Bottom of the Barrel WK13 – DFS CheatSheet

Bottom of the Barrel WK13
12/1/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

How many owners in your league have checked out? What about your favorite fantasy football writer? Have they phoned it in? Has the content fallen off?

Now is the time to put the pedal to the metal! No time to let up! If you’re as passionate about fantasy football as I am then hopefully you can understand. If you’re as driven and eager to learn DFS as I am then hopefully you agree!

There’s a thin line here between being a jerk or being smart and excited. All I’ve ever wanted to do is explain my personal process to the best of my ability. It’s just exciting when others around me are doing well. I absolutely love to see others succeed! To see the light bulb go off for something is a fantastic experience!

How many of you are absolutely shocked we’re talking week 13 of the NFL season? My late father always told me as boy to cherish each and every relationship, experience and moment possible. They come and go so fast. Took me 35 years to full understand. Thank you Dad!

QUARTERBACK

As we’re accustomed to now here’s the most expensive player at QB in week 13. Should help put B&B prices into perspective!

Russell Wilson SEA vs. NYG (4th)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$7,700)

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at QB in week 13!

Matt Ryan ATL vs. NO (12th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$5,600)

I know what you’re thinking. I know what you’re going to say. The Saints have looked outstanding on the defensive side of the ball in recent weeks. The NFC South race is between two teams now. None of which are the Falcons. There are certain divisions in football where I feel you can throw out records when they play. The NFC South is one of them. More importantly, ATL vs. NO is one of those match-ups. Matt Ryan is no stranger to the Saints. In 24 total games he’s tosses 43 TD’s compared to 18 INT’s.

Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA vs. CIN (19th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$6,000)

One thing about Fitz is he can be relied upon in good match-ups! Last week against the Jets Ryan completed 24 of 39 passes for 257 yards and two touchdowns. Expect more of the same Sunday. The price paired with the floor is very nice!

Derek Carr LV @ NYJ (29th)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,800)

What. The. Heck. We all what happened in week 12 with Carr. We just don’t know why? In an outstanding match-up on paper (@ ATL 32nd overall pass defense) he tanked! He really made us look like fools. Turning the ball over four times and getting sacked three times! Any good fantasy player and a solid DFS player knows the score. Never be afraid to go back to the well! That’s what I’m doing here in week 13. Scared money don’t make money! That’s how the saying goes right?

Baker Mayfield CLE @ TEN (28th)(FD-$7,100)(DK-$5,300)

Don’t look now but the Browns are 8-3! Baker hasn’t been filling up box scores but he has been efficient with a low amount of passing attempts. Mayfield only threw the ball 29 times in week 12. I’m fully expecting a larger work load for Baker this Sunday. The Titans are very potent on offense and if CLE wants to keep pace then it goes through Baker! With some assistance from Chubb!

Mitchell Trubisky CHI vs. DET (27th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,400)

Mitch absolutely torches the Lions! His last four games vs. Detroit he’s thrown THREE touchdowns in each one! If you’re keep score at home that’s twelve total TD passes! It’s unbelievable! That’s the beauty of DFS! We’re able to pick our spots! I’m choosing Mitch in week 13!

Sam Darnold NYJ vs. LV (24th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,000)

Shocking? Yes! Ideal? No! Can we gain some sort of advantage with Sam in our lines? Yes! The price tag on both sites is a sweet spot for me along with stacking several other NYJ skill position players. Stacking a few Jets in the right contests can yield some leverage in other areas of your DFS lines this weekend.

RUNNING BACK

Dalvin Cook MIN vs. JAX (28th)(FD-$10,500)(DK-$9,500)

Oh look! Cook’s price came down $500 on Fanduel!

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at RB in week 13!

Nyheim Hines IND @ HOU (31st)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$5,300)

Wouldn’t be Bottom of the Barrel if we weren’t picking on the Texans run defense! Last I read rookie RB Jonathan Taylor is still on the COVID-IR. That would leave a huge hunk of work unclaimed for Hines to grab.

David Montgomery CHI vs. DET (32nd)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$5,500)

Week 12 D-Mont only received eleven carries yet he put up 101 yards. He also caught five of six targets for 40yds and a TD. Kid has it in him! Yet Nagy seems apprehensive about giving him 20+ carries! It’s very strange. This Sunday vs. Detroit it would be wise to cut him loose. Which I firmly believe they do!

Wayne Gallman Jr. NYG @ SEA (18th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,600)

Heyyyy Wayne! We’re not worthy! We’re not worthy! Maybe that’s being a little over dramatic but I’d hate to miss out on a chance to quote Wayne’s World!

Devontae Booker LV @ NYJ (22nd)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,500)

In the wake of the Josh Jacobs injury news you’d be wise to consider Booker. Playing at the Jets is sweet enough to make anyone playable. Although there is still a chance Josh Jacobs plays I just don’t see it happening. In any event, keep an eye out. Devontae with a full workload Sunday could be special! See how in week 10 he took sixteen carries for 81 yards and two touchdowns.

Damien Harris NE @ LAC (23rd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$5,200)

Harris comes with definite risk. Damien has seen 10+ carries in six straight games but was out shined in week 12 by James White. Harris should see his fair share of carries Sunday vs. the Chargers. Who grabs the limelight though? I’m betting on Harris!

Boston Scott PHI @ GB (30th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$6,000)

Did you know Boston out-gained Miles Sanders on one less carry Monday night? Looking ahead to the match-up at Green Bay, the Eagles are 9.5 point underdogs. Which, in turn, could mean a heavy passing down workload! Plus, over the past three games Scott’s offensive snap usage has gone up! Full steam ahead for Mr. Scott this week!

