NASCAR – Victory Lane – 062820

Victory Lane – Pocono 350
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

NASCAR will race 140 laps (350 miles) at Pocono Raceway this afternoon in the second half of the double header for the Cup Series. Kevin Harvick won on Saturday and will start Sunday’s race from the 20th position. Several drivers had issues on Saturday and will start at the back of the field on Sunday which makes them valuable from a DFS perspective. I like all of the drivers I wrote up for Saturday, but we can’t ignore the potential for massive differential from guys like Erik Jones, Joey Logano, and Tyler Reddick. Finding the right balance is key. Let’s get started.

Erik Jones ($10,000/7,400) In my opinion, Erik Jones becomes the top driver for DFS on Sunday. Jones crashed on Saturday, not because his car was handling poorly but because of the circumstances created by the drivers around him. The 20 team will unload a backup car and Jones will start from the 38th position. Before this weekend, Jones finished in the top 5 in 4 of 6 races at Pocono.

Joey Logano ($12,000/9,400) Joey Logano does not have stellar numbers at Pocono. I don’t expect him to contend for the win, but you can’t ignore the potential for massive differential in a really short race. Using Fan Duel scoring, there are only 14 points available for laps led (0.1 points per lap led multiplied by 140 laps). Joey Logano could score 14 differential points just by finishing 10th. I think you have to look at playing Logano, particularly in cash games on Sunday.

Kevin Harvick ($14,000/10,700) Starting 20th, Harvick would be a no brainer for my top play if Jones and Logano weren’t starting from the back. Harvick’s salary is a bit prohibitive, particularly if you are looking to focus on differential points. I think we see a similar performance from Harvick with a top 5 finish, potentially another win.

Chase Elliott ($12,200/10,400) Similar to Logano, Chase Elliott has to be considered for Sunday’s race at Pocono. Elliott is starting in the 25th position and has the potential for a top 10 finish with +15 differential. I like Harvick over Elliott, but Elliott’s salary allows you to stay away from scraping the bottom of the barrel for a value driver.

Aric Almirola ($9,000/7,200) We saw Aric Almirola shine on Saturday, leading 61 laps and finishing 3rd. I don’t expect the same performance from Almirola on Sunday, but at his salary, starting 18th, I think this is a good play. On Fan Duel, my toughest decision is between Almirola and Tyler Reddick.

Tyler Reddick ($8,400/7,600) Reddick is starting 30th on Sunday because he was involved in the Erik Jones incident. Reddick is too cheap to pass up. I would look for Reddick to score positive differential and finishing in the range of 12th-17th which would make him a solid play with very little risk.

Ty Dillon ($6,000/7,000) Ty Dillon is a sneaky play for Sunday because he finished Saturday much worse than he was running. Dillon stayed out too long in the final pit cycle and lost a lot of track position late in the race. Dillon is starting the race 26th and has the potential to finish top 20, maybe even top 15 if he stays out of trouble and doesn’t try the same pit strategy on Sunday. Ty Dillon is as far down the sheet as I want to go for Sunday. I am not into Michael McDowell starting the race 13th, though I think that will be a popular play because of his price tag. I don’t think McDowell has the equipment to run in the top 10 all day, I think it’s more likely that McDowell and Ty Dillon finish within 5 positions of each other which would make Dillon a better play, unless you really need the extra $1k in salary.

My cash lineup will be built around Erik Jones and Joey Logano. I think you have three decisions to make. 1: between Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick, 2: between Tyler Reddick and Aric Almirola, and 3: between Ty Dillon and Michael McDowell. I think any lineup you build using those guys would be solid. I’m leaning towards Elliott, Logano, Jones, Dillon, and Reddick and adding Almirola as my 6th driver on DK. Good Luck!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and is currently pursuing a Masters’ of Science degree in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – 060620

Victory Lane – Folds of Honor Quik Trip 500
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

Chase Elliott drew the top starting position for the Folds of Honor Quik Trip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway on Sunday afternoon. This is a 500 mile race on a worn out racing surface that creates exciting action and puts a premium on mistake-free endurance (For a statistical analysis, see The Setup). We need to find the right balance of drivers who have been performing well this season and drivers who have a strong track record at Atlanta for our DFS lineups. Let’s get started.

Kevin Harvick ($14,000/11,700) You can’t ignore Kevin Harvick’s track record at Atlanta. Harvick is the best play and probably the safest play this weekend. This year, Harvick has finished in the top 10 in 8 of 9 races (including a win and 5 top 5 finishes). His worst finish this season is 11th. Harvick and Jimmie Johnson are tied for the best driver rating at Atlanta, though Harvick only has 2 wins in 29 races (those two wins are 17 years apart). Harvick has finished in the top 10 in 8 of his last 9 races at Atlanta, including a win and 4 top 5 finishes with a worst finish of 19th in 2014. Lock Harvick in your lineups.

Brad Keselowski ($13,200/8,900) Last year’s Atlanta winner is carrying some momentum into Atlanta this weekend. It’s worth noting that Keselowski’s two wins this season have been handed to him on a silver platter (see Charlotte and Bristol) but nevertheless, Keselowski is in the right position at the end of the race to take advantage of the opportunity. Keselowski is 4th in driver rating at Atlanta, tops in average running position, and he is coming off 3 straight top 2 finishes at the track (5 straight inside the top 10). I’m locking Keselowski into my lineup with Harvick this weekend.

Kurt Busch ($11,000/9,400) Kurt Busch has been incredibly consistent at Atlanta Motor Speedway since 2008. In that span of time, 13 races, Busch has finished in the top 10 10 times. He crashed in 2009 and finished 38th but otherwise his worst finish is 13th and he has 2 wins in that span (3 wins at the track overall). Kurt is 3rd in driver rating, 8th in average running position, and should be able to move forward from his 12th place starting position.

