship
February 20th-23rd, 2020

 

 

Course

The PGA Tour heads south of the border this week for the WGC Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, Mexico February 19-23. This is a Par 71 course and is 7,310 yards featuring 3 Par 5’s, 4 Par 3’s and 11 Par 4’s. While each of the Par 5’s is over 570 yards with the longest being 619 yards, Club de Golf Chapultepec is at elevation. Club de Golf Chapultepec is at 7,400 feet above sea level… Tee it high and let if fly!

Weather

Looks Beautiful in Mexico this week! Temperatures will be in the mid 70’s to low 80’s all week.

 

Field and Cut

This is WGC Event and there is no cut rule this week. This means barring a WD all of your rostered players will play all four rounds this week. There are a number of players in the field that are in the TOP 50 in the World Golf Rankings here is a look at those playing this week that are currently in the Top 15 in the world.

1. Rory McIlroy
3. Jon Rahm
4. Justin Thomas
5. Dustin Johnson
6. Patrick Cantlay
7. Webb Simpson
9. Xander Schauffele
11. Tommy Fleetwood
12. Tony Finau
13. Patrick Reed
14. Adam Scott
15. Louis Oosthuizen

Recent Winners

2019 Dustin Johnson
2018 Phil Mickelson – Not in the field this week.
2017 Dustin Johnson

DJ Is a clear cut favorite this week. Over the past three years he’s finished 1st, 7th, 1st.

What the Oddsmakers Say

Rory McIlroy +600
Dustin Johnson +700
Jon Rahm +1000
Justin Thomas +1000
Adam Scott +1600
Webb Simpson +1600
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Tommmy Fleetwood +2200
Bryson DeChambeau +2500
Louis Oosthuizen +3300
Patrick Reed +3300

Odds are Subject to Change

The Bottom Line

Scoring is the bottom line here, -21, -16 and -14 have won this championship in each of the last three years. We are still on the west side of the North America, which means Poa so strokes gained putting Poa greens is one of the stat categories to weigh here. This course is going to play closer to 6,700-6,900 yards because of the elevation it sits at.

PGA Tee To Green – The Genesis Open

PGA Tee To Green
The Genesis Open
By DfsDudes

The Genesis Open

Course

The PGA Tour will continue its west coast swing this week with a stop in Los Angeles at Riviera Country Club. Riviera Country Club is a 7,192 yard track and Par is 71. Riviera features 3 Par 5’s (1 on the Front and 2 on the back) 11 Par 4’s and 4 Par 3’s. The Par 4 10th hole is the famous risk reward hole that will offer the opportunity to lay it up, or go for it. There is plenty of trouble around this golf course featuring Kikuyu grass and Poana Greens.

Weather

Things should warm up this week. Pebble beach was windy and cold, winds this week should stay under 10 mph and temps in the mid to high 60’s. All and all this should be a sun filled event with light winds and gusts topping 13mph.

Field and Cut

The field this week at the Genesis is a pretty stacked one featuring nine of the top 10 players currently on the Official World Golf Ranking list. The cut line this week is the Top 65 and ties after the first two rounds.

Rory Mcllroy
Brooks Koepka
Jo Rahm
Justin Thomas
Dustin Johnson
Tiger Woods
Patrick Cantlay
Xander Schauffele
Justin Rose

Also in the field this week of not are Phil Mickelson (coming off a great week at Pebble Beach) Jordan Spieth (Back to Back Top 10’s) Bubba Watson, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar and Hideki Matsuyama.

Recent Winners

2019 – J.B. Holmes
2018 – Bubba Watson
2017 – Dustin Johnson
2016 – Bubba Watson
2015 – James Hahn

A few things to note here, Dustin Johnson has finished 9th, 16th, 1st, 4th, 2nd in his last 5 stops at this tournament. Bubba Watson Skipped the tournament in 2017 however won the tournament in 2016 and 2018, finishing 14th in 2015 and 15th in 2019. Watson and Johnson should be pretty popular plays this week with that type of course history.

