Bottom of the Barrel Divisional Round
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie
Are you superstitious? What extremes have you gone to ensure your team wins? After Wild Card weekend it is safe to assume Cleveland Brown fans have done the most! Praying, wearing jerseys, rubbing stones, or even bowing down to tchotchkes. Whatever the Cleveland faithful have done it is clearly working!
Up next is the Divisional Round, the final four! Meaning, there is little to no room for error. We must be damn near perfect. Which is possible if we stay the course and dig in to Bottom of the Barrel. This article is not the end all be for DFS value plays, but it has been unbelievably effective all season. You have trusted me, and the continued support only makes me work harder. No time to let up now. Let us finish strong!
This article started as a never-ending quest for daily fantasy football advice but in an odd way Bottom of the Barrel incorporates three ideals I practice often. Setting goals, taking risk, and reassessing my life on a weekly basis. To be successful in DFS we need to be right within as well.
It is time! It is time to start looking at our DFS lines for the Divisional round!
Tom Brady TB @ NO (7th)(FD-$7,700)(DK-$6,300)
Tom is washed man. It is all over for him. That was cute! Now what? Playoff Tom has been activated! 381 passing yards and two touchdown passes in Tampa’s Wild Card win Saturday.
Baker Mayfield CLE @ KC (25th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$5,300)
Cleveland does not stand a chance in Kansas City on Sunday, right? Not so fast! The Browns completely laid waste to the Steelers, at Heinz Field nonetheless, on Sunday. Momentum in professional sports is a real thing! The Browns have some major momentum and a ton of confidence right now! It cannot be denied. CLE @ KC also has the highest over/under of the weekend at 56. You are going to want a piece of this game!
Drew Brees NO vs TB (19th)(FD-$7,300)(DK-$5,600)
Another seemingly done noodle arm QB, Drew Brees, got it done last weekend. Now the Saints turn their attention to TB12 and the Tampa Bay Bucs. As a divisional foe, Drew hung 382 total passing yards along with six total touchdowns in two games against Tampa this season. Drew Brees is cheaper source of fantasy points this weekend. Add where needed!
Jared Goff LAR @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,200)
Throughout the course of the season one thing has become apparent. You either love Goff or you hate him. Which side of the fence are you on? Jared was thrust into action Saturday in Seattle after an awful injury to John Wolford. Goff did enough to help his team advance and here we are.
Cam Akers LAR @ GB (27th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$5,700)
If I have said it once I have said it a million times, Cam is an elite level talent. What is shocking to me has been all the Hendy vs Akers chatter on social media. I rarely give my personal opinions on social media because it is just not worth the headache. In a way I let the players do their thing and we move on. Cam is seeing a ton of carries and his YPC is extremely healthy! Do not overthink, roster the rookie!
J.K. Dobbins BAL @ BUF (23rd)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$6,000)
Speaking of impressive rookie RB’s, JK is now Baltimore’s RB1. Dobbins is not necessarily racking up the yardage but’s he has been extremely efficient! Scoring a touchdown in seven straight games! Saturday in Buffalo has all the makings of a heavyweight match-up. 50-point o/u with plenty of fantasy points to go around. Please get in on the action!
Ronald Jones II TB @ NO (1st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$5,200)
RoJo missed Tampa’s Wild Card contest due to a quadricep issue. As it stands now, Jones is still uncertain for Sundays game in New Orleans. Even if he can play is worth it? With only four teams playing our room for error is very slim! A 0.0 at any position this weekend would be devastating.
Leonard Fournette TB @ NO (1st)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$4,900)
In Ronald Jones absence Leo carried the ball nineteen times for ninety-three yards and a touchdown. Like it or not Fournette is best play Sunday for the Buccaneers. With a little bit of Ke’Shawn Vaughn. (FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,000)
Kareem Hunt CLE @ KC (24th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,800)
Kareem Hunt was outstanding last weekend in the Browns win at Pittsburgh. His talents were on full display. I would imagine Hunt will once again be heavily involved in Kansas City. The combo of Nick Chubb and Hunt have yielded amazing results. Stats and analysis are fun and particularly important but what about the eye test? Kareem sure has passed that one!
