Bottom of the Barrel Wild Card Weekend
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie
We’re on the verge of a new season! The post-season!
Balance? Ever heard of it? Well, it takes me longer to find it compared to others but in doing so, you’ll learn a lot about yourself along the way. I learned two things. I’m afraid of failing and I’m afraid of success. It’s an odd scenario right? It’s either one or the other I told myself. Few months back I had to take an honest look at myself.
What’s the opposite of fear? Took me months to figure it out. So while soul searching I asked myself a few questions…
What is my purpose? What is my calling? What am I passionate about?
After taking an honest hard look at myself I came to one conclusion. I just need to have hope. Faith is the opposite of fear! With some some faith in my life, those questions become meaningless. The only piece of the puzzle I need is hope and the rest will come!
That’s what every DFS fan has to start each new slate! Hope and faith that this roster is the one to hit big! Now multiple that by a million to start a completely different sport! With that comes a new attitude and a new commitment for knowledge.
The playoffs are odd. The playoffs are exciting. In some cases, they go exactly as planned. Yet they are completely off the wall. It’s time! Let’s dig into the Super Duper Wild Card weekend!
Mitchell Trubisky CHI @ NO (8th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,300)
Mitch has had a good run for the Bears this season. He was the starter then Nick Foles then back to starting QB. The Bears have snuck into the playoffs as a Wild Card. On Sunday they travel to New Orleans and no one is really expecting much from them.
Philip Rivers IND @ BUF (13th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,400)
Phil has done just enough to get the Colts into the playoffs. Let us be honest, rookie RB Jonathan Taylor has played a huge role in the Colts successful season. The Buffalo Bills are steamrolling people which is a positive for Phil here. Likely playing from behind and forced to throw is a great move for Phil. He has always been a slinger. That is where he is most comfortable!
Baker Mayfield CLE @ PIT (2nd)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,400)
The Cleveland Browns are in the playoffs! What? This game should be a hard-hitting slobber knocker. Sorry my old WWF roots come out in the most inopportune times. Cleveland and Baker are in for one heck of a fight on Sunday. This contest is going to be competitive down to the last snap.
Alex Smith WSH vs TB (16th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,100)
Is the Washington Football Team a feel-good story this season? I know Alex Smith playing is! This game is going to be closer than people expect! The dink and dunk style of Smith should play well at home against Tampa.
Cam Akers LAR @ SEA (15th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,100)
Cam active in week 17 but did not do much. 21 carries for 34 yards. If we do the math that is a 1.6 ypc (yards per carry) clip. Not good! Yet on Saturday this kid should have a lot more room to run. He is elusive. He is electric and coach McVay has no issue giving him a large workload.
Kareem Hunt CLE @ PIT (3rd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,800)
I am not an NFL coach. Do not think it takes an NFL coach to see what Cleveland must do to win on Sunday. Hammer home running the ball. Nick Chubb has been outstanding running the ball all season. While Hunt is just around to assist. If Cleveland can work in Hunt a successful day can be had.
Gus Edwards BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,400)
Gus has become the RB2 behind rookie RB Dobbins. Gus has totaled 36 carries in his last three games. Meaning, a 10+ carry day is on tap Sunday in Tennessee. The Titans are a formidable foe, but they give up 26.93 points a game along with an average of 104.5 rushing yards a contest.
Nyheim Hines IND @ BUF (22nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,700)
Right now, for the Colts it is the JT show. Yet Hines lead the team in receptions, receiving yards and targets in week 17. If the Colts want any chance at upsetting the red-hot Bills they must be firing on all cylinders. Could Hines be the key to unlocking that?
Zack Moss BUF vs IND (11th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,600)
Moss is no stranger to Bottom of the Barrel. It is no secret Moss and Singletary have basically been used in tandem all season. Let us not overreact to Zack’s minimal usage in week 17. Looks like it was just a rest and relaxation type of thing. I am going out a limb here to say that Moss will see a heavy uptick in usage on Saturday. At the price it is something we cannot gloss over.