What the Oddsmakers Say

Rory Mcllroy +750
Justin Thomas +900
Jon Rahm +900
Dustin Johnson +1400
Tiger Woods +1600
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Brooks Koepka +2200
Xander Schauffele +2200
Bubba Watson +2500
Tony Finau +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Adam Scott +3300
Jason Day +3300
Justin Rose +4000
Phil Mickelson +4000

Odds are Subject to Change.

The Bottom Line

All of the stars are out, the weather is going to be nice, and the course is in fantastic shape. This is going to be a great weekend in golf. For a more complete breakdown check out our PGA Core Play – The Genesis Open and get a full breakdown from Derek Hill.

PGA TEE TO GREEN – RBC Heritage

TEE TO GREEN – RBC HERITAGE
APRIL 17TH, 2019
By Christopher Feery

 

PGA Tee to Green – RBC Heritage

 An epic Masters Tournament is in the books, and it’s back to the grind on the PGA tour – both for the golfers and for us in the world of DFS. This week, the action takes place at the beautiful Harbour Town Golf Links on picturesque Hilton Head Island in South Carolina.

Naturally, the field isn’t quite as loaded as it was for last week’s major, but there is still plenty of talent to be found. That includes the #1 golfer on the planet according to the Official World Golf Rankings, Dustin Johnson. In addition, we have plenty of value plays to choose from as we build out our lineups for this week’s event.

Course and Weather

Harbour Town Golf Links is a Par 71 course which spans for 7,100 yards. It’s noted for a trio of friendly Par 5s and for being a course which favors strong iron play. The action gets underway bright and early on Thursday at 6 AM EST, so be sure to get your lineups set before contest lock.

The weather looks like it will be pretty solid for day one. Cloudy skies, temps in the mid 70s, and light winds are what the forecast calls for. There’s a big PM thunderstorm threat on Friday, and the temperatures are poised to drop over the weekend. Friday and Saturday could be impacted by winds, but it should be calm enough on Thursday and Sunday.

Field and Cut

Standard cut rules are in effect with the Top 70 and ties moving on to play the weekend. The MDF rule will be on standby to further thin out the field after round three as needed. There are currently 132 golfers slated to compete, including five of the Top 15 from the OWGR. Here they are for your reference.

1: Dustin Johnson
7: Francesco Molinari
8: Bryson DeChambeau
9: Xander Schauffele
15: Tommy Fleetwood

In addition to the names up above, Patrick Cantlay, Matt Kuchar, Jordan Spieth, Webb Simpson, and Marc Leishman are among those in a field which is actually pretty solid for the week following a major event.

Recent Winners

While the top-ranked golfers will naturally be favored to take this event down, a quick gander at recent event history suggests it will be a pretty wide-open event. Here are the last five winners of the RBC Heritage for your reference.

  • 2018: Satoshi Kodaira
  • 2017: Wesley Bryan
  • 2016: Branden Grace
  • 2015: Jim Furyk
  • 2014: Matt Kuchar

For the last three years of this event, DeChambeau and Cantlay both have a pair of Top 10 finishes. Luke Donald has been a runner-up a number of times here, but he missed the cut entirely in 2018. From last week’s Masters, Johnson, Molinari, Schauffele, Cantlay, and Simpson all had fine showings at Augusta National.

What the Oddsmakers Say

As per usual, the top golfers in the tournament also have the best odds to win the whole thing. There are five names at the top of the charts, all of whom check in with odds to win of +2000 or less. Here they are for your reference.

  • Dustin Johnson +750
  • Francesco Molinari +1400
  • Xander Schauffele +1800
  • Bryson DeChambeau +2000
  • Patrick Cantlay +2000

Behind those five names, we have a foursome with odds to win of +2200: Spieth, Kuchar, Fleetwood, and Simpson. The odds drop from that point to +3300, a tier which includes names such as Ian Poulter, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Si Woo Kim. After that, it’s up to odds of +4000 or greater for the rest of the golfers in this week’s field.

