What a season! Wow was this a wild ride. The Super Bowl is upon us. Not much for me to say here that you do not already know. We have had two weeks to prepare and comb through every stat and match-up possible. So instead, I would like to use this spot for something more important.
Thank you. The love and support you have shown me this season have been unbelievable. More than I could have ever imagined. Thank you. Without all of you Bottom of the Barrel would be nothing. Just a washed-up piece of fantasy football crap. If you have not noticed there are hundreds and hundreds of fantasy football accounts, websites, and podcasts. Unfortunately, many good people get lost in the shuffle. Others just give up and quit due to the daily grind anxiety of the pressure.
Look, I have no blueprint on how to be successful with writing and broadcasting. The only thing I can tell you is my own way. Consistency, being open to change, acceptance and even a little fear goes along way. When we decide to try something new it is just natural to be afraid. Nothing grows in comfort.
Thank you to everyone who supported me and Bottom of the Barrel this season. It was a massive success. We had some fun along the way, a few disagreements but mostly fun. Thank you for everything along the way this season. The NFL season coming to end on Sunday is bitter sweet. Personally, I enjoy the rush and constant go-go-go. I also value my down time and resting. Either way it has come to an end! For that I am extremely grateful. For that I am extremely thankful.
Thank you for a fun and successful season. Could not have done it without you. Until next season friends!
Patrick Mahomes KC @ TB (26th)(FD-$16,500)(DK-$12,000)
Let us be honest, Kansas City will score 30+ points Sunday, right? Pat will account for most, if not, all of them. He is the best player on the field so why get cute and talk yourself out of Patty Mahomes? Only reason to fade Mahomes is if you are in a massive GPP. His ownership will undoubtedly to 80+%. He is an expensively free square on Sunday if that makes any sense.
Tom Brady TB vs KC (21st)(FD-$15,000)(DK-$10,000)
Brady is washed. He is going to wither and die away from the New England Patriots. Oh! Tom Brady is a starting QB in the Super Bowl.
Leonard Fournette TB vs KC (17th)(FD-$12,500)(DK-$7,800)
Leonard has been a pleasant surprise for the DFS community during Tampa’s playoff run. Not much will change Sunday. I am fully expecting 12+ targets and touches in what will amount to a robust stat line. Do not set your lines without Leo this weekend.
CEH may wind up trashing a lot of our lines on Sunday. Or not? The rookie back missed some time late in the season and did absolutely nothing against the Bills on Championship Sunday. Are you willing to spend the money to roster Clyde on Sunday?
Darrel Williams KC @ TB (2nd)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$5,200)
D-Will is the KC RB play on Sunday. The casual DFS fans will flock to Clyde leaving Darrell under owned. Which is the edge we will need to separate ourselves from the crowd.
Ronald Jones II TB vs KC (17th)(FD-$8,000)(DK-$2,200)
Bottom of the Barrel has always been about those off the beaten path plays. A player or two that can help propel your line across the finish line. Yet at this point of the season those same methods must go out the window. Super Bowl Sunday is not really the best time to get cute. I understand the idea of rostering a guy Sunday in hopes he is your golden goose. RoJo is not that guy.
Tyreek Hill KV @ TB (26th)(FD-$14,000)(DK-$10,400)
I do not own a crystal ball but let me be clear. DO NOT fade Tyreek Hill on Sunday. 100+ receiving yards is set in stone. A TD reception is set in stone. The only question is how many touchdowns will Tyreek score? Best suited to let him figure it out in your lineup!
Chris Godwin TB vs KC (3rd)(FD-$12,000)(DK-$8,800)
Nothing ground-breaking here but I have this odd feeling Tampa Bay is playing for behind on Sunday. Which will lead to heavy usage from Godwin. That is where KC is most vulnerable. Across the middle of the field.
Mike Evans TB vs KC (3rd)(FD-$11,500)(DK-$8,400)
People are constantly fading Evans. They are trading him, cutting him, or leaving him on the bench. If you are looking for a floor of four receptions and 70 receiving yards, then Mike is you guy! I love the idea of stacking BOTH Godwin and Evans on Sunday.
Antonio Brown TB vs KC (3rd)(FD-$9,500)(DK-$6,200)
Last update AB was limited in practice on Wednesday the 3rd. Is it worth the risk on Sunday? There is so much more talent we can roster this weekend. AB is best suited as a throw GPP throw in last minute this weekend.
We have done this same ole song and dance with Hardman all year. Will he? Won’t he? I am putting all my chips on yes! Hardman will provide us with a healthy stat line on Sunday. Look at his price, why wouldn’t you sprinkle a little Hardman across your lineups this weekend?
Not much is given in life. There is not much we can say are a “sure thing”. Sammy Watkins playing like crap when we roster him and Sammy Watkins going nuts when we fade him are sure things! It is a sick give and take with Sammy. The choice is yours! I want nothing to do with him.
Scotty Miller TB vs KC (3rd)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$3,400)
Is Scotty Miller faster than Tyreek Hill? Sure, going to fun watching the Super Bowl with that narrative. How many times do you think the announcers mention this? I will set the over/under at 3.5! Any takers?
Tyler Johnson TB vs KC (3rd)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$1,200)
Nothing more than a Super Bowl dart throw. Will this kid come through when Tampa needs him the most? Tyler is +600 to score an anytime touchdown Sunday. Think I would rather make that bet.
What more can I say here that we do not already know about Kelce? He is the best tight end in football. He is even better than most wide receivers in the NFL. Travis will find the endzone Sunday. Much like Tyreek, how many times though?
Cameron Brate TB vs KC (30th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$4,800)
Most of you film gurus already know what the Chiefs weak spot is on defense. The middle of the field. Just so happens that is wear Cam Brate roams!
Rob Gronkowski TB vs KC (30th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$3,000)
Playoff Gronk with playoff Brady has been a work of art for 10+ years now. Why would it stop now? The chemistry between these two is unparallel. Gronk is a safe bet for an anytime TD on Sunday. Make the bet and roster him too while you are at it.
Nick Keizer KC @ TB (23rd)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$200)
Any of you get weird premonitions from time to time? I have heard feeling déjà vu is as close as it gets for seeing the future. I had had an odd feeling Keizer catches a TD pass Sunday. He just happens to be +1900 for that same bet! What are the chances?
Here are some of my single game sample lines I am going to use for the Super Bowl! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for some updated lines closer to lock Sunday afternoon 2/7/2021.
Then there were four. Just like that! Twelve quarters of football left in the 2020 season. I thought about using this space to recap the season. Intertwine the lessons we learned with some sort of philosophical twist. Felt like a lot work! The way my brain works in addition to my love for writing and we would be here for hours.
So, I thought better of it! What else could we do together this week that we have not done yet this season? To be honest, we have just about covered everything. Winning, losing, laughing, and being upset. We have covered the full range of emotions. On the last weekend of football before the Super Bowl do, we play it safe.
Absolutely not! Now is the time to go all in! The day after the Super Bowl this season you will be hoping and praying for NFL DFS action. Let us get it while we can!
When you think about Bottom of the Barrel what comes to mind? If safe and boring come up first, then I have not been particularly good this season. For some odd reason I do not think those words will come up.
Patrick Mahomes KC vs BUF (13th)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$7,600)
Concussion or twisted nerve? Whatever has happened seems to be clearing up. Reports all over the wire today have said Mahomes has cleared “big steps”. As it stands now the decision is out of the Chiefs hands. The NFL has protocols in place for a reason. All signs point to Pat playing Sunday vs the Bills.
Aaron Rodgers GB vs TB (22nd)(FD-$8,700)(DK-$6,500)
If Aaron Rodgers is the starting QB for the Packers, then Green Bay will always be in the running for a Super Bowl. As a Detroit Lions fan, it is a touch pill to swallow. Realistically, it is the truth. In terms of Sunday, we are in for a treat.
Josh Allen BUF @ KC (20th)(FD-$8,500)(DK-$6,900)
What more can we say about this kid? At this point of the season not much left I can say to gas him up. Josh Allen is the real deal and will be well worth the money on Sunday in Kansas City.
Tom Brady TB @ GB (3rd)(FD-$7,800)(DK-$6,100)
Vintage playoff Tom Brady. Personally, TB12 is the best playoff QB of all time. Love it or hate him Tom just flat out gets it done. Looking ahead to Sunday we finally get to see a TB vs Rodgers head-to-head playoff game. Sunday will be the fourth time these two have faced off. Tom is also 2-1 vs Rodgers but those have all been regular season games.
Chad Henne KC vs BUF (13th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,000)
Just in case! Never know!
Aaron Jones GB vs TB (1st)(FD-$8,000)(DK-$6,500)
Are we done fading Aaron Jones yet? I have never understood the rationale behind leaving AJ behind. Putting him down and passing on him week-after-week. Jones fell one yard shy of hundred last weekends but ripped off a 60-yard run to begin the second half. I would be willing to bet a large portion will be fading Jones again this weekend. People see Tampa and where they rank against RB’s and do not think twice, fade. Not me and you should not either.
Leonard Fournette TB @ GB (27th)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,300)
Leo has looked fantastic so far in the playoffs. He is seen thirty-six total carries for 159 yards, caught nine passes from ten total targets and has scored twice. Even with Rojo active last weekend Fournette still found the endzone. Fournette still carried the ball 17 times. Fournette still saw six targets. Leonard win be a busy beaver Sunday in Green Bay!
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC vs BUF (22nd)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$5,000)
At the time of this publication, Wednesday, Clyde did practice today. Although a “light day” as coach Andy Reid said it is still a positive step. Thursday the 21st is the big full speed practice day for KC. Keep an eye out for CEH in practice reports this week. We will revisit on Sunday morning.
Darrel Williams KC vs BUF (22nd)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$4,800)
If the aforementioned CEH is deemed inactive then here is your guy! D-Will looked great last weekend vs the Browns. Out carrying Bell 17:3 and assuming lead back duties. At this point of the season, I do not see Andy Reid changing much.
To be fair the Bills really have reason to rush the ball, at all. You would think that would paint them into a corner, but they have made it this far! You can expect around six or seven carries along with three or four receptions. It is a safe floor, but it is a low one. Plan accordingly.