Jimmie Johnson ($10,000/10,200) Jimmie Johnson is starting 15th on Sunday and has a strong record at Atlanta Motor Speedway with the top (tied with Harvick) driver rating and 2nd in average running position. Johnson has 5 wins at Atlanta including back to back in 2007 and 2015-2016. In the last 3 races however, Johnson has failed to finish on the lead lap and has an average finish of 23rd. Considering the momentum of Hendrick Motorsports right now, I think Johnson is a solid play for Sunday.

Chase Elliott ($12,300/9,900) Chase Elliott is the hottest driver in NASCAR with a cup and truck win at Charlotte and three races that he “should have” won (Charlotte, Darlington, Bristol). There is a lot to like with Elliott on Sunday. He will certainly lead some laps early since he is starting on the pole, but there is a risk of negative differential if Elliott ends up finishing in his average finishing position of 10th. Elliott is 9th in driver rating and 3rd in average running position. If you play Elliott it is because of his current season momentum and the chance for dozens of laps led early in the race. He is a solid play, but I think there are better plays at his price point.

Alex Bowman ($11,400/9,100) Alex Bowman has been lights out at intermediate race tracks in the past year. Bowman won at Auto Club Speedway earlier this year which has a similar track surface to Atlanta (old and worn out, hard on tires) but Bowman has struggled at this track in his career. Bowman’s career statistics at tracks are misleading because he raced for some really bad teams before he came to Hendrick Motorsports, but even in his 2 races at Atlanta for HMS he has finished 20th and 15th. Similar to Elliott, Bowman would be a momentum play based on Hendrick’s current strength, not a play based on track history.

Christopher Bell ($6,000/7,400) Sunday will be Christopher Bell’s first cup race at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Bell is starting 27th so he has plenty of room for positive differential points. In two career Xfinity race at Atlanta, Bell finished 3rd and 1st. In two career truck races at Atlanta, Bell crashed (finished 26th) and won. I think Christopher Bell will come into this track with extreme confidence and finish in the top 20, maybe even the top 15.
Erik Jones ($9,000/6,600) I low-key like Erik Jones this week, especially on Draft Kings where he is way too cheap. Jones has been really consistent at Atlanta Motor Speeway in 3 career starts he has finished 14th, 11th, and 7th. Jones starts 14th which is why he is cheap on DK, but he could realistically improve on his starting position by 3-5 spots and get a top 10 finish which is a great return for his salary.

Ryan Preece ($5,000/6,200) Ryan Preece has had a miserable season with only 3 finishes inside the top 20. Preece crashed in his only start at Atlanta last year and finished 35th but his teammate in that race, Chris Buescher, finished 9th. I don’t expece Preece to finish in the top 10, but with a 5k price tag and a 29th place starting position, I like Preece to move up 10-12 places and compete for a top 20 finish on Sunday which would make him a solid play to help your lineup fit together.

My core lineup for Sunday includes Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski, and Christopher Bell. Good luck to all our subscribers this weekend!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – 052420

Victory Lane – Coca-Cola 600
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

Kurt Busch won the pole for the Coca-Cola 600. This 400 lap race will take place tonight at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Weather could be a factor but overall people seem to be optimistic that the race will run this evening. This is the longest race of the season so choosing drivers who will finish the race and stay out of trouble is of the utmost importance. Let’s get started.

Kevin Harvick ($12,500/11,200) Starting 22nd, Kevin Harvick is a must play for tonight’s race. Harvick is 6th in driver rating and 10th in average running position at Charlotte, but some of those numbers are skewed from some lackluster performances over a decade ago. He has been much stronger in race at Charlotte since 2013 and has finished in the top 10 in every race this season.

Martin Truex Jr. ($13,700/10,600) Truex was the fastest qualifying Toyota and will start the race 8th. In recent history, Truex finished 3rd in the spring of 2017, won the fall race after leading 91 laps in 2017, finished 2nd in 2018, and won last year leading 116 laps. I like Truex to lead laps and contend for the win.

Kyle Busch ($14,000/11,500) Starting 11th, there is a lot to like about Kyle Busch in tonight’s race at Charlotte. Similar to Truex, Kyle Busch has a strong history at this race track with the potential to lead 100 laps or more at win the race. Busch has a high ceiling but it comes at a steep price. Kyle is the highest priced driver on both Fan Duel and Draft Kings. I’m apprehensive to pay the high price with the lack of dependable low end drivers in this race, but Kyle deserves lineup consideration.

Alex Bowman ($12,000/9,400) The combination of Bowman’s strength at intermediate tracks and his momentum coming off a 2nd place finish at Darlington last Sunday at the win earlier this year at Fontana has me high on Bowman for tonight’s race. I like Truex, Harvick, and Busch more than Bowman, and his increased price has me likely fading him in a single entry environment, but he is worth considering for tournament lineups this evening.

Jimmie Johnson ($10,700/9,200) Don’t overlook Jimmie Johnson because of his 2nd place starting spot and potential for some negative differential points. His price enables you to take on some risk in hopes of leading some laps early and finishing in the top 5. For those new to NASCAR, Johnson dominated this race track back in the mid 00’s. He won 8 races at Charlotte including 4 in a row and 5 out of 6 from 2003-2005. He’s finished in the top 10 in 3 of his last 5 races at Charlotte and I’m confident that he can compete for a top 5 finish at the end of the race tonight.

Aric Almirola ($8,300/7,500) Aric Almirola spun during qualifying and only suffered minimal damage from brushing the outside wall with his rear bumper. Due to the spin, Almirola starts this race 40th and will be an obvious chalk play in cash games. That being said, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Almirola finish in the top 20, maybe even the top 15 which would make him a solid play regardless of ownership.

Matt Kenseth ($8,000/7,700) Kenseth is starting 4th which will scare off some ownership, but I really like him in this race. The price is right for Kenseth and if he can stay out of trouble and finish in the top 10 this becomes a must play at his price point. In his last 10 races at Charlotte Motor Speedway, Kenseth finished in the top 10 in 6 races, 5 of those were in the top 5. Kenseth is top 5 in both driver rating (4th) and average running position (5th). I think he is a really good play in this spot tonight.

