Bottom of the Barrel WK4 (NFL DFS)

Bottom of the Barrel
9/28/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

I’ve long said what we do as fantasy sports writers is fleeting and quite fickle. Things change so fast day to day we don’t have long to bask in our glory. It’s a good pace if we fail miserably.

Regardless, we need to find common ground. Somewhere between, “I’m good at what I do.” or along the lines of, “Just following the numbers.”

We’re entering week 4 of the NFL season and little has taken shape. You read that right! The injuries have been piling up. With that comes opportunity! It’s up to us to be aware of the depth on each team and specifically on a positional basis!

Let’s take a look at week 4 and where we can take advantage of those opportunities!

QUARTERBACK

I have a new idea! A new feature if you will. Give out the most expensive player at each position as we get to it. Putting into perspective the B&B prices!

Lamar Jackson BAL @ WSH (21st)(FD-$9,600)(DK-$8,100)

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at QB!

Jared Goff LAR v NYG (11th)(FD-$7,500)(DK-$6,700)

Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff

Goff and the Rams fell behind big to Buffalo then came alive. That was last week and this is now week 4. The Giants got absolutely hammered by San Francisco Sunday. Nick Mullens threw for 343 yards while their RB’s went nuts. What do you think Goff can do?

Matthew Stafford DET v NO (28th)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,900)

Detroit QB Matthew Stafford

We’re three weeks in and Stafford hasn’t looked right to me. I can’t put my finger on. Getting sacked and throwing awful interceptions. Regardless, Matt had a great showing Sunday in Arizona. 22 completions and 8.7 yards per attempt. With Kenny G back expect the Stat-pad-ford of old moving forward! New Orleans comes to town week 4 and I’m fully expecting 250+ passing yards and 2 TD passes as his floor in this one!

Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA v SEA (31st)(FD-$7,100)(DK-$5,400)

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick

Miami’s passing attack is coming together! Right? I mean Fitz has gone over 24 fantasy points his last two games. Ryan is averaging 8 yards per attempt and 226 yards a game. We all know the wheels are going to come off at a certain point but I’m riding it until they do! Sunday MIA is home vs. an awesomely talented offensive SEA team. Their defense however not so much. The Seahawks are giving up, on average, 28 points a game.

Baker Mayfield CLE @ DAL (30th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$5,800)

Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield

This one here isn’t so much about Baker but the Cowboys defense. In the first three week of the season they’ve given up 97 points! Ninety seven! Do the math that’s 32+ points a game! If my O/U math is correct this one sits at 55.5. Highest of the day, at this point. 31-28 final here I’m going to guess. Roster Baker in week 4! Off the record, I actually like all of Bakers commercials! Have you seen the new book club one? Classic Baker!

RUNNING BACK

Ezekiel Elliot DAL v CLE (29th)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$8,300)

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliot

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at RB!

Carlos Hyde SEA @ MIA (15th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$5,300)

Seattle Seahawks RB Carlos Hyde

This one is super simple. Chris Carson got gator rolled. Was super nasty and quite dirty if you ask me. Thankfully, Carson will be fine. Knee sprain out 1-2 weeks. In the meantime this Seattle offense is averaging 37 points a game. I’d want any part of it I could get!

Alexander Mattison MIN @ HOU (28th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,000)

Minnesota Vikings RB Alexander Mattison

Dalvin Cook is the play here but that’s not Bottom of the Barrel way! Cook has scored 20.8 fantasy points a game so far. Houston is allowing the 5th most fantasy points (27.4) a game to the opposing teams backfield! Last I checked Mattison is part of the MIN backfield! Look for the Vikes to open up their playbook Sunday. 0-4 would be an absolute disaster!

Myles Gaskin MIA v SEA (5th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$5,000)

Miami Dolphins RB Myles Gaskin

Scroll up to the Ryan Fitzpatrick section. Ok good you’re back! Same principles apply! Myles carried the ball 22 times Sunday and caught 5 passes! If that’s the case again in week 4 I’m expecting some big numbers out of Gaskin! He also saw a 74.5% snap share. I’m telling you now get in now on the ground floor! Before his price goes way up!

Chase Edmonds ARZ @ CAR (31st)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,200)

Arizona Cardinals RB Chase Edmunds

This is strictly a gut call. Drake is the RB1 and seeing all the work. Chase gets a few looks a game and I firmly believe he explodes for one in Carolina Sunday. Full disclosure, his price on FD is too steep for me. DK play only.

Travis Homer SEA @ MIA (16th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,000)

Seattle Seahawks RB Travis Homer

How are the targets and touches going to pan out in the Seattle backfield? Maybe a Homer/Hyde combo? Whatever the case may be I want all the SEA offense I can get right now! Homer has a legit shot of seeing RB1 duties Sunday with Carson out.

Latavius Murray NO @ DET (24th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,900)

New Orleans Saints RB Latavius Murray

What’s funny is the fact I thought Arizona was going to hammer the Lions Sunday. I think the Saints are going to wail on Detroit this Sunday! Alvin has looked like the best player in football. So much so what’s the use in playing Murray? Latavius has seen double digit touches in back to back weeks now. Plenty of room for him Sunday in Detroit!

J.J. Taylor NE @ KC (18th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,000)

New England Patriots RB J.J. Taylor

Pay close attention to Damien Harris and his availability this coming Sunday. Same with James White. If both men are still out I’d take a flyer on JJ in a massive GPP. Rex Burkhead scored three times Sunday! Why can’t JJ? That’s normally how this team rolls!

WIDE-RECEIVER

Michael Thomas NO @ DET (24th)(FD-$8,800)(DK-$7,600)

New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at WR!

CeeDee Lamb DAL v CLE (24th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$5,400)

Dallas Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb

Lamb has looked awesome! Catching 16 of his 21 targets to start the season for 230 yards and a TD. Lamb will go face to face with a CLE defense that’s given up 5 TD’s to opposing WR’s. Lamb finds the end zone this week! Book it!

Justin Jefferson MIN @ HOU (9th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$5,200)

Minnesota Vikings rookie WR Justin Jefferson

Why hello there Mr. Jefferson! What a coming out party! Have you noticed its taken a few weeks for these blue chip rookies to get going? No looking back now! Justin will be in ALL my lines until his price is raised!

Tre’Quan Smith NO @ DET (24th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$5,000)

New Orleans Saints WR Tre’Quan Smith

Smith hasn’t hit that 75yd homerun of a TD yet this season! The targets are there! Alvin Kamara is as well. Don’t fret don’t frown Sunday in Detroit is Tre’Quan’s time!

James Washington PIT @ TEN (19th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,800)

Pittsburgh Steelers WR James Washington

Did you know James led the team in targets and receptions Sunday? Juju is the big dog on this team in terms of receiving BUT if Diontae can’t play due to a concussion then watch out for Washington.

Adam Humphries TEN v PIT (25th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)

Tennessee Titans WR Adam Humphries

Adam has taken full advantage of a AJ Brown-less Titans team. He’s also their full time slot guy now. At these bottom of the barrel prices sing me up!

Gabriel Davis BUF @ OAK (3rd)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$3,200)

Buffalo Bills rookie WR Gabriel Davis

This new Buffalo Bills passing game is making a star out of everyone! Again, pay close attention to John Brown and his status Sunday. If he’s out I’m firing up Davis in any and all lineups! He’s not a flash in the pan folks, this kid is here to stay!

TIGHT END

Travis Kelce KC v NE (5th)(FD-$7,600)(DK-$6,800)

Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at TE!

Dalton Schultz DAL v CLE (28th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,300)

Dallas Cowboys TE Dalton Schultz

Dalton is seeing a ton of volume, target wise. I know the excitement around him heading into week 3 was very high. Be patient and go back to the well this weekend. Cleveland has surrendered 22 catches and 3 total TD’s to the TE position already this season.

Logan Thomas WSH v BAL (30th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,500)

Washington Football Team TE Logan Thomas

His volume alone makes him a play. Add in his cheap pricing across the platform and bam you have your DFS TE for week 4!

Dawson Knox BUF @ OAK (11th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$3,500)

Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox

Something something Josh Allen something something MVP.

Dan Arnold ARZ @ CAR (4th)(FD-$4,300)(DK-$2,700)

DFS is all a matter of perspective and opportunity. With Maxx Williams on IR, set to miss 3 weeks, that makes Dan Arizona’s TE1. This offense starts and ends with Hopkins and Drake but at these prices who’s to say Arnold can’t be productive!

Gerald Everett LAR v NYG (6th)(FD-$4,200)(DK-$2,500)

Los Angeles Rams TE Gerald Everett

Nothing special to say here. Only the fact the Giants are in town after taking a drubbing at the hands of San Francisco. Does Everett get loose for a TD?

Adam Trautman NO @ DET (12th)(FD-$4,000)(DK-$2,500)

New Orleans Saints rookie TE Adam Trautman

Adam might be my favorite cheapy TE play of the weekend! As I’ve said before this DFS game is all about opportunity! If Cook can’t play then I’m locking Adam in all of my lines!

Here are two of my sample lines I’m going to use for week 4! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!

Fanduel 10/04 1p MAIN

Also look for updated lines closer to the start of the season! This Thursday 10/1 and Sunday morning 10/4!

Draftkings 10/04 1p MAIN

Any questions or comments?

Did I miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Hammer Time wk3 (Sunday Edition)

Hammer Time
9/27/20
Anthony Joseph Volanti https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Welcome back to DFS CheatSheet’s Hammer Time with the Gambling Guru! Each week, I’ll share my favorite bets to help give you an edge over the odds makers. Because let’s be honest, the only thing better than watching football is winning some money on it. LET’S GOOO!

