NASCAR – The Setup – 053020

The Setup – Food City 500
By Tyler Miller
@rickybobby_jr

NASCAR returns to Bristol on Sunday for the Food City presents the Supermarket Heroes 500. This is a 500 lap race at Bristol Motor Speedway, a half-mile, high-banked, concrete race track in southeastern Tennessee. This race sits in stark contrast to the 208 lap race we saw at Charlotte Thursday night. Drafting drivers who run every lap and lead laps will be a premium on Fan Duel. On Draft Kings, you really need to focus on drivers who can dominate the race with triple digit laps led and fastest laps run. Differential is less important in a 500 lap race. Kyle Busch has won the last two spring races at Bristol, can he make it 3 in a row? Let’s get started!

Race Distance: 500 laps, Stage 1 ends on lap 125, Stage 2 ends on lap 250.
Lineup Lock 3:30 pm eastern Sunday
Last year’s winners – Kyle Busch (started 17th) (Spring) – Denny Hamlin (started 1st) (Summer)
Last year’s pole sitters: Chase Elliott (finished 11th) (Spring) – Denny Hamlin (finished 1st) (Summer)
Prior race winners: Spring, Summer
2018: Kyle Busch (1st), Kurt Busch (9th)
2017: Jimmie Johnson (11th), Kyle Busch (18th)
2016: Carl Edwards (1st), Kevin Harvick (24th)
2015: Matt Kenseth (1st), Joey Logano (5th)
2014: Carl Edwards (12th), Joey Logano (5th)

Charlotte Recap:
What went right?

I am really pleased with the drivers I wrote up in for the mid-week Charlotte race. Looking at the first 5 drivers I had listed, Johnson, Hamlin, Bowyer, Elliott, and Blaney finished 5th, 2nd, 10th, 1st, and 4th in Fan Duel scoring. Kenseth had issues all night but battled back to get 2 lucky dogs and +3 differential. Newman was solid for a mid-tier pick with +10 differential and a 17th place finish. Bubba Wallace was a disaster, but I wrote him up with a “I do not trust Bubba Wallace” disclaimer. I also correctly predicted Chase Elliott to win the race. I am going to start betting on my picks to win, I live in New Jersey, its above board.

My Fan Duel lineup ended up being Kenseth, Newman, Johnson, Bowyer, and Elliott, which scored 288.2 and cashed in every contest I entered.

My Draft Kings lineup was Johnson, Elliott, Kenseth, Blaney, Newman, and McDowell, which scored 269.25 and cashed in every contest I entered.

Overall, since NASCAR returned at Darlington two weeks ago, I have cashed in 25 of the 26 contests I entered on Fan Duel. I missed in the $1 quick-pick single-entry tournament for the Coca-Cola 600. On Draft Kings I have cashed in 26 of 32 contests entered for Cup races during that time. As a reminder, I am a single entry player and most of those contests were cash games or single entry tournaments.

What went wrong?
I’m happy that I avoided playing Bubba Wallace, but I’m upset with myself for writing him up in the first place. On Draft Kings I went with Michael McDowell because he was the lowest priced driver and my only option with the way I built my lineup. I missed I Ricky Stenhouse Jr’s top 5 with +20 differential, but I’m ok with that. Stenhouse cannot be trusted, his finishes this year are as follow: 20,3,20,22,40,25,24,4. Maybe I should have seen his 3rd place finish at Las Vegas and had more faith in his 1.5 mile setup, but that’s a bit of a stretch.

What Vegas thinks (Saturday Morning Lines via Draft Kings Sportsbook)
Kyle Busch is back to being the favorite at 4-1, big jumps for Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano this week. Truex and Keselowski dropped down the list.

Kyle Busch 4-1
Chase Elliott 11-2
Denny Hamlin 8-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Kevin Harvick 17-2
Brad Keselowski 11-1
Martin Truex Jr. 11-1
Ryan Blaney 13-1
Kurt Busch 18-1
Alex Bowman 20-1

Driver Ratings at Bristol:
1. Kyle Busch 101.8
2. Matt Kenseth 100.6
3. Chase Elliott 95.9
4. Kevin Harvick 95.2
5. Erik Jones 94.1
6. Jimmie Johnson 92.4
7. Denny Hamlin 91.7
8. Kurt Busch 91.5
9. Joey Logano 90.6
10. Ryan Blaney 90.5
11. Brad Keselowski 88.2
12. Ryan Newman 85.2
13. Martin Truex Jr 83.3
14. Clint Bowyer 83.1
15. Daniel Suarez 79.1

Average Running Position
1. Erik Jones 10.800
2. Chase Elliott 11.271
3. Matt Kenseth 11.368
4. Ryan Blaney 12.065
5. Kevin Harvick 12.618
6. Jimmie Johnson 12.978
7. Kyle Busch 13.067
8. Kurt Busch 13.581
9. Denny Hamlin 14.044
10. Brad Keselowski 14.342
11. Ryan Newman 14.557
12. Daniel Suarez 14.814
13. Joey Logano 15.346
14. Martin Truex Jr 15.755
15. Clint Bowyer 15.838

Laps Led
1. Kyle Busch 2334 (16.1% of laps run)
2. Matt Kenseth 1547 (11.9)
3. Jimmie Johnson 886 (5.9)
4. Joey Logano 764 (6.9)
5. Denny Hamlin 697 (5.0)
6. Brad Keselowski 697 (7.0)
7. Kevin Harvick 683 (4.5)
8. Kurt Busch 605 (4.0)
9. Ryan Blaney 379 (8.4)
10. Clint Bowyer 281 (2.0)
11. Erik Jones 293 (9.8)
12. Martin Truex Jr. 282 (2.0)

2019 Spring top 10
1. Kyle Busch
2. Kurt Busch
3. Joey Logano
4. Ryan Blaney
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Paul Menard
7. Clint Bowyer
8. Daniel Suarez
9. Ryan Newman
10. Jimmie Johnson

2019 Summer top 10
1. Denny Hamlin
2. Matt DiBenedetto
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Kyle Busch
5. Chase Elliott
6. Kyle Larson
7. Clint Bowyer
8. Daniel Suarez
9. Kurt Busch
10. Ryan Blaney

2018 Spring top 10
1. Kyle Busch
2. Kyle Larson
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
5. Alex Bowman
6. Aric Almirola
7. Kevin Harvick
8. Clint Bowyer
9. Joey Logano
10. Ryan Newman

2018 Summer (Night Race) top 10
1. Kurt Busch
2. Kyle Larson
3. Chase Elliott
4. Joey Logano
5. Erik Jones
6. Clint Bowyer
7. Ryan Blaney
8. Alex Bowman
9. Jimmie Johnson
10. Kevin Harvick

Kyle Busch ($14,000/12,500) It doesn’t get any more dominant than Kyle Busch at Bristol. Busch has won 3 of the last 5 races at the track, including each of the past two spring races. Busch has 8 wins in his career at Bristol, he is first in driver rating, and first in laps led. Bristol is coming at the right time for Kyle Busch, after a dismal two races at Charlotte, the 18 team will have a get-right night at Bristol, I like this team to lead dozens of laps and finish in the top 5 from the 7th place starting position.

Chase Elliott ($13,000/11,300) I think you need to draft 3 drivers who can lead 100+ laps and win the race. Chase Elliott is firmly in that conversation this weekend. Elliott has been on fire as of late, he easily could have won the last three races and rolls into Bristol with momentum on his side. Starting 6th might scare away some ownership, but I like pairing Chase Elliott with Kyle Busch at the top of the roster.

Denny Hamlin ($12,000/11,600) It would be foolish to ignore last year’s winner of the Bristol night race. Denny Hamlin has had moderate success at Bristol in his career with 2 wins, 9 top 5s and 14 top 10 finishes (28 races). Hamlin has led laps in 3 of the last 4 races at Bristol and is 7th in driver rating and 9th in average running position. Hamlin finished 5th in the Spring race last year and starts 10th on Sunday.

Matt Kenseth ($8,000/8,100) Matt Kenseth is simply priced too cheap for this race track. Bristol has been one of Kenseth’s best tracks in his career with 4 wins, 15 top 5s and 22 top 10s in 36 starts. Kenseth has the second highest driver rating and is 3rd in average running position. Kenseth had a miserable night at Charlotte on Thursday, all of which was completely out of his control. I like this team to rebound for a top 12, maybe even a top 10 finish at Bristol which makes it a great play at his salary. Kenseth starts 14th.

Ryan Blaney ($10,300/8,600) Ryan Blaney has three straight finishes at Bristol inside the top 10, including a 4th place finish in the spring race last year. Blaney is 10th in driver rating and 4th in average running position at Bristol. He has ran well at the track overall, but had 3 finishes of 30th or worse in 4 races from 2016-2018. Blaney has some momentum on his side, and a 4th place starting position will keep ownership down, but I like him on Draft Kings where he is priced way too cheap for a driver that could lead laps and finish in the top 5.

Matt DiBenedetto ($8,300/7,100) Matt DiBenedetto is going to be the emotional pick for Bristol this weekend, but that doesn’t mean it’s a bad play. DiBenedetto finished runner up to Denny Hamlin in the night race last year with inferior equipment compared to what he is racing with now at the Wood Brothers. His career stats at Bristol are less than impressive because of the teams he raced with early in his career, but he has run over 99% of the laps in his 10 starts (4988 of 5011). I think DiBenedetto is a solid play, but it’s risky with his 9th place starting position. I wouldn’t expect another runner up finish, but something in the top 15 is realistic.

Ty Dillon ($5,500/6,100) Ty Dillon is my favorite value play this weekend and I love the fact that some better known guys are starting behind him and will pick up most of the ownership. I simply trust Ty Dillon more than I trust Christopher Bell, Bubba Wallace, or Daniel Suarez. In 7 career races at Bristol, Ty Dillon has finished worst than his starting position once. In his last 3 races at Bristol he’s finished 21st, 15th, and 20th. Starting 29th, I like Ty to gain + 8-10 differential and compete for a top 20 finish.

Corey LaJoie ($3,000/5,700) LaJoie is the only other value driver that I would play on Sunday. He’s just too cheap on Fan Duel. LaJoie is starting 32nd and is coming off 3 straight top 25 finishes. I don’t think Corey will turn many heads, but I think he is a solid contender for a finish in the mid-to-low 20s on Sunday.

My core lineup includes Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott, and Corey LaJoie. Using LaJoie gives you a lot of really good options for the other positions on Fan Duel. Good luck to all our subscribers this weekend!