Daniel Suarez ($4,500/6,100) Suarez’s car was really bad in qualifying. It looked as though they might have missed the shock package and have some significant work to do. I have confidence in Suarez as a driver, but my confidence in his team is quite limited. With that being said, at his price, starting 37th there is limited risk involved in playing Suarez.The ceiling is pretty low, I would say a finish of 24th-29th is realistic.

My core lineup includes Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., and Aric Almirola. Good luck to all our subscribers and have a safe Memorial Day weekend.

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – 03/08/20

Victory Lane – FanShield 500
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

If you have not done so already, jump in our Free Discord chat and chat DFS with us, you can join it right here absolutely FREE.    With MLB fast approaching take advantage of our MLB50 Discount code, use it at checkout to get our ALL-Access VIP Membership 50% off for your first month! Full Access to all of our tools, optimizer, premium content and podcasts and cash game lineups for each sport! All Sports-One Membership

Chase Elliott won the pole for the FanShield 500 at Phoenix International Raceway. Lineup lock is 3:30 pm eastern on Sunday, check out The Setup for a full statistical analysis and preview of this race. Victory Lane will highlight the top plays for cash game consideration. Let’s get started!

Brad Keselowski ($11,500/10,400) I think Brad Keselowski is the best DFS play this weekend. I like Keselowski’s price tag and the fact that he was the fastest car in final practice over 15-30 consecutive laps. Overall, Keselowski and Harvick seem to be the class of the field, but starting 14th, Keselowski poses the best risk/reward ratio.

Kyle Busch ($14,000/12,000) Based on recent history at this race track, Kyle Busch has to be considered this weekend. Busch has won 2 of his last 3 races at Phoenix and finished top 4 in 8 of his last 9. He is the highest priced driver, but I expect Kyle to lead some laps and finish in the top 5 on Sunday which makes him a solid play.

Kevin Harvick ($12,500/11,300) Kevin Harvick might have the fastest car in Phoenix (I think it’s close between Harvick and Keselowski) and he will likely lead laps early from the 2nd starting position. I think Harvick is a good play but I prefer Keselowski and Kyle Busch at the top end. You can fit Harvick, Busch, and Keselowski in a Fan Duel lineup if you are willing to overlook some strong mid-tier options.

Joey Logano ($11,200/10,700) If we are operating under the assumption that Keselowski and Harvick have the best cars and Kyle Busch will work his way to the front, I would include Joey Logano on the short list of front running contenders for DFS lineups on Sunday. Logano was only slightly off Keselowski and Harvick’s practice speeds in final practice (fastest in 5 lap, 3rd in 10 lap, 15, and 20 lap average). Logano is cheaper than Busch, Harvick and Keselowski on Fan Duel and may come in at lower ownership.

Jimmie Johnson ($10,000/9,000) Starting 21st, this is a week where you cannot overlook Jimmie Johnson. I’m not convinced that Johnson has a top 10 car this weekend, but I am sure he will finish better than his starting position. Johnson didn’t practice well, but the team has been strong so far this year. I think he deserves consideration as a mid-tier play, particularly on Draft Kings where you cannot fit 3 top end drivers in a lineup.

William Byron ($9,500/8,300) William Byron showed promising speed during final practice, running 6th-8th in 5-20 consecutive lap speed. Starting 17th, I think Byron is my favorite for a top 10 driver priced under 10k on Fan Duel.

Tyler Reddick ($6,700/6,900) Tyler Reddick is my favorite value play of this weekend. Reddick and teammate Austin Dillon had abysmal qualifying efforts with Reddick starting 29th and Dillon starting 30th. I like Reddick slightly better than Dillon because he was faster than Dillon in practice and he is quite a bit cheaper. I think Reddick has a top 20 car, but I would be surprised if he broke inside the top 15 on Sunday. For what its worth, Reddick qualified and finished in the top 5 in both Xfinity races at Phoenix last year.

Ty Dillon ($5,500/6,200) I think a lot of people will look at Reddick and Austin Dillon and overlook Ty Dillon starting this race in the 25th position. Ty ran top 20 speeds in final practice on Friday and has top 20 finishes in each of his last 3 races at Phoenix.

Austin Dillon ($7,600/7,500) Starting 30th, it makes a lot of sense to play Austin Dillon and just move on. I am worried about playing Austin for two reasons, he was not fast in final practice (25th in 5 lap average, did not run 10 consecutive laps) and he has not historically done well at this track (2 top 10 finishes in 12 races, average finish 20.6) I think Tyler Reddick is a better play and I think Ty Dillon is an equal play at a lower price tag.

My core lineup includes Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski, and Tyler Reddick. On Fan Duel you can play Harvick/Logano plus a value play or you can play Byron/Johnson and Austin Dillon. Due to salary differences on Draft Kings you will need to alter the lineup to be more mid-tier heavy with Byron, one or both of the Dillons, and Reddick along with a top end driver (Busch, Keselowski, or Harvick). Good luck to all our subscribers!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – 02/29/20

Victory Lane – Auto Club 400
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

Clint Bowyer is on the pole for the Auto Club 400 on Sunday at Auto Club Speedway in Fontana, California. Bowyer topped Jimmie Johnson by .007 seconds to win the 4th pole of his career. Martin Truex Jr. failed pre-qualifying inspection 3 times and did not get to qualify. Truex will start the race 38th. I think there are some strong contenders starting deep in the field as well as up front. In each of the past three years the race winner at Auto Club led over 100 laps. There is a lot to digest with this race, so let’s get started.

Martin Truex Jr. ($12,500/10,400) Missing qualifying and starting 38th, Martin Truex Jr. needs to be in your lineup on Sunday. This is a free square, don’t over-think it. Playing Truex has just as much to do with the fact that he was 3rd in both 10 and 15 lap average speed in final practice as it does with the fact that he’s starting dead last. Barring a crash, Truex should easily finish in the top 10, and be a threat to score the most DFS points on Sunday, particularly if no single driver dominates the race.