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC vs CLE (5th) (FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,500)
Cleveland is a top-10 defense vs opposing RB’s, so I am not too excited to roster him. Although the rookie RB should be well rested and ready to go. On a positive note, I would expect CEH to see some high-upside type snaps/targets.
Le’Veon Bell KC vs CLE (5th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,100)
The only issue I have here with Bell is the presumptive workload. Will he? Won’t he? The Chiefs had a first-round bye obviously and now CEH should be back and ready to go! Best to use the wait and see approach with Bell this week.
Gus Edwards BAL @ BUF (23rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,200)
Baltimore had their way with the Titans on the ground last weekend. Two hundred- and thirty-six-yards rushing yards to be exact. The rushing yards and carries start with Lamar then Dobbins then Gus. One good thing here is the definite pecking order. It is a perfect situation for DFS players like us. There is a safe floor with massive TD upside for Gus this week. Edwards price is too sweet to pass up on in large tournaments this weekend!
Latavius Murray NO vs TB (3rd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,300)
Murray has been a nice RB complimentary roster filler all season. Why would that change now? Much like Gus Edwards, you know what you are getting from Latavius each week.
Jamaal Williams GB vs LAR (2nd)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,400)
It is getting harder and harder to roster Jamaal. It is even tough to discuss why we should roster Williams in DFS formats. That coupled with an extremely difficult matchup this week vs the Rams make for an easy decision, just do not. Do not add Jamaal to your DFS teams this weekend. Then in the same breath that makes me want him more. Low ownership and all. I know, it is a sick hobby we have chosen.
Jarvis Landry CLE @ KC (2nd)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,600)
Dang! Landry has looked fantastic as of late! Finding the endzone in four times his last six games. Again, stats and analysis will only get you far. Can we all agree the Browns are on one, right? They have some major momentum and are hitting on all cylinders. It is just too heavy to pass up on. Landry needs to be on out DFS teams this weekend.
Antonio Brown TB @ NO (19th)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$5,400)
Obviously, I would prefer Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but their price is not exactly B&B material. AB has clearly built a rapport with TB12 and will continue to see his targets and touches. Although his role has been limited as of late it is best to think ahead and predict a game script. This game has the potential to be a 28-24 final. Or even 35-31. You will want several pieces of this one!
Cooper Kupp LAR @ GB (3rd)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$5,300)
Kupp is ok! Kupp is going to play Saturday in Green Bay. Cooper has bursitis in his knee and will be limited in practice this week. Do not let that deter you from rostering him this weekend. Who knows how the coverage of the Rams WR’s is going to shake out? The idea of the Alexander treatment mixed with his swollen knee just might scare enough people away from Kupp giving those of us who roster him a leverage advantage!
Gabriel Davis BUF vs BAL (5th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,000)
Word is out! Yet, Gabe’s price on both formats have not really caught up. That is a perfect storm in my eyes! Davis has seen at least four targets their last seven games. While Gabe’s snap count decreased with the return of John Brown how long will that last? May I ask you all a serious question? Who are the Bills WR2 now? Go ahead, answer open and honestly!
Allen Lazard GB vs LAR (1st)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,900)
Lazard has not done much recently. Allen has topped three receptions or twenty yards his last two games. He has not even recorded anything over sixty yards since Green Bay played New Orleans at the end of September. So why should we consider Allen Lazard this week? Green Bay at home in a late afternoon playoff game is too sweet. Aaron Rodgers has been playing at an MVP rate and will do simply fine spreading the ball around. Davante Adams will be busy lined up against Jalen Ramsey forcing Rodgers to be surgical and methodical Saturday. I like that idea!