*Note: The odds listed are accurate as of the time of writing, but the market is subject to change—shop around for the best lines. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Week 2 Betting Recap:
Wow. What a huge week for the Gambling Guru (and you, if you’ve been following my best bets and player props). First, the Nick Chubb to score the 1st TD prop (+400 at DraftKings and +650 on FanDuel) hit on Thursday night. That was a nice payout, especially if you did the max $20 for the DraftKings promo or took advantage of the higher odds on FanDuel. The Chubb over 71.5 rushing yards also smashed. The Joe Burrow over 23.5 rushing yards narrowly missed—at one point in the game he actually had it before taking a loss on a subsequent play—and the Same Game Parlay missed one leg because the total points went over. That provided a profitable 2-3 start to the weekend.

On Sunday, my best bets were split down the middle, but injuries to Saquon Barkley, Parris Campbell were partly to blame. Green Bay and San Francisco easily covered, while Kansas City avoided an upset and Tennessee pushed in the teaser. But we also learned just how bad Minnesota and Philadelphia are this year; the Vikings and Eagles are officially on the list of teams I can’t trust. Miami got a backdoor cover against Buffalo that I’m going to chalk up to a combination of Ryan Fitz“magic” and the game delay caused by the wild weather. However you slice it, it’s a lackluster 11-12 performance in the main slate.

The Monday night game was the big winner, however, as almost all of my player props hit. Alvin Kamara scored the first touchdown (+550 at DraftKings) then scored a second time (+600 at FanDuel). If you bet both props and Kamara to score at any time (a mis-priced -105 at FanDuel), you had a big day. Kamara also crushed his over 4.5 receptions, 37.5 receiving yards, and 90.5 total yards props. Likewise, Josh Jacobs hit the over on 2.5 receptions, 68.5 rushing yards, and 85.5 total yards. He failed to find the end zone and narrowly missed his over 17.5 receiving yards line with 17 yards, which killed 3 props. Still, that’s a dominant 9-3 finish to the Week 2.

Week 2 Record: 22-18 (55%)

Let’s see if we can keep it going for Week 3, starting with some TNF props…

TNF Player Props and Bets: MIA @ JAX
· Myles Gaskin over 16.5 receiving yards (-122 at FanDuel)
· Myles Gaskin over 2.5 receptions (-148 at DraftKings)
· Mike Gesicki over 51.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel)
· Over 48.5 total points (-110 at DraftKings)
· MIA +3 (-110 at DraftKings)
Minshew Mania may be in full effect, but Jacksonville’s defense is still a bottom feeder. So far this season, running backs have gashed the Jaguars when catching balls out of the backfield. Myles Gaskin has been impressive thus far as the surprise starter in Miami, so I expect that to continue tonight. Sure, there’s always a slim chance that receiving back specialist Matt Brieda steals the show, I’m confident coach Brian Flores will ride the hot hand. I think Gaskin goes over 2 receptions and smashes the receiving yards line (I’d even bet it up to 20 yards if the line continues to move). I also love Mike Gesicki to hit on his 49.5 receiving yards prop. Through two games, the Dolphins young tight end has been targeted 16 times, logging 160 yards on 11 receptions. DeVante Parker was removed from the injury report Wednesday, but playing on a short week after fighting through a hamstring injury only boosts the odds for Gesicki to be the focal point of this passing attack led by Fitz“magic”. I anticipate a high-scoring, messy affair. I’ll take the points with the Dolphins simply because I believe in the coaching staff. Fear the beard, fade the ’stache, and hammer these bets.

Sunday Spreads and Player Props:

Cincinnati Bengal’s RB Joe Mixon

CIN @ PHI:
· ***BEST BET*** Miles Sanders over 109.5 total yards (-112 at DraftKings)
· DeSean Jackson over 55.5 receiving yards (-112 at DraftKings)
· Joe Mixon under 65.5 rushing yards (-112 at DraftKings)
· PHI -4.5 (+105 at FanDuel)
To quote the great Marshawn Lynch, “you know why I’m here.” I’m taking my Birds to cover 4.5 points and defeat the Bengal’s for the first time in 20 years (yes, seriously). I’ve been wrong on a lot of my Eagles picks this year, but that can only mean I’m due for a hot streak. Right? There is no such thing as a must-win in Week 3 but if Philadelphia can’t come away with a win against Cincinnati, the season is lost. Luckily, when Wentz’s back is against the wall, he responds. And right now, not only is his back pressed up against the wall, but a large Philadelphian mob is waiting on the other side with pitchforks and torches. In terms of player props, I’m sticking with Miles Sanders this week and fading the lead back on the other side. The offensive and defensive lines for the Bengal’s are among the worst in the league. That bodes well for Sanders, who I think easily surpasses the total yards mark, and poorly for Joe Mixon, who I think will run the rock less than 15 times. I’ll fade the DeSean Jackson touchdown prop this week (fool me once, shame on me; fool me twice… you’re off the best bets), but I will take the over on his yardage prop since Jalen Reagor is out.

Las Vegas Raiders RB Josh Jacobs

LV @ NE:
· Josh Jacobs over 2.5 receptions (-110 at Bet MGM)
· Josh Jacobs over 15.5 receiving yards (-110 at Bet MGM)
· NE -6 (-110 at DraftKings)
Bill Belichick always tries to take away the opponent’s best weapon. You could argue that Josh Jacobs is said player, but recent bias would make a strong case for Darren Waller. Either way, I like Jacobs as a reliable check down option. He’s embraced the extra work in the passing game and should get 3 catches easily and just over 5 yards per reception is a reasonable ask. I also think the Patriots will come prepared after the heartbreak in Seattle last week. Meanwhile, the Raiders are primed for a letdown after their upset win in their stadium’s inaugural game.

Atlanta Falcons WR Calvin Ridley

CHI @ ATL:
· David Montgomery over 14.5 receiving yards (-112 at DraftKings)
· David Montgomery over 52.5 rushing yards (-110 at FanDuel)
· Calvin Ridley to score (-112 at DraftKings)
· Atlanta -3 (-104 at DraftKings)
Fact: The Atlanta Falcons have had the worst secondary this season. This should be a get-right game for Mitch Trubisky, which will buy him at least one more week before he’s supplanted by Nick Foles, and Allen Robinson, who has been dragging down fantasy teams this season. That being said, the lines are rather chalky. I see more value on the lines for David Montgomery, who has been Chicago’s lone bright spot thus far. On the other side, I have Ridley scoring yet another touchdown this week (I just can’t quit him) but am not touching the inflated line Vegas has posted. The Bears are undefeated, but their victories came against the lowly Lions and the Barkley-less Giants. “Matty Ice” may be too hot to handle.

Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary

LAR @ BUF:
· Devin Singletary over 60.5 rushing yards (-110 at Bet MGM)
The Rams-Bills game is one of several great match-ups in Week 3. I’m leaning towards Buffalo, but not enough to make a call here. My favorite prop here is Devin Singletary to go over the rushing yards. Zack Moss will not play so Singletary will have the backfield all to himself. Well, unless T.J. Yeldon gets some carries. He won’t. Hammer the over.

Pittsburgh Steelers WR Diontae Johnson

HOU @ PIT:
· Diontae Johnson over 61.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel)
This one is another tough matchup. It’s hard to imagine Houston starting the season 0-3, but no one would fault them given their brutal opening schedule. Maybe a loss would put Bill O’Brian on the hot seat (probably not, but Texans fans can dream). The under on the rushing props for James Connor and David Johnson are enticing, but I am avoiding the unpredictable nightmare. Nothing else really stands out, except rising star Diontae Johnson. JuJu Smith-Schuster should draw the Texans top corner, which could mean Johnson gets loose. I’ll take the over 61.5 receiving yards while I still can.

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry

TEN @ MIN:
· Jonnu Smith over 41.5 receiving yards (-112 at FanDuel)
· TEN -2.5 (-115 at DraftKings)
I’ve already written off Minnesota this season. The defense is a far cry from what it was just a few seasons ago. The secondary in particular is atrocious, which is great news for Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith. I prefer the latter—partly because the loss of Anthony Barr should help up the middle of the field for Smith and partly because I find it hard to trust Corey Davis to be consistent. Even if Tannehill throws for just 150 yards, Smith should smash this line. I’m also looking for the Titans to smash the Vikings and cover the 3. *hammering sounds*

Los Angeles Chargers RB Austin Ekeler

CAR @ LAC:
· ***BEST BET*** Austin Ekeler over 89.5 total yards (-109 at DraftKings)
· Austin Ekeler over 60.5 rushing yards (-110 at FanDuel)
· Austin Ekeler over 26.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel)
Another best bet? That’s right! I’m all in on Austin Ekeler this week. The Panthers had the worst run defense last year (which probably prompted them to go entirely defensive in the draft) and not much has changed. Joshua Kelley will eat into his carries and may vulture a touchdown, but there will be plenty of yards to go around. Give me the over on Ekeler’s rushing yards. Give me the over on Ekeler’s receiving yards. Give me the over on Ekeler’s total yards. Hammer, hammer, hammer!

Colts rookie RB Jonathan Taylor

NYJ @ IND:
· ***BEST BET*** Jonathan Taylor over 77.5 rushing yards (-112 at DraftKings)
Surprise! A third best bet! The Jets could barely be called a professional football team when the season started, let alone now when they are crippled at the skilled positions. Who is Sam Darnold going to throw to? Can the ghost of Frank Gore do anything on the ground? The Colts will take a commanding lead and then it’s J.T. time. He may even double this line.

Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson

DAL @ SEA:
· Chris Carson over 20.5 receiving yards (+106 at FanDuel)
There are a lot of juicy options in this game, especially given how Seattle’s secondary has played through two weeks. Unfortunately, Vegas has put up some chalky lines for Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and rookie CeeDee Lamb. I do like D.K. Metcalf now that the Seahawks are finally letting Russ cook, but my favorite bet here is on Chris Carson. He doesn’t scream “pass-catcher” but the bruising running back has put up huge numbers as a receiver so far this year. Vegas is asleep behind the wheel here with this line of 20.5 yards. Hammer the over.

Arizona RB Kenyan Drake

DET @ ARI:
· Kenyan Drake over 77.5 rushing yards (-110 at FanDuel)
I see Arizona running away with this one. Literally. It’s a high number, but Kenyan Drake is due for a big game and this may just be it. I love “the Drake” this week.

TB @ DEN:
· Noah Fant over 3.5 receptions (-139 at Bet MGM)
· Leonard Fournette over 51.5 rushing yards (-110 on FanDuel)
· TB -6 (-110 at DraftKings)
The Denver Broncos have been decimated by injuries. Drew Lock and Courtland Sutton are out, and rookie Jerry Jeudy is a game-time decision. Hammer that 3.5 receptions. Tampa Bay has a stiff run defense, so I think Melvin Gordon will not be able to carry the load. That just leaves just Noah Fant as the safety blanket for backup quarterback Jeff Driskel. Leonard Fournette, on the other hand, showed he could carry the load last week after Ronald Jones was benched following a fumble. Even if Lenny doesn’t get the start this week, he’ll take over at some point. He’ll crush this number as the Buccaneers sit on the ball and run out the clock. Hammer it.

New Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara

SNF Player Props and Bets: GB @ NO
· Alvin Kamara over 5.5 receptions (-139 at Bet MGM)
· Alvin Kamara to score (-167 at DraftKings)
· NO money line (-175 at DraftKings)
Can we postpone this game until both Michael Thomas and Davante Adams are healthy? Even without these stars, the game should be a fun one. Without knowing the status of Adams, it’s hard to pick a prop confidently for Green Bay. On the New Orleans side of things, I’ll stick with my new favorite running back (he won me quite a bit of money and has been clutch in fantasy), Alvin Kamara. He’s been the focal point of this offense in the absence of Michael Thomas. I like him over the receptions and think he’ll reach the endzone yet again. This game would be a pick ’em on a neutral site so it will be close. I’m leaning Saints if Adams sits, but that may just be because I don’t have any Packers on my fantasy teams.

 

MNF Player Props and Bets: KC @ BAL:
· Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score (+105 at Bet MGM)
· KC money line (+148 at FanDuel)
I can’t remember the last time we had such a big Monday Night Football match-up. I’m hesitant to fade this game entirely and just enjoy the fireworks, but I’ll make a couple of picks for my fellow gambling degenerates. I understand why Baltimore is a home favorite and that they match up well here, but I can’t pass up on the opportunity to bet the money line on Super Bowl LIV MVP and future Hall of Fame Patrick Mahomes as an underdog. I also love the mis-priced odds for Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score at Bet MGM (another teachable moment—always shop around! This line was almost -200 at FanDuel and DraftKings).

Parlay Play of the Week:
· IND/TB/SEA all to win (+185 Odds Boost at DraftKings)

That’s all for now. Follow me at https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390 for any last-minute picks and Check back next week for more best bets and player props.

The Gambling Guru’s cumulative record for the 2020 NFL season heading into Week 3 is 32-25, hitting on 56% of his bets.

Any questions or comments?

Did we miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Or on Find Anthony on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Hammer Time (NFL wk3)

Hammer Time
9/24/20
Anthony Joseph Volanti https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Welcome back to DFS CheatSheet’s Hammer Time with the Gambling Guru! Each week, I’ll share my favorite bets to help give you an edge over the oddsmakers. Because let’s be honest, the only thing better than watching football is winning some money on it. LET’S GOOO!

*Note: The odds listed are accurate as of the time of writing, but the market is subject to change—shop around for the best lines. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Week 2 Betting Recap:
Wow. What a huge week for the Gambling Guru (and you, if you’ve been following my best bets and player props). First, the Nick Chubb to score the 1st TD prop (+400 at DraftKings and +650 on FanDuel) hit on Thursday night. That was a nice payout, especially if you did the max $20 for the DraftKings promo or took advantage of the higher odds on FanDuel. The Chubb over 71.5 rushing yards also smashed. The Joe Burrow over 23.5 rushing yards narrowly missed—at one point in the game he actually had it before taking a loss on a subsequent play—and the Same Game Parlay missed one leg because the total points went over. That provided a profitable 2-3 start to the weekend.

Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow

On Sunday, my best bets were split down the middle, but injuries to Saquon Barkley, Parris Campbell were partly to blame. Green Bay and San Francisco easily covered, while Kansas City avoided an upset and Tennessee pushed in the teaser. But we also learned just how bad Minnesota and Philadelphia are this year; the Vikings and Eagles are officially on the list of teams I can’t trust. Miami got a backdoor cover against Buffalo that I’m going to chalk up to a combination of Ryan Fitz“magic” and the game delay caused by the wild weather. However you slice it, it’s a lackluster 11-12 performance in the main slate.

The Monday night game was the big winner, however, as almost all of my player props hit. Alvin Kamara scored the first touchdown (+550 at DraftKings) then scored a second time (+600 at FanDuel). If you bet both props and Kamara to score at any time (a mispriced -105 at FanDuel), you had a big day. Kamara also crushed his over 4.5 receptions, 37.5 receiving yards, and 90.5 total yards props. Likewise, Josh Jacobs hit the over on 2.5 receptions, 68.5 rushing yards, and 85.5 total yards. He failed to find the end zone and narrowly missed his over 17.5 receiving yards line with 17 yards, which killed 3 props. Still, that’s a dominant 9-3 finish to the Week 2.

Week 2 Record: 22-18 (55%)

Let’s see if we can keep it going for Week 3, starting with some TNF props…

TNF Player Props and Bets: MIA @ JAX

Miami Dolphins RB Myles Gaskin

· Myles Gaskin over 16.5 receiving yards (-122 at FanDuel)
· Myles Gaskin over 2.5 receptions (-148 at DraftKings)
· Mike Gesicki over 51.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel)
· Over 48.5 total points (-110 at DraftKings)
· MIA +3 (-110 at DraftKings)
Minshew Mania may be in full effect, but Jacksonville’s defense is still a bottom feeder. So far this season, running backs have gashed the Jaguars when catching balls out of the backfield. Myles Gaskin has been impressive thus far as the surprise starter in Miami, so I expect that to continue tonight. Sure, there’s always a slim chance that receiving back specialist Matt Brieda steals the show, I’m confident coach Brian Flores will ride the hot hand. I think Gaskin goes over 2 receptions and smashes the receiving yards line (I’d even bet it up to 20 yards if the line continues to move). I also love Mike Gesicki to hit on his 49.5 receiving yards prop. Through two games, the Dolphins young tight end has been targeted 16 times, logging 160 yards on 11 receptions. DeVante Parker was removed from the injury report Wednesday, but playing on a short week after fighting through a hamstring injury only boosts the odds for Gesicki to be the focal point of this passing attack led by Fitz“magic”. I anticipate a high-scoring, messy affair. I’ll take the points with the Dolphins simply because I believe in the coaching staff. Fear the beard, fade the ’stache, and hammer these bets.

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew

That’s all for now. Check back next week for more favorite picks and player props.

The Gambling Guru’s cumulative record for the 2020 NFL season heading into week 3 is 32-25, hitting on 56% of his bets.

Any questions or comments?

Did we miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find Anthony on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Bottom of the Barrel WK3 (NFL DFS)

Bottom of the Barrel
9/23/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Awful. Shocking. Painful. Nightmare. Just a few words to explain NFL week 2 on Sunday.

Much like anything unpleasant we need to forgive. That doesn’t mean we forget. Only means we grow and learn and file it away as a mistake. Exactly what we should do ahead of week 3. It will test our resolve, our attitude and also our moods. Brighter days are ahead.

Let’s get into Bottom of the Barrel week 3!

QUARTERBACK

I have a new idea! A new feature if you will. Give out the most expensive player at each position as we get to it. Putting into perspective the B&B prices!

Lamar Jackson BAL vs. KC (FD-$9,400)(DK-$8,200)(DK-$9,400)

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at QB!

Jared Goff LAR @ BUF (29th)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,600)

Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff

Goff hasn’t thrown a ton through the first two weeks but he’s been very efficient! In Buffalo this week isn’t a juicy match-up but that only interests me more for DFS purposes!

Mitchell Trubisky CHI @ ATL (25th)(FD-$7,500)(DK-$5,700)

Chicago Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky

Oh boy! Mitch Mitch Mitch oh how I loathe thee. Trubisky has an outstanding match-up Sunday in ATL. A Falcons team that completely folded Sunday in Dallas. In week 1 they gave up 38 to SEA then 40 even in Dallas. Playing Mitch has everything to do with Atlanta not so much Mitch and the Bears.

Justin Herbert LAC v CAR (12th)(FD-$7,200)(DK-$5,900)

Los Angeles Chargers rookie QB Justin Herbert

I wrote my notes over the weekend having no idea what the Charger team doctor had done. I have no words really. Herbert looked fantastic on Sunday v KC. I fully expect the coaching staff to open it up and let Justin do his thing.