NASCAR – The Setup – 052720

The Setup – Alsco Uniforms 500
By Tyler Miller

The NASCAR Cup Series will race 500 kilometers at Charlotte Motor Speedway on Wednesday night. This is the second race at the track this week. Chase Elliott handed the win to Brad Keselowski late Sunday night by choosing to pit during the final caution of the race. There were on-track issues for Denny Hamlin and Clint Bowyer as well as a post-race penalty for Jimmie Johnson which impact starting position for Wednesday. Again, there is no practice or qualifying so drivers will line up based on where they finished the Coca-Cola 600 on Sunday night. The top 20 finishers will invert to start on Wednesday (Brad Keselowski will start 20th) and the drivers who finished 21st-40th will start in the position they finished. Notably, Matt Kenseth starts 26th, Denny Hamlin starts 29th, Clint Bowyer starts 39th and Jimmie Johnson starts 40th. Let’s get started

Race Distance: 208 laps (312 miles) Stage 1 ends on lap 55, Stage 2 ends on lap 115.
Lineup Lock 8:00 pm eastern Wednesday

Sunday’s Winner: Brad Keselowski (Started 9th)
Sunday’s Pole Sitter: Kurt Busch (Finished 7th)
2019 Winner Martin Truex Jr. (Started 14th)
2019 Pole Sitter William Byron (Finished 9th)
Past Winners: (Starting Position)
2018: Kyle Busch (1st)
2017 Spring: Austin Dillon (22nd)
2017 Fall: Martin Truex Jr. (17th)
2016 Spring: Martin Truex Jr. 1st)
2016 Fall: Jimmie Johnson (11th)
2015 Spring: Carl Edwards (3rd)
2015 Fall: Joey Logano (3rd)

* Prior to 2017 the Cup Series raced on the oval at Charlotte twice a year. Starting in 2018 the fall date was moved to the ROVAL. Spring races were 600 miles, fall races were 500 miles.

Coca-Cola 600 Recap
What went right?

Victory Lane identified the drivers who finished 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, and 8th in Fan Duel Scoring. Kevin Harvick rallied from a mediocre race to finish 6th on the final restart (5th after Johnson’s penalty), Truex led 87 laps and finished 7th, Johnson was credited with a 2nd place finish (which Fan Duel and Draft Kings both paid out for before the 48 failed post-race tech), Kyle Busch performed well but was not dominant, and Aric Almirola was highly owned and performed as expected from a 40th place starting position.

What went wrong?
Other than the Fan Duel scoring issue at the end of the race and both sites paying out before cars cleared post-race tech (I’m curious if that will happen again), I missed on two drivers: Matt Kenseth and Alex Bowman. Kenseth suffered some damage throughout the race and finished in the mid-20s; Bowman had a terrible final restart and faded to a 19th place finish. Luckily I did not play either of them on Fan Duel, and I’m not counting Suarez as a miss because he performed as I expected.

My Fan Duel lineup ended up being Almirola, Suarez, Harvick, Truex, and Johnson which scored 381.7 and cashed in every contest I entered.
Draft Kings was not as successful. I played Harvick, Truex, Kenseth, Almirola, Newman, and Suarez and scored 220.25. That score put me at a loss, though I did cash in some small 3 and 5 player contests.

What Vegas thinks (Opening lines via Penn National Gaming)
Truex is the favorite at 5-1, big jumps by Elliott and Bowman after their performance on Sunday. Brad Keselowski actually falls from 8-1 Sunday to 9-1 Wednesday after winning the race Sunday night. Ryan Blaney and Erik Jones also find themselves on the list after being left off (outside 20-1 odds) for Sunday’s race.

Martin Truex Jr. 5-1
Chase Elliott 11-2
Kyle Busch 7-1
Alex Bowman 15-2
Brad Keselowski 9-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
Jimmie Johnson 11-1
Joey Logano 11-1
Denny Hamlin 13-1
Ryan Blaney 16-1
William Byron 20-1
Erik Jones 20-1

Driver Ratings Charlotte:
1. Jimmie Johnson 109.0
2. Kyle Busch 107.2
3. Denny Hamlin 94.8
4. Tyler Reddick 94.4
5. Matt Kenseth 93.7
6. Chase Elliott 93.0
7. Martin Truex Jr. 92.5
8. Kevin Harvick 89.9
9. Joey Logano 89.1
10. Kurt Busch 88.0
11. Brad Keselowski 87.9
12. Ryan Blaney 83.1
13. William Byron 80.7
14. Austin Dillon 80.2
15. Christopher Bell 78.5

Average Running Position:
1. Jimmie Johnson 8.156
2. Kyle Busch 9.538
3. Tyler Reddick 9.575
4. Denny Hamlin 11.863
5. Martin Truex Jr. 12.835
6. Joey Logano 13.640
7. Matt Kenseth 13.777
8. Chase Elliott 13.807
9. Brad Keselowski 14.012
10. Kurt Busch 14.514
11. Kevin Harvick 14.930
12. Ryan Blaney 15.276
13. Christopher Bell 15.309
14. Austin Dillon 15.742
15. William Byron 15.929

Laps Led
1. Kyle Busch 1449 (13.7% of all laps run)
2. Jimmie Johnson 1100 (10.4)
3. Martin Truex Jr. 1059 (10.3)
4. Kurt Busch 626 (5.9)
5. Kevin Harvick 540 (5.1)
6. Matt Kenseth 537 (5.3)
7. Denny Hamlin 377 (3.7)
8. Brad Keselowski 316 (4.3)
9. Joey Logano 289 (3.8)
10. Chase Elliott 196 (6.4)
11. Alex Bowman 172 (5.7)
12. Ryan Newman 141 (1.3)
13. Clint Bowyer 119 (1.2)

Sunday’s Top 10

1. Brad Keselowski
2. Chase Elliott
3. Ryan Blaney
4. Kyle Busch
5. Kevin Harvick
6. Martin Truex Jr.
7. Kurt Busch
8. Tyler Reddick
9. Christopher Bell
10. Chris Buescher

2019 Top 10
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Joey Logano
3. Kyle Busch
4. Chase Elliott
5. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
6. Chris Buescher
7. Alex Bowman
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. William Byron
10. Kevin Harvick

2018 Top 10
1. Kyle Busch
2. Martin Truex Jr.
3. Denny Hamlin
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Jimmie Johnson
6. Jamie McMurray
7. Kyle Larson
8. Kurt Busch
9. Alex Bowman
10. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

2017 Fall Top 10
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Chase Elliott
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Denny Hamlin
5. Jamie McMurray
6. Daniel Suarez
7. Jimmie Johnson
8. Ryan Blaney
9. Kasey Kahne
10. Kyle Larson

2017 Spring Top 10
1. Austin Dillon
2. Kyle Busch
3. Martin Truex Jr.
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Kurt Busch
7. Erik Jones
8. Kevin Harvick
9. Ryan Newman
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Fan Duel and Draft Kings took two very different approaches to pricing for Wednesday night’s race. Fan Duel priced drivers as they normally do, Draft Kings priced drivers based on starting position and the potential for differential points.

Jimmie Johnson ($11,200/12,300) Jimmie Johnson is the highest priced driver on Draft Kings, but no matter his price, he needs to be owned on both sites. Jimmie Johnson has a legitimate shot at a top 5 finish and +35 differential.

Denny Hamlin ($12,000/11,200) I don’t expect Denny Hamlin to have issues with tungsten weights falling off of his car Wednesday night. I think he is a strong play from the 29th place starting position, but the combination of his price and the fact that other strong teams are starting near the back makes him tough to roster. Hamlin will be without his crew chief, car chief, and lead race engineer for the next four races as a result of the team’s missteps on Sunday.

Clint Bowyer ($9,000/11,800) I really like Clint Bowyer on Fan Duel Wednesday night. Starting 39th, he is priced up on Draft Kings, but if he can avoid a fluke mechanical failure, he could be looking at +25 differential and a top 15 finish.

Chase Elliott ($13,000/9,700) Chase Elliott is my favorite to win this race. Starting 19th, I like Elliott to get to the front in stage 1 and compete for the lead and the win in the second half of the race. This is a shorter race so leading laps and winning may be less important than differential, but I like Elliott to finish top 3 which would give him at least +16 differential.

Ryan Blaney ($10,400/7,900) Ryan Blaney is starting this race 18th after a strong finish at Charlotte on Sunday. Blaney seemed to come out of nowhere with his strong run in the Coca-Cola 600 and overall team Penske looked good with Keselowski winning and leading 21 laps, Blaney finishing 3rd, and Logano finishing 13th and leading 26 laps. I think Team Penske will be low owned on Wednesday night, and I like Blaney’s chances of another top 5 finish.

Matt Kenseth ($7,600/8,100) Kenseth is in a good spot here and his price is way too low on both sites. Kenseth had a few issues on Sunday night and finished the race 26th which is where he will start on Wednesday. I would expect Kenseth to have a clean race and finish in the top 10 which makes him an excellent play at his price.

Ryan Newman ($7,000/7,500) Everything I said about Kenseth I would repeat for Ryan Newman. I think Newman’s ceiling is lower than Kenseth’s but his lower price makes him a strong play from the 27th place starting position.

Bubba Wallace ($5,000/8,300) I will say right up front that I do not trust Bubba Wallace. He is not typically the type of driver that I want in my DFS lineups, especially when I am building a single entry lineup. However, this is the only scenario where I would see using him, low price (on Fan Duel), short race, and starting 38th. The 43 car had a parts failure on Sunday, if he can stay out of trouble I think a top 20 finish is within the realm of possibility. I like it on Fan Duel because of the near minimum price.

The lineup builds are going to be much different between Fan Duel and Draft Kings but I am going to stick with a core of Johnson, Kenseth, and Elliott on both sites. Good luck to all our subscribers!

2020 Dynasty Assets (all 32 teams)

2020 Dynasty Assets! (All 32 Teams)
5/26/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

It’s been an odd off-season. I’m sure we can all agree on that. What hasn’t changed is the love and excitement for mock drafting and dynasty startups! Constant rankings, projections and polls have lit up social media.

My idea here isn’t new but I do plan on making it fresh! With the official start of summer dead ahead how about we talk about a few things that will last well into the summer and fall! Dynasty assets!

Mentioning a player from each NFL franchise that I consider the best fantasy asset is the plan!

Full disclosure, I got in bed last night and could not stop thinking about this article and the direction I wanted to take it. I thought two things. Do I want this to be about long term dynasty value or a player from each team that is the biggest long term fantasy asset? Might not sound too different to you but my idea is to touch on both points with each NFL team discussed.

For example, when you scroll down and get to the Baltimore Ravens the obvious choice is Lamar Jackson right? Yes and no. He is far and away the best fantasy asset to own in BAL but there is absolutely no value there due to his ADP and trade value. Does that make sense? Hopefully! Let’s have some fun!

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray

As far as immediate dividends it’s Kenyan Drake here right? When you look further its all about Kyler Murray as the Cardinals QB1. Kyler holds the biggest piece of dynasty importance in Arizona. Be careful here though due to his ADP. Murray not be the best value here in 2020 due to his high price tag but it will pay off long term!