The Bottom Line

There’s naturally a bit of a letdown in the aftermath of one of the top events of the entire golf year, and that’s reflected in this week’s prize pools. However, we still have a solid four-day event to look forward to with a competitive field slated to compete.

The venue is absolutely gorgeous, and we’ll keep our fingers crossed that the Friday afternoon thunderstorm threat doesn’t disrupt things all that much. For additional insight on this week’s tour event, we encourage you to check out our PGA Premium Content.

Tee To Green – The Masters

PGA Tee to Green
The Masters
Christopher Feery
April 9th, 2019

 

 

The eyes of the sports world will be on Augusta National Golf Course this week for the Masters Tournament. Naturally, the major sites are responding in kind with the biggest PGA DFS tournaments of the year to date.

The field is absolutely loaded with the world’s top golfers, the weather looks pretty good, and there are plenty of interesting value plays to be found. What more could we ask for what should be an epic four-day event?

Course and Weather

The legendary Augusta National course is a Par 72 featuring a quartet of Par 5’s and spanning 7,475 yards. Lineups lock at 7 am EST on Thursday, so make sure you get your homework done and have your lineups ready to go.

The action gets underway with pretty good conditions on Thursday. The forecast calls for temps in the low 70s and partly sunny skies, but the winds could kick up a bit here and there. Temps and winds should be about the same on Friday and Saturday, but the skies will shift to partly cloudy. Sunday brings a chance of thunderstorms with similar temperatures and wind conditions.

Field and Cut

The cut rules are a bit more stringent for this marquee event. After round two, the Top 50 on the leaderboard will advance and move on, as will any other golfer within 10 strokes of the lead. For a sense of how loaded the field is, consider that all of the Top 50 golfers on the Official World Golf Rankings are participating.

If we expand that out to the Top 100 in the rankings, we have 65 members of the field. For your reference, here are the current Top 5 golfers according to the rankings.

● 1: Justin Rose
● 2: Dustin Johnson
● 3: Rory McIlroy
● 4: Brooks Koepka
● 5: Justin Thomas

Naturally, the star power doesn’t end there for one of golf’s majors. Also participating will be names such as Rickie Fowler, Jason Day, Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, and Jordan Spieth. Said another way, you will have plenty of studs to choose from this week as anchors for your DFS lineups.

Recent Winners

We have had five different winners over the past five years of this event. While there are of course favorites to take down the 2019 edition of the Masters, one gander at the recent winners suggests that this event could be wide open depending on who gets hot this weekend. Here are the last five winners of the Masters for your reference.

● 2018: Patrick Reed
● 2017: Sergio Garcia
● 2016: Danny Willett
● 2015: Jordan Spieth
● 2014: Bubba Watson

Looking back to last year’s Top 5 finishers, it was Fowler, Spieth, Jon Rahm, and McIlroy behind Reed on the leaderboard. Spieth has finished in the Top 5 for three of the last four years at the Masters. McIlroy is riding a streak of five consecutive Top 10 finishes. Johnson, Rose, and Paul Casey have all finished in the Top 10 for three of the last four years.

What the Oddsmakers Say

The closeness of the field at this major event is further exemplified by taking a look at the odds chart. There are seven golfers who check in with odds of less than +2000 to win the whole thing. Here they are for your reference.

● Rory McIlroy +750
● Dustin Johnson +1100
● Justin Rose +1400
● Jon Rahm +1600
● Rickie Fowler +1600
● Tiger Woods +1600
● Justin Thomas +1800

In the range of +2000 to +2900, we have seven names, including Spieth, Koepka, and Bryson DeChambeau. For the next tier of +3000 to +5000, we find 12 golfers. Names in that group include Bubba Watson, Adam Scott, and Sergio Garcia. The odds chart levels out from that point, as the rest of the field check in with odds of +6600 or greater.