Daniel Jones NYG v SF (15th)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,500)

New York Giants QB Daniel Jones

This one has so many layers to it! Saquon is on IR. Bosa is on the IR. Where does that leave Danny Dimes? Without Barkley what does the NYG offense look like? More passing I’d assume right?

Jeff Driskel DEN v TB (22nd)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,300)

Denver Broncos QB Jeff Driskel

Another tough real life situation has given Jeff the starting nod this weekend at home vs. TB. Some guys are really good back QB’s! Does Jeff fit in that category? Only time will tell but I do love his price in our lines! KJ Hamler, Noah Fant, Jerry Jeudy and Melvin Gordon III are all at Jeff’s disposal.

RUNNING BACK

Ezekiel Elliot DAL @ SEA (29th)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$8,300)

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliot

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at RB!

Mike Davis CAR @ LAC (6th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,100)

Carolina Panther RB Mike Davis

Sometimes injuries open the door for certain players and we get all wide eyed and bushy tailed. This article doesn’t necessarily mean I’m all in on these guys. What if I took the time to mention a player for the sole purpose of telling you to fade him? That’s what I’m doing here. Fade Davis!

Devin Singletary BUF v LAR (21st)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,900)

Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary

Moss or Devin? Devin or Moss? That’s the question here right? Both have a favorable match-up Sunday v the Rams. Between the two I’m rolling with Devin.

Jerick McKinnon SF @ NYG (7th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,900)

San Francisco 49ers RB Jerick McKinnon

Another team hit hard by the week 2 injuries, San Francisco. Their RB1 and 2, Mostert and Coleman. In walks McKinnon! Who has look explosive if I may say! Recent news has come down saying Jeff Wilson Jr., “could see the most action” in week 3. To me, all this is doing is throwing people off Jerick’s sent. The upside and his price makes this a homerun!

Antonio Gibson WSH @ CLE (14th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,700)

Washington rookie RB Antonio Gibson

The Browns defense through two weeks has been no slouch. Especially v rush yards. The volume Gibson will see Sunday alone makes him a nice play. 15 carries 5 targets?

D’Andre Swift DET @ ARZ (22nd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$5,000)

Detroit Lions rookie RB D’Andre Swift

Let’s be honest, the Lions look awful. So why am dropping Swift as a DFS start on Sunday? I fully expect ARZ to put up 40+ points on Sunday. In turn Stafford, the WR core and Swift will be on the field A LOT! Its elementary dear Watson!

Jeff Wilson Jr. SF @ NYG (7th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,000)

Wilson was a late addition to B&B given the news from the San Francisco Chronicle. It briefly stated Wilson could see a bulk of the workload this week in New York. I’ve learned over the years to take this kind of thing with a grain of salt. Although we still need to prepare. My friends over at Rotoballer and their thoughts on Wilson. https://www.rotoballer.com/jeff-wilson-jr-rb-sf-week-3-waiver-wire-pickups/784347

WIDE RECEIVER

DeAndre Hopkins ARZ v DET (19th)(FD-$8,500)(DK-$7,900)

Arizona Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at WR!

CeeDee Lamb DAL @ SEA (28th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$5,400)

Dallas Cowboys rookie WR CeeDee Lamb

Lamb has been a pleasant surprise hasn’t he? We all had our own expectations for him headed into the season and it’s nice when something goes according to plan! The Seattle secondary is far removed from the Legion of Boom days.

Darius Slayton NYG v SF (20th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,900)

New York Giants WR Darious Slayton

Strange enough I just had a conversation with a friend on twitter about Slayton! Darius is dependent on big plays. The textbook boom/bust play. So we have to be careful and pick out spots with him. The 49ers are fantastic up front even with the loss of Bosa. I have an odd feeling Darius gets loose on a 50-60 yard TD this weekend.

Tre’Quan Smith NO v GB (32nd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$4,200)

New Orleans Saint WR Tre’Quan Smith

How many of you watched Monday Night Football? Saints v Raiders. I had a blast watching the game and I kept a close eye on Tre’Quan. While Thomas sits Smith will be relevant. I think it would be smart of Sean Payton and Brees to get Smith more involved Sunday v GB!

Corey Davis TEN @ MIN (23rd)(FD-$5,300(DK-$5,200)

Tennessee Titan WR Corey Davis

Is this the real deal? Is Davis finally breaking out? Who the heck knows! We’ve been talking about it for years! I know this will sound weird but it’s not business if Corey is here to stay. All I care about is this Sunday! Titans in Minnesota is a plus PLUS match-up! 29th overall ranked defense kind of plus. Back to back weeks with a TD for Corey coming right up!

Laviska Shenault Jr. JAC v MIA (9th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,300)

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Laviska Shenault Jr.

I’ve thoroughly enjoyed how the Jags have used Laviska the first 2 games of the season. What excites me most is the fact Jacksonville is just learning what a Swiss army knife Shenault can be!

Curtis Samuel CAR @ LAC (8th)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,000)

Carolina Panther WR Curtis Samuel

What if I told you Carolina is going to use Curtis as a running back AND a wide receiver Sunday? He’s no CMC but at his price and potential usage could be a perfect storm!

TIGHT END

George Kittle SF @ NYG (5th)(FD-$7,500)(DK-$6,300)

San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at TE!

Logan Thomas WSH @ CLE (26th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,700)

Washington Football Team TE Logan Thomas

Haskins targeted Logan nine times last week! That’s fantastic for any skill position let alone the tight-end! Have you seen his price on FD and DK this weekend? You’d be negligent not to roster him!

Dalton Schultz DAL @ SEA (21st)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,500)

Dallas Cowboys TE Dalton Schultz

Dalton is the de-facto TE in Dallas now without Jarwin. Yeah yeah Seattle I hear you. For these prices you’re only looking for a few grabs. Consider that done!

Drew Sample CIN @ PHI (30th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$3,500)

Cincinnati Bengal TE Drew Sample

You know what I just thought of? Why are my B&B plays this week so closely connected to our seasonal waiver wire adds this week? Free and/or cheap plays with added targets and touches that’s why!

Eric Ebron PIT v HOU (23rd)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,300)

Pittsburgh Steelers TE Eric Ebron

Houston is allowing 12+ fantasy points to opposing TE’s so far this season.

O.J. Howard TB @ DEN (27th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,500)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE OJ Howard

This is just my goodbye to OJ Howard. He can be dropped in any and all formats now. My love for him goes back quite some time. I thought you were the one OJ. I’m heartbroken.

Here are two of my sample lines I’m going to use for week 3! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!

Fanduel 9/27 Main

Also look for updated lines closer to the start of the season! This Thursday 9/24 and Sunday morning 9/27!

Draftkings 9/27 Main

Any questions or comments?

Did I miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Hammer Time (NFL wk2)

Hammer Time (NFL wk2)
9/18/20
Anthony Joseph Volanti https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Welcome back to DFS CheatSheet’s Hammer Time with the Gambling Guru! Each week, I’ll share my favorite bets to help give you an edge over the oddsmakers. Because let’s be honest, the only thing better than watching football is winning some money on it. LET’S GOOO!

*Note: The odds listed are accurate as of the time of writing, but the market is subject to change—shop around for the best lines. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note from the editor. As the season starts to pick back up so will our DFS play and our prop bets. Play safe and have fun! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Week 1 Betting Recap:
We started off hot last week, hitting on 4 of 5 Thursday Night Football bets but then a few upsets ruined our Sunday picks. Clyde Edwards-Helaire didn’t score first in the season opener as we’d hoped, but he did find the endzone eventually. The Chiefs covered the -9.5 spread (as if there was any doubt) and propelled the game over the alternate line of 49.5 points to help us hit on a same game parlay. Will Fuller was one of the few bright spots for the Texans, finishing with well over the 63.5 receiving yards prop he pegged him for.

On Sunday, the Bears squeaked out a victory with a late comeback and an ugly drop by Lions rookie running back De’Andre Swift. The Packers handled the Vikings easily, courtesy of Aaron Rodgers, who channeled his 2011 self and exposed Minnesota’s leaky secondary. Rodgers finished the day with a whopping stat line: 364 yards, 4 touchdowns, and a 72.7% completion percentage. The Seahawks did indeed “let Russ cook,” and the result was a spectacular cover of the -2.5 spread in a high-scoring affair against the Falcons. In hindsight, this should have been marked as the best bet for Week 1. Atlanta’s offense is high-powered, but their defense is still abysmal, so I’m not sure why so much money was coming in on them.

On the player prop side, we only hit on 2 of 7 bets, but were close on most of the ones we missed. Josh Jacobs had a field day, as predicted, and easily went over his 77.5 rushing yards prop. Diggs did indeed feed on the Jets weak secondary, surpassing his 51.5 receiving yards prop. Todd Gurley just missed his 57.5 rushing yards prop and Aaron Jones did not find the endzone. That shouldn’t come as a surprise though, given the stats that the passing game put up in both affairs. In the night cap, Jared Goff also fell several yards short of his 285.5 passing yards line.

Now, for our biggest busts of the week: DeSean Jackson and the Indianapolis Colts.

Philadelphia Eagles WR DeSean Jackson

Jackson was on a limited snap count during the game, but coach Pederson assured the media his snaps would increase each week—that would have been nice to know ahead of time. At any rate, the Washington Football Team kept Jackson locked down. Credit to Washington’s defense for penetrating the Eagles decimated offensive line and to their offense for scoring 27 unanswered points in the franchise’s biggest comeback since 1955. Last, but not least, we had the major upset of the week: the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars triumphed over Philip Rivers d the Indianapolis Colts. Is Minshew Mania real? We’ll find out in the coming weeks, but this was an ugly gambling casualty in week 1. Hopefully, not everyone went as all in as I did on the Colts.

Overall, we finished with an admirable 10-7 record for week 1. Hey, 59% ain’t too shabby. Let’s see how we fare in week 2!

Spreads:
· MIN +3 (+121 at DraftKings with 25% profit boost promo): Both of these teams will be looking to make a statement after being embarrassed last week. I know that I trashed Minnesota’s secondary earlier, but Rivers is past his prime and Indianapolis has a subpar pass attack at best. The Colts could barely muster 20 points against the worst team in the NFL last week. So I will take the points with the better team. Hammer the Vikings. Bonus: Take advantage of the $50 pre-game money line promo on FanDuel (details below).

Minnesota Vikings RB Dalvin Cook

· GB -6 (+113 at DraftKings with 25% profit boost promo): I was admittedly low on Green Bay coming into the season—they benefited last season from a weak schedule and won a handful of games by one score. But Rodgers is disgruntled (and who can blame him) after the bizarre draft decisions the front office made, and that appears to have lit a fire under him. He went wild in week 1, proving he’s still elite. I think that continues in week 2 against the swiss cheese secondary in Detroit. 6 points is too small of a handicap, so I’ll take the Packers over the Lions. Go Pack, Go! Bonus: Take advantage of the $50 pre-game money line promo on FanDuel (details below).

Green Bay Packers RB Aaron Jones

· BUF -5.5 (+114 at DraftKings with 25% profit boost promo): I really like Brian Flores, but the Dolphins are still in rebuilding mode and the Bills see an opportunity to remain undefeated and start the season 2-0 in a division that’s been dominated by New England for the last two decades. Miami only put up 11 points against the Patriots defense last week and they’ll have a tougher ask against Buffalo. Give me the Bills as an under-a-touchdown favorite.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen

· PHI +3 (-119 at DraftKings with 25% profit boost promo on the adjusted line): My beloved birds betrayed me last week, but the starting line for this is a huge overcorrection. Miles Sanders, Lane Johnson, and Derek Barnett are back, so I’ll hammer the homer pick.

Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders

· SF -6 (-104 at DraftKings with 25% profit boost promo on the adjusted line): San Francisco is eager to erase the memory of their ugly loss last week and prove that there is no such thing as a Super Bowl hangover. They’ll bounce back this week in a big way against New York’s “offensive genius” Adam Gase.

San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo

Teasers/Parlays:
· TEN -3 / KC -2.5 teaser (-132 at DraftKings): I refuse to buy in on the Jaguars and I think the Titans are still being underappreciated on the market. Kansas City is also far and away better than the team rebuilding in Los Angeles. My only concern about these spreads is a backdoor cover, so let’s erase that by taking the two together in a 6-point teaser. You might also consider a money line parlay at worse odds (-162) if you want to play it extra safe. I’m confident enough to go with the bigger payout. Bonus: Take advantage of the $50 pre-game money line promo on FanDuel (details below).

Tennessee Titan QB Ryan Tannehill

Noteworthy sports-book promos this week for existing users:
· DraftKings Profit Bonus: 25% profit bonus on every week 2 game. This boost applies to player props as well, but you can only use the boost once so choose wisely. See the DraftKings Sportsbook app for details and full terms.
· DraftKings 1st TD Scorer Promo: Bet on the first TD scorer and if your bet doesn’t hit but the player scores at any time in the game win your wager back. See the DraftKings Sportsbook app for details and full terms.
· FanDuel Same Game Parlay $10 Credit: Place a $20+ same game parlay of 3+ legs with minimum +200 final odds and get a free $10 site credit. See the FanDuel Sportsbook app for details and full terms.
· FanDuel 35+ Point Profit Bonus: Place a pre-game $50 money line wager on any team and if your team scores 35+ points, win double the winnings. See the FanDuel Sportsbook app for details and full terms.

That’s all for now. Check back this weekend for more player props on Sunday’s games!

The Gambling Guru’s cumulative record for the 2020 NFL season so far is 10-7, hitting on 59% of his bets.

Any questions or comments?

Did we miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find Anthony on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Bottom of the Barrel WK2 (NFL DFS)

Bottom of the Barrel
9/14/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

That was fun! How did you do? Good or bad we have another chance later this week! That’s the beauty of daily fantasy sports! To be honest we have 15+ weeks left to get it right!

I’d love to hear any comments or testimonials how Bottom of the Barrel worked out for you in week 1! Thank you for all the support! If you keep reading I’ll keep writing!

These first few weeks of the NFL season are always the toughest DFS wise. Teams are still working out their positional rotations. Coaches are still apprehensive to give players a full work-load. As the weeks continue adding up so will our bankroll!

Enough with the nonsense! Lets dig into week 2! The match-ups are waiting!

QUARTERBACK

I have a new idea! A new feature if you will. Give out the most expensive player at each position as we get to it. Putting into perspective the B&B prices!

Lamar Jackson BAL @ HOU (FD-$9,500)(DK-$8,200)

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at QB!

Phil Rivers IND v MIN (FD-$7,100)(DK-$5,900)

Indianapolis Colts QB Phillip Rivers

The more things change the more they stay the same. Case and point, Phil Rivers. He’s going to continue throwing the ball 40+ times a game. As the Colts get more familiar with each other the fantasy point will follow! MIN is 27th overall v the pass. Sneaky good week ahead for Mr. Bolo Tie!

Gardner Minshew II JAC @ TEN (FD-$7,000)(DK-5,800)

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew

I always love to see others flourish and succeed! Gardner was outstanding on Sunday! The Jags hit the road Sunday to play the Titans who are 24th vs. the pass. I fully expect Minshew to attempt more then 20 passes in this one. His price point is an absolute steal!

Ryan Tannehill TEN v JAC (FD-$7,000)(DK-$5,900)

Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill

Tanny has finally broken through and found a home in Tennessee. He should find himself comfortably in our lineups on Sunday. At this price he only needs 17-18 points to return value! Consider that his floor on Sunday!

Teddy Bridgewater CAR @ TB (FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,800)

Carolina Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater

Teddy looked fantastic Sunday v the Raiders! The dinking and ducking was working. His downfield passes looked crisp and on point. Although Tampa is a tougher match-up on paper look at what New Orleans did! Not comparing the two teams. Merely saying the confidence isn’t there for the Bucs yet.

Daniel Jones NYG @ CHI (FD-$6,900)(DK-$5,800)

New York Giants QB Daniel Jones

Danny Dimes heads to Chicago Sunday to square off against the 25th overall ranked Chicago Bears defense. With Saquon at the RB helm look for the WR corps to get open early and often. Jones is one of my favorite plays of the week!

RUNNING BACK

Christian McCaffrey CAR @ TB (FD-$10,500)(DK-$10,000)

Carolina Panther RB Christian McCaffrery

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at RB!

Ronald Jones II TB v CAR (FD-$5,900)(DK-$5,200)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones II

More expensive then I’d like for B&B purposes. When the match-up is there though I spare no expense! Carolina was eaten alive in week 1 by Raider RB Josh Jacobs. Rojo is still the RB1 in Tampa but for how long? Let’s take advantage while we can!

James Robinson JAC @ TEN (FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,400)

Jacksonville Jaguars rookie RB James Robinson

J-Rob isn’t a household name. He’s the prototypical stud workhorse RB. However he’s getting ALL the work in Jacksonville. Which isn’t saying much but he’s literally getting ALL the work at RB! No other running back touched the ball Sunday. At his price this week mixed with the volume I’d be hard pressed not to roster him!

Zack Moss BUF @ MIA (FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,800)

Buffalo Bills RB Zach Moss

Moss showed us why we drafted him across the board in all formats. The rushing work was split with Devin which was to be expected right? He caught three passes though and seemed to be on the field every time the Bills were inside the 20! Devin’s price on Fanduel is $6,000! Why would pay that when you can roster Moss at $800 less bucks?

Malcolm Brown LAR @ PHI (FD-$5,200)(DK-$5,700)

Los Angeles Rams RB Malcolm Brown

Leading up to Sundays game coach McVay said their backfield was going to be a true RBBC. Correct me if I’m wrong but it wasn’t that bad! Brown saw the most work Sunday. 18 carries 79 yards 2 TD’s 4 targets 3 receptions 31 yards. Cam Akers looked good don’t get me wrong but if they truly go with the, “hot hand” approach then Malcolm is your guy!

Josh Adams NYJ v SF (FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,400)

New York Jets RB Josh Adams

Josh is the reason I created this article. He’s very cheap but there is a little upside. If Le’veon Bell sits out week 2 with a hamstring issue and rookie La’Mical Perine can’t get his ankle injury healed up, Adams will be splitting carries with Frank Gore. It’s not an ideal tandem but the 49ers are ranked 27th vs. the run at the moment. SF will no doubt figure it out but the time to pounce is now!

Tony Pollard DAL v ATL (FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,900)

Dallas Cowboys RB Tony Pollard

Here me out on this one. We all know the offense runs through Zeke. Leaves little to no work for any other RB. Fast forward to Sunday in Dallas. The Falcons come to town and it’s going to magical! The O/U currently sits at 52. Second highest on the schedule. I could see a scenario where this game is so fast paced bang bang, Zeke needs a series or two off. In comes Tony! At $4,800 it wouldn’t take much for him to return value! Think about it…

WIDE-RECEIVER

Davante Adams GB v DET (FD-$8,600)(DK-$8,100)

Green Bay Packers WR Davante Adams

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at WR!

Anthony Miller CHI v NYG (FD-$5,700)(DK-$5,200)

Chicago Bears WR Anthony Miller

Mr. Miller is fast becoming one of my favorite WR2’s. Allen Robinson (FD-$7,000)(DK-$6,400) is Chicago’s WR1 without question but in Detroit we saw what Miller can do in a hurry! Looking ahead to week 2 vs. the NYG and their 28th ranked passing defense there’s just no way he doesn’t put up 10+ fantasy points.

Allen Lazard GB v DET (FD-$5,600)(DK-$5,300)

Green Bay Packers WR Alan Lazard

Lazard out snapped all other WR’s not named Davante Adams. Lazard was tied for 4th in terms of targets but it’s not always about targets. It’s what you do with your opportunities! Let me be honest with you here, I don’t know this kid. I don’t know much about him. So not to be rude to Allen but the decision to play him Sunday has everything to do with the match-up. The Detroit Lions just don’t win in Green Bay. Heck, they don’t win in general.

Parris Campbell IND v MIN (FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,500)

Indianapolis Colts WR Parris Campbell

Are you as excited for Parris as I am? Hardly a breakout game in week 1, Campbell is trending in the right direction. It’s only a matter of time before he goes for 100yds and 2 TD’s. This Sunday at home vs. the Vikings could just be that time! Minnesota’s secondary is young and inexperienced. I want all the shares of Parris I can get for Sunday. He’s a chunk play kind of kid and there will be plenty of chunks to be had! Wait, ah never mind.

CeeDee Lamb DAL v ATL (FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,700)

Dallas Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb

Lamb looked fantastic on Sunday! Cooper is clearly their WR1 but who cares when CeeDee is this cheap on both sites. His price plus the match-up vs. ATL is a massive green light for me on Sunday.

Mercole Hardman KC v LAC (FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,800)

Kansas City Chiefs WR Mercole Hardman

What a bummer! Mercole only saw 20 snaps in the season opener Thursday. That will be short lived I promise you! At this point he’s not on anyone radar! I firmly believe Pat and KC shows Hardman some major love Sunday in LA.

Laviska Shenault Jr. JAC @ TEN (FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,200)

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Laviska Shenault Jr.

Talk about excitement, Laviska is destined for stardom in Jacksonville. Gardner is one heck of a QB and he doesn’t care what we think. The Titans are ranked 24th overall vs. the pass and I’d bet the farm they only up the ante with getting Shenault involved Sunday!

TIGHT END

Travis Kelce KC @ LAC (FD-$7,800)(DK-$7,000)

Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at TE!

O.J. Howard TB v CAR (FD-$4,800)(DK-$3,900)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE OJ Howard

Ayyyeee! OJ scored in week 1! Now what? On DK he’s dirt cheap! I’ll take my chances week to week with him in this offense.

Logan Thomas WSH @ ARZ (FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,600)

Washington Football Team TE Logan Thomas

Logan played 74% of the snaps and led the team in targets! I know right! Why do I have this sneaking suspicion Thomas throws a TD or catches another on some sort of gadget play?

Jordan Akins HOU v BAL (FD-$4,600)(DK-$3,300)

Houston Texans TE Jordan Akins

Jordan out snapped teammate Jordan Fells 48-25 and looked really good in the middle of the field. At his bottom of the barrel pricing I’m taking a chance on him in what looks to be a high scoring affair (O/U 53)!

Dan Arnold ARZ v WSH (FD-$4,400)(DK-$3,300)

Dan Connor

I know what you’re thinking, Dan Connor. Or is that just me? No he’s not the dad from Rosanne! He is however, the TE1 in a rising Arizona offense! Any cheaper and you’d be using guys on IR.

Here is one of my sample lines I’m going to use for week 1! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!

8/20 FD Main

Also look for updated lines closer to the start of the season! This Thursday 9/17 and Sunday morning 9/20!

Any questions or comments?

Did I miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Hammer Time

Hammer Time DFS
9/12/20
Anthony Joseph Volanti https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Welcome back to DFS CheatSheet’s Hammer Time with the Gambling Guru! Each week, I’ll share my favorite bets to help give you an edge over the odds makers. Because let’s be honest, the only thing better than watching football is winning money on football. LET’S GOOO (win some money)!

*Note: The odds listed are accurate as of the time of writing, but the market is subject to change—shop around for the best lines. And remember to bet in moderation!
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

TNF Bets:
I wasn’t able to finish this article by opening night, but for record-keeping, I hit on 4 of my 5 Thursday night football picks, including a same game 3-leg parlay! Here’s how it played out:
· Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score first (+550 at DraftKings)—missed
· Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score (-125 at DraftKings)—hit!
· KC -9.5 (-110 at DraftKings) —hit!
· Same Game Parlay: 3-legs (+216 at FanDuel)—hit!
Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score
KC money line
Alternate over 49.5 total points
· Will Fuller over 63.5 yards (-130 at DraftKings)—hit!

Let’s dive into the remaining picks for Week 1!

Spreads:

CHI money line (+120 on FanDuel): Let’s be honest: Mitchell Trubisky is a bust and I fully expect Nick Foles (#bdn) to take over before Chicago’s BYE week. However, Mitch has owned the Lions so far in his short career. Detroit’s strength is the offensive side of the ball, but Kenny Golladay is doubtful and we don’t know how the muddy backfield will shake up. Take the plus money and hammer the Bears. Sorry, https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

SEA -2.5 (-110 on DraftKings) and over 49 total points (-110 on DraftKings): The odds makers in Vegas would have us believe that the Seahawks would only be favored by 5.5 points on a neutral field. I’m not buying that. This Seahawks squad, which was 11-5 last season and one play away from being a top seed in the playoffs, is not being given the respect it deserves. Give me the Seahawks covering by less than a field goal. As a bonus, I’ll also take the over because I love these high-powered offenses. #letrusscook

PIT -5.5 (-115 on FanDuel): The Pittsburgh Steelers went 8-8 last season with guys named Mason Rudolph and “Duck” Hodges under center. New York’s defense is still a weak spot so expect a healthy Big Ben and James Connor to take advantage. The Steelers may have the top defense in the league in 2020, so I trust them to keep Saquon Barkley in check and “Danny Dimes” well in check. Give me the Steelers, Vegas; you can have the points.

GB +2.5 (-109 on DraftKings): The front office lit a fire under Aaron Rodgers when they drafted his heir apparent in the 2020 NFL Draft. Rodgers may have limited weapons but that didn’t stop him last season. Green Bay’s 2019 schedule was on the softer side, but we can’t discount the fact that the Packers compiled 13 wins, earned the 2nd seed, and swept Minnesota last season. The Vikings lost some key players on defense in the off-season, so I expect the Packers offense to handily control this game. The books are giving the Vikings an edge for being at home, but why? Fans are not allowed at U.S. Bank Stadium for at least the first two games, which eliminates any “home-field advantage” in my mind. I’ll take a hungry Rodgers with something to prove and the points, please.

Teaser:

IND -2.5/PIT +0.5 (-130 at FanDuel): The Jaguars are tanking for Trevor—no matter how hard they try to deny it. The organization is an utter mess, with Tony Khan, the senior VP of football administration, getting into Twitter spats with players. Take it from former players, such as Jalen Ramsey, Yannick Ngakoue, and Leonard Fournette, who managed to force themselves out of the toxic locker room: this is not an organization that wants to win right now. 8.5 is too much to comfortably lay in a season opener—especially one that follows the most uncertain off-season in NFL history—against a divisional opponent, however, so I’ll take the Colts in a teaser with the bonus 6 points. It’s hard to choose who to pair them with, but I’ll go with the Steelers.

Special Promo (does not count towards my picks record):
· LAR spread over DAL (-110 at FanDuel): FanDuel Sports book is currently running another “spread the love” promotion: they’re moving the spread by 1 point in favor of the Rams for every 5,000 fans who bet on L.A. using the promo (everyone will benefit from the final point spread). At the time of this writing, the spread is already +11. These promotions are locks, so make sure you take full advantage of the max $50 wager!

Player Props:

BUF WR Stefon Diggs

· Diggs over 51.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel): After trading away Jamal Adams, the New York Jets have arguably the worst secondary in the league. Expect Josh Allen to use his newest toy early to prove he can in fact throw deep. It just takes one play…
· DeSean Jackson to score (+200 at FanDuel): The Eagles will be missing Alshon Jeffrey on Sunday and rookie Jalen Reagor may be on a limited snap count, making Jackson a centerpiece of the Eagles aerial attack. Jackson tends to go off on former teams and on opening day (more on that later). Expect fireworks.
· Jared Goff over 285.5 passing yards (+100 at FanDuel): I’m not sold on the Rams running back by committee approach and, as much as I hate to admit it, Dallas should have a dangerous offense this season. That equates to Goff airing it out early and often. I like Cooper Kupp and the ever-underrated “Bobby Trees” against the Cowboys secondary so I’ll lean towards the over here.
· Todd Gurley over 57.5 yards (-110 at FanDuel): Sure, Todd Gurley has the knees of an 84-year-old grandma, but the Falcons don’t really have another back capable of producing on the ground. His arthritic knee will undoubtedly cap his upside this season, but he should be fresh entering Week 1. Hammer him while you can.

Las Vegas Raiders RB Josh Jacobs

· Josh Jacobs over 77.5 (-110 on FanDuel): The Panthers had the worst run defense in 2019 and they are now without Dontari Poe, who is now with the Cowboys, and Luke Kuechly, who retired in January. Josh Jacobs is going to E-A-T. Feed the man.
· Aaron Jones to score (+108 on DraftKings) and Aaron Jones over 64.5 yards (-112 on DraftKings): I mentioned earlier that I liked the Packers with the points because of Minnesota’s deteriorating defense. The Vikings traded for Yannick Ngakoue to replace the departed Everson Griffen, but the interior line is going to be as soft as pudding without Linval Joseph. The Packers have made their plans to run first painfully clear in the off-season and with A.J. Dillon losing the backup running back job to Jamaal Williams (for now), Jones’ path to success is clear.

Philadelphia Eagles WR DeSean Jackson

***BEST BET ALERT*** DeSean Jackson over 49.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel): DeSean Jackson and revenge games go together like peanut butter and jelly. And just like peanut butter, Jackson can be lethal to some. He can easily hit this mark on a single play. The stats speak for themselves:
He has averaged a whopping 17.4 yards per reception in his career—best in the NFL among active players—and has led the league in that category 4 times in his career: 2018 (18.9), 2016 (17.9), 2014 (20.9), and 2010 (22.5). He is also one of just 6 wide receivers in NFL history averaging at least 17 yards per reception while compiling 10,000 or more total yards.
He has 37 career games with 100-plus receiving yards, behind only Larry Fitzgerald, Julio Jones, and Antonio Brown.
He has 31 career 50-plus yard touchdowns, which ranks second in NFL history (five short of Jerry Rice).
He is also the third-oldest player in NFL history to record multiple 50-plus yards receiving touchdowns in a single game.
He surpassed Jerry Rice in 2019 for the most 60-plus yard touchdowns in NFL history with 24.
He has recorded 6 opening day games with 100-plus receiving yards—tied with Michael Irvin for most in NFL history.
With Alshon Jeffrey ruled out nursing a never-ending foot injury and rookie Jalen Reagor active but recovering from a shoulder injury just weeks ago, Jackson is primed for another breakout opening day performance against an NFC East rival and former club. He’s looked great in camp so far and coming off a season in which he missed 15 games, he should have fresh legs. Most importantly, he’ll be hungry. Hammer. The. Over.

Any questions or comments?

Did we miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find Anthony on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Hammer Time (NFL Betting)

Hammer Time
9/8/20
Anthony Joseph Volanti https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Quick note from the editor. In the past I’ve found complete transparency to the reader to be the best course of action. Pulling the curtain aside a moment, Anthony reached out and inquired about getting his NFL betting content published and seen! We were happy to oblige here at Cheat Sheet! Thank you Anthony and we look forward to long prosperous NFL season together.

Welcome to the first DFSCheatSheet edition of Hammer Time! Each week, I’ll share my best bets to help give you an edge over the odds makers. Because let’s be honest, the only thing better than watching football is winning money on football. Today, we’ll be looking at some of my favorite season-long bets, including team win totals, team futures, and player props. Before we dive in, let me offer a few pieces of general sports betting advice….

Tip #1: Look for value, not chalk. You’re going to be tempted to bet the house on that BAL or KC over 11.5 wins. Don’t. That doesn’t mean that I don’t expect the Ravens or Chiefs to get to 12 wins. But there’s simply very little value to be found here. The odds makers know everyone loves Patty Mahomes, the new half-billion-dollar face of the NFL, and Lamar “action” Jackson. They’ll use their popularity to lure you into making high risk, low reward bets. Don’t take the bait. God forbid Mahomes catches COVID-19 and is forced to quarantine or Jackson (*knocks on wood*) suffers a torn ACL. Anything can happen—especially in these uncertain times.

Tip #2: There’s no such thing as being injury-prone… but players can be prone to injuries. Medical experts agree there is no evidence to suggest that one player is more likely to get injured than another. Despite this, it seems as though some can’t stay out of the blue medical tent. Translation: be wary of any player with an injury history. Also, stay away from bets on players with specific injury histories (think Todd Gurley’s arthritic knees), as those injuries are more likely to re-occur.

Tip #3: Shop around. Legalized gambling in many states has given rise to several competing sports books. Take advantage of any promotions, odds boosts, and line discrepancies.

Tip #4: Less is more. They say “the house always wins” for a reason. The odds makers setting the lines are experts. Never bet an amount of money that makes you uneasy. A good rule is to bet half of what you’re willing to lose. It’s better to win less than to lose more!

Now with that out of the way, let’s dig in these best bets!

Best Bets: Win Totals

JAC under 5 (-118)

Jacksonville Jaguars

The 2020 Jacksonville Jaguars are a far cry from the 2017 squad that almost won the AFC Championship. You might even say they’ve even supplanted the Miami Dolphins as the textbook definition of “tanking.” The mishandling of contracts and personnel—see the Jalen Ramsey trade, the ugly Twitter exchange between executive Tony Khan and former DL Yannick Ngakoue, and the cutting of Leonard Fournette—reveals just how toxic the culture has become in Jacksonville. Meanwhile, the rest of the AFC South has become increasingly competitive: the Houston Texans remain the division favorite despite the departure of DeAndre Hopkins and the Tennessee Titans will remain serious contenders after their deep postseason run last season. In Indianapolis, gunslinger Philip Rivers hopes to find the Fountain of Youth behind the best line in the league. Would it really surprise anyone if the Jags went winless in their own division? The Jaguars also face the Miami Dolphins, Cincinnati Bengal’s, Detroit Lions, Los Angeles Chargers, Green Bay Packers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cleveland Browns, Minnesota Vikings, Baltimore Ravens, and Chicago Bears. I’m in on Minshew Mania, but no mullet or mustache—no matter how glorious—can muster 5 wins with this roster and schedule. HAMMER the under.

WAS under 5 (+100)

Washington Football Team

From workplace misconduct scandals to controversy over the club’s former nickname, there has been a lot of ugliness surrounding the Washington franchise this off-season. The club plays the Arizona Cardinals, Cleveland Browns, Baltimore Ravens, Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions, Cincinnati Bengal’s, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, and Carolina Panthers this season. That’s in addition to the Philadelphia Eagles, the reigning NFC East division champs, the Dallas Cowboys, a potential Super Bowl sleeper, and the New York Giants, who always seem to have Washington’s number. “Riverboat” Ron Rivera was an excellent hire, but it takes time to right a ship—especially one that’s capsized.

CIN under 6 (-110)

Cincinnati Bengals

It may surprise you to learn that despite having the #1 overall pick this off-season, the Cincinnati Bengal’s are not devoid of talent. Joe Burrow is rookie quarterback but he’s coming off the best statistical season in NCAA history and he has a deep group of receivers plus Joe Mixon, who Bill Belichick believes to be the best running back in the league. Unfortunately, the Bengal’s are also in one of the most competitive division in the NFL, playing the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Cleveland Browns twice. Outside the division, they face the Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, Jacksonville Jaguars, Indianapolis Colts, Tennessee Titans, Washington Football Team, New York Giants, Miami Dolphins, Dallas Cowboys, and Houston Texans. That’s a big ask of a rookie quarterback in a challenging off-season. They have a shot against several fellow basement dwellers but good luck finding 6 wins. So, it’s Hammer Time.

TEN over 8.5 (-110)

Tennessee Titans

The Titans playoff run (pun intended) only ended because not even Derrick Henry could keep future Hall of Fame quarterback Patrick Mahomes off the field long enough in the AFC Championship game. Their non-division schedule looks like this: Denver Broncos, Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengal’s, Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, and Green Back Packers. A split with the Colts and Texans and a sweep of the Jaguars would put them at 4-2, just about halfway to their win total. The Bengal’s and Lions should push them to 6, leaving just 3 more wins. I think they get them. I’d also consider betting them to win the division outright depending on the juice.

Best Bets: Win Totals

PIT to Make Playoffs (-134)

Pittsburgh Steelers

Ben Roethlisberger underwent season-ending surgery last year to reattach three torn flexor tendons in his right elbow. Not only is he healthy, but the pain he’s apparently been playing through his entire career has dissipated. Juju Smith-Schuster, James Connor, rising star Diontae Johnson, and the rest of the offense will benefit from his return. The Steelers, led by the tandem of “Duck” Hodges and Mason Rudolph, would have made the playoffs last season under the new format. Let that sink in for a moment… and then head to your preferred sports book app to bet big on Big Ben leading the Steelers back to the playoffs.

SEA to Make the Playoffs (-128)

Seattle Seahawks

Under head coach Pete Carroll and quarterback Russell Wilson, the Seattle Seahawks have had double-digit winning records in 7 of the last 8 years. Last season, they were a yard away from claiming a top seed in the NFC playoffs when they lose a thriller to their rivals and eventual NFC Super Bowl representatives, the San Francisco 49ers. The NFC West is as competitive as any other division in the NFL today, but it’s difficult to ignore that kind of sustained success. With the new payoff format allowing a 7th team into the postseason, it’s easy to imagine that the trend will continue. You might also want to consider sprinkling some money on the Seahawks over 9 wins. Shop around for the best odds.

Best Bets: Player Prop Futures

Miles Sanders over 1,005.5 rushing yards (-110)

Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders got off to a rough start in his rookie campaign last year. He failed to see the holes and was outplayed by Jordan Howard early on. But somewhere along the way, everything clicked. He has the potential to be a top-5 RB this year. Skeptical? Look at his fantasy points in the last 8 games. Head coach Doug Pederson has had a tendency to use the dreaded running back by committee approach, but he has never had a back this talented before. Everyone has been gushing about Sanders been crushing it in camp. I think he also crushes this 1,005.5 rushing yard mark, which is not even 200 yards more than his final numbers last season.

Baker Mayfield over 23.5 passing TDs (-112)

Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield

The Cleveland Browns have been under-the-radar this off-season after a disappointing campaign in 2019 under former head coach Freddie Kitchens. But rest assured, this team will be better than it was last year, and I have no doubt that a humbled Baker is eager to prove his arm is better than his acting. Throwing 24 touchdowns really isn’t a lot to ask when you consider the weapons he will be working with: Jarvis Landry, Odell Beckham Jr., Kareem Hunt, Nick Chubb, and Austin Hooper. Compound that talent with the addition of new head coach Kevin Stefanski and I think Baker will get at least 2 more than last year (22). Hammer, hammer, hammer.

Sam Darnold over 22.5 passing TDs (-108)

New York Jets QB Sam Darnold

Far be it from me to heap praise on anyone playing for Adam Gase, aka the fantasy dream-killer, but Sam Darnold threw 19 touchdown passes while playing in just 13 games in 2019. This is a make or break year for the former 1st round pick. If he makes even a slight improvement in his development and stays healthy, he should surpass his numbers from last season. Hey, you can’t catch mononucleosis twice, right?

Carson Wentz over 3,899.5 passing yards (-112)

Philadelphia Eagles QB Carson Wentz

Call me an Eagles homer, but I love Carson Wentz over 3,899.5 passing yards (-112). He threw for over 4,000 yards last season despite not having a single receiver over 400 yards and should have more explosive weapons this year with rookie Jalen Reagor and a healthy DeSean Jackson in his arsenal this year. His desire to get that extra yard on every play puts him at a higher risk of injury, making this a dodgy play but there’s too much upside here. And so we hammer.

Check back throughout the season for more best bets!

Any questions or comments?

Did we miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find Anthony on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/A_Volanti4390

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Bottom of the Barrel WK1 (NFL DFS)

Bottom of the Barrel
9/5/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Football is here! We’ve made it! Damn this feels good!

Last time we spoke Bottom of the Barrel wasn’t much of a thing. Yes I’ve written B&B for the better part of five seasons but things have changed. Social media has welcomed me with open arms. I’ve been able to grow and expand my content big time. For that I’m grateful and thankful for the support!

What is Bottom of the Barrel? Just a silly idea that came to me a few years ago. Since then DFS has really taken off! We all know the high priced studs to start week to week right? Unfortunately there is a cap on Fanduel and Draftkings so we have spend to wisely. B&B helps you fill in your DFS lineups with cheaper high upside guys!

Social media has been jam packed with fantasy football content for months now. Some good and some bad. It’s Twitter though so that’s to be expected. In turn, what should we expect the first week of the NFL season? As it stands now there are a ton of questions! Realistically we don’t know how the targets and touches are going to shake out across the board.

With week one upon us let me help! Let’s work it out together!

QUARTERBACK

I have a new idea! A new feature if you will. Give out the most expensive player at each position as we get to it. Putting into perspective the B&B prices!

Patrick Mahomes KC v HOU(31st)(FD-$9,500)(DK-$7,400)

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at QB!

Cam Newton NE v MIA(30th)(FD-$7,400)(DK-$6,100)

New England QB Cam Newton

Cam is the Patriots new shiny toy! Week 1 vs. a divisional rival? Admittedly there are a few questions marks in terms of his rushing yardage but at the price I’m in!

Jimmy Garoppolo SF v ARZ(32nd)(FD-$7,300)(DK-$5,800)

This one isn’t sexy but facing the 32nd ranked DST vs. QB’s is very sexy! Plus I’ve heard he’s been working on his deep passing!

Tyrod Taylor LAC @ CIN(28th)(FD-$7,000)(DK-$5,600)

Chargers QB Tyrod Taylor

As a starting QB Tyrod has preformed at or above all of his seasonal projections. Not to mention all the weapons at his disposal! Mix in some rushing yards and it’s a no-brainer.

Teddy Bridgewater CAR v OAK(25th)(FD-$6,800)(DK-$5,900)

Let’s be honest and say what we’re all thinking. One or two passes to CMC could make Teddy’s price gravy. Throw in DJ Moore and the upside is there!

Gardner Minshew II JAX v IND(21st)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,800)

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew

There is something about this guy! He’s likeable and people are drawn to him. Fandom isn’t going to win us money but his rushing yards just might!

RUNNING BACK

Christian McCaffrey CAR v OAK(19th)(FD-$10,000)(DK-$10,000)

Carolina Panther RB Christian McCaffrery

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at RB!

Jonathan Taylor IND @ JAX(31st)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$5,700)

Colts rookie RB Jonathan Taylor

Recently JT has taken a beating for dropping a few passes. He’s been the talk of social media for week 1 so who am I to disagree? Plus I’m thinking this will be the cheapest he ever is on both sites.

James White NE v MIA(26th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$6,000)

Patriots RB James White

I don’t know about you but Cam has only excited me more for White! Sony, Rex or the recently cut Lamar Miller doesn’t change White’s value. He’s pure gold on site like FD with PPR points.

Tarik Cohen CHI @ DET(29th)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,900)

Chicago RB Tarik Cohen

Cohen hasn’t missed a game in three season and you know what you’re getting. He’s the textbook complimentary RB on your DFS roster. Opening the season in Detroit with Mitch at QB isn’t as awful as you think!

Boston Scott PHI @ WSH(30th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,800)

Eagles RB Boston Scott

Scott has been able to get more first team reps recently with Sanders sidelined. Humor me a moment, PHI gets up big and Scott sees a full quarter maybe more chalked full of garbage time! Still counts people!

Nyheim Hines IND @ JAX(31st)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,000)

Indianapolis Colts RB Nyheim Hines

Mack and JT, all we’ve heard about this off-season. What if I told you Hines could become what James White is in New England! You heard it here first!

Antonio Gibson WSH v PHI(5th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)

Normally I march to the beat of my own drummer and I am now. I’m bringing up Gibson to tell you one thing. Use at your own risk. He might be the chalkiest RB going week 1. So do you want to join the masses or do you want to win money? The choice is yours. Exercise caution here!

WIDE RECEIVER

Michael Thomas NO v TB(32nd)(FD-$8,800)(DK-$9,000)

New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at WR!

DeSean Jackson PHI @ WSH(21st)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,900)

Philadelphia Eagles WR DeSean Jackson

It’s week 1 people. You know the drill…
2019 week 1 – 8 receptions 154 yards 2 TD
2018 week 1 – 5 receptions 146 yards 2 TD

N’Keal Harry NE v MIA(31st)(FD-$5,100)(DK-$4,400)

Patriots WR N’Keal Harry

Cut after cut and Harry is still standing! Strong as ever! Get in on the ground floor here! Oh yeah MIA is a very favorable match-up!

Russell Gage ATL v SEA(14th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$4,300)

Falcon WR Russel Gage

Julio and Ridley. Julio and Ridley. Reminds of Jane from the Brady Bunch always feeling left out! Gage gets his week 1!

Greg Ward PHI @ WSH(21st)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,200)

Nothing fancy here, Greg is in the mix after a WR process of elimination. Alshon is out. Rookie Jalen Reagor is out. Everybody is on Ertz/Jackson so sneak in Greg Ward!

Trent Taylor SF v ARZ(25th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$3,900)

The sneakiest of plays! Taylor missed the entire 2019 season with a foot injury and now he’s a healthy WR among a slew of unhealthy SF WR’s! Would it be wild to roster a Jimmy G/Trent Taylor stack?

Scotty Miller TB @ NO(27th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$4,000)

Tampa Brady WR Scotty Miller

Little to no talk about Scotty! Rightfully so given the plethora of studs in Tompa Bay right now! It looks as if Scotty has locked down the slot role in TB. Which is sweet gig when TB12 is your QB. There should plenty of room for the 23 year old speedster to find in New Orleans week 1.

TIGHT END

George Kittle SF v ARZ(32nd)(FD-$8,000)(DK-$7,200)

San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle

Here are some cheaper options I’m considering at TE!

Jonnu Smith TEN @ DEN(13th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,400)

Titans TE Jonnu Smith

Have any of you seen the twitter photo of Jonnu last month? He’s the unquestioned TE1 in Tennessee on a damn good offense. He’s priced very reasonably for the type of production I expect in week 1.

Irv Smith Jr. MIN @ GB(28th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$3,100)

Vikings TE Irv Smith Jr.

We’ve all heard how Irv Jr. is expected to see a larger role right? Well let’s quit talking about it and be about it! No time like the present!

Cole Kmet CHI @ DET(15th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$3,400)

Are you scared of Jimmy Graham? I’m not! Guy is a shell of himself. Hurts to say this but the Bears torched the Lions TWICE last season! While Mitch threw six total TD’s. This could be a case of Chicago trying out their new 6’6 TE in the red zone once or twice. Just the dart throw I’m looking for at TE!

Here are two of my sample lines I’m going to use for week 1! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsible!

FD 8:20p ET (Thu-Mon)

Also look for updated lines closer to the start of the season! This Thursday 9/10 and Sunday morning 9/13!

DK 9/10 (Thu-Mon)

Any questions or comments?

Did I miss something? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1