J.D. McKissic WSH vs TB (4th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,800)
I do not have any kids, but I have always heard about parents saying they have no favorites. Well, McKissic is a favorite of mine! JD finished the season with 80 total receptions and should be on your radar Saturday night. Tampa Bay is 4th overall against opposing RB but with McKissic catching passes that would mean he is more of a WR. Tampa is 19th overall vs WR’s.
Latavius Murray NO vs CHI (10th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,500)
Murray did not play in week 17. Alvin was out too. Both with in close contact to COVID. Both New Orleans Saints RB are eligible to return after ten days. Sunday the 10th is exactly ten days. They will need to pass several tests including a cardiac screening prior to kick-off. It is an issue worth monitoring.
Mark Ingram II BAL @ TEN (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,000)
Rookie running back JK Dobbins has matured and become the Ravens RB1 faster than expected. We all saw this coming! Yet something tells me Baltimore will give Mark some carries in this one! The ole crafty veteran RB in the playoffs is indispensable right?
Benny Snell Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,200)
We do not normally put players down and throw people under the bus here at Bottom of the Barrel, but James Connor is not it. James had another slow and quite week. While Steeler head coach Mike Tomlin did say how he wanted to get Snell more involved. Well, that has not happened yet. Pittsburgh is primed and ready to roll in the playoffs but what is their identity? I have a sneaking suspicion Benny rips off one heck of a game Sunday.
Alex Collins SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
Football is a funny sport. DFS is even more wacky! A 26-year-old running back like Collins get a crack at carrying the ball this season after some injuries and illnesses and here we are! Limited carries (2,11 and 5) yet back-to-back games with a touchdown. There is little to no upside here. More like an educated punt play.
Rashaad Penny SEA vs LAR (5th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,000)
This is the NFL Playoffs it is not wise to punt or stray too far from the studs. That is exactly what losing DFS players will tell you. A few quick searches and you will see Penny has taken on a larger role each week since his return. Penny makes for a nice compliment this weekend at home vs the Rams.
Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT vs CLE (7th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)
What are the chances rookie RB McFarland Jr. getting any amount of substantial work Sunday night? Not high! Not likely! On the off-chance Tomlin switches gears mid-game then there is no reason to roster Anthony.
Chase Claypool PIT vs CLE (24th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,200)
We have all heard social media telling us it is tough to choose what PIT WR will go off week-to-week. Yet the targets for Claypool have been steady! His last four games the targets are as follows; 6, 8, 6 and 11. Chase will get a rematch vs the Cleveland Browns on Sunday night and I could not be more excited!
Darnell Mooney CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)
Mooney has had a fantastic rookie year. Capping off his 2020 season catching 11 of 13 targets for 93 yards. More importantly, Sunday in New Orleans, the Chicago Bears will need to keep pace with Brees and the loaded Saints offense.
Zach Pascal IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,700)
No one has mentioned Zach and his last three games. Ten receptions and three touchdowns. Sometimes DFS is about the match-up more than the actual player. I know, it sounds silly but that is what we have here for Pascal. Buffalo should hang 30+ points in this one forcing Phil and Pascal to be heavily involved.
Michael Pittman Jr. IND @ BUF (5th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,500)
Pittman Jr. has ridden the rookie WR wave in terms of production, but the talent is there! The same could be said for Pittman as stated for Pascal. It is no secret, but I am going to be stacking Colts this weekend.
Gabriel Davis BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$4,000)
Now we are talking! Davis has seen four or more targets in Buffalo’s last six games. You will want any and all pieces of this offense you can get your hands-on Saturday.
Miles Boykin BAL @ TEN (31st)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,400)
Boykin is not going to pile up PPR points, but he seems to be good for at least one or two deep routes a game.