Ronald Jones II TB @ GB (27th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,600)
What if I told you about my idea to roster BOTH RoJo and Fournette on Sunday? Here me out! The temperature in Green Bay at kick-off will be around 28 degrees and about a 50% chance of snow. Tampa would be wise to use both backs in a 50/50 split. Each one stays active. Each one stays warm.
Jamaal Williams GB vs TB (1st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,400)
From my own personal game script, I would expect J-Will see a healthy amount of work Sunday. Not so much a 50/50 split like RoJo/Fournette but enough to make him viable in a pinch. Or to save money elsewhere in our lines.
Mike Evans TB @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,600)(DK-$5,800)
Evans is not in the normal price range for Bottom of the Barrel. It is Championship Sunday! No time to get cute and the exact time to pull out all the spots! There are only four teams left standing! We must spend up in spots! Mike Evans is constantly overlooked yet all he does is dominate in the endzone and score touchdowns. Kevin King and Jaire Alexander will be roaming around opposite Evans on Sunday but so will Gronk, Godwin, Brown and Brate. Something must give!
Antonio Brown TB @ GB (3rd)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,700)
Luckily, AB did not sustain any serious damage to the knee injury suffered last weekend. His MRI scan was clean, and he is day-to-day. Given the importance of Sundays game I would like to think AB will do all that he can to be out there. I would not make it a priority to roster him. More like a wait and see. Wait and see where your roster build takes you.
Allen Lazard GB vs TB (24th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,200)
What a great time for Lazard to find his stride! Allen caught four passes for 96 yards and a touchdown last week vs the Rams. This team at WR has been all Davante Adams and whoever else is active. Now, Allen Lazard is finally pulling his wait. Lazard is a safely deployed as a rock solid WR2 this weekend.
Marquez Valdez-Scantling GB vs TB (24th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$3,900)
Week-to-week who will it be? After Adams is it Lazard or MVS? MVS or Lazard? If you buy into that logic, then Sunday it will be MVS.
Mercole Hardman KC vs BUF (4th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,000)
Hardman was busy last weekend against the Browns. What he did worked. It worked well. So, well I am hoping Andy Reid lets it carry over on Sunday. Another four receptions and a carry would be outstanding for Mercole given his price tag.
Gabriel Davis BUF @ KC (2nd)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,500)
How many of you are Buffalo Bills fans? How many of you watched the Bills game last Saturday? Only reason I ask is to double check we saw the same thing. Davis was only targeted four times, but they were high upside targets. Two of them being red zone looks. The rookie tweaked his ankle last weekend and has not practiced yet this week.
Demarcus Robinson KC vs BUF (4th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$3,700)
It is tough trying to project what kind of work Demarcus will see week-to-week. We obviously know he is not going to be a WR1, but it is that homerun boom potential that keeps me coming back.
Tyler Johnson TB @ GB (3rd)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$3,000)
Nothing crazy here, just a shoutout out to all you Tyler Johnson truthers!
Robert Tonyan GB vs TB (22nd)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$3,600)
Rob is a safe bet for 3-4 targets Sunday. Never a ton of yardage but always a threat to score. If a touchdown dependent tight end is always scoring touchdowns does that make him touchdown dependent?
Rob Gronkowski TB @ GB (5th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,200)
Gronk saw five targets last weekend but was only able to reel one in. Sunday in Green Bay he should have his way with the Packers linebackers. Clearly a miss-match let us fire up Gronk in hopes of a playoff-Gronk type performance.
Cameron Brate TB @ GB (5th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,000)
Cam saw five targets just like Gronk, yet he caught four of them. I have this odd feeling one of these Tampa tight ends is going to score twice. Obviously, I do not know which one. So, I am going to make duplicate lines just swapping out Gronk for Brate and Brate for Gronk! Make sense?
Dawson Knox BUF @ KC (30th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$2,800)
Knoxy Knoxy Knoxy, what do we do with you? Dawson is low-end TE2 but his QB is Josh Allen. That alone is enough for me to roster him. Hard hitting analysis, I know. It has been a long season! What more do you want from me?
Mardedes Lewis GB vs TB (22nd)(FD-$4,300)(DK-$2,500)
Let us not get crazy. This may Marcedes’ last hoorah as a professional football player.
Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for Championship Sunday! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Sunday morning 1/24/21!
That is, it! Did I miss someone? Go find me on Twitter for the FULL and FREE lines!
Are you superstitious? What extremes have you gone to ensure your team wins? After Wild Card weekend it is safe to assume Cleveland Brown fans have done the most! Praying, wearing jerseys, rubbing stones, or even bowing down to tchotchkes. Whatever the Cleveland faithful have done it is clearly working!
Up next is the Divisional Round, the final four! Meaning, there is little to no room for error. We must be damn near perfect. Which is possible if we stay the course and dig in to Bottom of the Barrel. This article is not the end all be for DFS value plays, but it has been unbelievably effective all season. You have trusted me, and the continued support only makes me work harder. No time to let up now. Let us finish strong!
This article started as a never-ending quest for daily fantasy football advice but in an odd way Bottom of the Barrel incorporates three ideals I practice often. Setting goals, taking risk, and reassessing my life on a weekly basis. To be successful in DFS we need to be right within as well.
It is time! It is time to start looking at our DFS lines for the Divisional round!
Tom Brady TB @ NO (7th)(FD-$7,700)(DK-$6,300)
Tom is washed man. It is all over for him. That was cute! Now what? Playoff Tom has been activated! 381 passing yards and two touchdown passes in Tampa’s Wild Card win Saturday.
Cleveland does not stand a chance in Kansas City on Sunday, right? Not so fast! The Browns completely laid waste to the Steelers, at Heinz Field nonetheless, on Sunday. Momentum in professional sports is a real thing! The Browns have some major momentum and a ton of confidence right now! It cannot be denied. CLE @ KC also has the highest over/under of the weekend at 56. You are going to want a piece of this game!
Drew Brees NO vs TB (19th)(FD-$7,300)(DK-$5,600)
Another seemingly done noodle arm QB, Drew Brees, got it done last weekend. Now the Saints turn their attention to TB12 and the Tampa Bay Bucs. As a divisional foe, Drew hung 382 total passing yards along with six total touchdowns in two games against Tampa this season. Drew Brees is cheaper source of fantasy points this weekend. Add where needed!
Jared Goff LAR @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,200)
Throughout the course of the season one thing has become apparent. You either love Goff or you hate him. Which side of the fence are you on? Jared was thrust into action Saturday in Seattle after an awful injury to John Wolford. Goff did enough to help his team advance and here we are.
Cam Akers LAR @ GB (27th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$5,700)
If I have said it once I have said it a million times, Cam is an elite level talent. What is shocking to me has been all the Hendy vs Akers chatter on social media. I rarely give my personal opinions on social media because it is just not worth the headache. In a way I let the players do their thing and we move on. Cam is seeing a ton of carries and his YPC is extremely healthy! Do not overthink, roster the rookie!
J.K. Dobbins BAL @ BUF (23rd)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$6,000)
Speaking of impressive rookie RB’s, JK is now Baltimore’s RB1. Dobbins is not necessarily racking up the yardage but’s he has been extremely efficient! Scoring a touchdown in seven straight games! Saturday in Buffalo has all the makings of a heavyweight match-up. 50-point o/u with plenty of fantasy points to go around. Please get in on the action!
Ronald Jones II TB @ NO (1st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$5,200)
RoJo missed Tampa’s Wild Card contest due to a quadricep issue. As it stands now, Jones is still uncertain for Sundays game in New Orleans. Even if he can play is worth it? With only four teams playing our room for error is very slim! A 0.0 at any position this weekend would be devastating.
Leonard Fournette TB @ NO (1st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$4,900)
In Ronald Jones absence Leo carried the ball nineteen times for ninety-three yards and a touchdown. Like it or not Fournette is best play Sunday for the Buccaneers. With a little bit of Ke’Shawn Vaughn. (FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,000)
Kareem Hunt CLE @ KC (24th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,800)
Kareem Hunt was outstanding last weekend in the Browns win at Pittsburgh. His talents were on full display. I would imagine Hunt will once again be heavily involved in Kansas City. The combo of Nick Chubb and Hunt have yielded amazing results. Stats and analysis are fun and particularly important but what about the eye test? Kareem sure has passed that one!
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC vs CLE (5th) (FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,500)
Cleveland is a top-10 defense vs opposing RB’s, so I am not too excited to roster him. Although the rookie RB should be well rested and ready to go. On a positive note, I would expect CEH to see some high-upside type snaps/targets.
Le’Veon Bell KC vs CLE (5th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,100)
The only issue I have here with Bell is the presumptive workload. Will he? Won’t he? The Chiefs had a first-round bye obviously and now CEH should be back and ready to go! Best to use the wait and see approach with Bell this week.
Gus Edwards BAL @ BUF (23rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,200)
Baltimore had their way with the Titans on the ground last weekend. Two hundred- and thirty-six-yards rushing yards to be exact. The rushing yards and carries start with Lamar then Dobbins then Gus. One good thing here is the definite pecking order. It is a perfect situation for DFS players like us. There is a safe floor with massive TD upside for Gus this week. Edwards price is too sweet to pass up on in large tournaments this weekend!
Latavius Murray NO vs TB (3rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,300)
Murray has been a nice RB complimentary roster filler all season. Why would that change now? Much like Gus Edwards, you know what you are getting from Latavius each week.
Jamaal Williams GB vs LAR (2nd)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,400)
It is getting harder and harder to roster Jamaal. It is even tough to discuss why we should roster Williams in DFS formats. That coupled with an extremely difficult matchup this week vs the Rams make for an easy decision, just do not. Do not add Jamaal to your DFS teams this weekend. Then in the same breath that makes me want him more. Low ownership and all. I know, it is a sick hobby we have chosen.
Dang! Landry has looked fantastic as of late! Finding the endzone in four times his last six games. Again, stats and analysis will only get you far. Can we all agree the Browns are on one, right? They have some major momentum and are hitting on all cylinders. It is just too heavy to pass up on. Landry needs to be on out DFS teams this weekend.