Cam Akers LAR @ ARZ (13th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,500)

Cam and his price tag this week have me licking my chops! Kid has back-to-back games with a touchdown with his sights set on Arizona!

Jordan Wilkins IND @ HOU (31st)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,200)

We’ve had success here at B&B mentioning combo plays! Wilkins worked with Hines in week 12 and found some room. It’s still dependant on JT status.

Myles Gaskin MIA vs. CIN (17th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$5,900)

Keep a watchful eye out on Gaskin and his status in week 13. If active on Sunday, which I believe he will be, Myles is a full go for me. Gaskin was humming along before his stint on IR and in the meantime his price has fallen. Take advantage while you can!

Frank Gore NYJ vs. LV (29th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,400)

The year is 2035. Frank Gore is still getting meaningful carries in the NFL.

Jamaal Williams GB vs. PHI (8th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$6,100)

Hate to break it to you but I cannot see the future. I do not have a crystal ball. That leads me to Jamaal and what I believe will be a very favorable game script Sunday. Aaron Jones is the RB1 in Green Bay but Williams gets his fair share of touches. Who here thinks the Pack will be up big in the second half? If answered yes then you’d have to believe J-Will sees a ton of work here!

Kerryon Johnson DET @ CHI (10th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,400)

Nothing more then a speculative add seeing how there has been a change at head coach. As we get later in the week let’s hope there is a game plan that includes KJ! Who is still only 23 years old!

WIDE RECEIVER

Davante Adams GB vs. PHI (13th)(FD-$9,500)(DK-$9,000)

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at WR for week 13!

Corey Davis TEN vs. CLE (23rd)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,100)

Corey has been a pleasant surprise this season! He’s seen six targets in four of five games. I’m fully expecting a nice healthy complimentary role vs. Cleveland on Sunday.

Breshad Perriman NYJ vs. LV (18th)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$3,900)

Fortune favors the bold as they say. DFS players are a different breed in term of taking risk yet minimizing it at the same time. After an injury riddled start to the season Perriman has accumulated 234 yards and three touchdowns his last three games. Stack him with Sam Darnold and ride the hot streak!

Darius Slayton NYG @ SEA (32nd)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,600)

Maybe we were a week early on Slayton? That’s just fine! I’d rather be early then late! NOTE looks as if Colt McCoy will be the starting QB. Temper your expectations for all Giants WR’s.

Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ HOU (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,900)

Indianapolis Colts rookie WR Michael Pittman Jr.

The rookie is now without a doubt the Colts WR1. Last Sunday he was the most targeted WR but didn’t do much. Let’s just chalk that up to growing pains! His last two games he’s seen 11 targets, 10 receptions for 167 yards and 1 touchdown. A match-up in Houston Sunday should be all he needs to get back on track!

Cordarrelle Patterson CHI vs. DET (24th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$3,600)

As you know Mitch plays like an All-Pro vs. the Lions. His three touchdown passes have to go somewhere! Patterson will score Sunday at home!

Denzel Mims NYJ vs. LV (18th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,100)

If you’re going to stack Jets you’d be wise to include the rookie WR! Mims tied fellow WR Perriman in targets and receptions Sunday. Mims has also topped 60+ reception yards his last three games. The breakout is coming! So is his first NFL TD! As soon as week 13!

Collin Johnson JAX @ MIN (29th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,300)

With DJ Chark and Chris Conley inactive Sunday Collin took full advantage! So much so that he deserves our attention in week 13! Not too sure what the status is of the other Jag WR’s heading into Minnesota but you’d be wise to give Johnson as second look this weekend.

Darnell Mooney CHI vs. DET (24th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,400)

I love the idea of rookie WR Darnell Mooney going nuts on Sunday at home. As odd as it may sound there is a clear pecking order in Chicago. Allen Robinson II leading the charge for WR. Although Mooney saw nine targets in week 12 I firmly believe he gets loose Sunday for a deep TD!

Tre’Quan Smith NO @ ATL (30th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$3,000)

I thought I had it all figured out last weekend from the Raiders point of view. Then true to form they burned me and the Falcons went nuts. I don’t see Atlanta doing that again in week 13. Total domination ahead for the Saints. For the low price of $4,800 and $3,000 you too can own a piece of the domination!

Olabisi Johnson MIN vs. JAX (28th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,700)

Since Adam Thielen is currently on the COVID-IR Olabisi is now the WR2 in Minnesota. Which might now mean a whole lot but for DFS purposes it has it’s merits! Kirk Cousins couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn if you asked me but somehow Olabisi saw seven target and caught all seven! Look for more of the same Sunday vs. a dreadful Jaguars DST!

TIGHT END

Darren Waller LV @ NYJ (31st)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$6,100)

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at TE for week 13!

Kyle Rudolph MIN vs. JAX (24th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,400)

If you remember correctly Kyle was mentioned here last week. What did he do to earn back-to-back mentions in B&B? Eight targets, seven receptions and 68 yards! Rudolph was also second on the team in targets last weekend. I’m looking at the same type of production in week 13 with the addition of a touchdown!

Mo Alie-Cox IND @ HOU (13th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$2,700)

Not much to say about Mo this week. He did lead the other tight ends in offensive snaps.

Harrison Bryant CLE @ TEN (29th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,500)

Cleveland Browns rookie TE Harrison Bryant

The Titans are an extremely friendly match-up for Harrison. They’ve given up 7 total TD’s to opposing TE’s.

Ryan Izzo NE @ LAC (22nd)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,500)

Izzo has been mention in B&B several times and has yet do anything. At this point adding him here is just part of the process. However, he was on the field for 51 of the Pats total 53 offensive snaps.

Cole Kmet CHI vs. DET (19th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,500)