Rashard Higgins CLE @ KC (2nd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,100)
If you remember correctly Cris Collingsworth said during the CLE @ PIT broadcast Sunday night how enamored Baker is to Higgins. So, I investigated it. Rashard has seen twenty-five targets his last four games. In order of games, it has gone 7, 3, 5 and 10 targets wise. It is something we need to pay attention to Sunday in Kansas City.
Deonte Harris NO vs TB (24th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,500)
Fresh off the IR Harries lead the Saints in receptions and receiving yards. While tying in targets. Do I expect this to happen again vs Tampa Bay on Sunday? Absolutely not but I would rather be safe then sorry. Again, small slate equal extraordinarily little wiggle room for error. Harris is safer rostered this weekend than not!
Mercole Hardman KC vs CLE (28th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,900)
Adding Hardman in our lines this weekend is a tough sell. Yet realistically it is not a horrible decision. Once again, has everything to do with the game script, the defense, and the projected point totals.
Equanimeous St. Brown GB vs LAR (1st)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,000)
Nothing special to say here. Just the fact I believe Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers have their way with the Rams on Saturday. This one could wind up where Rodgers distributes the ball so well every single WR gets in on the fun. Just a thought.
Robert Tonyan GB vs LAR (17th)(FD-$6,200)(DK-$4,200)
Tonyan catches touchdowns. That is what he does. That is, it. End of blurb.
Rob Gronkowski TB @ NO (26th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$3,600)
Playoff Gronk has yet to make an appearance. Rob gave us a steaming pile of 0.0 last weekend. Was it game flow? Was it match-up based? Whatever it was I do not expect it to continue this weekend in New Orleans. Yet, I passionately believe Gronks 0.0 performance is still fresh enough to push DFS players away this weekend. Just in time for a two-touchdown celebration on our rosters!
Jared Cook NO vs TB (21st)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,000)
There he is! Again! Cook tied for the team lead in targets (7) last weekend and yet I have not heard a peep about him. Am I comfortable playing Jared this week vs the Bucs? I am fully fading on Fanduel, but he is a full send on Draftkings this weekend. All pricing related.
Austin Hooper CLE @ KC (30th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$3,800)
Hooper has picked up the pace in terms of production. He caught 7-of-11 targets Sunday night in Pittsburgh. Let us not get overzealous though, all Browns players got in on the fun. Austin has seen a whopping 31 targets in the last three games and has gone over at least 10.5 fantasy points during that time.
Tyler Higbee LAR @ GB (5th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$3,000)
Please do not play Tyler Higbee this weekend. Only reason I added him in this space is to finally close my personal folder on him. He has been the odd man out what looks like all season. The fact he is over $5,000 on Fanduel is laughable.
Dawson Knox BUF vs BAL (7th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,100)
Despite popular belief, Dawson Knox is now a thing. No way around it folks. The Buffalo Bills are humming on offense and we should stake claim to as many pieces of this offense as possible! Knox is no exception!
Cameron Brate TB @ NO (26th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$2,900)
Brate caught four of six targets for eighty yards in Wild Card weekend. Is there a chance it is going to be Gronk or Brate each week? Back and forth? Who knows, that sounds exhausting. Just keep an eye out when you are building lines for the divisional round. The potential and the price are ripe for the picking!
Harrison Bryant CLE @ KC (30th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,500)
Shot in the dark here. Harrison was not target Sunday night vs Pittsburgh after being activated from the COVID-IR. He only played 22 snaps as well. It is obvious why; the entire team was dealing with COVID scares and quarantines. It is no secret I normally punt the TE spot and Bryant is on my radar as a flyer!
Here are some of my sample lines I am going to use for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!
Also look for updated lines closer to lock on Saturday morning 1/16/21! Also Sunday morning 1/17/21!
That is, it! Did I miss someone?
Be on the lookout for FREE Saturday only lines along with FREE Sunday only lines! In addition to FREE single game lineups all weekend!
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