Antonio Brown TB @ NO (19th)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$5,400)
Obviously, I would prefer Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but their price is not exactly B&B material. AB has clearly built a rapport with TB12 and will continue to see his targets and touches. Although his role has been limited as of late it is best to think ahead and predict a game script. This game has the potential to be a 28-24 final. Or even 35-31. You will want several pieces of this one!
Cooper Kupp LAR @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,300)
Kupp is ok! Kupp is going to play Saturday in Green Bay. Cooper has bursitis in his knee and will be limited in practice this week. Do not let that deter you from rostering him this weekend. Who knows how the coverage of the Rams WR’s is going to shake out? The idea of the Alexander treatment mixed with his swollen knee just might scare enough people away from Kupp giving those of us who roster him a leverage advantage!
Gabriel Davis BUF vs BAL (5th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,000)
Word is out! Yet, Gabe’s price on both formats have not really caught up. That is a perfect storm in my eyes! Davis has seen at least four targets their last seven games. While Gabe’s snap count decreased with the return of John Brown how long will that last? May I ask you all a serious question? Who are the Bills WR2 now? Go ahead, answer open and honestly!
Allen Lazard GB vs LAR (1st)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)
Lazard has not done much recently. Allen has topped three receptions or twenty yards his last two games. He has not even recorded anything over sixty yards since Green Bay played New Orleans at the end of September. So why should we consider Allen Lazard this week? Green Bay at home in a late afternoon playoff game is too sweet. Aaron Rodgers has been playing at an MVP rate and will do simply fine spreading the ball around. Davante Adams will be busy lined up against Jalen Ramsey forcing Rodgers to be surgical and methodical Saturday. I like that idea!
If you remember correctly Cris Collingsworth said during the CLE @ PIT broadcast Sunday night how enamored Baker is to Higgins. So, I investigated it. Rashard has seen twenty-five targets his last four games. In order of games, it has gone 7, 3, 5 and 10 targets wise. It is something we need to pay attention to Sunday in Kansas City.
Deonte Harris NO vs TB (24th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,500)
Fresh off the IR Harries lead the Saints in receptions and receiving yards. While tying in targets. Do I expect this to happen again vs Tampa Bay on Sunday? Absolutely not but I would rather be safe then sorry. Again, small slate equal extraordinarily little wiggle room for error. Harris is safer rostered this weekend than not!
Mercole Hardman KC vs CLE (28th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,900)
Adding Hardman in our lines this weekend is a tough sell. Yet realistically it is not a horrible decision. Once again, has everything to do with the game script, the defense, and the projected point totals.
Equanimeous St. Brown GB vs LAR (1st)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,000)
Nothing special to say here. Just the fact I believe Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers have their way with the Rams on Saturday. This one could wind up where Rodgers distributes the ball so well every single WR gets in on the fun. Just a thought.
Robert Tonyan GB vs LAR (17th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,200)
Tonyan catches touchdowns. That is what he does. That is, it. End of blurb.
Rob Gronkowski TB @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$3,600)
Playoff Gronk has yet to make an appearance. Rob gave us a steaming pile of 0.0 last weekend. Was it game flow? Was it match-up based? Whatever it was I do not expect it to continue this weekend in New Orleans. Yet, I passionately believe Gronks 0.0 performance is still fresh enough to push DFS players away this weekend. Just in time for a two-touchdown celebration on our rosters!
Jared Cook NO vs TB (21st)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,000)
There he is! Again! Cook tied for the team lead in targets (7) last weekend and yet I have not heard a peep about him. Am I comfortable playing Jared this week vs the Bucs? I am fully fading on Fanduel, but he is a full send on Draftkings this weekend. All pricing related.
Hooper has picked up the pace in terms of production. He caught 7-of-11 targets Sunday night in Pittsburgh. Let us not get overzealous though, all Browns players got in on the fun. Austin has seen a whopping 31 targets in the last three games and has gone over at least 10.5 fantasy points during that time.
Tyler Higbee LAR @ GB (5th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,000)
Please do not play Tyler Higbee this weekend. Only reason I added him in this space is to finally close my personal folder on him. He has been the odd man out what looks like all season. The fact he is over $5,000 on Fanduel is laughable.
Dawson Knox BUF vs BAL (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,100)
Despite popular belief, Dawson Knox is now a thing. No way around it folks. The Buffalo Bills are humming on offense and we should stake claim to as many pieces of this offense as possible! Knox is no exception!
Cameron Brate TB @ NO (26th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$2,900)
Brate caught four of six targets for eighty yards in Wild Card weekend. Is there a chance it is going to be Gronk or Brate each week? Back and forth? Who knows, that sounds exhausting. Just keep an eye out when you are building lines for the divisional round. The potential and the price are ripe for the picking!
Harrison Bryant CLE @ KC (30th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,500)
Shot in the dark here. Harrison was not target Sunday night vs Pittsburgh after being activated from the COVID-IR. He only played 22 snaps as well. It is obvious why; the entire team was dealing with COVID scares and quarantines. It is no secret I normally punt the TE spot and Bryant is on my radar as a flyer!
Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/16/21! Also Sunday morning 1/17/21!
That is, it! Did I miss someone?
Be on the lookout for FREE Saturday only lines along with FREE Sunday only lines! In addition to FREE single game lineups all weekend!
We’re on the verge of a new season! The post-season!
Balance? Ever heard of it? Well, it takes me longer to find it compared to others but in doing so, you’ll learn a lot about yourself along the way. I learned two things. I’m afraid of failing and I’m afraid of success. It’s an odd scenario right? It’s either one or the other I told myself. Few months back I had to take an honest look at myself.
What’s the opposite of fear? Took me months to figure it out. So while soul searching I asked myself a few questions…
What is my purpose? What is my calling? What am I passionate about?
After taking an honest hard look at myself I came to one conclusion. I just need to have hope. Faith is the opposite of fear! With some some faith in my life, those questions become meaningless. The only piece of the puzzle I need is hope and the rest will come!
That’s what every DFS fan has to start each new slate! Hope and faith that this roster is the one to hit big! Now multiple that by a million to start a completely different sport! With that comes a new attitude and a new commitment for knowledge.
The playoffs are odd. The playoffs are exciting. In some cases, they go exactly as planned. Yet they are completely off the wall. It’s time! Let’s dig into the Super Duper Wild Card weekend!
Mitchell Trubisky CHI @ NO (8th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,300)
Mitch has had a good run for the Bears this season. He was the starter then Nick Foles then back to starting QB. The Bears have snuck into the playoffs as a Wild Card. On Sunday they travel to New Orleans and no one is really expecting much from them.
Philip Rivers IND @ BUF (13th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,400)
Phil has done just enough to get the Colts into the playoffs. Let us be honest, rookie RB Jonathan Taylor has played a huge role in the Colts successful season. The Buffalo Bills are steamrolling people which is a positive for Phil here. Likely playing from behind and forced to throw is a great move for Phil. He has always been a slinger. That is where he is most comfortable!
The Cleveland Browns are in the playoffs! What? This game should be a hard-hitting slobber knocker. Sorry my old WWF roots come out in the most inopportune times. Cleveland and Baker are in for one heck of a fight on Sunday. This contest is going to be competitive down to the last snap.
Alex Smith WSH vs TB (16th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,100)
Is the Washington Football Team a feel-good story this season? I know Alex Smith playing is! This game is going to be closer than people expect! The dink and dunk style of Smith should play well at home against Tampa.
Cam Akers LAR @ SEA (15th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,100)
Cam active in week 17 but did not do much. 21 carries for 34 yards. If we do the math that is a 1.6 ypc (yards per carry) clip. Not good! Yet on Saturday this kid should have a lot more room to run. He is elusive. He is electric and coach McVay has no issue giving him a large workload.
Kareem Hunt CLE @ PIT (3rd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,800)
I am not an NFL coach. Do not think it takes an NFL coach to see what Cleveland must do to win on Sunday. Hammer home running the ball. Nick Chubb has been outstanding running the ball all season. While Hunt is just around to assist. If Cleveland can work in Hunt a successful day can be had.
Gus Edwards BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,400)
Gus has become the RB2 behind rookie RB Dobbins. Gus has totaled 36 carries in his last three games. Meaning, a 10+ carry day is on tap Sunday in Tennessee. The Titans are a formidable foe, but they give up 26.93 points a game along with an average of 104.5 rushing yards a contest.
Nyheim Hines IND @ BUF (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,700)
Right now, for the Colts it is the JT show. Yet Hines lead the team in receptions, receiving yards and targets in week 17. If the Colts want any chance at upsetting the red-hot Bills they must be firing on all cylinders. Could Hines be the key to unlocking that?
Zack Moss BUF vs IND (11th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,600)
Moss is no stranger to Bottom of the Barrel. It is no secret Moss and Singletary have basically been used in tandem all season. Let us not overreact to Zack’s minimal usage in week 17. Looks like it was just a rest and relaxation type of thing. I am going out a limb here to say that Moss will see a heavy uptick in usage on Saturday. At the price it is something we cannot gloss over.
J.D. McKissic WSH vs TB (4th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,800)
I do not have any kids, but I have always heard about parents saying they have no favorites. Well, McKissic is a favorite of mine! JD finished the season with 80 total receptions and should be on your radar Saturday night. Tampa Bay is 4th overall against opposing RB but with McKissic catching passes that would mean he is more of a WR. Tampa is 19th overall vs WR’s.
Latavius Murray NO vs CHI (10th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,500)
Murray did not play in week 17. Alvin was out too. Both with in close contact to COVID. Both New Orleans Saints RB are eligible to return after ten days. Sunday the 10th is exactly ten days. They will need to pass several tests including a cardiac screening prior to kick-off. It is an issue worth monitoring.
Mark Ingram II BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,000)
Rookie running back JK Dobbins has matured and become the Ravens RB1 faster than expected. We all saw this coming! Yet something tells me Baltimore will give Mark some carries in this one! The ole crafty veteran RB in the playoffs is indispensable right?
Benny Snell Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,200)
We do not normally put players down and throw people under the bus here at Bottom of the Barrel, but James Connor is not it. James had another slow and quite week. While Steeler head coach Mike Tomlin did say how he wanted to get Snell more involved. Well, that has not happened yet. Pittsburgh is primed and ready to roll in the playoffs but what is their identity? I have a sneaking suspicion Benny rips off one heck of a game Sunday.