Cordarrelle Patterson CHI @ NO (22nd)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,000)
Patterson has been a fantastic real-life player for Chicago all season. He sees a mix of receptions, running routes, carrying the football and even special team’s work. His snap count has diminished a touch but again Chicago finds themselves in a touch spot on Sunday in New Orleans.
Isaiah McKenzie BUF vs IND (17th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,300)
Speaking of underappreciated dart throws, Isaiah McKenzie! In the absence of Cole Beasley McKenzie saw work from the slot. Last I checked Beasley is still day-to-day. Will he play? Won’t he play? I am not one to wait around, so I am locking in Isaiah this weekend.
Cam Sims WSH vs TB (19th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,900)
Cam has really come on strong as of late. To the tune of 19 receptions his last five games. Sims is by no means a world beater or stud WR, yet, but he is earned a larger role moving forward. No time like the present! Wild Card weekend!
Marquez Callaway NO vs CHI (8th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,100)
The Saints have dealt with offensive injuries all season. Opening some sort of work for Callaway. He is seen back-to-back four target games and his pricing on both sites is perfect!
Cole Kmet CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,000)
Cole has been learning and growing in this offense all season. Kmet has tallied 22 total targets the last four weeks. The Saints are not all that good against opposing TE’s. It is a perfect storm on Sunday afternoon.
Jonnu Smith TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,200)
Jonnu has flamed out. Started out strong and just flopped. Large in part to an injury. Yet at this time of the season in DFS we need to build the best possible lines. By now hopefully you are aware of my propensity to punt tight ends. The upside for Jonnu is too high to pass.
Jimmy Graham CHI @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$3,300)
Revenge game? Look, sometimes we must cling to anything and everything positive. Jimmy has not played for New Orleans since 2014. Jimmy has scored eight touchdowns this season. Not to mention two multi-TD games. It is Wild Card weekend! Let us get wild! Would we dare stack Chicago tight ends?
Dawson Knox BUF vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,200)
Social media has talked down about Knox. Let us not make him a thing to be specific. While I understand, I do not agree. This Buffalo Bills offense is high powered and certain players get lost in the shuffle. There should be no issue taking a flier on Knox Saturday.
Jacob Hollister SEA vs LAR (16th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$2,700)
At this stage of the article what more can we say? The positive here, Hollister has scored a touchdown in back-to-back weeks! This game is going to be tight. Separated by three or four points.
Jack Doyle IND @ BUF (30th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,900)
The Colts have several passable players at tight end. Trey Burton and Mo Al-Cox to be specific. Yet I passionately believe Doyle is the guy the lean on at the position in Buffalo on Saturday.
Cameron Brate TB @ WSH (7th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$2,700)
Again, nothing fancy just a punt-able play with upside this week at tight end. Playoff Gronk and playoff Brady are a thing to behold! Who is to say Brate cannot see a little action?
Vance McDonald PIT vs CLE (25th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$4,500)
Only mentioning Vance in the case Eric Ebron is still out on the COVID-IR for Sunday nights game. If that is the case, then let us give McDonald a shot.
Anthony Firkser TEN vs BAL (11th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,700)
If you have an issue with Jonnu then let us turn our attention to Firkser! Did Jonnu screw you over in your seasonal leagues? Have a negative interaction with him? Then Firkser is your tight end! BAL @ TEN has the highest o/u of the weekend. Sitting at 54 total points. I am easy to please, so this sways it for me!
Lee Smith BAL vs IND (6th)(FD-$4,200)(DK-$2,500)
I am not trying to fool anyone here. Lee is 100% in Bottom of the Barrel because of his week 16 performance. At least we now know the Bills have some sort of room for him on the field!
Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for Super Wild Card Weekend! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/9/21! Also Sunday morning 1/10/21!
Look for some updated lines for the Saturday only and Sunday only slates too!
That is, it! Did I miss someone?
Any questions or comments?
Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie