OCTOBER 31, 2019
BY MARK STINE @DFSBEERPACK
BEST CARD ALL YEAR!
Hello MMA fans! This weekend we have a 12-Fight card PPV in New York. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and 30K goes to 1st place with a total of 150K being paid out! Let’s dig in.
Julio Arce 7,600 vs Hakeem Dawodu 8,600
Preferred play is Dawodu. Dawodu came in to the octagon with some hype with a strong World Series of fighting run, only to suffer submission loss to Danny Henry in his debut. He has since gone on to win three straight, including a bonus-winning beat down of Yoshinori Horie in July. Seven of his professional wins have come by TKO/KO. Arce had bonus- winning performance on “Contender Series “. He followed that by wins over Dan Ige and Daniel Teymur in his first two octagon appearances, then lost split decision to Sheymon Moraes..
Pick- Hakeem Dawodu via Unanimous Decision
Layman Good $8,400 vs Chance Rencountre $7,800
Preferred play is Rencountre. Rencountre debuted on short notice last year against Belal Muhammad losing is a Unanimous Decision. He got back in the win column with a submission win over Kyle Stewart in January and a Unanimous Decision win over top prospect Ismail Naurdiev in July. Good was Bellator MMA’s first-ever Welterweight champion. In his octagon debut he KO/TKO Andrew Graig in 2015. He was suspended for two years for Anti-Doping, since his return he is 1-2, being submitted by Maia in February.
Pick- Chance Rencountre via Unanimous Decision
Katlyn Chookagian $8,900 vs Jennifer Maia 7,300
Cash- Maia is playable.
Preferred play is Maia. Maia loss to Liz Carmouche in her octagon debut in 2018. She has gotten back on track with her decision wins over Alexia Davis and Roxanne Modafferi. Chookagian is high volume and fast paced. She won a decision over Joanne Calderwood in May. I think Maia will keep up with Chookagian pace and edge out the win.
Pick- Jennifer Maia via Split Decision
Andrei Arlovski $7,500 vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik $8,700
Cash- Rozenstruik is playable.
Preferred play is Rozenstruik. He made his UFC debut against Junior Albini as the underdog. He started slow had a rough first round, but came back and knocked out Albini with head kick and punches. Then took out Allen Crowder in just nine seconds. Arlovski continues to stay around he is 3-8 since 2017. He did upset Ben Rothwell this past July. I think Rozenstruik will be way to much for Arlovski to handle and this fight ends early.
Pick- Jairzinho Rozenstruik via 1st round KO
Brad Tavares $7,900 vs Edmen Shahbazyan $8,300
Cash- Shahbazyan is playable.
Preferred play is Shahbazyan. Shahbazyan was a knockout machine in “Contender Series“ with nothing but first- round knockouts on his resume. His debut against Darren Stewart went the distance winning a decision. He went on to a knockout of Charles Byrd and a submission of Jack Hermansson. Taveras is replacing Krzysztof Jotko on one month notice. After getting knocked out by Robert Whittaker, Taveras went on a four fight win streak. His streak ended at the hands of Israel Adesanya losing by decision.
Pick- Edmen Shahbazyan via 1st round TKO
Shane Burgos $9,300 vs Makwan Amirkhani $6,900
Preferred play is Burgos. Burgos was on a three fight win streak until his knockout loss to Calvin Kattar in January 2018. He came back with a submission win over Kurt Holobaugh, then an decision win over Cub Swanson in May. Amedovski won his first three octagon appearances before a Split Decision loss to Arnold Allen. He taped Chris Fishgold in a bonus- winning match in June.
PICK- Shane Burgos via Unanimous Decision
Cory Anderson 7,200 vs Jimmy Walker $9,000
Cash- Walker is playable.
Preferred play is Walker. Walker is from the “Contender Series: Brazil” He has make his presents felt in the UFC by three knockouts in less than three minutes combined. Walker could struggle on the mat if Anderson can manage any form of takedown, my guess is no.
Anderson is on a three fight win streak very impressive ones actually. This should be a good fight.
Pick- Jimmy Walker via 1st round TKO
Kevin Lee 7,100 vs Gregor Gillespie $9,100
Cash- Gillespie is Playable.
Preferred play is Gillespie. Gillespie is an elite wrestler and he will look to take this fight to the mat, where Lee could be facing a grappling nightmare. Lee is an very well-rounded fighter he has been training at the Tristar Gym in Montreal, which could be enough to defeat Gillespie. He would have to be absolutely flawless to earn the victory tho.
Pick- Gregor Gillespie via 2nd round Submission
Derrick Lewis $8,000 vs Blagoy Ivanov $8,200
Cash- Ivanov is playable.
Preferred play is Ivanov. Ivanov has a big grappling edge, he has been very reluctant to use his grappling thus far. This would be the fight it would be very wise to use his grappling skills. He does not want to stand and trade with the black beast. Lewis is on a two- fight losing streak. He will look to throw with Ivanov, but if this fight hits the mat it could be a lot of trouble for Lewis. Lewis does have the power to end this fight in a hurry for sure.
Pick- Blagoy Ivanov via Unanimous Decision
Stephen Thompson $8,500 vs Vicente Luque $7,700
Cash- Luque is playable.
Preferred play is Luque. Luque is on a six fight win-streak one of the best active streaks in the Welterweight division. He is a high volume striker and is not afraid of pushing the pace and being aggressive. Thompson is on a two fight losing-streak he can be an high volume striker as well. I’m not sure wonder boy will have the what it takes to beat Luque. This should be a interesting fight.
Pick- Vicente Luque via 3rd round TKO
Kelvin Gastelum $9,200 vs Darren Till $7,000
Cash- Gastelum is playable.
Preferred play is Gastelum. Gastelum is a well rounded fighter and is hits very hard for 185lbs. He is very quick as well and Till’s chin is very questionable. Gastelum is a solid grappler and wrestler. Till is making his debut in this division not sure how well his body
adjust to 185lbs. He is a pressure fighter and wants to control the fight in the clinch on the fence. This fight will be interesting seeing how Till adjusts to this division.
Pick- Kelvin Gastelum via 2nd round TKO
Jorge Masvidal $8,800 vs Nate Diaz $7,400
Cash- fight is stackable.
Preferred play is Diaz. Diaz is an elite boxer and has an outstanding ground game. He will get you to play his game which will lead to his opponent losing. Diaz can pick his opponents apart and will usually lead to a submission. Masvidal started as a street fighter, he is a boxer and has a very underrated ground game. I think this fight will be a brawl which will favor Diaz. This should be a fun fight.
Pick- Nate Diaz via 4th round Submission
Thanks for reading! I hope this helps with your lineup building! Good luck! Let’s TAKEDOWN a GPP!
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