Alex Collins SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
Football is a funny sport. DFS is even more wacky! A 26-year-old running back like Collins get a crack at carrying the ball this season after some injuries and illnesses and here we are! Limited carries (2,11 and 5) yet back-to-back games with a touchdown. There is little to no upside here. More like an educated punt play.
Rashaad Penny SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
This is the NFL Playoffs it is not wise to punt or stray too far from the studs. That is exactly what losing DFS players will tell you. A few quick searches and you will see Penny has taken on a larger role each week since his return. Penny makes for a nice compliment this weekend at home vs the Rams.
Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)
What are the chances rookie RB McFarland Jr. getting any amount of substantial work Sunday night? Not high! Not likely! On the off-chance Tomlin switches gears mid-game then there is no reason to roster Anthony.
Chase Claypool PIT vs CLE (24th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,200)
We have all heard social media telling us it is tough to choose what PIT WR will go off week-to-week. Yet the targets for Claypool have been steady! His last four games the targets are as follows; 6, 8, 6 and 11. Chase will get a rematch vs the Cleveland Browns on Sunday night and I could not be more excited!
Darnell Mooney CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)
Mooney has had a fantastic rookie year. Capping off his 2020 season catching 11 of 13 targets for 93 yards. More importantly, Sunday in New Orleans, the Chicago Bears will need to keep pace with Brees and the loaded Saints offense.
Zach Pascal IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,700)
No one has mentioned Zach and his last three games. Ten receptions and three touchdowns. Sometimes DFS is about the match-up more than the actual player. I know, it sounds silly but that is what we have here for Pascal. Buffalo should hang 30+ points in this one forcing Phil and Pascal to be heavily involved.
Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,500)
Pittman Jr. has ridden the rookie WR wave in terms of production, but the talent is there! The same could be said for Pittman as stated for Pascal. It is no secret, but I am going to be stacking Colts this weekend.
Gabriel Davis BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,000)
Now we are talking! Davis has seen four or more targets in Buffalo’s last six games. You will want any and all pieces of this offense you can get your hands-on Saturday.
Miles Boykin BAL @ TEN (31st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,400)
Boykin is not going to pile up PPR points, but he seems to be good for at least one or two deep routes a game.
Cordarrelle Patterson CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,000)
Patterson has been a fantastic real-life player for Chicago all season. He sees a mix of receptions, running routes, carrying the football and even special team’s work. His snap count has diminished a touch but again Chicago finds themselves in a touch spot on Sunday in New Orleans.
Isaiah McKenzie BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,300)
Speaking of underappreciated dart throws, Isaiah McKenzie! In the absence of Cole Beasley McKenzie saw work from the slot. Last I checked Beasley is still day-to-day. Will he play? Won’t he play? I am not one to wait around, so I am locking in Isaiah this weekend.
Cam Sims WSH vs TB (19th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,900)
Cam has really come on strong as of late. To the tune of 19 receptions his last five games. Sims is by no means a world beater or stud WR, yet, but he is earned a larger role moving forward. No time like the present! Wild Card weekend!
Marquez Callaway NO vs CHI (8th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,100)
The Saints have dealt with offensive injuries all season. Opening some sort of work for Callaway. He is seen back-to-back four target games and his pricing on both sites is perfect!
Cole Kmet CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,000)
Cole has been learning and growing in this offense all season. Kmet has tallied 22 total targets the last four weeks. The Saints are not all that good against opposing TE’s. It is a perfect storm on Sunday afternoon.
Jonnu Smith TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,200)
Jonnu has flamed out. Started out strong and just flopped. Large in part to an injury. Yet at this time of the season in DFS we need to build the best possible lines. By now hopefully you are aware of my propensity to punt tight ends. The upside for Jonnu is too high to pass.
Jimmy Graham CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,300)
Revenge game? Look, sometimes we must cling to anything and everything positive. Jimmy has not played for New Orleans since 2014. Jimmy has scored eight touchdowns this season. Not to mention two multi-TD games. It is Wild Card weekend! Let us get wild! Would we dare stack Chicago tight ends?
Dawson Knox BUF vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,200)
Social media has talked down about Knox. Let us not make him a thing to be specific. While I understand, I do not agree. This Buffalo Bills offense is high powered and certain players get lost in the shuffle. There should be no issue taking a flier on Knox Saturday.
Jacob Hollister SEA vs LAR (16th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$2,700)
At this stage of the article what more can we say? The positive here, Hollister has scored a touchdown in back-to-back weeks! This game is going to be tight. Separated by three or four points.
Jack Doyle IND @ BUF (30th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,900)
The Colts have several passable players at tight end. Trey Burton and Mo Al-Cox to be specific. Yet I passionately believe Doyle is the guy the lean on at the position in Buffalo on Saturday.
Again, nothing fancy just a punt-able play with upside this week at tight end. Playoff Gronk and playoff Brady are a thing to behold! Who is to say Brate cannot see a little action?
Vance McDonald PIT vs CLE (25th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$4,500)
Only mentioning Vance in the case Eric Ebron is still out on the COVID-IR for Sunday nights game. If that is the case, then let us give McDonald a shot.
Anthony Firkser TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,700)
If you have an issue with Jonnu then let us turn our attention to Firkser! Did Jonnu screw you over in your seasonal leagues? Have a negative interaction with him? Then Firkser is your tight end! BAL @ TEN has the highest o/u of the weekend. Sitting at 54 total points. I am easy to please, so this sways it for me!
Lee Smith BAL vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,200)(DK-$2,500)
I am not trying to fool anyone here. Lee is 100% in Bottom of the Barrel because of his week 16 performance. At least we now know the Bills have some sort of room for him on the field!
Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for Super Wild Card Weekend! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/9/21! Also Sunday morning 1/10/21!
Look for some updated lines for the Saturday only and Sunday only slates too!
How fast has this season gone by to you? In most cases week 17 is easier to navigate then other weeks during the season. Playoff spots are locked up. Several good players are rested in preparation of the actual NFL playoffs. Thus, creating massive value with backup players!
It has been a wild season. So many ups and so many downs yet we’ve made it.
Let me swift through this week for you! Patrick Mahomes has already been given the day off! So has Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh. Going to be an odd Sunday!
What’s shocking is the fact I keep writing “new feature” in Bottom of the Barrel to mention the most expensive player at each position. Yet here we are, last week of the regular season. That is how fast this season has gone!
Lamar Jackson BAL @ CIN (14th)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$8,000)
Here are some cheaper options at QB in week 17!
Russell Wilson SEA @ SF (7th)(FD-$7,500)(DK-$7,300)
Mr. Unlimited has made his way into Bottom of the Barrel? Trust me, I am just as shocked as you are! Seattle has already locked up the NFC West division. Let us hope HC Pete Carrol opens the playbook to get the guys ready for the playoffs!
Drew Brees NO @ CAR (16th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$5,900)
Drew looked sharper in last week’s contest after his extended layoff. This week will be all about knocking the rust off and getting to sharpen the blade for the NFC playoffs.
Philip Rivers IND vs JAX (30th)(FD-$7,300)(DK-$6,000)
Derek Carr LV @ DEN (25th)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,700)
Andy Dalton DAL @ NYG (6th)(FD-$7,100)(DK-$5,600)
Tua Tagovailoa MIA @ BUF (17th)(FD-$6,800)(DK-$5,100)
C.J.Beathard SF vs SEA (27th)(FD-$6,600)(DK-$5,200)
Chase Daniel DET vs MIN (13th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$4,900)
Chad Henne KC vs LAR (23rd)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$5,100)
Below is the most expensive player at RB in week 17. Just helps me put the B&B player prices in perspective!
Dalvin Cook MIN @ DET (31st)(FD-$10,400)(DK-$9,200)
On Wednesday December 30th news broke that Cook was leaving the team after a family emergency. His father has died. Our prayers are with Dalvin and his family currently.
Here are some cheaper options I like for week 17.
Jeff Wilson Jr. SF vs SEA (15th)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$6,000)
Giovani Bernard CIN vs BAL (12th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$5,400)
Gus Edwards BAL @ CIN (19th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$4,900)
Nyheim Hines IND vs JAX (30th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$4,900)
Darrel Williams KC vs LAC (14th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,800)
Wayne Gallman Jr. NYG vs DAL (24th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$5,300)
Malcolm Brown LAR vs ARZ (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,300)
A.J. Dillon GB @ CHI (10th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,900)
James White NE vs NYJ (16th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,500)
Ke’Shawn Vaughn TB vs ATL (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,400)
Alexander Mattison MIN @ DET (31st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$6,100)
Alfred Morris NYG vs DAL (24th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,000)
Mike Boone MIN @ DET (31st)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)
Below is the most expensive player at WR in week 17. Just helps me put the B&B player prices in perspective!
Davante Adams GB @ CHI (6th)(FD-$9,300)(DK-$9,200)
Here are some cheaper options I like at WR this week!
Nelson Agholor LV @ DEN (12th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$5,400)
RussellGage ATL @ TB (20th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$5,400)
Jakobi Meyers NE vs NYJ (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$5,000)
Sterling Shepard NYG vs DAL (28th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$5,200)
Zach Pascal IND vs JAX (24th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,200)
James Washington PIT @ CLE (23rd)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,500)
Jerry Jeudy DEN vs LV (19th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,200)
Juwan Johnson NO @ CAR (10th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$3,400)
No secret here! The most expensive tight end has been lights out all season!
Travis Kelce KC vs LAC (22nd)(FD-$8,800)(DK-$8,600)
Here are some cheaper plays at TE for week 17!
Trey Burton IND vs JAX (26th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$2,800)
Dan Arnold ARZ @ LAR (17th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,100)
Dawson Knox BUF vs MIA (16th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,000)
Durham Smythe MIA @ BUF (30th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$2,500)
Cameron Brate TB vs ATL (31st)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,900)
Nick Keizer KC vs LAC (22nd)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$3,200)
Tyler Conklin MIN @ DET (23rd)(FD-$4,300)(DK-$3,000)
Merry Christmas! Happy holidays! If you asked me over the summer what my expectations for Christmas in 2020 were, I would’ve have painted a completely different picture. We all have different ideas, goals, and passions. Yet as much as we plan life does not go accordingly.
What is your favorite Christmas memory? Pick one and let us discuss it. Let the warmness and joy fill your soul. You have earned it! Merry Christmas!
Drew Brees NO vs MIN (13th)(FD-$14,500)(DK-$10,200)
On such a small slate our options are limited. It is either Drew or Kirk. To be honest, you do not have to roster either one if you choose! Drew has a safe floor here today, around 240 yards and one touchdown.
Kirk Cousins MIN @ NO (12th)(FD-$14,000)(DK-$9,600)
The Vikings are a 7-point underdog today in New Orleans. Rightfully so given the high-end performance from the Saints recently. Kirk has thrown multiple TD’s in 10-of-14 games this season. Depending on your approach today Kirk is very much in play.
Taysom Hill NO vs MIN (13th)(FD-$10,000)(DK-$6,000)
With Drew Brees now back as the starting QB, Taysom has been relegated back to his gadgetry ways. This is an exploitable match-up in terms of receiving work. Hill is a contrarian play only today.
Dalvin Cook MIN @ NO (1st)(FD-$16,000)(DK-$12,000)
Cook has taken this Vikings team and carried them on his back! Dalvin has averaged 29.3 touches a game since week 7. Cook is an absolute workhorse in this offense in every way possible! In 84% of their games this season, Cook has averaged 20+ touches. Personally, I have Cook around 130 all purpose yards and a touchdown.
Alvin Kamara NO vs MIN (16th)(FD-$15,000)(DK-$11,400)
Hallelujah! Amen! With Drew Brees back as their QB1 Alvin’s workload has returned to normal! The Vikings made David Montgomery look like an All-Pro in week 15. Full speed ahead for Kamara! I have Alvin for around 120 all purpose yards and a touchdown.
Latavius Murray NO vs MIN (16th)(FD-$8,500)(DK-4,800)
If you roster Cook and Alvin, you will notice your total average for spending elsewhere takes a huge hit. Murray makes for a nice complimentary piece today.
Ameer Abdullah MIN @ NO (1st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$200)
Ameer is nothing more than a lineup filler today. The Vikings love to run, run, and run yet Ameer is an afterthought. I do not expect Abdullah to see more than four total targets this afternoon but hey, if you are max entering all options are on the table!
C.J. Ham MIN @ NO (1st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$200)
Ham plays a bigger role in this Minnesota offense then we give him credit for. He is a huge reason why Cook can find room week after week. CJ does have the questionable tag so be mindful of that. I could see a case where the Vikings coaching staff lets Ham punch one in at the goal line as a thank you and Merry Christmas!
Alexander Mattison MIN @ NO (1st)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$2,000)
Mattison will not play on Christmas. He was just downgraded to OUT due to a concussion.
Mike Boone MIN @ NO (1st)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$200)
The only way Boone would be a viable option is if Ham were ruled out along with Mattison. This game has all the makings of a 25+ carry game from Dalvin Cook. Again, in massive tournaments we must think of everything!
Justin Jefferson MIN @ NO (19th)(FD-$12,500)(DK-$9,200)
Now we are talking! The rookie has turned it on as of late seeing double digit targets in three of his last four. Two 100 yard receiving games his last three. Is Justin now the WR1 in Minnesota?
Adam Thielen MIN @ NO (19th)(FD-$12,000)(DK-$8,600)
Adam has been disappointing as of late in terms of receptions and yardage, yet he is still finding the endzone. Thielen has already set a career high in touchdown receptions (13) and will give our teams that WR2 upside. I have no issue stacking Justin/Adam today!
Emmanuel Sanders NO vs MIN (27th)(FD-$10,500)(DK-$8,800)
In the absences of star wideout Michael Thomas, Sanders has become a viable option at WR and even a safety blanket for Drew Brees. The Vikes have given up the 6th most fantasy points to opposing WR’s on a per game basis. I find Manny Sanders to be a must start this afternoon.
Tre ‘Quan Smith NO vs MIN (27th)(FD-$7,500)(DK-$6,400)
Smith will be inactive today with an ankle injury.
Chad Beebe MIN @ NO (19th(FD-$6,000)(DK-$1,800)
The Minnesota Vikings offense goes through Cook, Jefferson and Theilen leaving only the scraps for a guy like Beebe. When building your lines and being left with no cash I would still fade Chad. If you are looking to punt a roster spot look elsewhere.
Lil’Jordan Humphrey NO vs MIN (27th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$2,600)
My new favorite name! No Michael Thomas. No Tre ‘Quan Smith. Targets must go somewhere!
Juwan Johnson NO vs MIN (27th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$2,200)
Johnson was on the field for 42 offensive snap last week. Most he is played all season. At this point of the article, I am sure you are aware a guy like Johnson is not going to explode but he can play a major role in a big GPP.
Marquez Callaway NO vs MIN (27th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$200)
Callaway was activated from IR Thursday swapping spots with Tre-Quan. His price on DraftKings is just flat out ridiculous! Stack studs then roster Marquez!
Jared Cook NO vs MIN (10th)(FD-$9,500)(DK-$5,600)
I cannot be the only that thinks Cooks might go nuts today right? For several weeks now we have all written off Jared. In seasonal formats we are looking elsewhere. I will not have 100% exposure, but I will hedge some bets with Cook just in case!
Irv Smith Jr. MIN @ NO (19th)(FD-$7,500)(DK-$5,200)
It is next to impossible trusting a Minnesota tight end but of their grouping I would turn to Irv Jr. His price point is just around where we would expect. Look for Irv to see four or five targets today.
Kyle Rudolph MIN @ NO (19th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$2,400)
Rudolph is OUT for week 16 with a foot injury.
Tyler Conklin MIN @ NO (19th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$3,000)
In the absence of Kyle, I find Tyler to be the best value at tight end today. If he catches another touchdown pass everybody will be checking their lines and looking around and saying, “I had him in my line but took him out last minute!” Conklin makes for a nice punt/lineup filler.
Josh Hill NO vs MIN (10th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$200)
There is absolutely no reason to roster Josh Hill today.
Adam Trautman NO vs MIN (10th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$1,000)
The Saints have revived the corpse of Jared Cook thus suppressing any work from Trautman.
Here are two of my sample lines I am going to use on Christmas Day! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Another Week come and gone and my second to last installment of my NFL Playoff predictions are here with lots of changes to both conferences as well as some new fantasy player value changes. Let me know what you think, and if this is the playoff bracket you could see going down!
Legend: Fantasy Value Up: ↗ Fantasy Value Down: ↘ Fantasy Value No Change: −
1. Detroit Lions: 25 v Tennessee Titans: 46
Derrick Henry once again reminded us why he is the king, and Ryan Tannehill lit up the skies simultaneously throwing for 273 yards and 3 pass touchdowns finally dethroning anyone who claims Tannehill is riding on the coat tail of Henry. (including myself) The Ball was spread around a lot, and though he didn’t throw the ball a lot, he was deadly accurate making multiple deep passes count. Despite their run heavy game, Tannehill has been relatively steady in his production and remains a top 10 option moving forward. There’s not too many negatives about this Tennessee offense, all of their starters ought to be reliable floor streamers week in and out with the exception of Jonnu Smith and 3rd team receivers who tend to have dry spells since Vrabel’s game script is generally pretty run heavy when the Titans lead by halftime.
As for the Lions, DFS stacks involving Stafford and one of his receivers continue to please. The battered yet determined Stafford is a once of kind leader, and one we don’t see too often, routinely playing through various injuries, his performance is remarkable, however he remains a fringe fantasy play especially for those in the championship game. Much like the Titans, this Lions team is starting to move to the ground game as its primary means of attack. D’andre swift has effortlessly cemented his role as lead back and continues to fill in with the help of legendary future hall of famer Adrian Peterson. However, Detroit fantasy owners should be weary of starting anyone on the ground against Tampa Bay in week 15 and their brick wall run defense. Look to Stafford to air it out again, especially to Hockenson and Marvin Jones who dominated his target share against Tennessee
Matt Stafford − Ryan Tannehill ↗ D’andre Swift ↗ Derrick Henry ↗ Adrian Peterson − AJ Brown ↗ Marvin Jones ↗ Corey Davis − TJ Hockenson − Jonnu Smith ↘
2. LA Rams: 20 v NY Jets: 23
For the first time in the 2020 season the Jets have a win, and they earned it against one of the best defenses in the league, nonetheless. Unfortunately for Jets fans this does not come with too much excitement given they’ve since been pushed back in first round draft placement. Honestly…I wouldn’t think too much of it. Teams have down weeks sometimes, this one probably the result of “easy opponent” mindset. You can best believe that Sean McVay and co will tighten up all ends of their game plan as they coast into playoff contention. However, this fault in the chemistry and overall lack of explosiveness on offense is enough for me to rethink their playoff potential. If it is enough for a team like the Jets to expose, its enough to keep you out of the race for a ring. Oh boy was it was embarrassing.
Despite the win, Sam Darnold and company really did not get much going on offense. Sam threw only his 6th passing TD and garnered another fumble too. Frank gore got a TD on the ground, but that was a fluke score. Both teams played very modest and un-interesting games. Fans on both sides went home upset. Quite frankly, in terms of fantasy I’d say its best to pretend like this game didn’t even happen. Most of these guys are desperation plays anyways and if you’re on your way to the championship you probably have some better options.
Sam Darnold ↘ Jared Goff − Frank Gore − Cam Akers − Jamison Crowder − Robert Woods ↗ Denzel Mims − Cooper Kupp ↗ Chris Hogan ↘ Tyler Higbee − Christopher Herndon ↘ Gerald Everett −
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 31 v Atlanta Falcons: 27
Down by 17 late in the game, this victory by Brady seemed all too familiar. Granted this was just a regular season divisional game and not the Super Bowl. Nevertheless, the Falcons easily exposed Tampa’s holes and rose to 24-7 before Tom Brady once again proved to us why he has earned the title “The Goat”. Now 43, Tom Brady has put the Buccaneers In the fight for what would be his 10th title run. Despite the Falcons pitfalls, both Matt Ryan and Brady shared similar passing stats and should maintain their pace of airing it out as both teams routinely play from behind.