The Bottom Line

One of the best events on the PGA calendar gets underway this Thursday at 7 am EST. We have a field loaded with the best golfers in the world from which to build out our DFS lineups with, and we should be in line for an incredibly entertaining four days of golf. For additional insight on this week’s tour event, we encourage you to check out our PGA Premium C

PGA Tee To Green – Corales Punta Cana Resort – 03/27/2019

PGA Tee to Green
Corales PuntaCana Resort
By Christopher Feery

 

PGA Tee to Green – Corales Puntcana Resort Club & Championship

The PGA Tour has itself an island getaway this week as it heads to Punta Cana in the Dominican Republic

For the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship. Tee time on Thursday is 7 am EST, so be sure to get your DFS lineups set in advance.

Most of the world’s top golfers will actually be in Austin, TX this week for a WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event. In short, we have ourselves a wide open event to break down for DFS purposes, and we could see some surprises on the leaderboard when all is said and done.

Course and Weather

The event will be held at the Corales Golf Club, a Par 72 course which spans nearly 7,700 yards. The course itself is known for a quartet of Par 5’s, as well as not being the most difficult to compete on. As such, we could see some nice scores from those who pack their A-games for the trip to Punta Cana.

We really couldn’t ask for better weather conditions for this tour stop. We’re talking temperatures in the high 70s, partly sunny or mostly cloudy skies, and low winds for all four days. There is a 20 percent chance of rain during the event, but overall it doesn’t look like weather will be a factor at all.

Field and Cut

Standard cut rules are in effect with the MDF rule on standby as needed. Two weeks ago, we had an absolutely loaded field to sift through for the Players Championship. Last week at the Valspar, it wasn’t quite as star-studded, but we still had plenty of name recognition to go around.

This time around, let’s just say the field is on the lighter side. Just 11 golfers in the Official World Golf Rankings are slated to compete. Drilling down even further, it’s just six of the Top 125. For the Top 100, just four of those golfers will be competing.

Here are the five highest-ranked golfers competing this week for your reference.

* 59: Sungjae Im
* 80: Jhonattan Vegas
* 91: Dylan Frittelli
* 100: Charl Schwartzel
* 106: Peter Uihlein

Name recognition may be lacking this week, but we can still rely on some tried and true principles while building out our lineups. Included on that list are things such as recent form, course history, and those who have caught the attention of the oddsmakers.

Recent Winners

There’s not a ton of history to glean for this event, but we have had different winners for the last three years of this event. Here they are for your reference.

* 2018: Brice Garnett
* 2017: Nate Lashley
* 2016: Dominic Bozzelli

Beyond that trio of names, several golfers up and down the salary charts have performed well here over the last three years. Trey Mullinax and Joel Dahmen have both finished in the Top 25 for two of the last three years. Denny McCarthy and Kelly Kraft both binked Top 5 finishes here last year.

What the Oddsmakers Say

Since the field isn’t as loaded as normal, it’s not a reach to suggest that this event is wide open. That said, the oddsmakers still have christened some clear cut favorites. Here are the five golfers with the best odds to take the whole thing down.

* Jhonattan Vegas +1400
* Sungjae Im +1600
* Denny McCarthy +2500
* Nate Lashley +2500
* Aaron Baddeley +2500

Further down the odds chart, we find Joaquin Niemann with odds of +2800. At +3000, we find a trio of golfers: Charl Schwartzel, Thomas Detry, and Joel Dahmen. The odds tighten up dramatically from that point, as we have a wide range of names with odds ranging from +3300 to +7000.

The Bottom Line

The lack of star power in this week’s event is a slight downer, but it’s important to keep things in perspective. We have a four-day event being contested in idyllic conditions. The field is wide open, the course is friendly, and there are solid plays to be found at each price point.

Add it all up, and it shapes up to be a fun event in which we could see some pretty healthy fantasy scores. For additional insight on this week’s tour stop, we encourage you to check out our PGA Premium Content.

