There are weather concerns in Baltimore, New York, Boston and Colorado. None of these ballparks host a weather concern that would cause a PPD, at least not at this point.
Wheeler deserves to be the cash game target tonight. Miami has a dismal .093 team ISO, so they lack power numbers. On top of that, they have a team K% of 24.8, one of the highest on the slate. Wheeler has been really good this year, a 27.4k% against lefties and a 24.8k% vs. righties. He only allows a .083 ISO to lefties and a .133 ISO to righties. This is an ELITE matchup for Wheeler.
Other Targets – In order
Im Ok with Justin Verlander if you want to use him. I just don’t see the need, he offers duplicate upside to Castillo, Wheeler and Odorizi in their respective match-ups. However, even though Verlander has a 37.7K% against Lefties, and will face 6 LH bats, (Choo, Gallo, Mazara, Odor, Guzman, Cabrera), He also allows a .206 ISO to them. The Rangers are a boom or bust team. The red hot Hunter Pence will hit cleanup today for the Rangers and Verlander will face 3 RH bats (Andrus, Pence, Kiner-Falefa) his K% is much lower at 21.7 to right handed bats and he gives up a higher ISO .224 I don’t have a problem using him, but In tournaments I like the Rangers as a stackable team, super contraian and will be very low owned, with the understanding they could get shut out, or put up 6 runs. Verlander does benefit from being followed by a bullpen that is one of the best, a 2.80 ERA and only a .197 Batting average against.
1. Los Angeles Angels
2. Minnesota Twins
3. Los Angeles Dodgers
These three teams grade out as A+ Matchups. Bad starting pitcher and a very bad bullpen behind the starter. Minnesota features the best hitting bump and Nelson Cruz could double dong here.
4. Boston Red Sox
5. Houston Astros
6. Colorado Rockies.
7. Texas Rangers – Nobody is going to own them in my opinion, read above for break down.
8. Cincinatti Reds – Just faced this Giants team. Obviously the ballpark is different, its Oracle and not Great American Small park. On top of that, Rodriguez has bad K% numbers – 18.6% to Lefties and 15.1% to righties. His ISO numbers against him are big… .274 to lefties and .215 against righties. The Giants do have a Top 5 bullpen, but its been taxed so much that they have brought Bede back from Triple A. They are coming home after playing at Cincinnati in run fests and in Colorado in two run fests there.