Leonard Fournette filled in well for the COVID/Reserve designated Ronald Jones. But fantasy owners should expect Lenny to take a back seat when Ronald Jones returns. The expectation crushing Todd Gurley was also irrelevant, and interim Falcons HC Raheem Morris alluded to Ito Smith being the premier back from here on out too. Lots of mix ups late in the season, certainly not the last for this team going into the off season. For now, the array of passing threats from both teams remain top streaming options. Both quarterbacks throw the ball frequently, accurately, ensuring a modest game from nearly every 1st and 2nd team passing option even at their floor.
Tom Brady ↗ Matt Ryan − Ronald Jones ↗ Todd Gurley ↘ Leonard Fournette ↘ Ito Smith ↗ Mike Evans ↗ Julio Jones − Chris Godwin ↗ Russell Gage − Antonio Brown − Calvin Ridley ↗ Scott Miller − Hayden Hurst − Rob Gronkowski −
Have a great holiday! Enjoy yourselves and be safe! Look for my next Playoff Predictor article same time next week!
Here we are! A few short days away from Christmas. Time flies when you are having fun right? This year is a testament that regardless of your attitude and surroundings time still flies. The sun still rises and sets. The Earth still spins!
Does anyone know the definition of insanity? Read from a dictionary it reads, the state of being mentally ill, madness. If we dig a little deeper the secondary definition states, extreme foolishness, or irrationality. By definition I have been insane for years! No, I am not clinically insane locked up in a padded room wearing a strait jacket. I do, however, tend to act with extreme foolishness with a touch of irrationality. My definition of insanity goes like this, doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. Well, if that isn’t the truth! Let us apply this sentence to the life of a DFS player! Each week we read the same articles, visit the same websites, and text the same people.
If you have not put two and two together yet let me spell it out for you. We are all insane. All DFS players are nuts! Especially you, right now for reading this! I already know your next thought. Well, aren’t you, Chris Robin, part of the problem then? Funny you should ask because I was just about to explain myself! If Bottom of the Barrel is part of your research memorandum each week then did, I just contradict myself? The same ole same ole? Reading the same piece of boring trash each week expecting different results? The answer is quite simple! No! No way! In an odd yet humble way I believe B&B is unique from most DFS related articles.
Below is the most expensive player at QB in week 16. Just helps me put the B&B player prices in perspective!
Patrick Mahomes KC vs ATL (32nd)(FD-$9,400)(DK-$8,500)
Here are some cheaper options at QB in week 16 I love!
Mitchell Trubisky CHI @ JAX (31st)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,700)
Mitch has been on a heater! He has had success moving out and around the pocket and finding the open receiver. This week in Jacksonville he may not be expected to do much. Manage the game and feed David Montgomery. Yet I could a see case where Mitch has the quietest three touchdown pass day ever!
Andy Dalton DAL vs PHI (17th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,500)
Oh yuck. If you read the opening in its entirety, then you know the theme here is insanity. Willingly rostering Andy Dalton is quite sickening. Yet, over his last five games Andy has 10:3 TD:INT ratio. Having won three of those last five games.
Sam Darnold NYJ vs CLE (24th)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,000)
The New York football Jets enter this contest fresh off their first win of the season! Dare I say that Sam Darnold has some momentum? He topped 200+ passing yards for the first time since week 4! He played a mistake free game as well! Wait, not entirely mistake free seeing how he was sacked twice and fumbled once. To be clear, the fumble was not lost. The Jets regained possession. I think that is a good sign, don’t you?
Dwayne Haskins WSH vs CAR (18th)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$4,800)
I have no plans of rostering Dwayne this week or any other week to be clear. I have this platform, so I would like to use it briefly. Dwayne Haskins is a child. An uneducated fool. Getting the starting gig back in week 15 in place of real starting QB, Alex Smith, he proceeded to go out after the game. To a local club, around others without wearing a mask. I am not here to debate social issues and mask wearing but I want to give my opinion on this immature imbecile. Any sane person with common sense would tell you that this is awful. It is unbelievably stupid. Unfortunately, Dwayne is not a regular working-class kid. He is a professional football player. He has put his teammates and coaches at risk. He is harming his team big time. I would not be shocked if Washington fired him. Cut him loose, good luck elsewhere stupid. After all this time how does an individual not know this behavioral will not be tolerated. It goes beyond immaturity. It is borderline negligent and extremely dangerous.
Ryan Finley CIN @ HOU (15th)(FD-$6,600)(DK-$4,800)
Let reel it in and discuss some positivity! Ryan Finley looked damn good Monday night! He was running all over the place! He was throwing all over the field too! If the Bengals can play with that same sense of toughness, they did vs the Steelers they may have a winning streak on their hands!
Below is the most expensive player at RB in week 16. Just helps me put the B&B player prices in perspective!
Christian McCaffery CAR @ WSH (4th)(FD-$10,000)(DK-$9,200)
Don’t freak out. No idea if CMC will be active this week. He’s offered on both sites only reason I’m mentioning him here.
Here are some cheaper options I love at RB in week 16!
Antonio Gibson WSH vs CAR (25th)(FD-$6,600)(DK-$6,600)
Nothing concrete yet but if Gibby is active we should all be licki9ng our chops! Washington is currently the 4th seed in the NFC playoff picture and 1st place in the NFC East! I would imagine the Football Team is walking a thin line between letting the rookie heal yet needed him back ASAP! More Gibson news should be made available as the weeks goes on. Pay close attention! If he is active, I will have 100% exposure!
Le’Veon Bell KC vs ATL (7th)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$5,800)
Bell will no doubt be a popular play this weekend after rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire was injured. In all honestly, I do not think this game will be particularly close. Two teams heading in opposite directions. Do the Chiefs give Bell a steady dose of carries? Prepare him for larger roll in the playoffs? CEH has already been declared OUT for the remainder of the 2020 season. My money is on Bell see the lions share of carries from here on out.
Tony Pollard DAL vs PHI (11th)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$6,500)
If you were Jerry Jones what would you do with Zeke for the remainder of the season? Exactly! I would do the same. Let me spell it out for anyone not too sure what we are think. I would 100% absolutely give Elliot these final two games off. Go away, go rest, go relax and rediscover yourself. Zeke has clearly not been the Zeke of old. I still believe it was due in large part to Dak and that gruesome leg injury. I also passionately believe Zeke will return to form in 2021. Until that day lets get Tony P. 20-25 total touches a game. If that is the case our DFS lines will certainly pop off!
J.K. Dobbins BAL vs NYG (21st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$6,200)
It is official right? The Mark Ingram era in Baltimore is officially over. It is the JK & Gus show from here on out. To sweeten the deal Dobbins has scored a touchdown in four straight games. The Ravens are hitting their stride at the absolute perfect time. Spend the money on JK this weekend. Merry Christmas!
Giovani Bernard CIN @ HOU (31st)(FD-$6,000)DK-$4,800)
My B&B notes are normally done by bedtime on Sunday night. Only reason I tell you this is the fact I was 50/50 that Gio was going to be mentioned here. Then Monday Night Football happened, and it made me smile! Gio scored twice and racked up 97 total yards. At this rate Bernard just might be a nice safe play rest of the season. Safe with multi-touchdown upside! Plus, it would not be Bottom of the Barrel if we were not picking on the Houston Texans DST!
Wayne Gallman Jr. NYG @ BAL (15th)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$5,700)
Fantasy football is a fickle beast. We use players up and spit them out. Case in point, Wayne Gallman Jr. We had a few good weeks together, me and Wayne, now it looks to be a committee backfield with Alfred Morris (FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,000). In all seriousness who is to say we cannot stack Alf & Wayne in week 16. Has all the makings of a cool cartoon at-least. The Adventures of Alf & Wayne!
J.D. McKissic WSH vs CAR (25th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$6,400)
I seriously cannot quit this guy! I will have to go back and check, but I am almost certain McKissic has set a B&B record for consecutive weeks mentioned in the article. To be honest I can think of several other backs that would make me look foolish if I were attached too. Without Gibby or with Gibby, JD has a definite role on this team, and I am going roster him each week! Sunday vs the Panthers will be no exception!
Ito Smith ATL @ KC (24th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,000)
Is anyone else bummed out about Todd Gurley basically being replaced? Todd was a mainstay in our fantasy lines for several seasons. Looks like that time is over. Ito has been named the Falcons RB1. Which does not mean much but it opens some big-time value and salary relief for our DFS lines rest of season.
Rashaad Penny SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
Here is the deal, it is shocking how many messages I receive about Penny. So, I would like to discuss them all right now. In order if I may. Yes, yes, no, maybe, no chance, sometimes, yes, and yes. Hopefully, that helps!
Below is the most expensive player at WR in week 16. Just helps me put the B&B player prices in perspective.
Tyreek Hill KC vs ATL (32nd)(FD-$9,400)(DK-$9,000)
Oh boy, if you like spend money on either site here is your golden goose for week 16.
Below are some cheaper options at WR I love this week!
DJ Chark JAX vs CHI (4th)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,800)
People want Chark to be a thing so bad. Like bad. Talking about it constantly on social media bad. Not being rude, just seeing! That is where people get in trouble. Someone simply sees then gets ridiculed for it. Ala Captain Obvious, who people pick on. What just happened? Back to DJ, his price has dropped to a more respectable place allowing us to toss him in our lines and only being helped, not hurt, if that makes sense. I would be willing to bet Chark has his lowest ownership of the season in week 16. Thus, making him important for all who take the plunge!
Curtis Samuel CAR @ WSH (3rd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,900)
Samuel led the team in targets (9) in week 15 but only caught four. Curtis also carried the ball twice for six yards. Sunday is going to be a tough task for the Panthers. Especially their skill position players. Yet, in an odd sick way that is why I love them this week! Say it with me now, LOW OWNERSHIP! Which means nothing if they do not produce. Look for Carolina get creative with Curtis and back to their gadgetry ways!
Tee Higgins CIN @ HOU (23rd)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,700)
Personally, Tee Higgins hurt my feelings last night. Needed him to score 15+ points to make my dynasty final and it did not happen. I must be objective here for you, the reader. So, like a true professional I will do that. Dear Tee, I hate your stinking guts. You make me vomit. You are the scum between my toes. Love, DetroitBeastie.