ATLANTA FALCONS

Atlanta Falcons TE Hayden Hurst

We all know who the big dogs are in Atlanta, Matt Ryan and Julio Jones. In terms of high dynasty value that ship has sailed. Make no mistake! Ryan and Jones still hold a fantastic amount of fantasy value, dynasty value, not so much. I’m looking at Calvin Ridley and Hayden Hurst here. If you’re on social media or paying attention to all fantasy chatter then you’d know about the Ridley buzz. In turn, Hayden Hurst is the dynasty asset to own in ATL. He was stuck behind BAL TE Mark Andrews and the Falcons made a play for him. Look for Hurst to have a top-10 season at tight end in 2020!

BALTIMORE RAVENS

Baltimore Ravens rookie RB J.K. Dobbins

Where do I begin? You may be shocked at this one but there isn’t a cheap option any where on this team! Lamar Jackson’s price is on the moon. Ingram is on the wrong side of 30. While the Hollywood Brown hype train is chugging too fast for my liking. So where does that leave us? Rookie RB J.K. Dobbins! Yes! I’m not going to repeat or go over all the Dobbins love, we all know what he’s about and who he should become in Baltimore.

BUFFALO BILLS

Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs photo courtesy of the Buffalo Bills

The Bills are trending up but that’s a topic for another article. In terms of fantasy football they have several juicy pieces! After going through the Bills roster with a fine toothed comb I’m stuck between two guys! Rookie RB Zach Moss and rookie WR Gabriel Davis. I’ve been shocked since the draft how quick people are dismissing Devin Singletary. Regardless of what side of the fence you’re on pay attention to Gabriel Davis. I’ve never been into Cole Beasley and John Brown. Stefon Diggs is the WR1 in Buffalo now without question. Diggs is the biggest fantasy asset in Buffalo.

CAROLINA PANTHERS

Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffery

This portion of the article writes itself. Christian McCaffery. Christian McCaffery. Christian McCaffery. The best fantasy running back on earth at the moment. His value is absolutely astronomical right now but so what? If you own him thank your lucky stars. If you’re trying to acquire him better re-mortgage your house. He is the best fantasy asset to own in Carolina and maybe the entire NFL.

CHICAGO BEARS

Chicago Bears WR Anthony Miller

Not many people are talking about the direction of the Bears offense this off-season. As a fellow NFC fan I play close attention to the Chicago Bears. In terms of a fantasy asset I was pulled in a few different directions. First being David Montgomery. He has picked up some fantasy value so far this off season but it didn’t feel right. Then I looked at the WR’s. Anthony Miller or Allen Robinson? After dissecting the situation I felt great saying Anthony Miller is the asset to own in Chicago. With an ADP in the 130s and a WR ranking around 60 Miller carries a ton of good value that could return great value in 2020!

CINCINNATI BENGALS

Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow

It’s an exciting time to be a Cincinnati Bengals fan! Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, AJ Green, Tee Higgins, John Ross and Tyler Boyd are all looking to make their mark in 2020! That’s all fine and dandy but which guy is the biggest asset? Everyone of these guys has a claim to that throne. It’s pretty obvious here, Joe Burrow. The #1 overall pick was drafted for reason and will no doubt serve a purpose. In terms of value, much like CMC and/or Lamar Jackson there is little to no value. These men command such high price tags that we need to look at them as long term investments. Much like a stock or our 401K’s. Joe Burrow is currently at the top of the rookie asset class and should drafted more of an investment rather than for value.

CLEVELAND BROWNS

Cleveland Browns WR Jarvis Landry

What I find most exciting about this team is all the moving parts of the offensive talent. Bakers value isn’t very high at the moment, not like it was this time last season, so the value isn’t there. When it comes to their RB’s, Chubb is being drafted as a top-10 back leaving little wiggle room for value. Hunt is the back-up in CLE and we currently don’t know how he will used. So what are we left with? The Browns wide receivers! Odell Beckham Jr. is still a polarizing player. You either love him or hate him, there is no in-between. So I find myself with Jarvis Landry. Jarvis is both the biggest asset and value on this team. His ADP is currently way off in left field given his talent and production.

DALLAS COWBOYS

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliot

America’s Team! “We Dem Boyz!” Which boy is the biggest fantasy asset though? After the 2020 NFL Draft the Cowboys find themselves just overflowing with offensive talent yet a QB, Dak Prescott, seemingly asking for the world in a new contract. This one is simple, Ezekiel Elliott is the biggest and best fantasy asset in Dallas. Little to no value being a top-5 RB but again with such stud talent and production who needs value?

DENVER BRONCOS

Denver Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy

Another young up-and-coming team! If you’re reading this then I’m quite sure you know about all the Drew Lock hype thus leaving him off my list in both categories. I’m skipping past the RB’s, Gordon/Lindsay, and going right to the young newly drafted wide receiver! Jerry Juedy is the run-away consensus for biggest fantasy asset in DEN but he’s on the short list of players who holds great value too! By the skin of his teeth too! His ADP is around 40ish and being drafted as a WR20ish. So in turn he’s still on value side of fantasy drafts. Keep a watch on his ADP cause it could shift on dime. His value could plummet but take solace in the fact his fantasy importance will remain strong!

DETROIT LIONS

Detroit Lions RB D’Andre Swift

If you haven’t noticed by now, I’ve been thinking out loud and just writing it all out for the sake of this article. When it comes to dynasty the age of a player is important just don’t let it be a problem! Don’t turn into Age Obsessed Dynasty Guy! I’m going to keep it simple here and stick with the offensive rookies the Lions drafted in April. I’ve heard next to nothing about rookie WR Quintez Cephus! While on the other hand D’Andre Swift has received all the love and praise for his most recent recorded workout video. It’s nothing ground breaking or a hot take but Swift is the biggest dynasty asset in Detroit.

GREEN BAY PACKERS

Green Bay Packers WR Alan Lazard

If you haven’t heard the Packers didn’t draft a single wide receiver in the 2020 draft. So giving you a WR as their biggest fantasy asset is ripe for the picking! Which one though? It’s not Davante Adams although he is hands down their best WR. Really quick while I have you here do me a favor and look into acquiring him at a discount. I’ve seen a ton of fantasy slander for Adams on social media lately. Doesn’t hurt to check. In terms of a dynasty asset and/or value I firmly believe Allen Lazard. When others zig I like to zag. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been picking up some recent buzz so that puts Lazard in a sweet spot as the Packers best fantasy value/asset!

HOUSTON TEXANS

Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson

With the departure of DeAndre Hopkins and addition of Brandin Cooks it threw a wrench into what I was trying to do with fantasy value in Houston. I did my best to explain the difference between value and being an asset in the opening so I have no issue telling you Deshaun Watson is the biggest fantasy asset in Houston. Everyone knows how talented Watson is and what he can do on the field so the value isn’t there but your investment in Watson as your QB1 will be well worth it!

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Indianapolis Colts WR Parris Campbell

Is anybody else sick of hearing all about Parris Campbell? Me too but where there’s smoke there’s fire. Meaning, all this hype surrounding Parris is well founded. Given the fact Phil Rivers is now the Colts QB expect all WR’s in IND to see a rise in targets! Campbell’s value is holding firm and he’s teetering on the edge of biggest asset along with Jonathon Taylor. Only issue with JT is his high rookie price tag. Maybe this time next season Taylor will be the biggest asset given his 2020 season but lets cross that bridge when we come to it!

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Dede Westbrook

Let’s be honest, Jacksonville doesn’t have much going for them at the moment. They do however, have a collection of talented wide receivers! DJ Chark, Dede Westrook and rookie WR Laviska Shenault. In terms of a dynasty asset I want all the Westbrook shares. 2020 will be the last year of his rookie deal and that matters! Trust me!

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Kansas City Chiefs Rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Where do we start? The defending Super Bowl Champions boast one of the best overall teams in the NFL. Where does that leave us in terms of value and assets? This team is loaded with assets! Mahomes, Hill and Kelce. These three are tops at each position so the value is not there. All three are fantastic assets and will once again return value in 2020. The biggest asset in KC in 2020 is Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Not to be lazy but we all know about CEH. His ADP, his trade value and projections. I’m not looking to hammer home all the CEH details just know he’s one of the best assets and better long term fantasy investments you can make.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Las Vegas Raiders rookie WR Henry Ruggs III

This shouldn’t come as a shock but the biggest fantasy asset in Las Vegas is Henry Ruggs. Again, this choice was as simple as it gets and was done for me. You don’t draft a kid 12th overall if you’re not going to make him a star! That’s it! As simple as is gets!

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Los Angeles Chargers WR Keenan Allen

I’ve made no secret about my love for Keenan Allen. Hate it or love it Allen is stud PPR receiver. With the addition of Justin Herbert I’ve fallen deeper in love with Keenan Allen. Agree or disagree Allen is the both the biggest fantasy asset and holds the most value of any Charger. Fantasy owners are still skipping over Allen and not respecting his skill set. Is there a chance he falls out of the top-50 ADP? Absolutely! That’s not a knock on Keenan it’s a knock on your league and the people drafting in it! Don’t make this mistake. Make the investment! If it tanks I’ll refund your money and publicly apologize.

LOS ANGELES RAMS

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp

Cam Akers is the run-away choice here right Chris? Ha! Wrong! Not when Cam is being drafted as RB16! That ADP completely kills any value you hope to have with him. Again, I’ve mentioned the toxicity of social media and hyping rookies up too much blah blah blah so I’m not in the business of repeating myself. I am however in the business of giving you a dynasty asset from the LA Rams. It’s Cooper Kupp. Still shocking how Cooper gets no love. Goff should bounce back big time in 2020 and mark my words, Kupp will be a WR1 in 2020. He’s the biggest asset and has the most value in LA! As I told you earlier, a player that has both is a rarity!

MIAMI DOLPHINS

Miami Dolphins WR Davante Parker

I don’t know about you but I’m excited about the long term outlook in Miami. Aside from that lets take a quick look inside the fantasy outlook of the Dolphins. Right off the bat we have to look at Tua. He may be the biggest asset this time next year but lets cool our jets. I’m not big into Jordan Howard or Matt Bredia at the moment so that leaves us at WR. Preston Williams or DeVante Parker? Drum roll please, the biggest fantasy asset in MIA at the moment is Parker. He came on so strong last season yet no one is paying his any attention so far in 2020. The return on his investment should hit an all time high once Tua is their starting QB. In the meantime draft him or trade for him and set it and forget it!

MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins

The Vikings seemingly never hit a bottom. They keep in the real life division race all will producing fantastic fantasy players! Dalvin Cook is a top-10 RB and some say top-5. Which ever ranking you agree with he’s a fantasy stud RB meaning little to no value. The fantasy community knows what Adam Thielen is all about leaving little to no value. What a starting NFL QB with complete job security? Does that interest you? Good! As it should! Kirk Cousins is the biggest fantasy asset in Minnesota and it’s not close!

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

New England Patriots RB Damien Harris

What does life after Tom Brady look like in New England? I picture it as a war torn type nuclear bomb Will Smith movie. Completely barren and full of panic. Regardless, it’s time to move on. So when looking into the Patriots fantasy prospects where do we look? I’m going to back Damien Harris here! Sony Michel had a sub-par season. Julian Edleman is 34 so hard pass. The only other option here to me is K’Neal Harry. I just don’t see it! Harry is another kid who you’re either all in on or not touching with a 10 foot pole. I’m the later. Expect Harris to get some major run in 2020. He’s absolutely dirt cheap and the payout for you and your team could be fantastic!

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

New Orleans Saints RB Latavius Murray

Alvin Kamara is their starting RB and is a top-10 pick. By now you know what I’m going say, there is little to no value here. Michael Thomas is a top-5 pick. Same exact thing, no value. My first thought is Latavius Murray! Do any of you remember what he did in two games last season when Alvin was out? Murray is a legit RB1 as a starting running back. You can never project injuries nor would you want to. Murray is a stud handcuff and is without a doubt the biggest fantast asset on the Saints. His ADP is outside the top-200 which is nuts! Buy! Buy! Buy!

NEW YORK GIANTS

New York Giants QB Daniel Jones

This was more difficult than I thought! Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram and Darius Slayton. It’s like a carnival game, pick one any one! To be clear I’m not making a joke of the Giants just the situation I find myself in. At this point in the article I shouldn’t have to say it but I will anyway, Saquon is a stud RB so he’s off the table. Although he is the teams best asset he doesn’t hold the best value. Sterling Shepard does. Sterling is always tossed aside in fantasy circles. Why is that? The up and down of his injuries resulting in the loss of playing time? I get it just be mindful of this Giants team in 2020. We’re all excited about Danny Dimes and praying he takes a huge bump this coming season.

NEW YORK JETS

New York Jets QB Sam Darnold

I’m a big Sam Darnold guy. Unpopular opinion, he’s the biggest fantasy asset in the Jets organization. I’ve seen some chatter about Jamison Crowder and it’s well founded! He was my fall back option although I never once doubted Sam. Darnold is entering his second season in the NFL and he has some major pieces around him. What makes this so good is the fact no one really cares about drafting Sam. He’s a fall back option, a guy you draft late when you wait on a QB. Sam Darnold will skyrocket to fantasy stardom in 2020. I truly believe the New York Jets have found their future star QB!

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts

There is a lot to go through here. Just not sure I want to. The Miles Sanders hype has reached The Beatles type mania. My gosh! What sneaky value we were looking to find in 2020 is long gone and it’s not coming back. What about their thin WR core? DeSean Jackson, Zach Ertz and Isaiah Coulter are the guys. In terms of value DeSean Jackson has a ton of it. Zach Ertz is a top-tier tight end so he’s out. Everybody is going wild for Jalen Reagor so at the moment his value is too high to provide anything but hype. This may come from left field but I love the value Jalen Hurts can bring your team. Lets be honest, how many of us are lying in wait for Carson Wentz to go down? In the meantime PHI has said they plan to work in Hurts to their offense. Good fantasy football players are thinking ahead. Sometimes 2-3 moves ahead. Imagine the massive explosion of value Hurts would command if he was thrust into the Eagles starting QB spot???

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Pittsburgh Steelers RB James Connor

I’ve never been one to push my thoughts and ideals on others. I find we all get along better when we’re able to make our own decisions. Win or lose we can live with our decisions since they were our own! In saying that, James Connor is the biggest asset on the Steelers. I’ve made no secret for my love and passion about James Connor as a football player and a human being. His drive and work ethic will always help him succeed. As cliché as it sounds when Ben Roethlisberger is the starting QB the starting RB in PIT has done well. Connor is both the biggest asset and holds the most fantasy value of any Steeler. He’s another guy being tossed aside for a younger and hungrier rookie RB. It’s a mistake.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert

How do you feel about Raheem Mostert? Hopefully great cause he’s San Francisco’s best fantasy asset. I juggled Raheem and Jalen Hurts here and came up with two conclusions. Hurts is the best value in San Francisco while Mostert is best asset. Simple right? Not being smart here. That’s it!

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson

As a fantasy sports writer and fantasy football player I’m full blown in love with D.K. Metcalf. As we should all be but this is still Russell Wilson’s team. Russ is the biggest fantasy asset on the Seahawks. I don’t care about value here. Wilson is a stone cold stud and a top-10 fantasy QB. Don’t over think it.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones II

I hate to be repetitive in my writing! It’s not fair to you as the reader and it’s just not smart to do. Unless it’s something you’re extremely passionate about. In this case, it’s just not smart to pass up Ronald Jones for Ke’Shawn Vaughn. After that Tampa Bay is loaded with offensive talent. So where do we go? Tom Brady, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard headline this TB offense. Yet Ronald Jones is still the biggest fantasy asset! That alone is major feat on roster with this much talent.

TENNESSEE TITANS

Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill

Much like Kirk Cousins in Minnesota Ryan Tannehill in Tennessee has no competition as the starting QB. He also boasts the 2019 rushing champion in Derrick Henry at RB. The importance and pressure a stud running back takes off the QB is immeasurable. There are a lot of question marks all over the board heading into the 2020 season. Ryan Tannehill repeating what he did in 2019 is one of them. It doesn’t bother me, not when Taylor Lewan is the starting offensive tackle, Henry is the starting RB and Corey Davis is your starting WR. Ryan Tannehill is both the biggest asset in Tennessee and it’s biggest value piece.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Washington Redskins QB Dwayne Haskins Jr.

I have a secret to tell all of you. As a little boy in Detroit the Redskins were my second favorite team. I only say that as a diversion due to the fact I have no idea where to start with this team and it’s fantasy prospects. I’m not a fan of Dwanye Haskins. Derrius Guice can’t stay healthy to save his soul. So right off the bat two guys I think we need to see prove something before we’re all in on them right? So as of right now I’ve taken you through 31 professional football teams and I’ve given you an asset and a lot of value. Yet here we are with Washington and I have nothing to give you. Is that my fault for not doing my job or the Redskins organization for not doing theirs?

Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Thanks again! Talk soon!

I STILL Hate Fantasy Football Players!

I Hate Fantasy Football Players pt. 2
5/24/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Lets be honest for a moment. How many of the “Guys” from I Hate Fantasy Football Players did you relate to? Not saying you personally just league mates or close personal friends? Judging by the comments I’d say a lot of you!

As most of us are home this holiday weekend it’s always great to sit back, relax and recharge. With the start of summer upon us we all shift to a different attitude. A positive outlook if I may say. Most days the sun is out and up for twelve hours. The weather is absolutely perfect. We’re able to spend more time outside doing whatever it is that we enjoy. Optimism at its finest!

Go rest and relax this weekend!

Right now is just a good time to clear your head and reset your brain. Out with the old and in with the new kind of thing. Almost like a purge! Clear out all those nasty thoughts! Write them down then burn the paper. Scream into your pillow! Go to confession at church! Or write a I Hate Fantasy Football Players Pt.2!

So as we continue on today be mindful of a few things. This article is my winter purge. Hopefully I’m given amnesty and/or asylum by you the reader. This article is nothing personal! I’m not attacking anyone personally! Just a fun way to spin my thoughts and ideas!

If you missed the original, I Hate Fantasy Football Players check it out here! https://www.dfscheatsheet.com/i-hate-fantasy-football-players/nfl/05/

1. In Too Many Leagues Guy.

This one hits close to home. I feel as if this is a phase for all of us. In the current day and age of social media it’s easy to get caught up in always saying yes. “Yes I will join another dynasty start up!” Who cares if it’s #756 of the off-season! I get it! We don’t want to be rude when our friend asks or our favorite follow on Twitter asks. Who am to judge? Telling you right now you’ll grow out of it! If not, that’s fine too. Only reason I mention In Too Many Leagues Guy is because of the self sabotage it creates. Trouble keeping up with trade offers, forgetting to put claims in and even forgetting to set your weekly roster! Why put that kind of stress and anxiety on yourself?

2. Expert Opinion Guy. (AKA: end all be all guy)

If I’ve said it once I’ve said it a million times, social media is toxic! It’s actually fantastic and quiet helpful too. All depends on what you’re looking for! By a show of hands, how many of you have gotten into a battle and/or tussle with someone on social media? Wow! That many of you? I’d be lying if I said I didn’t see that coming. Why? Let me guess! Was over a stat or ranking of player. No one wants to admit their wrong, or too high or even too low. This guy is among the worst person you can encounter on social media. I picture Steve Irwin (crocodile hunter guy) shouting, “Oh crickey mate!” It’s a lose/lose situation! There is absolutely no point arguing or trying to prove your own valid point! Even with facts, photos or back from others Expert Opinion Guy doesn’t care! He keeps going and going and going! Don’t let Expert Opinion Guy get to you! Keep it moving and if possible sever all contact! You’ll be better off for it!

3. Always Takes and Never Gives Guy.

Another slime ball snake, this guy is truly a miserable misguided human being. Have any of you heard the old saying, “you can only keep what you have by giving it away!”? I’ve learned over the years were not all the same. As human beings we are all different and unique. Yet a large group of us share some similarities. Take for example the fantasy sports community. Or the fantasy sports writers community. It’s a large, fun and supportive environment. Quite selfless if you ask me. Yet every once in a while you’ll run into the, “hey I need a favor!” guy. We’ve all come across a person like this in our lives. Whether its at work, school or our social life. Gets what he needs an disappears! Now translate that to your fantasy league! It can be one of a million things! Push that trade through, I’ll owe you one. Lets swap draft picks, I’ll owe you one! Or the infamous, “borrow me a few bucks for the league dues, I’ll owe ya one!” Just an absolutely greasy rat. When you call on the favor to be re-paid it’s always, “uhhh I don’t remember that?”

4. Late Paying League Dues Guy.

Almost a seamless transition from greasy rat guy to Late League Paying Dues Guy! What do you find worse? A league mate skipping out on dues or the commissioner ripping people off? Regardless of your answer, everything get tricky when dealing with money. Just like a relationship after you’ve had sex. I’m in no way qualified nor do I want to get into sex and relationships. Trust me, not good for anyone involved. Moving on, when it comes to cash payouts and fantasy football there are a select few people who lose their minds! Cheaters, manipulators and owners willing to cross lines all for a few bucks. We’ve all seen it and unfortunately most have been a part of something like this. The only positive here is the fact that if you fool me once you’re out of the league. These kind of deadbeats seem to weed themselves out and bounce from league to league like some kind of boneless loser. Good riddance!

5. Trade Veto Guy.

Everyone one of these “Guys” really pisses me off but there is a special place on our shit list for trade veto guy. Without fail, trade veto guy acts out of selfishness and/or fear. I’ve long been of the belief that who am I to veto and/or judge how another owner manages his/her team? Yet every flipping year we run into this coward! “Hey bro I can’t let that trade go though! It hurts the long term prospects of the league mannnnn!” Ha! Uh, no! It hurts your ego and this seasons long term prospects of your team winning! Maybe if you built better relationships with other team owners or took the head out of your own ass you’d get to work and do a better job of building your own roster! Instead you’re too busy being worried about what every one else is doing! Shut your mouth, take it like a man and let us have fun and trade! If you’re not trading you’re not trying! Whew! That felt good to get out!

6. Constant Contact Guy

Every league has one! Let me explain! It can be two fold. Waiver wire constant contact guy. Constant contact trade guy. Two separate guys or in a rarest of cases the same guy! Meaning, after every move you make to better your team this guy always has something to say. I mean EVERYTHING you do! Every add, every drop, every offer, every trade and every single mother flipping time you update your, “OTB (on the block)”! It gets ridiculous but if you’re easy going enough it can be fun! “Hey man, I see you traded away Calvin Ridley for Brandin Cooks but why?” Or the lovely, “Why’d you cut that guy?” message. Listen, I’m always thankful and happy for good active owners but I’m never in any mood to hold your hand and walk your through every single move I make and why! To be honest with all of you, sometimes I don’t know why I add and drop who I do. Other times I’m thinking 3-4 steps ahead! It happens how it’s supposed to and I’m rarely willing to give the entire league a thesis project on my waiver wire habits! Leave it alone! Leave me alone!

7. Age Obsessed Dynasty Guy.

What’s the real issue here? A team owner freaking out and basing all research on age and years played in the pros right? It’s extremely frustrating talking to or trying to trade with this guy. I came across a post on social media today in regards to an age obsessed dynasty guy drafting some of these rookie WR’s (Mims and Higgins) over DET WR Kenny Golladay. I’m going to refrain from giving my opinion on this one. Just know I find it absolutely ridiculous! AOD (Age Obsessed Dynasty) Guy can also double as EO (Expert Opinion) Guy. Two peas in a pod. Two people I want nothing to do with!

Lucky number 7! Thank you for reading along! Thank you for following, all the comments and fantastic interactions! I look up to all of you! I respect all of you too! If we can all continue to lifting each other up and supporting one another then sky’s the limit!

Here are a few bonus guys I’d like to mention!

Collusions Guy(s).

This player is close to Always Takes Never Gives Guy. Although the definition of collusion is, secret cooperation between people in order to do something illegal and/or underhanded. It’s cheating! Lets call it what it is! Cheating! Taking the easy way and/or cheating in any aspect of life isn’t tolerated well. There is no place for cheating fools in fantasy football. It is quite common but it’s up to us to weed it out root and stem!

No Woman Allowed Guy.

Really? It’s 2020! This isn’t the woman’s right liberation of 1960. Men are allowed to use the woman restroom. Woman are able to use the men’s bathroom. What ever gender you “identify” as is it. In today’s day and age we’re all allowed to follow are dreams. This is the United States! Life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness people! Expand your horizons and educate yourself! I know quite a few ladies who would mop the floor with me as far as stats and fantasy sports are concerned!

Flexing Thursday Night Football Players Guy.

This idea caught my eye today on social media! I laughed out loud when I read everyone’s disgust for the TNF Guy! To each is own although historically for fantasy purposes our Thursday Night Football players don’t play well! I have no harsh feelings for TNF Guy one way or another. Just a fun thought to close out the article!

Thank You!

Again, thank you for reading! Fantasy football is supposed to be fun! I wish everyone a safe and happy Memorial Day! Thank you to all the first responders and male/female service woman that work tirelessly everyday to protect our way of life!

Any questions or comments? Leave one here!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

Thanks again! Talk soon!

NASCAR – Victory Lane – 052420

Victory Lane – Coca-Cola 600
By Tyler Miller – @rickybobby_jr

Kurt Busch won the pole for the Coca-Cola 600. This 400 lap race will take place tonight at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Weather could be a factor but overall people seem to be optimistic that the race will run this evening. This is the longest race of the season so choosing drivers who will finish the race and stay out of trouble is of the utmost importance. Let’s get started.

Kevin Harvick ($12,500/11,200) Starting 22nd, Kevin Harvick is a must play for tonight’s race. Harvick is 6th in driver rating and 10th in average running position at Charlotte, but some of those numbers are skewed from some lackluster performances over a decade ago. He has been much stronger in race at Charlotte since 2013 and has finished in the top 10 in every race this season.

Martin Truex Jr. ($13,700/10,600) Truex was the fastest qualifying Toyota and will start the race 8th. In recent history, Truex finished 3rd in the spring of 2017, won the fall race after leading 91 laps in 2017, finished 2nd in 2018, and won last year leading 116 laps. I like Truex to lead laps and contend for the win.

Kyle Busch ($14,000/11,500) Starting 11th, there is a lot to like about Kyle Busch in tonight’s race at Charlotte. Similar to Truex, Kyle Busch has a strong history at this race track with the potential to lead 100 laps or more at win the race. Busch has a high ceiling but it comes at a steep price. Kyle is the highest priced driver on both Fan Duel and Draft Kings. I’m apprehensive to pay the high price with the lack of dependable low end drivers in this race, but Kyle deserves lineup consideration.

Alex Bowman ($12,000/9,400) The combination of Bowman’s strength at intermediate tracks and his momentum coming off a 2nd place finish at Darlington last Sunday at the win earlier this year at Fontana has me high on Bowman for tonight’s race. I like Truex, Harvick, and Busch more than Bowman, and his increased price has me likely fading him in a single entry environment, but he is worth considering for tournament lineups this evening.

Jimmie Johnson ($10,700/9,200) Don’t overlook Jimmie Johnson because of his 2nd place starting spot and potential for some negative differential points. His price enables you to take on some risk in hopes of leading some laps early and finishing in the top 5. For those new to NASCAR, Johnson dominated this race track back in the mid 00’s. He won 8 races at Charlotte including 4 in a row and 5 out of 6 from 2003-2005. He’s finished in the top 10 in 3 of his last 5 races at Charlotte and I’m confident that he can compete for a top 5 finish at the end of the race tonight.

Aric Almirola ($8,300/7,500) Aric Almirola spun during qualifying and only suffered minimal damage from brushing the outside wall with his rear bumper. Due to the spin, Almirola starts this race 40th and will be an obvious chalk play in cash games. That being said, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Almirola finish in the top 20, maybe even the top 15 which would make him a solid play regardless of ownership.

Matt Kenseth ($8,000/7,700) Kenseth is starting 4th which will scare off some ownership, but I really like him in this race. The price is right for Kenseth and if he can stay out of trouble and finish in the top 10 this becomes a must play at his price point. In his last 10 races at Charlotte Motor Speedway, Kenseth finished in the top 10 in 6 races, 5 of those were in the top 5. Kenseth is top 5 in both driver rating (4th) and average running position (5th). I think he is a really good play in this spot tonight.

Daniel Suarez ($4,500/6,100) Suarez’s car was really bad in qualifying. It looked as though they might have missed the shock package and have some significant work to do. I have confidence in Suarez as a driver, but my confidence in his team is quite limited. With that being said, at his price, starting 37th there is limited risk involved in playing Suarez.The ceiling is pretty low, I would say a finish of 24th-29th is realistic.

My core lineup includes Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., and Aric Almirola. Good luck to all our subscribers and have a safe Memorial Day weekend.

Tyler Miller is a lifelong NASCAR enthusiast who spent five years as a producer on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (2008-2013). Upon meeting his wife in Washington DC, Tyler became an Army spouse and left his career to move all over the country and help raise their two children. Tyler holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Sport Communication and Electronic Media Production from Ashland University and a Masters’ of Science in Marketing: Sports Marketing and Media, from Liberty University.

NASCAR – The Setup – 052220

The Setup – Coca-Cola 600
By Tyler Miller

The NASCAR Cup Series will race 600 miles at Charlotte Motor Speedway on Sunday night. This will be the third race for the Cup Series in an 8 day span. While fans will not be in attendance, this race will feature a qualifying session Sunday afternoon. There will not be any practice, so information will be limited to qualifying position and prior track history. Let’s get started.

Race Distance: 400 laps (600 miles) Due to the extended race length, this race has 4 stages. Stage 1 ends on lap 100, Stage 2 ends on lap 200, and Stage 3 ends on lap 300.

Lineup Lock 6:00 pm eastern Sunday
2019 Winner Martin Truex Jr. (Started 14th)
2019 Pole Sitter William Byron (Finished 9th)

Past Winners: (Starting Position)
2018: Kyle Busch (1st)
2017 Spring: Austin Dillon (22nd)
2017 Fall: Martin Truex Jr. (17th)
2016 Spring: Martin Truex Jr. 1st)
2016 Fall: Jimmie Johnson (11th)
2015 Spring: Carl Edwards (3rd)
2015 Fall: Joey Logano (3rd)
* Prior to 2017 the Cup Series raced on the oval at Charlotte twice a year. Starting in 2018 the fall date was moved to the ROVAL. Spring races were 600 miles, fall races were 500 miles.

Darlington Recap
What went right?

Overall, there was a lot that went right on Wednesday night in Darlington. Kyle Busch was my top play overall and he scored the most fantasy points. Kevin Harvick was my 2nd top end pick and he scored the 4th most fantasy points (on Fan Duel) finishing 3rd. Chase Elliott was running second until he was wrecked by Kyle Busch at the end of the race, so that didn’t work out, but I think it was a good play because of the low ownership. My top mid-tier plays were Jimmie Johnson and William Byron, they were 3rd and 6th in Fan Duel scoring. My lineup ended up being Kyle Busch, Stenhouse, Johnson, Truex, and Byron which scored 301.5 and cashed in every contest I entered.

What went wrong?
The Draft Kings side of things went wrong for me on Wednesday night. Due to pricing differences I couldn’t afford to play Kyle Busch or Martin Truex Jr. with the mid-tier guys that I wanted and I just didn’t score enough points. I played Bowman, Johnson, Byron, Buescher, Stenhouse, and LaJoie. That lineup scored 240 on DK and I had mixed results, cashing in some contests but losing overall.

What to watch for in qualifying/Things to think about:
This is uncharted territory for the Cup Series to hold a qualifying session 4 hours before a race with no practice. My advice is to have a short list of guys you are looking at prior to qualifying. I would let qualifying nudge you in a direction rather than completely change course based on qualifying position. This is a 600 mile race, a lot can happen from start to finish. I would focus on guys with a strong history in the 600 and mid-tier/value plays that have a track record of completing all the laps and staying out of trouble.

Give some consideration to fitness and conditioning. Running a 600 mile race to cap 3 races in 8 days is no joke. I worry about the conditioning of guys like Brad Keselowski and Ryan Newman. Keselowski has noticeably gained some weight over the last several months and Ryan Newman has limited in-car conditioning this season after his wreck at Daytona. I don’t worry about Matt Kenseth though, Kenseth is in excellent shape and his history at this track puts him on my short list before the weekend starts.

What Vegas thinks (Opening lines via Penn National Gaming)

Kyle Busch is the favorite at 4-1 this weekend. Overall there are 6 drivers with odds inside of 10-1. For some reason, Alex Bowman dropped to 16-1. If I were to put some money down, Bowman would be my pick, he’s been outstanding on 1.5 mile tracks since the middle of last year.

Kyle Busch 4-1
Kevin Harvick 11-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Chase Elliott 9-1
Denny Hamlin 11-1
Alex Bowman 16-1
Jimmie Johnson 16-1
William Byron 20-1

Driver Ratings Charlotte:
1. Jimmie Johnson 108.9
2. Kyle Busch 107.4
3. Denny Hamlin 97.0
4. Matt Kenseth 94.8
5. Martin Truex Jr. 91.3
6. Kevin Harvick 90.0
7. Chase Elliott 89.5
8. Joey Logano 88.7
9. Kurt Busch 87.8
10. Brad Keselowski 87.2
11. Ryan Blaney 81.1
12. Austin Dillon 78.8
13. Daniel Suarez 78.8
14. Clint Bowyer 78.1
15. Ryan Newman 77.8

Average Running Position:
1. Jimmie Johnson 8.191
2. Kyle Busch 9.574
3. Denny Hamlin 10.981
4. Martin Truex Jr. 13.209
5. Matt Kenseth 13.472
6. Joey Logano 13.934
7. Brad Keselowski 14.166
8. Kurt Busch 14.601
9. Chase Elliott 14.798
10. Kevin Harvick 14.958
11. Ryan Blaney 15.843
12. Daniel Suarez 15.943
13. Austin Dillon 16.458
14. Ryan Newman 17.291
15. Aric Almirola 17.454

Laps Led
1. Kyle Busch 1449 (14.2% of all laps run)
2. Jimmie Johnson 1094 (10.8)
3. Martin Truex Jr. 972 (9.9)
4. Kurt Busch 572 (5.6)
5. Kevin Harvick 540 (5.3)
6. Matt Kenseth 537 (5.5)
7. Denny Hamlin 377 (3.9)
8. Brad Keselowski 295 (4.2)
9. Joey Logano 263 (3.6)
10. Chase Elliott 158 (5.9)
11. Ryan Newman 141 (1.4)
12. Clint Bowyer 119 (1.3)

2019 Top 10
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Joey Logano
3. Kyle Busch
4. Chase Elliott
5. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
6. Chris Buescher
7. Alex Bowman
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. William Byron
10. Kevin Harvick

2018 Top 10
1. Kyle Busch
2. Martin Truex Jr.
3. Denny Hamlin
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Jimmie Johnson
6. Jamie McMurray
7. Kyle Larson
8. Kurt Busch
9. Alex Bowman
10. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

2017 Fall Top 10
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Chase Elliott
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Denny Hamlin
5. Jamie McMurray
6. Daniel Suarez
7. Jimmie Johnson
8. Ryan Blaney
9. Kasey Kahne
10. Kyle Larson

2017 Spring Top 10
1. Austin Dillon
2. Kyle Busch
3. Martin Truex Jr.
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Kurt Busch
7. Erik Jones
8. Kevin Harvick
9. Ryan Newman
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Stay Tuned for Victory Lane following qualifying on Sunday.

Fantasy Hell 2! Return to Hell!

2020 Fantasy Hell 2! Return to Hell!
5/20/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Most good horror movies have a sequel. Some of them turn into a six movie franchise. Don’t expect a six article franchise here, four at the most! The first Fantasy Hell article was a huge hit. So why wouldn’t we revisit the idea?

In most horror movie sequels the killer is shot, stabbed, electrocuted, drowned and stabbed again yet they still rise. Almost having super human strength they still chase and stalk their victims. You’ll be happy to know I used the same power to research and give you this list!

Return to Hell is a little different that the original. Much like a successful horror movie who switches directors for the sequel! This list is comprised of guys who hold massive value or could breakthrough in 2020. There are just a few question marks and some light roadblocks in the way.

Let’s return to hell shall we?

Kirk Cousins QB – Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins

Hear me out on this one! For some odd reason Kirk has been all the talk on social media. Granted not by the most reputable people but still being added to a ton of polls and discussions. Insufferable people to say the least. People on his side are able to find all the amazing lovey dovey articles to post. While the people arguing Kirk isn’t top 10 ten are finding the fantasy article to further their argument. It’s absolute hell trying to debate and wade through the Kirk lovers and the Kirk haters. I get the real life vs. fantasy life debate but there seems to be no common ground. I’m going to walk away and abstain from any further debate.

Stefon Diggs WR – Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs photo courtesy of the Buffalo Bills

If you look at his 2019 season there was a lot of ups and downs. To be fair, it was a lot of mediocrity. Diggs was only targeted 10+ times once. He also didn’t catch anymore than 7 passes in a single game last season. His best game was in week 6 vs. Philadelphia. After week 6 Diggs only scored twice. He only had three games over 100 yards after week 6 as well. Everyone thinks the move to Buffalo will do him well. I’m hoping the same! In the meantime it’s hell figuring out his value for trade purposes.

Juju Smith-Schuster WR – Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers WR Juju Smith-Schuster

Another polarizing athlete in terms of owning or passing him up in drafts. I think we can all admit Juju had a horrible 2019 season. Which season is the actual Juju? 2018 or 2019? The difference between the two seasons is 874 yards and 4 touchdowns. I’m sure anybody reading this is aware of the same old arguments. Without Antonio Brown Smith-Schuster is a flop. Big Ben is healthy and a full go for the 2020 season meaning, Juju should play well. There are so many questions and outliers here. To me, owning Juju isn’t hell. It’s this off-season and what do we do with him that’s hell!

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown WR – Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens WR Marquise Brown

Once again, we’re in that gray area. What are you doing with Hollywood Brown? 2019 was his rookie season and by all means was quite successful! 584 yards and 7 touchdowns. As we look ahead to the 2020 season what’s in store for Brown? I’m sure you’ve all seen the video of him at home catching passes with his helmet on. Marquise has beefed up a bit and looks to take the next step in 2020. Will his progress be stunted by the addition of rookie RB J.K. Dobbins? Or rookie WR’s Devin Duvernay and James Proche? Again, the hell isn’t in owning him. The hell is dealing with the off-season and hierarchy of how the depth chart shakes out.

Tyler Higbee TE – Los Angeles Rams/Jared Goff QB – Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff

The excitement for Tyler Higbee has been growing the last few months. The hype train has also left the station and is picking up steam. What side are you on? Jared Goff seemingly took a step backwards in 2019. From a passing yardage standpoint the stayed the same. His passing TD’s dropped by 10 and he added to his INT total by 4. With addition off rookie RB Cam Akers and rookie WR Van Jefferson where does that leave Tyler?

Robby Anderson WR – Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers WR Robby Anderson

What are your expectations for Robby in 2020? Higher than normal? Lower? Or about the same? Robby cashed in after a strong finish to the 2019 season. In turn it has created this massive buzz concerning his 2020 prospects. In a way it’s created this confusion and hesitation to buy in 2020. Being stuck on the clock in your fantasy draft trying to decide between Robby and another starting RB/WR is the hell here!

Golden Tate WR – New York Giants

New York Giants WR Golden Tate III

This one isn’t that special. It’s a little lazy if you ask me. There has been little to no news in regards to Tate. Which isn’t always a bad thing! I have stated before that professional football players age like dog years. 1 year in the NFL is equal to 7 years in real life. Tate is 31 years old and will be 32 at the beginning of August. He’s been a very nice complimentary PPR piece (2014-2017) but times are changing. The production has come to a screeching halt. So what does that mean for the 2020 season? I’m going to pass on Tate and save myself the trip to fantasy hell.

Jimmy Garappolo QB – San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo

I mentioned Jimmy in the Real Life vs. Fantasy Life article. Fantasy football fans have long made fun of Jimmy for being just a game manager or relying on his defense to carry the team. Which I don’t think is a big deal. In 2019 he threw for 3,978 yards and 27 TD’s! That is actually fantastic for fantasy purposes. Only reason I mention Jimmy here is because that was his one and only stud starting QB season. Are we all in on him in 2020? Or we pumping the breaks and tempering expectations? That decision alone in a ticket to fantasy hell.

N’Keal Harry WR – New England Patriots

New England Patriots WR K’Neal Harry

Not being rude or a jerk but what is the fascination with Harry? He had 105 total receiving yards and 2 TD’s in 2019. Like all fantasy football discussions I’ve seen both sides of this argument. The entire Patriots team is in transition after the departure of Tom Brady. What happens next? Could it be a one way ticket to fantasy hell?

Gardner Minshew QB – Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew

Personally, I’m a fan of Gardner! He captured all of our hearts in 2019! Statistically speaking he had a great 2019 season! 3,271 passing yards with 21 passing touchdowns. Once again, I have to ask who thinks he can grow and improve from his 2019 season in 2020?

Chase Edmunds RB – Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals RB Chase Edmunds

Let’s get into the back-up RB discussion and handcuff portion of the article. Chase has shown flashes when filling in for the injured David Johnson. DJ is gone now and enter Kenyan Drake. Drake has immediately filled the void for us when talking upper echelon PPR RB’s. Drake was tossed around in MIA then came on very strong for ARZ in 2019! I firmly believe Edmunds is a strong handcuff to own in 2019 but it’s hell trying to figure out how things will shake out for the Cards in 2020.

Rashaad Penny RB – Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks RB Rashaad Penny

I know I know, Penny’s rehab has been derailed and in all likelihood will start the season on the PUP list. Only reason I mention Penny is because he was already in my notes before the news of Seattle extending an offer to Devonta Freeman. Hard pass on Penny. Why would you willingly draft him and punch your ticket to fantasy hell?

Jamaal Williams RB – Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers RB Jamal Williams

We all know Aaron Jones is the RB1 in Green Bay. After the Packers drafted A.J. Dillon it sent social media into a frenzy and further affirmed how negligent and toxic Twitter is. Moving on we have a running back situation to discuss in Green Bay. To me, it’s not close. Aaron Jones is their starting running back leaving J-Will and AJ to fight for carries and/or the RB2 role. Still very early but makes it hell trying to figure out what is going on behind Aaron Jones.

Devin Funchess WR – Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers WR Devin Funchess

Only reason I’m mentioning Devin is because the Packers picked him and have been toying with where they may play him. Is Funchess even worth our time? I get the whole process of kicking the tires or leaving no stone un-turned but c’mon now. I’ll admit the Packers are a little light in the wide receiver department. That’s what makes this situation such hell. Good luck figuring out what role Funchess will play. If any of you figure it out let me know please!

Dwayne Haskins QB – Washington Redskins

Washington Redskins QB Dwayne Haskins

Maybe the criticisms of Dwayne are a little early but that doesn’t mean we should stop talking about them. There are so many moving parts with this one. Is it the Redskins organization? Is it the coaching staff? Or is it the young age and immaturity of Dwayne himself? Those three questions alone make it hell trying to figure out what we should do with him. I’ve had several discussions with some well respected fantasy writers about Haskins. Now a days the super flex fantasy league is becoming the most popular scoring format to use. I’m not going to get down on any owner who drafts Haskins just want to make sure you’re aware of what you are getting yourself into!

Here are few guys I mentioned in past articles. Such as Fantasy Purgatory and Real Life vs. Fantasy Life. They also double as hell to own. I’m not going to run these player profiles into the ground. Just doing my part to raise awareness!

Kerryon Johnson RB – Detroit Lions

Kyle Rudolph TE – Minnesota Vikings

Jared Cook TE – New Orleans Saints

Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?

Did I miss someone? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

NASCAR – The Setup – 052020

The Setup – Toyota 500
By Tyler Miller

The NASCAR Cup series will race at Darlington Raceway for the second time in under a week as the Toyota 500 is scheduled for Wednesday night at 6pm eastern. The top 20 finishers from Sunday will be inverted to start on Wednesday night (20th on Sunday starts 1st Wednesday night, 1st on Sunday starts 20th and so on). Positions 21-39 will start from their finishing positions on Sunday. Weather may be a factor in this race, but remember that whenever the race is run, lineup lock will remain at 6pm eastern on Wednesday.

Since there is no practice or qualifying for this race, this article will serve as a combination of “The Setup” and “Victory Lane.”

Race Distance: 228 laps (311.4 miles/500 kilometers). Modified Competition Caution will likely take place on lap 30, but I have not seen that confirmed. Stage 1 ends on lap 60, Stage 2 ends on lap 125.
Lineup Lock 6:00 pm eastern Wednesday

Sunday’s Winner Kevin Harvick (Started 6th)
Sunday’s Pole Sitter Brad Keselowski (Finished 13th)
2019 Winner Erik Jones (Started 15th)
2019 Pole Sitter William Byron (Finished 21st)

Past Winners: (Starting Position)
2018: Brad Keselowski (13th)
2017: Denny Hamlin (9th)
2016: Martin Truex Jr. (8th)
2015: Carl Edwards (13th)

Sunday Recap
What went right?

The race on Sunday went well, particularly on Fan Duel where we didn’t miss out on a huge day from Kevin Harvick like we did on DK (due to scoring differences for laps led and fastest laps run). My core lineup of Erik Jones, Denny Hamlin, and Martin Truex Jr. performed well (scoring 8th, 9th, and 7th on Fan Duel respectively). I rounded out my lineup with Ty Dillon and Kurt Busch, scoring 340 points on Fan Duel and cashing in every contest I entered. I was happy with my predictions for how people would run, who was risky, and who was safe.

What went wrong?
I used Kurt Busch on Sunday but I did not write him up. I realized Kurt was a good play based upon a discussion in discord when a subscriber was high on using him. I should have been high on Kurt from the beginning, he ended up scoring the second most points on Fan Duel behind Kevin Harvick. I missed out on Harvick’s dominating day which killed me on Draft Kings because the spread from Harvick to everybody else was so large (159 laps led, 77 fastest laps). My Draft Kings lineup overall produced mixed results. I played Hamlin, Jones, Truex, Newman, Ty Dillon, and Daniel Suarez which scored 258.5.

What Vegas thinks (Opening lines via Penn National Gaming)
Kevin Harvick surpassed Kyle Busch as the favorite for Wednesday. Big drops from Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney (Blaney is off the sheet at 25-1). Nice jump by Alex Bowman to 9-1 from 12-1 on Sunday.

Kevin Harvick 7-2
Kyle Busch 7-1
Brad Keselowski 15-2
Denny Hamlin 8-1
Martin Truex Jr. 17-2
Joey Logano 9-1
Chase Elliott 9-1
Alex Bowman 9-1
Kurt Busch 14-1
William Byron 20-1
Erik Jones 20-1

Driver Ratings Darlington:
1. Erik Jones 107.4
2. Denny Hamlin 106.6
3. Kyle Busch 103.7
4. Kevin Harvick 103.6
5. Brad Keselowski 100.4
6. Martin Truex Jr. 98.5
7. Jimmie Johnson 96.4
8. Tyler Reddick 94.7
9. Matt Kenseth 90.5
10. Kurt Busch 89.7
11. Ryan Newman 89.1
12. Joey Logano 88.7
13. Chase Elliott 86.6
14. Austin Dillon 77.0
15. William Byron 76.9

Average Running Position:
1. Denny Hamlin 8.063
2. Erik Jones 8.141
3. Kyle Busch 9.115
4. Brad Keselowski 10.540
5. Kevin Harvick 11.072
6. Martin Truex Jr. 11.432
7. Kurt Busch 12.823
8. Joey Logano 12.964
9. Ryan Newman 12.989
10. Tyler Reddick 13.171
11. Chase Elliott 13.281
12. Jimmie Johnson 13.479
13. Matt Kenseth 14.414
14. William Byron 15.596
15. Austin Dillon 16.657

Laps Led
1. Kevin Harvick 726 (12.5% of laps run)
2. Kyle Busch 716 (12.3)
3. Denny Hamlin 562 (10.3)
4. Brad Keselowski 373 (8.6)
5. Jimmie Johnson 336 (5.8)
6. Martin Truex Jr. 232 (4.3)
7. Kurt Busch 178 (3.1)

Sunday’s Top 10
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Alex Bowman
3. Kurt Busch
4. Chase Elliott
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Martin Truex Jr.
7. Tyler Reddick
8. Erik Jones
9. John Hunter Nemechek
10. Matt Kenseth

2019 Top 10
1. Erik Jones
2. Kyle Larson
3. Kyle Busch
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Brad Keselowski
6. Clint Bowyer
7. Kurt Busch
8. Matt DiBenedetto
9. Paul Menard
10. Austin Dillon

2018 Top 10
1. Brad Keselowski
2. Joey Logano
3. Kyle Larson
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Chase Elliott
6. Kurt Busch
7. Kyle Busch
8. Erik Jones
9. Jamie McMurray
10. Denny Hamlin

2017 Top 10
1. Denny Hamlin
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kurt Busch
4. Austin Dillon
5. Erik Jones
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Ryan Newman
8. Martin Truex Jr.
9. Kevin Harvick
10. Jamie McMurray

Top End
Kyle Busch ($13,000/12,000) Kyle Busch had an issue late in the race which required an unscheduled pit stop and resulted in a 26th place finish. This is too good of an opportunity to pass up. Kyle could easially lead laps and win the race. I’m realistically expecting a finish somewhere in the 4th-8th range. He’s priced down from his usual 14k+ on Fan Duel. I think he’s a lock button for Wednesday.

Kevin Harvick ($13,200/11,600) I think it might be a bit naïve to think that Kevin Harvick will have another dominating performance at Darlington. This is a difficult track and winning one race is hard enough, expecting him to go back-to-back might not be realistic, but considering his 20th place starting position and the fact that he is bringing back the same racecar on Wednesday. I think Harvick is a solid play and should contend for a top 5 finish.

Chase Elliott ($11,700/10,300) I think Chase Elliott is going to be overlooked, particularly in single entry tournaments and cash games. Elliott had a strong run on Sunday with a 4th place finish, he will start 17th on Wednesday. In my opinion, people are going to play Kyle, Harvick, and Bowman and overlook Elliott as a solid play at a similar price point.

Overall with the top end drivers you can’t really go wrong with using Kyle Busch, Harvick, Elliott, Hamlin, Truex, or Bowman. Obviously you can’t play everybody, so the above list is my top three in order, but any of those drivers are good plays on Wednesday.

Mid-Tier
Jimmie Johnson ($10,000/9,l00)
I think Jimmie Johnson is a must play on Wednesday. He crashed from the lead at the end of stage 1 on Sunday and is starting in the 37th position. Even if he doesn’t march straight to the front and finishes 12th-15th this is a good play at his price point. I would lock in Jimmie in single entries and not think twice about it.

William Byron ($9,000/8,900) William Byron is in a similar position to Jimmie Johnson where he can easily go +20 on differential. I think you have to play him on Draft Kings, and he should seriously be considered on Fan Duel from his 34th place starting position.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($6,400/7,900) Stenhouse made a really bad move on the first lap on Sunday and crashed out of the race. I don’t have a lot of faith in Stenhouse, but starting 39th, you can’t fade him. I think he’ll get a top 20 finish, and his salary will let you fit in whoever you want in the mid-tier/lower top end.

There is a big difference in lineup build between Fan Duel and Draft Kings for this race. On Fan Duel I like using Kyle Busch, Stenhouse, and Jimmie Johnson. That leaves $20,600 for your final two drivers. I think Bowman and Kurt Busch make a lot of sense, as do Truex and Byron. I think Truex and Byron have a higher ceiling, but Bowman and Kurt may have a higher floor.

On Draft Kings it is much more complicated. I think you build around Johnson, Byron, and Stenhouse Jr. because of the scoring differences on DK. I’m only looking for guys on DK that are going to move forward, this is a shorter race, so I’m less worried about one driver dominating, plus the driver who dominated on Sunday is starting 20th.

Good luck to all our subscribers!

I Hate Fantasy Football Players

I Hate Fantasy Football Players
5/18/20
Chris Robin https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

If you’ve played fantasy sports as long as I have you get to know your league and the team managers well. Even if you have taken an orphaned team over in a league full of strangers it’s always the same! Certain owners fill certain criteria.

If you’ve been in one league you’ve been in them all. Just like seeing a pair of boobs. If you’ve seen one pair you’ve seen them all but that doesn’t take away the excitement of seeing more right?

If you missed Morals & Mottos find it here! https://www.dfscheatsheet.com/fantasy-football-morals-and-motto/nfl/05/

Most of the time our leagues are filled and played with people we know and sometimes love. The only constant is the disgust and disdain we feel in certain situations. How many times has another owner left your trade offer message on read?

There is always an owner(s) who love a crafty vet! There is always an owner(s) who loves just rookies! There is always an owner(s) who is always rebuilding. There is always an owner who has held the league hostage by dominating for years on end. There is always an owner(s) who is always in rebuild mode. There is always an owner(s) who is perpetually stuck in last place.

What is your biggest fantasy football pet peeve? Here is a list of some well known fantasy team owners we cannot stand! In no particular order.

1. Never Happy, Always Changing Roster Guy.

We all know this one. Making roster moves constantly. Dropping one player for another then adding back the guy that was cut in the first place. Always hanging in that 5th to 6th spot in a 12 team league. In doing so there is perpetual hope they can climb the standings. Yet never does.

2. Leaves You on Read Guy.

One of my biggest fantasy pet peeves ever! “I’m looking to trade!” This is the message you get in your group chat. After sending a well thought offer over followed by a quick, “sent” to the owners inbox. It sits there with no reply, no counter and zero communication!

3. Home Team Guy.

This guy just winds up screwing himself. Goes out of his way to draft or add players from his hometown team and/or favorite team. In some cases it can pan out given what team is supported most. More than likely it just becomes a hindrance. The “Homer Guy” is also likely to become, “Only Getting my Guy” guy. In my Morals & Mottos article #2 was always get your guy. Within reason though. Home Team Guy turns into over reaching guy who then turns into doesn’t win a thing guy.

4. Way-Too-Serious Guy.

Fantasy football should be fun. If not, walk away. I have championed this and yelled it from the mountain tops. The Way-Too-Serious guy lives his life based on his fantasy football teams results. Throwing beer, breaking televisions and yelling at his kids. It’s not fun and it gets ugly fast. Personally, this is the lowest of the low.

5. First Pick Guy.

Few things about this guy. Has your leagues commish shockingly and surprisingly just landed the #1 overall selection? Weird right? What about the First Pick Guy who tries to hold the league hostage? Thinking they can do and say whatever they want. Or thinking the entire league wants this pick and is willing to sell the farm to obtain it. Either way, “Number One Pick Guy” will find a way to screw it up.

6. Horrible Trade Offer Guy.

A large majority of you hate this guy. If I take it a step further, this is your biggest fantasy pet peeve. Personally, I find it funny! I could argue both sides so why don’t I? When Horrible Trade Guy sends an offensive offer to Way-Too-Serious Guy sit back and watch the show. If you’re anybody else just decline and move on. What is your stance on taking a photo of a horrible offer then posting in your group chat?

7. Auto-Drafter Guy.

Auto-Drafter Guy is like your fun Uncle who you idolized growing up. He shows up to Christmas dinner late with a six-pack of beer. Lives life on his own terms type of thing. When it comes to draft day you get all the owners together, everyone is on the same page yet Auto-Draft Guy is in the wind. The simple action of setting a queue would suffice right? Auto Draft Guy actually screws people over due to the best possible player available being automatically chosen each time!

8. Expert Fantasy Advice Guy.

Isn’t this the guy the best? Not. I’ve compared fantasy football to guessing the weather. You can only do so much research. You can only make so many projections. It really is all a guessing game. So when some dummy in your league starts spouting off advice and criticisms on the decisions you’ve made tell him to get lost.

9. Takes Trash Talk Too Far Guy.

Are you easily upset? How mad would you be if I told you this Sunday my fantasy team is going to bend you over? That’s a pretty common trash talk statement. In the leagues I play in at least. At what point does an owner cross the line? Your kids? Wife? Deceased parents? Anyway you slice it once the line is crossed there is no going back. Don’t be a jerk. Don’t be this guy.

10. Disappearing Act Guy.

Every single league has this guy. Normally this owner is awesome right out of the gate. A ton of interaction leading up to the draft. Present during the draft and after! Then poof! Gone! Once his roster is full he’s gone! Doesn’t set his roster week to week. When he checks back in the realization of how bad it’s gotten sets in and he gives up. Gives up with 10+ games left in the season. This owner should be banned across the board.

11. Negative Nancy Rat Guy.

To be clear this guy is a snake and acts like a used car salesman. The idiot who offers you a trade and says, “You’re totally winning this offer bro!” Yeah? If that’s the case why don’t you keep the guy?! He’s also the snake who tries to get other owners together in a collusion type effort. Yet is a big enough rat to tell on others at the drop of a hat. Be aware of this guy. He always shows his true colors! This owner needs to be removed root and stem!

12. Four Leaf Clover Up His Butt Guy.

Pretty self explanatory! I’ve seen cases where it’s the most unassuming team owner. The last minute person you asked to join just to fill the league in time to draft. Your grandma? Father in-law? Most of the time it’s an owner who know nothing about football. Just likes the color of the team jerseys.

In closing, if any of you don’t understand one of these then that’s which fantasy player you are! What? Bad Trade Offer Guy doesn’t make sense! I like that guy! Guess what? You’re probably Bad Offer Guy!

Thank you for reading! Any questions or comments?

Did I miss someone? Who would you add? Let’s talk about it!

Find me on Twitter right here! https://twitter.com/DetroitBeastie

Or on DFScheatsheets.com https://twitter.com/dfscheatsheet1

NASCAR – The Setup – 051620

The Setup – The Real Heroes 400
By Tyler Miller

NASCAR is back. For the first time since March 8th, NASCAR will race 400 miles at Darlington Raceway and the world will be watching. There is no practice or qualifying for Sunday’s race. The field has been set by a random draw with Brad Keselowski and Alex Bowman starting on the front row. I am not clear on how or when the cars will be cleared through technical inspection and whether or not the potential exists for a driver to lose a starting position by failing pre-race inspection, so be sure to double check lineups and follow beat reporters like @BobPockrass on twitter for updates.

Since there is no practice or qualifying, I am doing a hybrid “Setup/Victory Lane” all in one article. Remember, these drivers will be right back in Darlington on Wednesday night for a shorter race under the lights.

A few other notes: Ryan Newman is back in the 6 car and Matt Kenseth replaces Kyle Larson in the 42.

Race Distance: 293 laps (400.2 miles). Modified Competition Caution on lap 30. Stage 1 ends on lap 90, Stage 2 ends on lap 185.
Lineup Lock 3:30 pm eastern Sunday
2019 Winner Erik Jones (Started 15th)
2019 Pole Sitter William Byron (Finished 21st)
Past Winners: (Starting Position)
2018: Brad Keselowski (13th)
2017: Denny Hamlin (9th)
2016: Martin Truex Jr. (8th)
2015: Carl Edwards (13th)

What Vegas thinks (Post-qualifying lines via Penn National Gaming)
Kyle Busch is the favorite to win at 5-1. Kevin Harvick fell to 13-2 after opening at 5-1 due to a 6th place starting position.
Kyle Busch 5-1
Kevin Harvick 13-2
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Joey Logano 17-2
Martin Truex Jr. 17-2
Chase Elliott 9-1
Alex Bowman 12-1
Erik Jones 16-1
Ryan Blaney 20-1
Kurt Busch 20-1

Driver Ratings Darlington:
1. Erik Jones 110.8
2. Denny Hamlin 106.3
3. Kyle Busch 105.9
4. Kevin Harvick 100.7
5. Brad Keselowski 99.5
6. Martin Truex Jr. 99.2
7. Jimmie Johnson 97.8
8. Matt Kenseth 91.0
9. Ryan Newman 89.9
10. Joey Logano 89.3
11. Kurt Busch 88.6
12. Chase Elliott 83.4
13. Austin Dillon 77.3
14. William Byron 76.3
15. Clint Bowyer 73.4

Average Running Position:
1. Erik Jones 7.550
2. Denny Hamlin 8.219
3. Kyle Busch 8.530
4. Brad Keselowski 11.111
5. Martin Truex Jr. 11.255
6. William Byron 11.502
7. Kevin Harvick 11.648
8. Jimmie Johnson 12.579
9. Ryan Newman 12.792
10. Joey Logano 13.022
11. Kurt Busch 13.097
12. Chase Elliott 14.058
13. Matt Kenseth 14.417
14. Chris Buescher 16.469
15. Austin Dillon 16.567

Laps Led
1. Kyle Busch 716 (13% of laps run)
2. Kevin Harvick 567 (10.3)
3. Denny Hamlin 562 (10.9)
4. Jimmie Johnson 327 (5.9
5. Brad Keselowski 293 (7.2)
6. Martin Truex Jr. 232 (4.5)

2019 Top 10
1. Erik Jones
2. Kyle Larson
3. Kyle Busch
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Brad Keselowski
6. Clint Bowyer
7. Kurt Busch
8. Matt DiBenedetto
9. Paul Menard
10. Austin Dillon

2018 Top 10
1. Brad Keselowski
2. Joey Logano
3. Kyle Larson
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Chase Elliott
6. Kurt Busch
7. Kyle Busch
8. Erik Jones
9. Jamie McMurray
10. Denny Hamlin

2017 Top 10
1. Denny Hamlin
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kurt Busch
4. Austin Dillon
5. Erik Jones
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Ryan Newman
8. Martin Truex Jr.
9. Kevin Harvick
10. Jamie McMurray

Without practice or qualifying there isn’t much to say regarding my favorite picks for Sunday. I’ll keep things short and sweet.

Top End
Erik Jones ($9,800/9,200) I think Erik Jones is going to be an obvious chalk pick, but there is a lot of potential for differential points and a top 10 run. Jones has the best driver rating, the best average finish, and the best average running position of all the drivers in the field at Darlington. In three career races, Jones has finished 5th, 8th, and 1st. Starting 20th, I think Jones is a must play.

Denny Hamlin ($12,500/11,100) I really like Denny Hamlin at Darlington. He has completed every lap in 13 of his 14 career starts at Darlington (all of the races until last year). Hamlin is 2nd in driver rating, 2nd in average running position, and his average finish of 7.8 is better than his average running position of 8.129. That tells me that Hamlin can close the deal and be at the front at the end of the race. I like Hamlin in this spot, starting the race 10th.

Brad Keselowski ($12,000/10,400) I think Keselowski is a solid pick here and I think he will be lower owned because he is starting on the pole. There is plenty of risk with negative differential points, but Keselowski will almost certainly lead some laps and his strong record at Darlington should give you some confidence that he can pull off a top 5 finish. Keselowski is 5th in driver rating, 5th in laps led, and 4th in average running position at Darlington.

Martin Truex Jr. ($11,500/10,400) Starting 15th, I think Truex is underpriced for Darlington on Sunday. Truex has massive upside with the potential for +10 differential and a top 5. Truex is 6th in driver rating, 5th in average running position, and 6th in laps led. In 14 career starts, Truex has completed 99.9% of the laps at Darlington (5,144 of 5,149). I really don’t see any downside to playing Truex on Sunday.

Mid-Tier
Ryan Newman ($7,000/6,500)
Newman has had a sneaky good career at Darlington over the years. In 21 races he has finished in the top 10 13 times. He is 9th in both driver rating and average running position. I think Newman is a solid play at 7k on Fan Duel and is capable of moving forward into the top 15 from his 21st place starting position.

Matt Kenseth ($7,200/7,900) Overall, I’m not really in on Matt Kenseth, but the 42 team has been excellent at Darlington in recent years. Kyle Larson led 328 laps and finished 2nd in 3rd over the past two Southern 500s. I’m not sold on Matt Kenseth being able to jump into a top 5 car and finish in the top 5 after a prolonged absence from the cup series. I think it is more likely that Kenseth, who starts the race 12th, runs in the mid-teens most of the day and finishes somewhere between 12th-18th place.

Value Plays
Ty Dillon ($5,000/5,600)
If you need a value play, Ty Dillon should be a lock. Dillon drew the 33rd place starting position and will certainly make up positions if he stays out of trouble on Sunday. In 3 races at Darlington, Ty has finishes of 13th, 21st, and 20th. Anything in that ballpark would make him a great DFS play on Sunday.

Daniel Suarez ($4,500/6,200) Starting 37th, Daniel Suarez has very little risk but only minimal upside. If that team does everything right, I think Suarez can finish in the top 25. I like Ty Dillon more because he has top 15 potential, but Suarez could be a solid value play on Sunday, especially on Draft Kings where you get a full point for differential.

My core lineup for both Draft Kings and Fan Duel will be Jones, Hamlin, and Truex. You can round those lineups out with my mid-tier and value plays and be set for an enjoyable race on Sunday afternoon. Good luck!