PGA Tee To Green – Valspar Championship for 03/20/2019

PGA Tee to Green – Valspar Championship
By Christopher Feery

 

 

The PGA Tour will be in Palm Beach, FL this week for the Valspar Championship. Once again, the action gets underway bright and early on Thursday morning, so be sure to have your DFS golf lineups in on time. The field isn’t quite as star-studded as it was for The Players Championship, but there are plenty of appealing options to be found at each price point.

Course and Weather

The Valspar will be contested at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 course which spans nearly 7,400 yards. Among the notable attributes are a trio of somewhat challenging Par 3 holes, as well as four Par 5’s.

The weather for this four-day event looks like it will be pretty consistent throughout. We open up with sunny skies, low 60’s, and winds at 12 mph or less for Thursday and Friday. For the weekend, the forecast calls for partly cloudy skies, temps in the mid- to upper 60’s, and winds at 6 mph or less.

Field and Cut

Last week at The Players, the Top 50 in the Official World Golf Rankings took part. We’re not quite as fortunate this time around, but 10 of the Top 30 are scheduled to compete. At the top of the list is the golfer who holds down the top spot in the rankings, Dustin Johnson. He has nabbed a Top 10 finish for five of his last six events. Can he seal the deal this week?

Also participating will be golfers such as Jon Rahm, Jason Day, Paul Casey, Patrick Reed, Bubba Watson, and Webb Simpson, all of whom are ranked in the Top 20. Casey and Reed finished one-two at this event last year, and they have favorable odds to have another solid showing this time around.

Standard cut rules are in effect this week with the Top 70 and ties moving on to play the weekend. If more than 78 golfers advance, the MDF rule will go into effect for another round of cuts after round three to further chop the field down.

Recent Winners

While past success at a specific event is no guarantee of a future bonanza, it certainly doesn’t hurt. Some golfers excel on certain courses, while others may struggle just to make the cut on a course that doesn’t agree with their game and approach. Here are the last five winners of The Valspar Championship for your reference.

* 2018: Paul Casey
* 2017: Adam Hadwin
* 2016: Charl Schwartzel
* 2015: Jordan Spieth
* 2014: John Senden

In addition to the above names, golfers such as Reed and Henrik Stenson have had solid success here in recent years. Reed has finished in the Top 10 for three of his last four tries here. As for Stenson, he finished up in 11th or better each year from 2015 through 2017. However, he had a dismal performance here last year while missing the cut entirely.

As for golfers on the affordable end of the spectrum, Rory Sabbatini and Trey Mullinax both finished in the Top 10 here last year. Among the golferes to finish in the Top 20 in 2018 are value plays such as Sam Burns, Sean O’Hair, and Ryan Blaum.

What the Oddsmakers Say

Once again, Johnson is the clear cut favorite to win this event outright. While we’re certainly not going to count him out, let’s also remember that he has been favored many times this tour season. Similar to past performance, presence at the top of the odds chart is not necessarily a portender of success. However, it certainly doesn’t hurt to lean on oddsmaker research as confirmation of which golfers project to play well. Here are the current favorites to win the Valspar Championship for your reference.

* Dustin Johnson +500
* Jon Rahm +1000
* Jason Day +1100
* Sergio Garcia +1600
* Webb Simpson +2000

Behind Simpson, we have Reed and Casey with odds of +2200. Gary Woodland is right behind them at +2500, and then odds bunch up a bit more than at the top of the charts. In the range of +3300 to +8000, we have 21 names on the list.

The Bottom Line

It looks like we’re going to have good weather for what shapes up to be a solid event. While there’s not quite as much star power as there was for last week, there are still enough top names involved to keep it interesting. If we add in the intriguing value plays of the week and those in the middle tier who look like they could go off, we have plenty of different directions we can go with this week’s lineups.

For additional insight on this week’s tour stop, we encourage you to check out our PGA Premium Content.