Joey Logano ($13,500/10,900) Joey Logano has the second fastest car at Auto Club Speedway this weekend. Logano was 2nd in 10 lap average and the fastest of the 20 cars that ran 15 consecutive laps in final practice. Logano has a strong history at Auto Club Speedway and is carrying over momentum from winning Las Vegas last weekend. Logano has never won at Auto Club Speedway but finished in the top 10 in 7 of his last 8 races with 6 of those in the top 5. Starting 7th, I think Logano is a great play and a lock for a top 5, probably a top 3 finish on Sunday.

Alex Bowman ($10,000/8,800) Alex Bowman has the best car at Auto Club this weekend. Bowman won both practices (single lap speed) and had the fastest 5 and 10 lap average in final practice. I think Bowman runs a clean race, leads dozens of laps and is in contention for the win. There is some risk associated with playing Bowman because he is starting 3rd, but I trust Bowman to stay out of trouble and he clearly has the fastest car in Fontana.

Ryan Blaney ($10,500/9,400) There are a number of cars who qualified outside the top 15 but ran inside the top 10 in final practice and Ryan Blaney tops that list. Blaney ran the 4th fastest 10 lap average, the 2nd fastest 15 lap average, and was the fastest of the 8 cars who ran 20 consecutive laps in final practice. While Blaney didn’t get the finish to show for it, he ran really well at Las Vegas and was in position to win the race before the final caution came out. I think Blaney is a great play on Sunday.

William Byron ($9,200/8,400) The sun came out during qualifying and heated up the track for drivers who had a late qualifying draw. This impacted William Byron because the seams in the race track heated up and Byron hit one in turn 2 and messed up his qualifying lap. Byron is starting 21st with a car that ran 5th in 5 lap and 6th in 10 lap average during final practice. I think Byron is a candidate for a top 10 finish under 10k with +10 differential upside.

Jimmie Johnson ($9,500/9,000) Jimmie Johnson did not have a fast car in practice but picked up 0.7 seconds in qualifying and will start on the front row. This is a home track for Jimmie Johnson and a win at Auto Club Speedway in his final season would be quite the story. There is a lot of risk to playing Johnson, but he showed speed last week and I think there is some potential for him to get out front and lead laps early on Sunday. Johnson has had success at this track in the past, with the highest driver rating, the highest average running position, and the most laps led of any active driver at Auto Club Speedway. He won 6 races at this track, most recently in 2016. I like Jimmie Johnson, but I don’t like the risk of negative differential points with the other options available on Sunday.

Tyler Reddick ($6,800/6,700) I like Tyler Reddick’s value on Sunday. Starting 19th, Reddick ran top 10 lap times in final practice. There is potential that Reddick doesn’t move forward during the race, but this is a track where he performed well in the Xfinity Series with finishes of 7th and 4th in 2 starts. I think Reddick is a sneaky good play for under 10k with top 10 potential. Even if Reddick finishes 15th-17th he is still a good play at his salary.

Corey LaJoie ($3,000/5,400) Corey Lajoie is my favorite value play this week. With a 3k price tag on Fan Duel, you don’t need to go any lower because he has a much better car than any of the drivers priced below him. LaJoie is starting 26th, so we are looking for a finish of 22nd or better which is realistic. I think LaJoie is the piece that can really help strong lineups fit together.

Ross Chastain ($6,500/6,500) I like Ross Chastain this week. I think we can feed off of everyone’s emotions from his poor performance at Las Vegas and get him at low ownership on Sunday. Chastain wasn’t particularly fast, but at his price and starting 27th, all you are looking for is a top 20 finish on Sunday. I was out on Chastain at this price last weekend, but with last week’s experience and a 27th place starting position he becomes a solid play this week.

Austin Dillon ($7,500/7,400) I think Austin Dillon is a good play this weekend. Dillon is starting 25th and his car showed top 15 speed in final practice. I think Dillon is a better play on Draft Kings than on Fan Duel because he has +10 differential potential but not necessarily top 10 potential. Also, with the extreme value that you can get with Core LaJoie on Fan Duel you don’t really need anyone in Dillon’s price range. In contrast, due to Draft King’s price structure you will need two or three drivers in the 6-8k range depending on who you play at the top.

My lineups will include a core of Martin Truex Jr., Joey Logano, and Alex Bowman. I like Corey LaJoie on Fan Duel as a value play. My tough decision is between Ryan Blaney and Jimmie Johnson. On Draft Kings I am using the same core (Truex, Logano, and Bowman) with Tyler Reddick, Corey LaJoie, and Austin Dillon. Good luck to all our subscribers on Sunday!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR Victory Lane 021220

Victory Lane – Bluegreen Vacations Duel at Daytona
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

The Duel at Daytona consist of two 60 lap races to set the field for the Daytona 500. Fan Duel has combined both races into one slate while Draft Kings has split the slate into a slate for Duel 1 and a slate for Duel 2. There is plenty of value so lineups can be made without any real salary cap restriction. The first duel (Duel 1) has 21 drivers in the field and the second duel (Duel 2) has 22. For a full statistical preview, check out The Setup. Let’s get started.

Ryan Blaney ($12,500/8,800) Starting 14th in Duel 1, Ryan Blaney is my favorite high salary driver. Blaney has been consistently good in these races with finishes of 6, 1, 19, 3, and 6 in his career. Blaney has both of his teammates in this race which is key for help in the draft. Blaney is a lock for Thursday night.

Daniel Suarez ($7,000/6,200) Starting 19th in Duel 1, Daniel Suarez is my second lock for Thursday night. Suarez has backing from Toyota and Coca-Cola and if he makes the Daytona 500 he would be the 6th Toyota driver in the race. I think the Joe Gibbs Racing Drivers (and Christopher Bell) will work with him to help him make the race. Hamlin, Bell, and Truex are all in the first Duel with Suarez which works to his advantage. He needs to finish the race in front of Reed Sorenson and Chad Finchum to make the Daytona 500, and I would expect to see Suarez in the top 10 at the end of the race.