Well, I tried! In all seriousness Higgins has been targeted a ton and I do not expect that to change against a very favorable matchup in Houston.
Russell Gage ATL @ KC (2nd)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$5,100)
Now we are talking! Gage has emerged as one heck of a complimentary WR to Calvin Ridley. What? Calvin not Julio you say? At this point in the season, we need to grasp onto any positive situation or ideal winning situation we can! Russ has now caught a TD pass in three straight games and cannot be ignored any longer. In week 16 the Falcons travel to Kansas City. At first glance you would think it was a bad matchup or awful idea to play any Falcons. I respectfully disagree! ATL @ KC has an over/under of 53.5 points! Atlanta should be down early and often. Forcing Matt Ryan to throw 45+ times! Russ also known as Mr. Unlimited 2 should do simply fine Sunday!
Greg Ward PHI @ DAL (30th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$5,100)
Greg Ward has been a guy in and out of B&B. Classic case of skip him, he does well. Add him in the article he puts up a dud. He has treated me this way all season. Look at week 15. Greg caught four passes for a miniscule fifteen yards but scored twice! So, let us try again here with Greg Ward! Care to join me?
Jalen Guyton LAC vs DEN (14th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,200)
If you have paid any attention to Bottom of the Barrel this season, I am sure you have noticed my love for the rookie. Jalen running routes for Justin Herbert is a thing of beauty. The long-term outlook here is brighter than I thought possible looking back. In terms of week 16 I am fully expecting another respectable game from Jalen. Dare I say four receptions for around seventy yards and a touchdown? Jalen is the ultimate boom candidate this weekend!
Darnell Mooney CHI @ JAX (25th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,000)
Let us play a game. If you have time? Choose your preferred method of fantasy points. Total yardage? Or total touchdowns? Sounds silly doesn’t it? Let me explain! Mooney has received a touchdown in back-to-back-games yet has failed to eclipse to 50+ total yards. I can say with full confidence that Darnell Mooney will score for the third straight week and will total more than 50 yards!
Laviska Shenault Jr. JAX vs CHI (4th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,700)
I did that right? The Jaguars may let the rookie play a little quarterback? Oh boy! Looks like we have another Taysom Hill situation on our hands!
Below is the most expensive player at WR in week 16. Just helps me put the B&B player prices in perspective.
Travis Kelce KC vs ATL (30th)(FD-$8,800)(DK-$8,500)
Yet again, three of the four positions are dominated by Kansas City Chiefs. They are good that is no surprise.
Here are some cheaper options I am rolling with at TE in week 16!
Cole Kmet CHI @ JAX (25th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,200)
Well friends, I was wrong in week 15. Sixty yards and touchdown were not achieved by the rookie tight end last week. Not even close if I am being honest yet here I am again. Once again asking you to consider adding Kmet in your DFS lines for week 16.
Dalton Schultz DAL vs PHI (23rd)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,200)
Dalton has been a solid streaming option at tight end all season. No more no less. That is exactly what he is this week at home vs the divisional rival Philadelphia Eagles. I have this game down for somewhere in 28-24 final range. Meaning, plenty of points to go around.
Jordan Akins HOU vs CIN (27th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,300)
Like the game we played with Mooney above but the opposite effect. Jordan is catching passes and racking up yardage but one touchdown all season. At his lowly price, this week think I am willing to take a chance on him, yet again.
I find it shocking that Hooper caught five passes for 41 yards and a touchdown and his price on both sites is on the low end given the match-up in week 16. Going to be tough getting away from Hooper this week. Especially the way Baker Mayfield has been playing.
Chris Herndon NYJ vs CLE (26th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$2,500)
Scroll all the way up to Sam Darnold. I can wait, no rush. Ah you are back! Winning streak, right? Catching my drift here?
Here are two of my sample lines I am going to use for week 16! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Sunday morning 12/27!
We’ve had Monday night football, Tuesday night football, Wednesday football, Thursday football and of course Sunday football. Now we have Saturday night football! What a treat! The season hasn’t gone accordingly to plan but we’ve had a season. That’s the most important thing.
I have always been partial to NFL football on Saturday’s. When you’re a child with no real responsibilities everyday is Saturday. As an adult with nothing but responsibilities it’s quite different. Watching professional football on Saturday instantly makes it feel like a holiday. No where to go. No where to be and nothing to do. We can lay around most of the day and take it in while not feeling awful about it.
We are a few weeks away from Christmas and this year has been challenging to say the least. I believe you owe it to yourself to unplug this Saturday and rest. Take the day to recharge and recoup. I’m aware one day and two football games isn’t going to undo all the stress and anxiety that is 2020 but we must start somewhere.
Bottom of the Barrel has always been for the low-owned and cheaply priced players. The special Saturday edition is going to be a tad different. With only four teams playing our options are limited when compared to a full 10+ team slate. Let’s call this a full slate discussion. Even better, a full slate dissection!
Aaron Rodgers GB vs CAR (21st)(FD-$9,200)(DK-$7,300)
Rodgers at home in December is a different breed! We’ve seen a vintage Aaron Rodgers in 2020. 3,685 passing yards with 39 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions. He’s been unbelievable in tandem with stud WR Davante Adams. Noting witty to say here. We all know what to expect for Rodgers on Saturday. I’m going to say 260 yards and 3 TD passes vs CAR.
Josh Allen BUF @ DEN (19th)(FD-$8,400)(DK-$7,200)
After sitting down to write the notes for this article I thought it was easy. It was a breeze. Then when I sat down to type this out and come up with my projections and fun fancy blurbs I was stumped! If you’ve read B&B at any point in the season, then you know I never mention the studs! This article is nothing but studs! It’s a very odd thing! What do I say? What do I do with my hands? The Denver Broncos are middle of the pack defensively but when it comes to QB they are allowing 18 or more points to QB’s so far in 2020. Oh boy.
Teddy Bridgewater CAR @ GB (5th)(FD-$7,300)(DK-$5,200)
Realistically, there is little to no reason to pivot off Rodgers and Allen. Yet what’s the point of this article if it was that simple? You know me better then that! Teddy playing in GB Saturday night isn’t the direction our DFS lines should go. The Packers are holding opposing QB’s to the fifth-fewest points per game. When it comes to DFS I’m nuts and sometimes borderline crazy. Only reason to roster Teddy B is for salary relief. Which doesn’t really make sense give the small slate. Unless you’re maxing out GPP’s on Saturday steer clear of Bridgewater.
Drew Lock DEN vs BUF (24th)(FD-$6,800)(DK-$5,000)
What’s odd is the fact I’d prefer Lock over Teddy. Want to know why? It’s simple! The propensity for a higher upside game is there. Teddy and his ceiling are completely capped in GB. While Lock is fresh off a career high in touchdowns (4) and a seasonal high in completions over 25 yards (5). That was last week though and Saturday is a big boy math-up for the Broncos and Drew Lock.
Aaron Jones GB vs CAR (25th)(FD-$8,200)(DK-$7,300)
Over the years of consistently playing DFS I’ve noticed sometimes it’s not always about crunching numbers and projecting DvP matchups. What I have to say here about Aaron Jones is very elementary. Jones was projected off the charts in Detroit in week 14. He did find the endzone, but it wasn’t the slate breaking performance we expected. For that simple fact I’m projecting Jonesy to go crazy Saturday at home. It’s just screaming to me! I can’t shake the thought of a three-touchdown game. Do with that what you will.
Mike Davis CAR @ GB (28th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$6,500)
Another case of projections and crunching DvP numbers, Mike Davis is the second highest priced RB on Saturday. When I’d prefer MG3. Over the past few days, I’ve seen some very spirited tweets regarding Davis. I had no idea being a Mike Davis loyalist was a thing. Who am I to judge? Last I checked this is America and you’re allowed to do as we please! On paper the match-up is fantastic! The Packers give up the 5th highest points to opposing RB’s. I’m not putting Mike down or telling you to fade. Promise. Let’s just temper our expectations.
Melvin Gordon III DEN vs BUF (16th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,200)
Before we get into Melvin Gordon just know I know. I know him and Phil Lindsay are just about splitting work. If I may have a moment of your time, I’d like to discuss why I’d prefer MGIII this week. So, in week 14 MG3 had 16 total touches compared to Phil’s 11. Yet Gordon recorded six total first downs last week. MG3 is clearly the preferred red zone and goal line back. Not to mention offers more, way more, upside in the passing game. In a game that will be closer than most expect, I wouldn’t be shocked to see upwards of 18+ total touches.
Devin Singletary BUF @ DEN (23rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,100)
At the start of the season we were left scratching our heads in terms of who the heck to use. Fast forward to week 15 and we’re right back where we started. Your guess is as good as mine in terms of who see’s more work in Denver on Saturday. If you’re asking me, I’d choose Devin here cause he’s cheaper.
Zack Moss BUF @ DEN (23rd)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,500)
I could be lazy and tell you to see Devin Singletary blurb but that would be rude. The only positive I can pluck here is the fact Denver’s defense usually gives up close to 100 yards a game to opposing RB’s. To me, that doesn’t fly here! There isn’t one favorite back. So now what? Logically I’d think we just split it down the middle. 50 yards for Moss and 50 yards for Devin. So here we are again, back where we started.
Phillip Lindsay DEN vs BUF (16th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,000)
There is no real reason to roster Phil Lindsay Saturday. I’m sorry to my Phillip Lindsay fans. He averaged a meager 2.4 yards a carry in Carolina last week. He has no role in the passing game. Why would you punt the RB position on such a small slate? Let’s say he scores a touchdown Saturday, which is best case scenario, I highly doubt it effects your lineup’s ability to cash. Hard pass.
Jamaal Williams GB vs CAR (25th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,800)
If you could promise me ten or more targets and touches for J-Will on Saturday, I’d be all in. Guess what? I’m all in anyways. The Packers are playing so flipping well this season it’s just fun thinking ahead to positive game scripts. I said this same exact thing last week and I’ll say it again here. Packers get ahead early in this one and they just feed both Jones and Williams. I have no issue stacking both GB running backs.
Davante Adams GB vs CAR (14th)(FD-$9,500)(DK-$9,400)
C’mon now. I won’t waste your time. We both know what to do here.