Kurt Busch ($10,500/9,000) Starting 11th in Duel 2, I really like Kurt Busch to finish this race in the top 5. Kurt Busch finished top 5 in 8 of his last 10 Duel races, including a win in 2011. I think Kurt Busch scores the most DFS points in Duel 2.

Bubba Wallace ($6,500/6,600) Starting 17th in Duel 1, Bubba Wallace should improve on his position by 5-10 spots in the race, but I always proceed with caution due to Bubba’s unpredictability. I think he will be highly owned because people will see his 6th and 3rd place finishes in 2 Duel races and remember his runner-up finish in the Daytona 500 a few years back. I like Bubba to improve his position and do well on Thursday night.

Austin Dillon ($9,000/7,800) Starting 15th in Duel 1, I think Austin Dillon is a safe play and could contend for a top 10 finish at the end of the race. Dillon’s teammate, Tyler Reddick, is not in the same race so he will need to work with other Chevrolet drivers like Bubba Wallace, Justin Haley (see below), and Ryan Preece to move toward the front.

Ty Dillon ($4,000/6,200) Starting 15th in Duel 2, I like Ty Dillon to improve his position throughout the race and stay out of trouble. Ty has the advantage of having Tyler Reddick and Brendan Gaughan to draft with. I think this is a really strong opportunity to get a top 10 with +5 differential at near minimum price.

Justin Haley ($4,500/5,900) Starting 16th in Duel 1, I think Justin Haley is a sneaky good play on Thursday night. No one is going to be on Haley because his qualifying time was fast enough to lock in to the Daytona 500 last Sunday. I think Haley will be motivated to race towards the front of the field and I think he has the car to do it. Haley is making the first cup series start for Kaulig Racing, a team that has multiple wins in the Xfinity Series. Haley is driving a race car that came straight from Richard Childress Racing and his crew chief, Billy Scott, is an RCR employee. Haley is also starting this race between Austin Dillon and Bubba Wallace. Dillon drivers for RCR and Wallace drivers for Richard Petty with an ECR engine (same as RCR). I think these guys work together to get into the top 10 on Thursday night.

My core lineup for Thursday night will be Ryan Blaney, Daniel Suarez, Bubba Wallace, and Kurt Busch. This leaves $13,500 to pick the final driver so you can basically have anyone you want. Don’t be afraid to leave a lot of money on the table, these races are about finding guys who are starting outside the top 10 with a legitimate shot at scoring a top 5 finish and guys outside the top 15 who can finish inside the top 10. Good luck to everyone!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – Busch Clash

Victory Lane – Busch Clash
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

The Busch Clash is the first race of the 2020 season. This is a 75 lap exhibition race including 18 drivers. For more information on the race, check out The Setup posted earlier this week. The starting lineup was set by a random draw on Saturday night. Ryan Newman and Brad Keselowski will start on the front row. At Daytona and Talladega I advocate for playing the bulk of entries in tournaments due to the high-risk nature of racing at super speedways. The goal for these races is to have all of your drivers on the lead lap with 5 laps to go. Drivers staying out of wrecks has more to do with luck than skill. Let’s dig in.

Denny Hamlin ($11,500/9,600) Lineups need a balance of drivers who can win the race and drivers who can gain maximum differential points. Denny Hamlin is both. Hamlin drew the 18th place starting position and is my pick to be the number one scoring driver in DFS on Sunday. Hamlin is 4th in driver rating, 6th in average running position, and has the most laps led of any active driver in the Busch Clash. I think Hamlin is a lock this weekend.

Joey Logano ($12,000/9,800) Joey Logano is a force at Daytona and Talladega. Logano picked up TJ Majors as his spotter after Dale Earnhardt Jr. retired at the end of 2017. Since then, Logano has two 4th place finishes in the Daytona 500 and finishes of 2nd and 3rd in the Busch Clash. I expect Logano to be up front and lead laps on Sunday. Starting 13th, lock Logano into your lineups.

Ryan Blaney ($10,000/8,000) Ryan Blaney has the best driver rating and average running position at Daytona for the Busch Clash. He has finished 4th in both career starts in this event. I like Ryan Blaney as a solid mid-tier play on Sunday. I think he can improve on his 14th place starting position to finish 4th-8th.

Brad Keselowski ($11,000/9,300) I really like Brad Keselowski in this race. I think Keselowski can lead laps early and have a solid finish. The issue with Keselowski is that you can’t afford to play him with Logano and Hamlin on Fan Duel. On Fan Duel, Keselowski plus Hamlin and Logano equals $34,500. That leaves you with $15,500 for 2 drivers and the minimum price is $8,000. Draft Kings is more generous with their pricing which allows for Keselowski, Hamlin, and Logano to fit in a lineup together. If you are playing multiple entries I would suggest swapping Keselowski for either Hamlin or Logano in a few and building from there. Keselowski has led over 18% of the laps he has run in the clash. I think he will take the lead from Newman early on and contend throughout the race. Starting 2nd, the only thing you are going to miss is the differential points.

Martin Truex Jr. ($9,500/8,200) Truex is too cheap. I like Truex for many of the same reasons as Keselowski. His salary allows him to be played with Logano and Hamlin. I think you need a driver who is starting near the front to lead laps and finish up front. I think Keselowski is probably the best play for that purpose, but I think Truex is right there and the price is right to fit him into lineups.

Chase Elliott ($9,000/8,900) I think Chase Elliott will be overlooked in the Busch Clash. Elliott is starting 11th and is priced low enough that he can fit in any lineup. I think Elliott will be the top Chevy driver. In 3 career starts in the clash, Elliott has finished 7, 13, and 7. He is 12th in driver rating, 13th in average running position, and has only led 17 laps in this event. I like him as a solid mid-tier play at low ownership.

Austin Dillon ($8,000/5,500) Austin Dillon is minimum price on both sites and is easily my favorite value play. During the only practice for this event, Dillon drafted with the Hendrick Motorsports drivers leading me to believe that they will work with him on Sunday. I think we will see Dillon as a pusher of Chase Elliott or Jimmie Johnson early in the race and hopefully he can stay inside the top 10. Starting 15th at minimum price, I think Dillon is a safe play.

Jimmie Johnson ($8,000/6,400) I’m not really high on Jimmie Johnson, but I think he will be chalk and it is worth mentioning that he is last year’s winner of this race and starting 16th. I have no idea why Johnson is minimum price on Fan Duel so not playing him could be a nightmare if he is highly owned. I like Austin Dillon over Johnson because I think his ownership will be lower and they will score a similar amount of points.

I like building a lineup around Hamlin and Logano. I think you need to find the right mix of Truex, Blaney, and Chase Elliott in the mid-tier with Austin Dillon or even Jimmie Johnson as your value play. Good luck in all your contests this Sunday!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – Ford EcoBoost 400

Victory Lane – Ford EcoBoost 400
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

This is it, the final race of the 2019 NASCAR season. Weather impacted the weekend schedule with both practices rained out on Friday. NASCAR opted to cancel qualifying and use that time for one practice on Saturday afternoon. Cars will start based on owners points with Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick starting on the front row. The champion, and likely race winner, will be determined between Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., and Kevin Harvick. Let’s get started.

Martin Truex Jr. ($14,000/10,600) Truex is my pick for the championship. Starting 3rd, I think Truex leads the most laps and wins the race. We have seen Truex dominate races when he doesn’t practice well, but he ran top 3 times on Saturday. Barring any late race drama, I like Truex to win it all on Sunday.

Kyle Busch ($14,000/11,400) I would rank Kyle Busch 2nd out of the Championship 4 this weekend, Kyle showed strong practice speed, fastest in single lap and 5 consecutive lap average, 2nd in 10 lap average. Starting 4th, I think Kyle is a must play and I’m pairing him with Truex this weekend.

Denny Hamlin ($14,000/11,100) I think Denny is right there with Kyle on speed this weekend. I give the edge to Kyle Busch, because of starting position and the potential for positive differential points where Hamlin will likely have somewhere between -0.5 and -2 differential points. Hamlin is starting the race 1st and could lead a lot of laps in the first stage. I think Hamlin deserves consideration, but overall I am probably fading Hamlin and Harvick on Sunday.

Ryan Blaney ($10,500/9,400) The strategy I am implementing this weekend is to play two championship contenders, a driver who has an opportunity to lead laps and win (but not in the championship 4) and two mid-tier drivers who can improve on their position by 5+ spots. I think Ryan Blaney is a prime candidate for leading laps and stealing the win away from the championship four. Blaney was the fastest of the non-championship contenders in practice and the price is right to allow you to use him without having to scrape the bottom of the barrel and hope a guy who is starting 30th can finish 22nd.

Kyle Larson ($13,000/10,200) I would put Kyle Larson in the same category as Blaney, but Larson’s higher salary will keep him out of my cash game lineups. I think Larson would be a solid tournament play if you wanted to use him with one of the championship four drivers (fading the other three). Larson has a strong history at Homestead with the best driver rating, the third best average running position, and the fact that he has led over one-fifth of all the laps he’s run at the track.

Matt DiBenedetto ($5,500/7,600) When I heard that qualifying was canceled, I immediately thought of DiBenedetto. DiBenedetto’s team is 21st in owner points but he has been running much better recently. I like DiBenedetto to run in the top 15 throughout the race and finish somewhere between 12th-15th. I am locking DiBenedetto into all of my lineups this weekend.

William Byron ($10,000/8,400) I think William Byron has a solid car this weekend. Byron’s practice times were not outstanding, 20th in 5 lap average, 11th in 10 lap average, 2nd in 15 lap average, and 1st out of the 10 cars that ran 20 consecutive laps. When everyone else was losing 4-5 tenths of a second for every 5 laps run, Byron was only losing about a tenth per five laps. Byron averaged 33.08 over 5 laps, 33.20 over 10, and 33.33 over 15 laps. For comparison, Truex averaged 32.56 over 5 laps, 33.02 over 10 laps, and 33,28 over a 15 lap run. Truex was faster than Byron in all of those categories, but Byron’s times fell off less when compared to Truex. Starting 9th, you really need Byron to run a perfect race to be worthwhile playing in DFS. I think he is a little too slow in the short runs to be trusted, but he is worth considering at his speed and salary.

Jimmie Johnson ($7,500/7,900) Jimmie Johnson has celebrated more championships (7) than any other driver at Homestead Miami Speedway. Johnson has 1 win, 5 top 5s, and 11 top 10 finishes in 18 starts at the track. Since Johnson didn’t make the playoffs, he is starting the race 18th and has a good shot at improving his starting position by half a dozen spots. I think Johnson can compete for a top 10 finish and be a solid play at his salary in DFS.

Chris Buescher ($6,000/6,700) I like Chris Buescher this weekend and I think he can improve on his 20th place starting position by about 5 spots. Buescher was 16th in 5 lap average and 18th in 10 lap average during practice. I like Johnson more than Buescher this weekend, but Buescher’s price makes him more playable for me.

Drew Herring ($5,400 DK only) For some unknown reason Fan Duel does not have Drew Herring listed as a driver this weekend. On DK he is $5,400 which is a little steep, but I like the potential for a massive day in differential points. Herring is starting 37th and should be able to run around the 25th position, maybe as high as 20th if he’s having a good day. This is the car that Parker Kligerman usually races and has sponsorship from Toyota (Herring had been a Joe Gibbs Racing development driver in the Xfinity series but hasn’t run since 2017). This is Herring’s cup debut and I would play him on Fan Duel if they had him listed, assuming he’d be priced in the Nemechek/LaJoie range.

John Hunter Nemechek ($2,000/5,800) If you are going to play a low salary driver I like John Hunter (make sure you double check the name so you don’t play his dad, Corey LaJoie ($2,500/5,200), and David Ragan ($3,500/5,700) in that order. These drivers are starting 30th, 29th, and 31st. I don’t think any of them can run much better than 25th, but David Ragan does have top 20 potential from time to time. I don’t like building a lineup that relies on any of these guys, but I think that they are the best of bad options if) you are in need.

I like building a lineup around two of the championship contenders (Truex and Kyle Busch are my picks), a non-championship contender who could lead laps and win the race (Blaney or Larson), and two mid-tier drivers who can run well and are relatively reliable (DiBenedetto, Byron, Johnson, Buescher). Good luck to all our subscribers this weekend and thank you for reading my articles this season. I have really enjoyed researching, writing, and playing NASCAR DFS with all of you.

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and is currently pursuing a Masters’ of Science degree in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – Bluegreen Vacations 500

Victory Lane – Bluegreen Vacations 500
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

There are two races to go in the 2019 NASCAR season! Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. are locked into the championship 4 at Homestead Miami Speedway next week. The final two spots will be decided at Phoenix between Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson, and Chase Elliott. Going into the race, Busch and Logano are in on points, but if any of those six drivers win the race, they automatically advance. Kyle Busch won the pole over Joey Logano, Hamlin, Truex, and Larson round out the top 5 starting positions.

Phoenix is a short race, only 312 laps around the 1 mile track. The first two stages are very short, only 75 laps each. I think the cars that start up front will stay up front and it will be difficult to find anyone who races their way up through the field. Since Phoenix is a 1 mile track, I like playing a few more tournament lineups than usual. I’ve included more drivers to give you options when playing multiple lineups. Let’s get started!

Denny Hamlin ($13,500/10,600) Denny Hamlin had a shot to advance to Championship 4 at Martinsville and it didn’t work out. After a disastrous race at Texas, Hamlin appears to have the fastest car at Phoenix (fastest in 10, 15, and 20 lap average speed in final practice). Can Hamlin and his pit crew keep him up front, lead laps and win the race to advance? I think he will be a top 5 play at Phoenix.

Martin Truex Jr. ($14,500/11,200)
Martin Truex Jr. finished 2nd at Phoenix in the spring and has a strong car this weekend. Truex ran top 10 speeds in final practice, but Truex never seems to be at the top of the practice sheet, even when he ends up dominating a race like he did at Martinsville. From the 4th starting position, I think Truex could lead a lot of laps and win the race. I really like pairing Truex and Hamlin in DFS lineups on Sunday.

Kevin Harvick ($14,000/11,500) Kevin Harvick’s history at Phoenix speaks for itself. The best driver rating, second best average running position, the most laps led among active drivers and 9 wins. Harvick ran top 5 practice speeds in final practice. I like Harvick to have a good day on Sunday, but I like Hamlin and Truex a little bit more.

Joey Logano ($11,500/9,900) Starting second, I think Logano will be overlooked in DFS lineups on Sunday. Logano showed very consistent top 5 speeds in final practice on Friday. He is a little bit risky as I could see him finishing the race in the back half of the top 10, good enough to advance to Miami, but not scoring enough DFS points. I think Logano leans more toward a tournament play, but I think he could be considered in all contests on Sunday.

Chase Elliott ($12,500/10,2000) Chase Elliott topped the board in single lap speed during final practice. His 5, 10, 15, and 20 lap average speeds were all between 6th and 7th fastest. Qualifying 6th, I think Elliott, like Logano, may get overlooked on Sunday. The fear with building a lineup around Elliott or Logano is that one of the Gibbs cars leads 200+ laps and win the race and Logano or Elliott finish 5th or 6th and don’t score enough points to cash.

Ryan Blaney ($12,000/9,400) Blaney’s car showed strong speed over longer runs in final practice. He was fastest in 25 and 30 consecutive lap speed (not many cars ran 30 consecutive laps). He was 4th in 5 lap average, 3rd in 10 and 15 lap, and 2nd in 20 lap average speed behind Denny Hamlin. I like Blaney to advance his position by a handful of spots as he starts the race 10th.

Matt DiBenedetto ($6,000/7,300) DiBenedetto is a lock button for me this weekend. Starting 16th, I think DiBenedetto easily has a top 10 car if everything goes smoothly on track and on pit road. DiBenedetto had the fastest 5 lap average and the 2nd fastest 10 and 15 lap speeds in final practice. I think DiBenedetto can run inside the top 10 for most of the day and finish somewhere in the 6th-8th position, making him a lock at his salary.

Kurt Busch ($9,500/8,700) I think Kurt Busch can run well at Phoenix, but I don’t see him advancing much beyond his starting position. That being said, he is a solid candidate for a top 10 finish for under 10k in salary. Kurt ran 10-12th in consecutive lap speeds in final practice. If he would have qualified somewhere between 14th and 16th I would be much more interested in him, but I think there is a risk for some negative differential points, so I would proceed with caution.

Clint Bowyer (9,000/8,900) I like Clint Bowyer for the same reasons as Kurt Busch, but he has a lower salary, ran faster speeds in final practice, and starts the race 13th. I think Bowyer is a better play at this salary and I like him to finish inside the top 10.

Jimmie Johnson ($7,800/7,900) This is a tournament play only, but I think Jimmie Johnson has potential to score a lot of DFS points from his 22nd starting position. Johnson has a strong track record at Phoenix with the 2nd best driver rating, 3rd best average running position, over 900 laps led, 4 wins, 15 top 5s, and 21 top 10s in 32 races. Johnson finished 8th in the spring and anything close to an 8th place finish on Sunday would make him a great DFS play. His practice speeds were not good, 28th in single lap speed and 27th in 5 lap average. Johnson did not run 10 consecutive laps in a practice where the majority of drivers ran at least 15 consecutive laps. I think overall the Chevy’s are the slowest of the manufacturers at Phoenix. I think the Toyotas have the most speed with the Fords of Kevin Harvick, Ryan Blaney, and Joey Logano close behind.