Stefon Diggs BUF @ DEN (10th)(FD-$8,200)(DK-$7,900)
C’mon now. I won’t waste your time. We both know what to do here. Diggs has now caught 100 passes this season. He’s been unbelievably good in his first season with Buffalo. Did you catch the story about Diggs and Allen when they play video games? No matter what their doing if one dies in Call of Duty the other drops what war their fighting to make sure they revive the other. No DFS implication. Just find it cute.
Robby Anderson CAR @ GB (5th)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$6,200)
Green Bay is allowing the fifth fewest points to opposing WR’s but that doesn’t affect my opinion on rostering his Saturday. Robby currently sits at 996 receiving yards and will no doubt eclipse 1,000 yards Saturday, in Green Bay, for the first time in his career. At this point in the season, given all the awfulness of 2020 I like this. It’s a feel-good story. No issue if you have 100% exposure to Robby tomorrow.
Curtis Samuel CAR @ GB (5th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,800)
Labeled a gadget guy, in Bottom of the Barrel early in the season, Curtis has ridden that wave and has been fantastic for real life purposes and fantasy purposes! Looking ahead to Saturday in Green Bay his versatility should serve him. Look for Curtis to catch 5-6 passes and carry the ball 2-3 times. Perfect amount of work for the price.
Cole Beasley BUF @ DEN (10th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,700)
Mr. Cole Beasley! You sir are a gem! The past four games Cole has seen 38 targets! On a very pass heavy offense, it’s going to be tough getting away from Beasley on Saturday. The middle of the field should his playground in Denver!
Tim Patrick DEN vs BUF (11th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,300)
Timmy, Timmy, Timmy can’t you see sometimes your targets just hypnotize me! Another week another touchdown for Timmy P! Which makes six total this season. Last Sunday Tim lead the Broncos in receiving yards, snaps and routes ran. He is absolutely in the conversation as a must start Saturday given the small slate.
Gabriel Davis BUF @ DEN (10th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,000)
Hopefully you’re not getting sick of me talking about the rookie speedster Gabe Davis. Kid has been phenomenal in his first NFL season. Over the last month he’s averaging 15 air yards per target. Has scored in four of the last five games. Buffalo came out Friday to tell us John Brown will not be activated off IR for Saturday’s contest. Denver has been respectful on defense this season but the upside of Davis burning a corner once or twice Saturday is too high!
Allen Lazard GB vs CAR (14th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,100)
Since coming back from injury Lazard hasn’t fully taken over the WR2 job in Green Bay. He’s seeing several targets a game. On Saturday let’s say he sees four targets. Is that enough to consider rostering Allen Lazard? On any other team no.
KJ Hamler DEN vs BUF (11th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,500)
If you believe in Drew Locks big arm then consider KJ. Although his target share isn’t as quite where we want it.
Jerry Jeudy DEN vs BUF (11th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,900)
To be used as a lineup filler on Saturday. Not expecting a huge return on price.
Robert Tonyan GB vs CAR (24th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$4,500)
This passing game absolutely goes through Davante Adams. Yet can we call Tonyan the second favorite target of Aaron Rodgers? Let’s review and I’ll let you make the decision! Tonyan has scored a touchdown in four straight games. Tonyan has 4+ targets in seven of the last nine games. What do you think?
Noah Fant DEN vs BUF (29th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$3,800)
Fant missed last week due to an illness. Be mindful of that but looking head to Saturdays contest the Buffalo Bills are giving up the 6th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. He’s a very safe play in the Saturday only slate.
Dawson Knox BUF @ DEN (6th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$2,800)
What bums me out is the fact Dawson Knox’s entire week 14 game was defined by his fumble. It’s hard to not consider any pass catching option in this Buffalo offense. Look, I’m realistic and not expecting a slate breaking type of game but at his price on both sites 40 yards on 4 receptions would be perfect.
Two other tight ends I’d consider purely as punts.
Ian Thomas CAR @ GB (7th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,500)
Nick Vannett DEN vs BUF (29th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$2,900)
That’s it! This is the Saturday slate. Here are a few sample lines for the Saturday ONLY slate!
Samuel, our graphics guy, here at DFS Cheat Sheet loves the NFL playoffs. In turn he’s going to be writing a series of playoff predictor articles each week leading up to the actual NFL playoffs! Thank you Samuel. Enjoy! – Chris Robin
One week closer! Surprisingly, nothing has changed for my outlook on the AFC. The Chiefs are still making strides across the league at every turn and should not be underestimated despite the (once perfect) record from ANY team. The NFC however is an ever-changing gauntlet of teams ready to put someone on notice on any given Sunday. With that being said… here are my thoughts on a few of the biggest matchups of Week 14, and some fantasy player value changes moving into the 2nd round of Fantasy playoffs… Tell me what you think! Who would you like to see? Could you see this Super bowl happen?
↗ Fantasy Value up − Fantasy Value the same ↘ Fantasy Value down
Houston Texans: 7 v Chicago Bears: 36
Any remaining glimmer of hope that the Texans would make it out of this season with their dignity left was finally crushed. How easy did Bill O’Brien really get off by just getting fired? It’s embarrassing. This team’s defense is embarrassing. Aside from Zach Cunningham, I’d be scared to stream anyone from it. The Offense does not look too promising anymore either. In addition to the non-existent run game, the receiving corps is on its last legs too with the recent loss of Kenny Stills and Will Fuller. Watson made it clear post game that he intends to start the last 3 games of the season, and his top 10 performances should remain consistent. Fantasy owners should expect him to put more of the game on his shoulders as he has many times before. But be weary of inexperienced receivers still establishing chemistry this late in the season. Now is no time to get cute with the lineups… You have better options.
The Chicago bears however have rejoiced with their first win in months after falling from 5-1 to 5-7 prior to this game. Now sitting at 6-7 the always-confused-QB-room is still in the fight for a wild card playoff berth. Do they get it? No, if you ask me. But that won’t stop Trubisky from being as dialed in as we’ve ever seen as he fights for a contract, and his first shot at the post season. His fantasy value, as well as David Montgomery’s especially will continue to rise as they have some favorable matchups on tap, especially for the run game.
Deshaun Watson ↗ ↗ Mitchell Trubisky Keke Coutee − ↗ Allen Robinson David Johnson ↘ ↗ David Montgomery Duke Johnson − ↗ Darnell Mooney Jordan Akins − ↗ Jimmy Graham
Pittsburg Steelers: 15 vs Buffalo Bills: 26
Was this the last time Juju dances on an opposing field logo? I sure hope so. Mike Tomlin and co finally have their game script cracked for the 2nd time, maybe this time it’ll be enough to change things up. Obviously, you can’t keep making Big Ben throw 50 times a game. But given their matchups on tap, and the production from James Connor, they probably will. Speaking of which…is James Connor even in the NFL still? The last game he got more than 50 yards was week 11 against a bottom 5 Defense, and before that it was week 7. No TD’s since week 8. Hasn’t been targeted as much for passes recently. And I get it… He has been some nursing some stuff, but he is back finally, and next week’s favorable matchup for Connor does not make me feel any more confident in starting him. Meanwhile, the committee of wideouts is sure to continue seeing their fair spread of targets as Ben fights for his chance at another title before he hangs it up.
Buffalo’s story is not much different. They are one of the best teams in the league that everyone is sleeping on. Their record came to them in a different order than the steelers, but realistically they’re almost the same team. They are also not really running the ball that much right now. When they do, it is a committee operation. Neither can be trusted. Josh Allen looks fantastic, mobile, strong. He’s a top 5 QB right now. Stefon Diggs looks fantastic. He’s a top 5 WR right now. Cole Beasley even… in the top 25. I mean….Sean McDermott and his defensive knowledge and weapons on offense really should be raising eyebrows at this point. This is a Superbowl Contending team. All their starters are doing great. They have some tougher matchups up next that will be the real test of their will. Go with your gut. Start your studs. Bills are getting it done.
Josh Allen ↗ Ben Roethlisberger − Stefon Diggs ↗ Juju Smith-Schuster − Cole Beasley − Chase Claypool ↗ Devin Singleterry ↘ Dionte Johnson ↗ Zach Moss ↘ James Connor − Dawson Knox − Eric Ebron −
Baltimore Ravens: 47 v Clevland Browns: 42
Call it a down day for the Browns. Call it a rebound game for the Ravens. Whatever. Ravens got a lot of work to do if they want to make the post season still. And the browns once again reminded us that they’re not the browns they used to be. Ravens star RB Lamar Jackson once again lit up the back field reinforcing once again that he is not a good passer. 11 out of only 17 pass attempts were caught, but he had 2 Rushing TD’s and 124 rush yards. More than JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards combined. So… in terms of fantasy, if run game matchup looks good and Ravens O-line continues to collapse, Lamar should be good. On the flip side however, this game script renders almost every other skills player on the team irrelevant and extraordinarily boom or bust depending on TD’s. Even the likes of Mark Andrews have seen the lowest of the lows. Be careful streaming anyone but Lamar.
As for the browns, Baker Mayfield commanded another awe-inspiring performance late in the game. Throwing for 343 yards, 3 Total touchdowns, 28/47 attempts. One of only 3 games on the season with 35 or more attempts though. Granted the Baltimore pass defense isn’t all that great. They also let up 213 total yards to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined, both of whom scored too. The loss of OBJ has not slowed down Baker, or the offensive powerhouse mind of Stefanski at all. And so long as Baker keeps passing TD’s, everyone should fare relatively well moving forward. He now has 3 straight games with at least 2 passing TD’s and 250 or more pass yards in each. In 12-man leagues especially, baker should be worth considering for streaming. The only 2 folks I’d be weary about are Hunt and Hooper. Hunt is back to inconsistency, just like last year behind Chubb. We expected that, and he’s only ever been a confident start against poor defenses. As for Hooper…Baker just isn’t a TE targeting man. Any Cleveland TE should be an absolute last resort.
Lamar Jackson ↗ ↗ Baker Mayfield JK Dobbins − ↗ Nick Chubb Gus Edwards ↘ − Kareem Hunt Mark Andrews − − Jarvis Landry Marquise Brown ↘ − Rashard Higgins Devin Duvernay ↘ ↘ Austin Hooper