Austin Dillon ($6,500/6,800) Austin Dillon ran 5 and 10 lap average speeds good enough for 14th and 13th in final practice and qualified 28th. I think Austin can easily improve his starting position by 10 or more, run inside the top 20 and finish around 15th which would make him a great play at his salary. I think this is a lower risk alternative to Matt DiBenedetto with about the same ceiling. I think Austin Dillon should be strongly considered in all contests on Sunday.


John Hunter Nemechek ($3,000/5,300)
John Hunter Nemechek made his cup series debut at Texas Motor Speedway last weekend. I’ve liked this kid since he started racing trucks back in 2013/2014. I wish I would have played him instead of Corey Lajoie last week as Nemechek ran on the lead lap for most of the race and finished 21st in his first 500 mile race. Phoenix is a much shorter race, and Nemechek has experience running an Xfinity car with 2 top 10 finishes in 2 races. Starting 26th, I think Nemechek can run safely in the mid-20s and finish the race 1-2 laps down, maybe on the lead lap if cautions fall at the right time late in the race. At $3k on Fan Duel, I think this is the right driver to make lineups fit together.

I think the right build for this race is starting three playoff drivers with DiBenedetto and John Hunter Nemechek. The choice is in using 3 of the following: Truex, Hamlin, Harvick, Logano, and Blaney. Truex, Hamlin, and Blaney fit together in a lineup. Truex Hamlin, and Harvick do not, unless you were to move down from Nemechek to someone like Reed Sorenson or JJ Yeley. I wouldn’t feel good about doing that in cash, but in a multi-lineup environment I think that is something I would consider. Obviously I didn’t write up the pole sitter, Kyle Busch. Kyle should be considered in a few lineups if you are playing multiple entries in case he leads a lot of laps early and ends up winning the race, but I like Hamlin, Truex, and Harvick (in that order) ahead of Kyle Busch.

Good luck to all our subscribers this weekend!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and is currently pursuing a Masters’ of Science degree in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – Victory Lane – AAA Texas 500

Victory Lane – AAA Texas 500
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

NASCAR visits the Lone Star State for the penultimate race in the round of 8 for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs. Kevin Harvick won the pole in dominating fashion, topping second place qualifier Erik Jones by 0.123 seconds. The cars were inspected before qualifying and the lineup is official. Texas is a 500 mile race, 334 laps, with lineup lock at 3pm eastern on Sunday. I like playing mostly cash games for this race (50/50s and double ups) with maybe 10% of my entry fees going into single entry tournaments. Let’s get started.

Kevin Harvick ($14,000/10,400) Kevin Harvick won the pole for the race and has a fast car this weekend. Stewart-Haas racing has stepped up its game recently and I think it will pay off with a win for Kevin Harvick on Sunday. I like Harvick to lead the most laps and win the race. He might not end up being the highest scoring driver in DFS, but I think he will be top 3 and well worth the risk of playing the pole sitter.

Martin Truex Jr. ($15,000/11,500) Truex qualified 17th and appears to be a lock for a top scoring DFS driver on Sunday. Truex ran practice speeds inside the top 10 in consecutive lap averages during final practice. I have confidence in the combination of Truex and Crew Chief Cole Pearn to adjust the car and have it running in the top 5 with a chance to win by the end of the race.

Kyle Larson ($12,000/9,200) Kyle Larson qualified 13th ran incredibly consistent lap times during final practice. While everyone else seemed to lose about a tenth of a second on average speed for every 5 laps run, Larson stayed consistent. Larson ran average lap times in the 28.90s from a 5 lap average through 30 lap average speed. For comparison, Kevin Harvick ran laps from 28.78 through 29.09 from 5-25 lap speeds. Larson’s issue at Texas has been staying out of trouble. Larson has crashed in 3 of his last 4 races at the track. In the race he didn’t crash, last fall, he finished 5th. If Larson stays out of trouble, I think he can contend for a top 5 finish at the end of the race.

William Byron ($10,000/8,000) I like William Byron this week, but not because he has shown exceptional speed in practice. I like Byron’s growing chemistry with Chad Knaus, I like his history at the track, and I like the momentum this team has after a second place finish at Martinsville. Byron ran practice speeds in the 10-13th range during final practice. I think Byron can improve on his 18th place starting position, but I’m not sure if he will be able to break inside the top 10, though a lot can happen in 500 miles.

Clint Bowyer ($8,500/8,800) There is a lot to like with Clint Bowyer this weekend at Texas. I’m not sure what happened to Bowyer in qualifying as he came to the line slow, and qualified 24th. This was surprising considering he was fastest in 10 and 15 lap average and 2nd fastest in 20 lap average (behind Larson) in final practice. Bowyer has run well in the last few spring races at Texas but has finished poorly in the last three fall races (26th, 36th, 25th). The poor finishes, along with the fact that he cost me dearly at Martinsville, are enough to keep me off of Bowyer on Sunday.

Paul Menard ($5,500/7,300) Starting 31st, Paul Menard is a valuable low risk play for Sunday. Menard ran practice speeds of 15th and 16th in 5 and 10 lap average during final practice. I think Menard can easily finish inside the top 20, maybe top 15 by the end of the race. I like locking Menard into my core lineup on Sunday.

Corey LaJoie ($3,000/5,900) Of all the bottom end drivers on Sunday, I like Corey LaJoie the best. $3k on Fan Duel, starting 33rd, I think LaJoie has a shot at staying on the lead lap for the first two stages and finishing in the mid 20s, 2-3 laps down. This is a low risk play that allows you to play 3 playoff drivers at the top end that have a shot to lead laps and win the race.

My core cash lineup includes Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., and Paul Menard. I think the decision lies between playing Kyle Larson, William Byron, and Clint Bowyer. Good luck to all our subscribers this weekend!

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and is currently pursuing a Masters’ of Science degree in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.